8
Risk Management at Strategic Business Level

8.1 INTRODUCTION

This chapter outlines business formation and the differences between private and public limited companies. It is primarily concerned with SBUs’ functions, strategy and planning. Risks specific to the SBU level are also outlined.
The corporate body operates separate SBUs which are often managing many different projects, therefore portfolio theory is described along with a brief example using five different investments in separate markets and identifying their associated risks. Matrix systems and programme management are also discussed.

8.2 DEFINITIONS

French and Saward (1983) describe business as:
The activities of buying and selling goods, manufacturing goods or producing services in order to make a profit.
French and Saward (1983) also define strategy as:
A general method or policy for achieving specified objectives.
Collins English Dictionary (1995) defines a business as:
A commercial or industrial environment.
The present authors believe strategy to be a set of rules which guide decision-makers about organisational behaviour and which go on to produce a common sense of direction. For the purposes of this book the authors believe strategic business management can basically be summarised as the management of SBUs.

8.3 BUSINESS FORMATION

The birth of a business is different to that of a corporation. A business often transforms into a corporation over time through acquisition and growth.
The authors believe there are three essential requirements for starting a business:
1. The financial resources needed to support a business.
2. A product or service that is wanted outside the business, and can be sold and exploited by it.
3. Sufficient people to operate the business.
When a business is formed the owners can choose from one of many legal forms; however, most businesses start off as a sole trader and grow accordingly. For the purposes of this book, the authors consider larger companies, specifically SBUs, and their relation to corporate bodies and the projects they undertake.
The law relating to incorporated companies is enshrined in the Companies Act. The most recent and important changes in the UK were made in 1985. Incorporated firms, or joint stock companies, are the most common form of business. Two types of limited company are found in the UK: private and public limited companies.
A limited company, private or public, is a legally separate body from its owners, the shareholders and its directors. The company can make contracts and agreements, and can be held responsible and sued in its own name. Under certain circumstances directors may also be sued, as in the case of negligence, but the important aspect here is that they are sued as well as the company.
Shareholders are not liable for the debts of the business beyond the value of their shares. In other words, the financial responsibility is limited. The value here is the original price, or the original investment, not the value based on the current price of the shares quoted on the stock market. The company has a life of its own and can exist beyond the life of its original owners.
Limited companies in the UK have to be registered with Companies House, and a strict procedure has to be followed if registration is to be granted. In particular, two key documents have to be prepared and lodged with the Registrar of Companies, namely:
1. Memorandum of Association
2. Articles of Association.
The Memorandum of Association describes generally the objectives of the company, and what the business is. It will contain the name of the organisation, its registered address, its objectives and its initial capital. It is a document relating to those outside the organisation, for external stakeholder use.
The Articles of Association describe the rules that govern the operation of the company. They are an internal document in many ways, and state how the business should be run. They must include a description of the rights of shareholders, election of directors, conduct of meetings, and details of keeping financial accounts (Birchall and Morris 1992).
On payment of the correct fee, the Registrar will issue a Certificate of Incorporation. After registration the company may sell shares and start to trade. Each year thereafter it will have to report to the Registrar by submitting as well as the directors’ report, a set of accounts which will normally consist of a balance sheet, a profit and loss account, a cash flow statement, a set of detailed explanatory notes and a report from the company’s auditors. However, this process does take time. Some businesses are registered in advance, and in suitably vague terms, so that they can be sold to people who want to register a company quickly. These are known as ‘shell companies’ (Birchall and Morris 1992).
The present authors also note that it is simpler to become a limited company than a public company. The answer as to whether an organisation will be a public or private company is: ‘it all depends’.
There are specific rules governing the qualification of limited companies or plcs. Table 8.1 lists the differences between a private limited company and a public limited company.
Private limited companies tend to be regional, rather than national, firms and are often family businesses. Senior managers, directors and shareholders tend to be very close; sometimes they are one and the same. They tend not to be household names, unless they happen to be SBUs of plcs.
Public limited companies often find it easier to borrow money from banks, and tend to be much larger organisations than limited companies. They tend to inspire greater confidence, but there is no ‘solid’ reason why they should. Plcs seem to be the large companies in a country.
Table 8.1 Legal differences between private and public limited companies (Adapted from Birchall and Morris 1992)
Private limited companyPublic limited company
Memorandum of AssociationMust state that company is a public company
NameEnd with the word LtdMust end with word plc
Minimum authorised capitalNone£50 000
Minimum membership22
Minimum number of directors12
Retirement of directorsNo set age70 unless resolved
Issue of shares to publicSale only by private agreementMay do on stock exchange by means of a prospectus
Company secretaryAnyoneMust be qualified as such
AccountsModified accountsMust file B/S, P/L account, and auditors’ and directors’ report
MeetingsA proxy may address the meetingA proxy cannot speak at a public meeting
Thus there are far more limited companies in the UK than plcs, but the majority of invested capital is in the latter.

