CHAPTER 4
Dominant Values

What you value – and how much – determines your success. But will the path you are followinglead where you expect?

When we think of those who become rich we tend to think of driven people who were single-minded in their pursuit of something, who successfully pursued some value. Individuals who were driven by a need that was stronger than the average person’s, causing them to accumulate a larger-than-average fortune over their lifetimes.

This awareness is scratching at the surface of the reality that what we subconsciously desire — what we value — and how strongly we value it, determines our results or success in life.

For example, it’s no coincidence that when we talk about the rich, we talk about the ‘rich and powerful’, the ‘rich and famous’ or the ‘rich and successful’. We even talk about the ‘rich and miserly’, bringing to mind people who are driven perhaps by fear, or a greater-than-normal need for security. These people all have what I call a Dominant Value. This is a value that tends to assert itself ahead of other values in many situations.

While it is quite normal for us to change what we value the most over time, these people tend to continue to place the same value first in their hierarchy of values. They tend to keep valuing some subconscious need, even when it would seem to others that they have objectively ticked that box.

There is more than one path to riches

What should you choose to value if you want to be financially free?

I think many people are put off the idea of becoming wealthy because of a lack of awareness of there being more than one way to get rich. How often have you heard ‘the rich’ this or ‘the rich’ that? We think of the most visible types of rich people and then think to ourselves: ‘Who wants to be a shameless attention hound, or be tight and fearful, if that’s what it takes to be rich?’

Most people don’t really know what motivates them, what they subconsciously value. And many of the people who share with us the secrets of their success are sharing just that — the secrets of their success, at least as far as they are aware. Even when they do get their own motivations right, that advice is useless to us unless we first adopt their Dominant Value.

So the ‘rich and famous’ advise us that the secret to getting wealthy is to increase your profile. Get yourself out there!

The ‘rich and powerful’ tell us (when they are not lying) that it is all about connections — the secret to success is networking!

The ‘busy business person’, motivated perhaps by status, tells us it’s all about looking the part (buying status objects), or ‘kicking goals’, constantly striving for success. They have made millions, yet they are still running around. What’s with that? Why do they keep working at such a high-stress job when they already have more than most of us could want? We can see now that it’s because they are driven by something other than the money. And so the question becomes: If you want what they have, can you be driven by what they are driven by?

Most people I’ve taught just want to be financially free. They don’t want to keep accumulating runs on the board until the game is over. They just want to be free to enjoy the game along the way.

So, if we can choose to rebuild our pyramid to suit our own hierarchy, what should be our Dominant Value? What happens if we value security first — or status? The three generations of wealth suggest that some values may be less effective at encouraging us to accumulate wealth than others. But why?

There are many different values people can pursue, and in many different areas of their lives. But if you want to have success you need to desire something more than everyone else.

A personal value is nothing more than a subconscious desire about an emotional state you wish to be in. But with the exception of one value, there is nothing inherent in the values themselves that is inextricably linked to the process of creating wealth. (In fact, it’s important to note that not all wealth is created anyway. Wealth can be taken too.)

… if you want to have success you need to desire something more than everyone else.

But in times past and under certain circumstances, valuing certain things did have the added benefit of leading you to perform activities that could increase your wealth. How did pursuing certain values once lead to wealth, why doesn’t it anymore and what can we learn from this?

The different paths of different values

While there is something about creating wealth that is uniquely linked to freedom — and, as we’ll see shortly, to valuing freedom — not too long ago people who pursued other values may have created wealth as a side effect too. But do those other values work as well now as they once did? Does desiring those things today produce the same results as in the past?

To answer these questions, we’ll now look at the evolution of four traditional paths to creating wealth: the path of fame, the path of status, the path of power and the path of security.

The path of fame

Fame is a good Dominant Value to look at first, because as we saw in chapter 3 it’s become a major driving ambition of a whole new generation. There have never been more available avenues for becoming famous than there are today, and it’s also the most visible model we have of rich people.

In fact, it’s one of the few ‘positive’ models we have of the rich. Celebrities are the ‘good rich’, while business people are often portrayed as the ‘evil rich’. Everyone loves celebrities and hardly anyone loves their boss.

But before the days of mass media it used to be that if you were famous, it was for something. You were famous because you were a champion sports star, a famous author or a major industrialist. The only group of people famous for nothing was royalty!

Most people didn’t know very many people outside of their small towns. If you managed to achieve fame you had to do something extraordinary to achieve it. You had to actually develop some skills.

And increasing your skills is one way to increase your productivity — that is, how much value you can create, and therefore how much wealth.

Back then, the desire for fame above all else may have paid off. With cinema came the rise of movie stars, but compared to today they were relatively few in number. It wasn’t until recently that people even knew what their politicians looked like. With careful management of the press, Franklin D Roosevelt, the president of the United States in the 1930s and 1940s, managed to keep from the public an illness that confined him to a wheelchair. That’s unimaginable today with politicians tweeting pictures of themselves hourly.

Reality TV, blogs, YouTube and Twitter now mean that if you desire fame you can have it relatively easily. You can have more fans than celebrities of old — without having to develop any discernible skill at all — all for the cost of a webcam and an internet connection! Now you can achieve the highest level of fame (for a brief period of time at least) without ever achieving any wealth along the way.

… fame today is a desire that is relatively easy to fulfil cheaply.

