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Demystifies regression-based valuation through simple explanations, easy-to-understand charts, and time-saving bonus resources

Current methodologies using median, quartiles, or standard deviations to calculate revenue multipliers and cash flow multipliers often produce values that are wildly divergent. This forces the appraiser to choose between a very high or a very low value or consider averaging the values, opening the possibility for the appraiser to be challenged. On the surface, regression analysis appears to be the more complex, mathematical model, so many professionals shy away from using it out of fear that readers will be confused and reject the results of the appraisal. Valuing Businesses Using Regression Analysis solves this issue by breaking down regression to its simplest terms and providing easy-to-read charts and explanations that can be understood by all.

Since regression analysis does not come pre-installed in Excel, this book will show you how to enable Excel's regression in your computer. Then you'll learn four different Regression tools that can be used for business valuations or for forecasting in general. As an added perk, this book also comes with a template that simplifies the entire regression methodology into the click of one button. With a minimal amount of work, you can use this template to produce a compelling four-page valuation report.

  • See why current valuation methodologies can be wildly inaccurate and why regression analysis is a practical and preferable alternative
  • Learn how to set up Regression in Excel and use single-variable linear regression to predict revenue and cash flow multipliers
  • Walk through the process for conducting more advanced analyses, including curved regression with outliers and multiple variable regression
  • Use the bonus template to create attractive four-page valuation reports using regression analysis in Excel

This book is an excellent choice for valuators and other financial professionals ready to take the leap into regression analysis for more accurate, more objective business valuations.

Table of Contents

  1. Cover
  2. Title Page
  3. Copyright
  4. Dedication
  5. Foreword
  6. Preface
    1. PEER REVIEWING THE REGRESSION METHODOLOGY
    2. WHY ISN'T EVERYONE USING THIS METHODOLOGY?
  7. Acknowledgments
    1. NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF CERTIFIED VALUATORS AND ANALYSTS (NACVA)
    2. INSTITUTE OF BUSINESS APPRAISERS (IBA, A SUBSIDIARY OF NACVA)
    3. THOMSON‐REUTERS CORPORATION
    4. BUSINESS VALUATION RESOURCES, LLC (BVR)
  8. CHAPTER 1: Current Methodologies
    1. PROCEDURES USED IN THE GUIDELINE COMPANY TRANSACTION METHOD
    2. NOTES
  9. CHAPTER 2: The Solution
    1. REGRESSION IS A “BEST‐FITTING” TREND LINE
    2. ONE PICTURE = 1,000 WORDS
    3. NOTES
  10. CHAPTER 3: Identifying Outliers Using Regression
  11. CHAPTER 4: Cash Flow Multiplier Regression
  12. CHAPTER 5: Enterprise Multiplier
  13. CHAPTER 6: Polynomial Regressions
    1. ADDING A SECOND INDEPENDENT VARIABLE
  14. CHAPTER 7: Multiple Variable Regression
    1. ASSET VALUES TO USE IN MULTIPLE REGRESSIONS
    2. GOING CONCERN VALUE OF FF&E
    3. NOTES
  15. CHAPTER 8: Selection of Transactions in the Sample
    1. REVENUE RANGE
    2. WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE SAMPLE IS TOO SMALL?
    3. CASH FLOW MULTIPLIER RANGE
    4. INVENTORY LEVELS
    5. FIXTURES AND EQUIPMENT
    6. STOCK SALES VS. ASSET SALES
    7. TRANSACTIONS WITH REAL ESTATE
    8. THE FLORIDA EFFECT
    9. TIMING OF A SALE
    10. NOTES
  16. CHAPTER 9: Regression 2.0
    1. FOUR LEVELS OF REGRESSIONS
    2. ADJUSTING THE STANDARD ERROR BREAK POINT
    3. MULTIPLE VARIABLE REGRESSION STATISTICS
  17. CHAPTER 10: Using Excel's Regression Utility
    1. INSTALLING EXCEL'S REGRESSION
    2. EXCEL'S REGRESSION UTILITY
    3. MULTIPLE VARIABLE REGRESSIONS
    4. PRODUCTION VALUE OF EXCEL
  18. CHAPTER 11: Excel Valuation Template
    1. WORKSHEET #1: DATA ENTRY
    2. WORKSHEETS #2–4: REVENUE, SDE, AND ENTERPRISE MULTIPLIERS
    3. WORKSHEET #5: TWO‐LEVEL MULTIPLE REGRESSION
    4. WORKSHEET #6: 36‐LEVEL MULTIPLE REGRESSION
    5. WORKSHEET #7: RECONCILIATION OF VALUES—TWO‐REGRESSION OPTION
    6. WORKSHEET #7: RECONCILIATION OF VALUES—ENTERPRISE OPTION
    7. WORKSHEET #7: RECONCILIATION OF VALUES—MULTIPLE VARIABLE OPTION
    8. WORKSHEET #8: COVER SHEET
  19. CHAPTER 12: Conclusion
  20. About the Website
  21. Index
  22. End User License Agreement
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