8.4 STRATEGIC BUSINESS UNITS

Johnson and Scholes (1999) define an SBU as:
A part of the organisation for which there is a distinct external market for goods and services.
Langford and Male (2001) define an SBU as follows:
Large firms will normally set up a strategic business unit. It will have the authority to make its own strategic decisions within corporate guidelines that will cover a particular product, market, client or geographic area.
For the purposes of this book the present authors use the definition developed by Langford and Male (2001).
Within an SBU effective financial management must address risk as well as return. Objectives relating to growth, profitability and cash flow emphasise improving returns from investment. However, businesses should balance expected returns with the management and control of risk. Therefore, many businesses include an objective in their financial perspective which addresses the risk dimension of their strategy, for example diversification of revenues streams through globalisation. Risk management is an overlying or additional objective which should complement the strategy chosen by the particular business unit.

8.4.1 The Need for Strategic Linkages

The need for strategic linkages is essential for information transfer and can operate as a top-down or bottom-up process. Toffler (1985) states:
A corporation without strategy is like an aeroplane weaving through stormy skies, hurling up and down, slammed by the wind, and lost in the thunderheads. If lightning or crushing winds do not destroy it, it will simply run out of fuel.
A major concern of both senior management and project participants is that projects seem to arise at will across the organisation. Confusion normally arises from:
• a lack of clarity as to how these projects align and link with the organisation’s strategy
• the absence of a business process for selecting projects
• senior management’s apparent lack of awareness of the number, scope and benefits of the projects being undertaken.
This results in many people feeling that they are working not only on many unnecessary projects but also at cross-purposes with other areas of the business.
Giving projects a strategic focus goes a long way to resolving these concerns. Combining a strategic focus with a business process for selecting and prioritising projects is an important step in creating an environment for successful projects. Some form of strategic planning is done at all levels of organisations. For clarity and simplicity, Verway and Comninos (2002) adopted the following terminology:
• Strategic planning at the organisational level results in a set of ‘organisational imperatives’.
• The business managers convert these into business strategies.
• Business strategies are in turn carried out through projects whose strategy is the ‘project approach or plan’.

8.4.2 The Wrappers Model

The wrappers model developed by Verway and Comninos (2002) is an overall approach which integrates the organisation’s strategic business and project management levels. At the core of the model is the Business Focused Project Management (BFPM) protocol, which contains the Objective Directed Project Management (ODPM) process. Each level ‘wraps’ its functionality around the one within. The wrappers can be peeled off or added as required. Figure 8.1 illustrates the wrappers. The following subsections explain each wrapper layer in the model.
Figure 8.1 The wrappers model
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8.4.2.1 The Strategic Wrapper

The inner wrapper is the strategic wrapper containing the organisation’s vision, mission, goals and objectives. The executive level of the organisation, which is responsible for setting organisational strategy, primarily owns this wrapper.
An organisation’s strategic planning develops vision, drives the mission and states which objectives/outcomes are necessary for success. Organisational strategy is converted into action through business strategies, which in turn enable the setting of goals and identification of a potential portfolio of projects.
The strategic wrapper further defines the relationship between the organisation and its environment, identifying the organisation’s strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats (SWOT). The context includes social, technical, economic and environmental issues, political/public perceptions, and operational and legal aspects of the organisation’s functions (STEEPOL). The SWOT and STEEPOL analyses form an integral part of the organisation’s strategic planning.
In the absence of an organisation’s strategic planning, projects will deliver results that are not aligned with desired business outcomes. Portfolio and project performance measures will exist in a vacuum created by the lack of strategic direction (Verway and Comninos 2002).

8.4.2.2 The Business Wrapper

The middle wrapper is the business wrapper and is owned by senior management. It receives project proposals from operations and functions and considers them in a prioritisation and selection process. These proposals are prepared in support of the organisation’s imperatives and are generated by departments or at the executive level.
The result of the prioritisation and selection process is a portfolio of projects. The executive or board sanction the portfolio, thus committing organisation-wide resources. The CEO champions the complete portfolio, while an executive manager or senior management sponsor has the responsibility for ownership of individual projects. This ownership is of utmost importance to successful project delivery.
A portfolio council, comprising representatives of the executive and senior management, manages the project portfolio. Portfolio council members usually own the organisation-wide resources required to deliver the projects and therefore have a strong interest in ensuring that only well-scrutinised projects are approved (Verway and Comninos 2002).

8.4.2.3 The Project Wrapper

The outer wrapper is the project wrapper, representing the project management level. It is jointly owned by the project sponsors, project managers and participating functional managers. It is here that projects are initiated, planned, and executive and project results integrated into the business. The project manager and the core team member primarily manage this level. Subject to the functional managers’ mandate, core team members represent their functional areas.
Authority to implement resources is given to the sponsor by the executive, and the sponsor is accountable to the executive for the results. The project manager’s authority to manage the project is derived partly from the sponsor and partly from interpersonal influences.
An essential part of BFPM is a project planning process that focuses on measurable results and not on detailed planning, which is dealt with at team level. These results are objective or result directed and are addressed at ODPM level. They link to the performance measures and give direction to team-level planning. Project managers and team members expand these results to the next level — the task deliverables. Team members can now focus on the work required to achieve the deliverables.
Team members take on the responsibility for planning the work to achieve the deliverables. These deliverables lead to results, which in turn contribute to the intended business outcomes. From this planning will flow an understanding of what each individual contributes towards a deliverable and how its individual performance is measured (Verway and Comninos 2002).
Johnson and Scholes (1999) state:
It has been shown that there needs to be a compatibility between corporate-level strategy and the strategy of the SBUs.
The relationship between the strategic business and corporate levels is often detached. The client enters into a contract with the SBU to carry out projects. The corporate body is merely a trading name listed on the stock exchange, so there is no contract between a client and the corporate entity. However, if a project does not go to plan, resulting in action by the client, the corporate body will often step in, although it is not obliged to. This is the case because the SBU, which is part of the corporation, does not want bad publicity, resulting in a damaged reputation.

8.4.3 The Business Management Team

Often the chairmen of SBUs are members of the corporation’s board of directors and are duly responsible for ensuring that corporate policies are introduced into their respective SBUs.
A corporation is conceived of as a number of SBUs, with each SBU responsible for maintaining a viable position in the sale of products and services and maintaining its core competencies (Prahalad and Hamel 1998).

8.4.4 Strategic Business Management Functions

In general, the roles and responsibilities of strategic business managers are as follows:
• They are responsible for managing and co-ordinating various issues at strategic business level, and for ensuring coherency with and conformity to the corporate strategy implementation plan as well as the strategic business plan.
• They will be concerned with macro aspects of the business. These include:
• political and environmental issues
• finding a niche in the market and exploiting it
• business development
• sustainability or long-term goals of the strategy
• stakeholders’ satisfaction
• long-term demands of customers or end users
• identifying and responding to strategic business risks.
In terms of legal focuses the strategic business manager will abide by planning regulations, environmental restrictions and British Standards. At the strategic business level the manager will look at a wider perspective, for example stakeholder arrangements (balancing equity, bonds, debt and contractual legal arrangements between partners). Business managers ensure that everything conforms with current legislation throughout the strategy. The use of an environmental impact assessment at strategy level provides a platform for the public to participate in mitigation decisions. This in turn fosters integrity and co-ordination and shows the stakeholders the benefits of the strategic business manager (Johnson and Scholes 1999).
In terms of risk management, the strategic business manager will need to address all possible risks, mitigate and review, documenting them as work in progress. The business manager will be concerned with a wider view of business risks, such as the interdependencies of the projects within the strategy, the overall financial risks of the projects, risks posed from delays in completion of tasks and sudden changes due to external influences.
In terms of schedule and cost, the strategic business manager will have to look at the whole picture, where comparisons can be made between different projects. The business manager will be concerned with predicting overall profit and loss within the business level and long-term profitability, as well as realising the benefits of the business strategy. Strategic business managers co-ordinate the interface of the projects within the strategy, the co-ordination logistics, both in design as well as in the implementation stages. They also consolidate and analyse changes with respect to the overall impact on the business strategy plan and cost.

8.4.5 Typical Risks Faced by Strategic Business Units

The typical risks faced by a SBUs include:
• Exposures of physical assets
• Exposures of financial assets
• Exposures of human assets
• Exposures to legal liability.

8.4.5.1 Exposures of Physical Assets

Physical asset or property exposure to risk can be classified in four ways: according to (1) the class of property affected, (2) the cause of gain or loss, (3) whether the outcome is direct, indirect or time element in nature and (4) the nature of the organisation’s interest in the property. The causes of loss or gain might be divided into three classes: (1) physical, (2) social and (3) economic. Physical peril or causes include natural forces, such as fires, windstorms, and explosions, that damage or destroy property, or in the case of speculative risks — that in some sense enhance the value of the property. Social perils or causes are (a) deviations from expected individual conduct, such as theft, vandalism, embezzlement, or negligence, or (b) aberrations in group behaviour, such as strikes or riots. Economic perils or causes may be due to external or internal forces. For example, a debtor may be unable to pay off an account receivable because of an economic recession or a contractor may not complete a project on schedule because of management error. Two or more of these perils may be involved in one loss. For instance, a negligent act by an employee may lead to an explosion; an economic recession and a windstorm may together so severely cripple a debtor’s organisation that the debtor cannot pay the amount owed to a supplier.

8.4.5.2 Exposures of Financial Assets

Today financial price risk can not only affect quarterly profits, it can also determine a business’s very survival. Unpredictable movement in exchange rate, interest rates and commodity prices presents risks that cannot be ignored.
A financial asset is a legal instrument that conveys rights to the owner of the contract, although the right does not necessarily apply to a specific tangible object. When an organisation issues a financial asset, it appears as a liability on the issuer’s balance sheet and an asset on the holder’s balance sheet. An organisation can be exposed to risk from holding financial assets or as a result of issuing financial assets.

8.4.5.3 Types of Financial Assets

The variety of financial assets employed by individuals, business and governments is enormous and growing. Common stock, subordinated debentures, mortgage-backed securities, zero-coupon bonds, revenue bonds, futures, options, swaps and preferred stocks are but a few examples of the instruments used to finance private and public projects. Innovation continues to lead to the development of new financial assets to adapt to the ever-increasing complexity of financial markets. Embedded within this complex array of financial assets are a few attributes. Three elements are present in a typical financial asset, either singly or in combination:
• a promised payment or series of promised payments
• a right to another asset, which might be contingent or event – specific
• control rights, possibly through a voting privilege.
Uncertainty in the global financial environment has caused many economic problems and disruptions, but it has also provided the impetus for financial innovation. Through financial innovation, the financial intermediaries were soon able to offer their customers products to manage or even exploit the new risk. Through this same innovation, financial institutions became better able to evaluate and manage their own asset and liability position. The marketplace recognised early that the uncertainty about foreign exchange rates, interest rates, and commodity prices could not be eliminated by ‘better forecasting’. This recognition induced firms to begin actively managing financial risk. The financial institutions — exchanges, commercial banks, and investment banks — have provided a range of new products to accomplish this risk management:
• In response to the increased foreign exchange risk, the market provided forward contracts on foreign exchange, foreign exchange futures (in 1972), currency swaps (in 1981), and options on foreign exchange (in 1982).
• For managing interest rate risk, futures contracts were the first to appear (in 1975), followed by interest rate swaps (in 1982), interest rate options (in 1982) and finally interest rate forwards — called ‘forward rate agreements’ (in 1983).
In addition to the existing forward contracts for metal and long-term contracts for petroleum, the onset of the increased price volatility in the late 1970s led to the appearance of futures contracts for commodities (for oil in 1978 and for metal in 1983). These were followed by commodity swaps (in 1986) and commodity options in 1986.

8.4.5.4 Exposures of Human Assets

The productive resources of an organisation include property (physical capital) and human resources (human capital); earlier, we discussed exposures due to ownership of physical and financial assets. The discussion now turns to assessing exposures related to the organisation’s human asset. The main risks to personnel are:
• death
• poor health
• old age, and
• unemployment.
Individual employees and their families bear the direct consequences of these losses. In the absence of measures to mitigate the effect of these losses, individual employees’ concerns about these exposures and their efforts to manage them can affect their productivity and contribution to the organisation’s mission. Further, loss of human assets can have direct economic effects on an organisation. Hence risk managers have valid reasons for being interested in human resource exposure.

8.4.5.5 Exposure to Legal Liabilitytort law

In general use the word ‘tort’ means a wrong, legally speaking; however, a tort is a civil wrong other than a breach of contract for which the court will provide a remedy in the form of money damages. There are three basic types of tort: intentional torts, involving conduct that may be by intention or design but not necessarily with the intention that the resulting consequences should occur; (2) unintentional tort, involving the failure to act or not act as a reasonable prudent person would have acted under similar circumstances; and (3) tort in which ‘strict’ or absolute liability applies. In summary these include:
• liability arising from ownership, use and possession of land
• liability arising from maintaining a public or private nuisance
• liability arising from the sale, manufacture, and distribution of products or services
• liability arising from fiduciary relationships
• professional liability
• agency and vicarious liability
• contract liability
• work related injury, and
• motor vehicle liability.

8.5 BUSINESS STRATEGY

Corporate strategy is concerned with the company as a whole and for large diversified firms it is concerned with balancing a portfolio of businesses, different diversification strategies, the overall structure of the company and the number of markets or market segments within which the company competes (Langford and Male 2001).
Business strategy, however, is concerned with competitiveness in particular markets, industries or products. Large firms will normally set up an SBU with the authority to make its own strategic decisions within corporate guidelines that will cover a particular product, market, client or geographic area. Finally, the operating or functional strategy is at a more detailed level and focuses on productivity within particular operating functions of the company and their contribution to the corporate whole within an SBU (Grundy 1998, 2000).
An organisation’s competitive business strategy is the distinctive approach taken at business level when positioning itself to make the best use of its capabilities and stand out from competitors. From the work of Michael Porter (1970-2002), the authors have developed four key elements that determine the limits of competitive strategy at business level. These are divided into internal and external factors. Internal factors include the organisation’s strengths and weaknesses, and the values of key implementers at the strategic business level. External factors include business opportunities, threats and technology advances, and expectations of the business environment within which the organisation operates.
Porter believes an organisation’s strategy is normally defined by four components:
1. Business scope. The customers/end users served, their needs and how these are being met.
2. Resource utilisation. Resourcing properly the areas in which the or ganisation has well-developed technical skills or knowledge bases — its distinctive capabilities.
3. Business synergy. Attempting to maximise areas of interaction within the business such that the effect of the whole is greater than the sum of the parts.
4. Competitive advantage. Determine these sources.
At the corporate level of the organisation, senior managers will develop a corporate strategy that is concerned with balancing a portfolio of businesses. Corporate strategy is company wide and is concerned with creating competitive advantage within each of the SBUs. Business strategy is concerned with which markets the firm should be in and transferring the relevant information to corporate level. The division-alised structure, as part of the whole portfolio of businesses, will have different strategic time horizons for each division that has to be incorporated by the main board to produce an integrated corporate strategy (Bernes 1996).

8.6 STRATEGIC PLANNING

Strategic planning is essentially concerned with strategic problems associated with defining objectives in the overall interest of the organisation and then developing corresponding courses of action required to realise these objectives. It should be clearly differentiated from tactical planning, which is short term and chiefly concerned with functional planning and not with the setting of strategic goals. Tactical planning is carried out largely by functional management, whereas strategic planning, because of its very nature, must be the prerogative of top management. For effective strategic planning it is essential to get top management support and the active participation of both corporate and SBU management. The strategic plan must cover all aspects of the organisation’s activities in an integrated manner.
The plan should be comprehensive enough to cover all the major aspects concerning corporate success. It should have a regular control and monitoring policy (Taylor and Hawkins 1972).

8.6.1 Strategic Plan

The present authors believe that for effective decision making the strategic plan should include the broad objectives for the corporation as a whole, and also for the individual SBUs and projects. These objectives should look at both quantitative and qualitative angles. Targets for each major activity will also be required. For example, for the marketing sector the objective should clearly indicate for each product or service target sales/volumes and the corresponding sales/price to be achieved over the plan period; and a study of the environmental factors such as marketing trends, political developments, technology and general economic factors which are likely to affect the business. The plan should include forecasts of these variables over the planned period. All environmental assumptions should be clearly justified. These forecasts and assumptions will form the essential basic ingredient of all those planning operations of the organisation and should embrace all those elements where top management believe detailed knowledge is essential. The more obvious elements would be:
• the rate of economic growth with the most likely social and political developments
• total industry demand for the products and services specific to the organisation
• breakdown of the total industry into sectorial demand
• availability and cost of alternative sources of raw material
• effects on the business of competition
• selling prices and quality of the goods manufactured
• capital investment requirements
• availability of funds, both internal and external
• identification of risks in each area from past experience, often in the form of a risk register.
The above merely indicate the types of environmental factors which need to be taken into account in building a strategic plan. These should be followed by:
• An audit of the organisation’s existing resources to indicate its relative strengths and weaknesses.
• A systematic analysis of constraints within which the organisation has to operate. There must be a clear definition of objectives and constraints.
• Set strategies and action programmes to enable the organisation to meet its overall financial goals.

8.6.2 Strategy and Risk Management

Most organisations are concerned with the risk and variability of their returns. When it is strategically important, organisations will want to incorporate explicit risk management objectives into their financial perspective. Metro Bank, for example, chose a financial objective to increase the share of income arising from fee-based services not only for its fee-based potential but also to reduce its reliance on income from core deposit and transaction-based products. Such income varied widely with variations in interest rates. As the share of fee-based income increased, the bank believed that the year-to-year variability of its income stream would decrease. Therefore the objective to broaden revenue sources serves as both a growth and risk management objective (Kaplan and Norton 1996).

8.7 RECOGNISING RISKS

Bower and Merna (2002) describe how a business which is part of an American corporation, operating in the UK, optimises the contract strategies for a number of its projects. The risks identified by the authors led them to suggest that alliance contracts should be developed by the business and used on future projects as a means of transferring the risks identified. In this case the projects carried out by the business were similar and risks associated with each project were those relating to time, cost, quality and safety.

8.7.1 Specific Risks at Business Level

Many SBUs need to borrow money to finance projects. Lenders often require parent company guarantees from the corporation in case of default by the SBU. SBUs will, in some cases, use the corporation’s profit and loss accounts as a means of illustrating their financial stability to clients rather than their own accounts, which are often not as financially sound.

8.7.2 Typical SBU Organisation

Figure 8.2 illustrates the relationship between the SBUs and the corporate and project levels. SBUs are seen to be subordinate to the corporate entity but senior to projects in diverse business sectors whilst remaining under the corporate umbrella.
An example of an organisation with two business levels is shown in Figure 8.3. Two examples of British corporations operating through four SBUs are BT in the telecoms sector and Rolls Royce in the engineering sector.
The sub-business units, often referred to as divisions, are responsible for the business risk assessment in conjunction with the SBU. In other cases sub-businesses are often managed on a regional basis as described by Langford and Male (2001).
Figure 8.2 Typical SBU organisation (Adapted from Merna 2003)
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Figure 8.3 SBUs and sub-SBUs
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Joint ventures (JVs) between similar SBUs (either within an organisation or with competitors) may also be formed. Wearne and Wright (1998) summarise the advantages of creating JVs as:
• to share costs and spread the risks of a project, contract or new market
• to share technical, managerial and financial resources
• to respond to a customer’s wish to deal with a single organisation, or to demonstrate to a customer that the enterprises concerned are seriously committed to co-operating with each other in carrying out a project and accepting a proper share of the risks involved
• to gain entry into a new market or a potential customer list of approved bidders
• to share partners’ licences, agencies, commercial or technical know-how
• to utilise international partners, credit advantages or lesson escalation risks
• to form more powerful bases for negotiations with customers, government, bankers, suppliers or others
• to develop interdisciplinary teams with new skills.
However, there are risks inherent with JVs. Wearne and Wright (1998) believe that partners may differ in their understanding or interpretation of the objectives, and this may not be apparent before the JV has entered into commitments to others. Other risks JVs face include:
• Divergence of interests between parties is greater if the JV is formed to share risks.
• Partners can vary in experience of JV projects and risks. Inexperienced partners may greatly underestimate risks.
• JV work is only part of the interests of each partner.
• Joint activities and risks may need management styles and systems different from those used by partners in their normal business.
JVs may be brought about by political necessity. For example, many Third World countries insist that foreign organisations have a domestic partner if they are to receive the necessary approval for the proposed activity. A domestic partner could help mitigate risks such as language and cultural barriers.

8.8 PORTFOLIO THEORY

According to the Oxford English Dictionary (1989), a portfolio is a:
Collection of securities held by an investing institution or individual.
Collins English Dictionary (1995) suggests that an investor’s portfolio is the total investments held by that individual or organisation. For the purposes of this book both these definitions are too narrow: the first limits a portfolio to securities and the second to the complete set of investments. The authors propose that a portfolio is any subset of the investments held by an individual or organisation to avoid both limitations.
Investors spread risk by making numerous investments instead of ‘putting all their eggs in one basket’ with a single investment. This is the underlying principle of portfolio theory (Rahman 1997). By splitting the total investment into smaller packages which are subject to different risks, the level of exposure to any single risk event is reduced. The Economist (1998), with reference to the banking sector, explains the thinking behind portfolio theory thus:
If different assets are unlikely to take a beating simultaneously, or if price falls in some tend to be off-set by rises in others, the bank’s overall risk may be low even if the potential loss on each individual class of asset is high.
The authors suggest that an SBU will be subjected to the same risk as the bank described above. Some projects will make profits, some break even and some lose. Providing the profit is greater than the loss, the SBU will be seen to be profitable.

8.8.1 Modern Portfolio Theory

Long before modern portfolio theory was developed Erasmus (1467- 1536) stated:
Trust not all your goods to one ship.
In the analysis of financial markets, to a greater extent than in other areas of investment management, considerable study has been undertaken to quantify the reduction in risk resulting from diversification of portfolios and determine the optimal allocation of an investor’s funds among available assets. The label applied to the mathematical models and their underlying assumptions and theories is modern portfolio theory (MPT). The essential differences between MPT and ‘portfolio theory’ are the former’s emphasis on the quantification of the variables involved and its almost exclusive application to investments in financial markets.
In the 1950s, the American economist Harry Markowitz proposed that ‘for any given level of risk, the rational investor would select the maximum expected return, and that for any given level of expected return, the rational investor would select the minimum risk’. This appears obvious but has certain implications, according to Dobins et al. (1994):
• the measurement of risk (which had previously been neglected) is central to investment decision making
• there exists a trade-off between risk and return.
Portfolio analysis comprises a set of techniques which are often used by strategic planners to integrate and manage strategically a number of subsidiaries, often operating in different industries, that comprise the corporate whole (Langford and Male 2001).
The larger the business, the more likely it is there will be a number of SBUs in existence which need to be integrated and managed strategically. The present authors believe that the main method of doing this is portfolio analysis. Its use is primarily discussed in terms of large, diversified organisations that have to consider many different businesses or SBUs, with different products or services on the market or under development. In order to provide a structure and subsequent guidance for decision making under these conditions, a number of different techniques have been developed, using the same form as matrix analysis.
According to McNamee (1985), portfolio management necessitates the three fundamental characteristics of a product’s or SBU’s strategic position:
1. its market growth rate
2. its relative market share in comparison with the market leader
3. the revenues generated from the product’s sales of the SBU’s activities.
In the construction industry, for example, portfolio management techniques can be applied at corporate level, for service products, end products and for the management of multi-project strategies. Scenario testing permits strategists to create alternative futures through economic forecasting, visioning or identifying branching points where discontinuities may occur. Cross-impact analysis can also assist scenario testing by looking at the strength of impacting events that may either be unrelated to a situation or enhance the occurrence of an event. To be worthwhile, however, scenario testing must be credible, useful and understandable by managers.
An example of portfolio analysis was carried out by Witt (1999). He analysed five investment scenarios and identified their major global risks. In the study the investment scenarios were:
• a toll road bridge under a concessional contract (construction)
• a supermarket (retail)
• a football team (leisure)
• commercial property (real estate)
• copper (commodity).
The information gathered was then processed within a framework of appraisal and a portfolio design mechanism (PDM). Table 8.2 shows the investment risks and the overall risk based on Witt’s (1999) study.

8.8.2 Matrix Systems

To achieve leadership of each project and of each specialisation used by the projects, organisations and public authorities have evolved what are called matrix systems of management with separate roles for functional and project managers (Smith 1995).
Figure 8.4 shows an example where the resources of three departments are shared amongst three projects.
Matrix systems provide opportunities to employ leaders with different skills and knowledge in these two types of managerial role, but the project and specialist managers should theoretically influence decisions.
Table 8.2 Investments risks and descriptions (Adapted from Witt 1999)
Risk categoryRisk descriptionOverall perceived risk
Road bridge
EnvironmentalPressure groups
PoliticalLegislation affecting vehicle use
LegalResolution of disputes
CommercialChanges in demand for facilityMedium
CommercialInflation
CommercialCompetition from other facilities
CommercialInterest rates
Retail
LegalChanges in regulation
LegalStandards and specialisation changes
CommercialCost escalationsMedium
CommercialCompetition
CommercialQuality of services
Football team
LegalThird-party liability
CommercialCompetition/performance
CommercialSponsorship/TV rights
OtherSupportHigh
OtherInjuries
OtherManagement
Commercial property
LegalChanges in legislation with regard to property
LegalChanges in standards and specifications
CommercialCompetition in office space provision
CommercialDemand for office spaceMedium
CommercialRecession
CommercialInterest rates
CommercialInflation
OtherLocation
Copper
EnvironmentalEnvironmental impacts of mining and processing
PoliticalPolitical stability of producer countries
PoliticalProduction agreements between producer countries
CommercialDemand
Commercial(Global) RecessionHigh
Commercial(Global) Interest rates
CommercialExchange rates
CommercialSupply
Figure 8.4 Matrix management of department resources (Adapted from Smith 1999)
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Matrix systems can work to overall given, defined objectives and priorities for projects and with agreed amounts and quality of resources. They do not necessarily avoid conflict over these. Examples indicate that their success depends on:
• management’s control of resources
• the personal skills and knowledge of the project manager
• joint planning and decisions on priorities.

8.9 PROGRAMME MANAGEMENT

The Central Computer and Telecommunication Agency (CCTA) (1994) defines programme management as:
Selection and planning of a portfolio of projects to achieve a set of business objectives; and the efficient execution of these projects within a controlled environment such that they realise maximum benefit for the resulting business operation.
Reiss (2000) believes programme management is about implementing strategic change and realising benefit. He states that a precise definition would be:
The effective implementation of change through multiple projects to realise distinct and measurable benefits for an organisation.
Figure 8.5 Key components of programme management (Adapted from Sandvold 1998)
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Lockitt (2000) gives a more lengthy and thorough definition of programme management. He believes:
Programme management is that set of management activities and processes which facilitate the translation, conversion, prioritisation, balancing and integration of new strategic initiatives within the context of the current organisation and planned time and cost constraints, thereby minimising risk and maximising benefit to the organisation.
For the purposes of this book, however, the authors believe that the CCTA definition is most appropriate. Nonetheless, the execution of the definition will be carried out through the use of management ‘templates’ (guidelines) to facilitate the use of the technique.
Programme management has a set of techniques and approaches to be used for managing complex change programmes in a business setting. The key components of effective programme management are those fundamental building blocks required to implement the discipline (Sandvold 1998).
Figure 8.5 illustrates the key components of programme management.
These key components, according to Sandvold (1998), are as follows:
Organisational arrangements — defining and maintaining the programme management environment.
Requirements management — keeping track of the requirements and changes to the requirements.
Financial management — the policies, procedures, practices, techniques and tools necessary to establish and maintain effective financial planning and reporting.
Resource management — the direction and co-ordination of all resources throughout the programme’s life cycle.
Risk management — systematic identification of, analysis of and proactive response to risks, issues and problems, both real and anticipated, throughout the programme’s life cycle.
Contract management — the organisational, procedural and functional tasks, policies and practices for the day-to-day handling of comercial, legal, administrative and monetary considerations of the contracts between the programme and its suppliers.
Procurement management — acquisition of purchased services and labour, goods, physical plant and equipment, operational equipment, raw material, component finished parts and equipment, and software for the programme.
Timeline management — the guidelines, techniques, knowledge and tools required to develop and maintain appropriate allocations of time and effort throughout all phases of the programme’s life cycle. Time planning, estimating standards and guidelines, supplier and third-party inputs, scheduling guidelines and control techniques ensure the rapid, high-quality delivery of programme goals and objectives that meet corporate requirements.
Quality management — the composite of technical and managerial standards, procedures, processes and practices necessary to empower and provision each person fully to accomplish and exceed the mission, objectives, needs, requirements and expectations for which the programme was established.
Performance analysis and reporting — disciplines, techniques, tools and systems necessary and adequate to establish and maintain programme performance analysis and reporting throughout the life cycle of the programme.

8.10 BUSINESS RISK STRATEGY

Each business unit must submit a summary of its proposed strategies and business plans to the corporate board. This is called the five-year commitment (FYC). The combined FYCs of all the businesses must achieve the corporate objectives. The FYC is a five-year business plan which is updated each year and moved forward by the year. The SBUs will update or add more issues and commitments and will include a business risk register covering similar points to that of the corporate risk strategy.

8.11 TOOLS AT STRATEGIC BUSINESS UNIT LEVEL

The tools and information used at the SBU level are similar to those at the corporate level. The business unit strategy, derived from the corporate strategy, is still concerned with survival and increasing value but is focused on its particular market area, normally a portfolio of similar projects.
Focusing on the difference, the owner comes from the SBU and the champion is a senior executive with regular contact with the corporate board. It is now more important that the core senior executives and project managers consider input from the customers, partners and suppliers as that interface is much closer. Major decisions must be ratified through regular contact with the corporate board.
The scope is focused on the market but extends beyond the current project portfolio looking for new opportunities. It now includes review and control of individual projects, as well as compliance with corporate strategy decisions.
Much of the same information is used when assessing SBUs; however, managers focus in greater detail on the particular market area. The same identification tools are appropriate, namely PEST and SWOT. In addition, health and safety management and environmental management systems will identify some risks that are generic to all projects in that market area, particularly those associated with production processes and methods, such as chromium plating, removal of toxic waste and working conditions

8.12 STRATEGIC BUSINESS RISK: AN OVERVIEW

Today’s marketplace demands cost effectiveness, competitiveness and flexibility from a business if it is to survive and grow. Such demands necessitate effective business plans, both strategic in support of longer-term goals and tactical in support of ever-changing business needs and priorities and their associated risks.
A critical factor in this is the synergy required between business operations and associated information systems and technology architectures. A further key factor is understanding and dealing with the legislative, environmental, technological and other changes that impact on an organisation’s business.

8.13 SUMMARY

The strategic business level is concerned with how an operating unit within the corporate body can compete in a specific market. SBUs are created at corporate level, and can be subsumed under it. The strategies of SBUs can be regarded as the parts which require and define the organisation as a whole.
The authors believe that SBUs should monitor all projects within their organisation. Risks occurring in one project may not occur in similar projects, but those risks could be of such a consequence that they impact on the financial stability of the SBU. It is paramount that all risks reported from projects, past and present, are made known at SBU level.
A risk management programme should be integrated within any organisation’s overall business or financial strategy. Risk management should not be approached in an ad hoc manner or delegated to employees who are unfamiliar or uninvolved in formulating an organisation’s overall strategy.
This chapter defined a business and an SBU. The chapter looked at strategic models such as the wrappers model, portfolio theory, matrix systems and programme management. Other areas considered were business strategy, the functions of business management teams, strategic planning and business risk.
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