So fame as a Dominant Value may not drive you to the great heights it once did. Although we are constantly presented with examples of the ‘rich and famous’, fame today is a desire that is relatively easy to fulfil cheaply, so if you are driven by a desire for fame you probably won’t end up rich at all. And if you’ve been on the internet or watched reality TV, you may have noticed that sometimes people who have been consumed by a need for attention end up worse off as a result.

You may not be a millennial or, like Melissa, you may be part of the 50 per cent of millennials who don’t have fame as a major value. There are some things you just know you don’t value.

On the other hand, it’s easy to think you value something only to keep finding that for some reason you never seem to end up getting the thing you think you value. That’s because ‘the things we value’ are actually subconscious desires, and sometimes it can be hard to see them clearly ourselves.

A friend of mine, Andrew, is a great example of this. I met him through the gym after I’d been retired for a few years. We both had a health background so we hit it off immediately. Like me, he seemed to value being financially free, but as the years went by he kept working his job – although he always had a new idea or venture that he’d be pursuing on the side. I used to encourage him to ‘quit and commit’.

He had a bunch of business ideas that he’d throw himself into; he’d set up the meetings, open trust funds and set up company structures with his solicitor, and have lunches with all the ‘important’ people. He’d get very busy, but for some reason the businesses would never take off and free him from his job.

In hindsight I’ve realised there are certain traps, or pitfalls, that come from not being free. The longer you’ve progressed along the ‘work a job for life’, ‘climb the comfort ladder’ path, the harder it is to shake off the effects those traps can have on your thinking. Earlier, I alluded to the fact that the way you earn money could influence what you value. I’ll talk about that more in part II.

The effects of a regular job aside, my buddy worked for a major drug company as a rep, and they’ve got all sorts of tricks up their sleeves — such as company cars and laptops — to keep their reps addicted to the job. Who would have thought a drug company would be good at keeping people addicted?

To talk to him you wouldn’t think anyone could want to be free more. He was right into working on his psychology: he even got a big tattoo on his arm of an eagle holding a banner with the word ‘Freedom’ on it. To be honest, I think it was partly so he could have an excuse to show girls his ‘guns’. But still … that’s got to count as commitment to being free, right?

One day we were catching up and I asked him, ‘Would you want to be rich if you could only achieve that by starting a “vanilla” business? Something totally boring. That no-one else would even know about. You might do all your work from home or online, and your neighbours might assume you’re a bum. Like, say, you’re the paper king of Brisbane? You supply paper to all the paper stores. That’s it. Would you be prepared to give up your corporate job and your company car, the inevitable promotions into management and the status of wearing a suit to work to do that sort of “no collar” business if it got you free?’

It wasn’t an easy question for Andrew to answer.

Although fame may not function that well at making you rich if it’s your Dominant Value, it can be something you achieve if you have it as a lesser value. The problem with fame as a Dominant Value is that people who primarily desire fame seem to have such a limited view of what it means to be famous. They look around them at those who already are famous and get their inspiration from there.

We’ve all been raised on television to believe that one day we’d all be millionaires, and movie gods, and rock stars, but we won’t.

Tyler Durden in Fight Club by Chuck Palahniuk

But those who go on to achieve great fame often do it by standing out in completely new ways, by treading paths that no-one has done before. Benjamin Franklin comes to mind as a good example. He’s a guy who nearly everyone knows of even today, someone who achieved great and lasting fame. But it would be hard to argue that fame was his Dominant Value.

The path of status

Status is becoming more and more ethereal.

Once, you could display your status by having radically different things than most people could afford. The rich had cars, the poor didn’t. As standards of living increased, it wasn’t enough to have different types of things, you had to have different brands of things to differentiate yourself. Now, the whole concept of luxury goods is being challenged as more and more people can afford branded goods.

Once, if you wanted to have status, and if you valued it strongly enough, you may have worked harder than others so you could afford to buy more stuff. And while wasting your money on status objects may not be the fastest way to accumulate wealth, at least you had to be able to afford them first. And at least you still had the big home and the big car as a store of value, after displaying your status.

As status competition became more democratised, we shifted from buying big status objects to displaying high-status lifestyles too: eating at expensive restaurants, drinking boutique coffee and so on, leaving us with little to show for it. But now that we have easy personal credit, the cost of displaying status is not just that you waste all your money — it can mean that you end up in debt as well.

But that’s not the end of the evolution of status competition. As you go from the third world to the first, the dividing line shifts from the more tangible to the less. Being higher status is not about whether you went to school or not in the first world, but which one. The struggle to display status shifted from different things, to different types of things, to different brands of things and finally away from the tangible altogether to displaying different behaviours and habits (food is no longer a luxury as everyone can afford to be obese. In primitive tribes you signalled wealth by being fat; now you signal wealth by showing that you can afford the costly habit — in terms of effort and time — of preparing good food and exercising).

But it’s gone even further than displaying different habits — and has become even more intangible — to displaying different beliefs.

To understand what I mean you need to know that the path of status is all about signalling. A great example of signalling can be seen in the animal kingdom. In certain four-legged prey animals — several deer in North America, and more famously perhaps Thomson’s gazelles and springboks in Africa — a curious behaviour called stotting has been observed. When a predator approaches a herd of prey, some of the prey animals break into a series of highly energetic leaps in the air. They just leap around on the spot, which seems crazy at first. Instead of running away or conserving their energy by disappearing into the crowd, these animals draw attention to themselves and waste precious energy doing this funny little dance. What’s going on?

… the path of status is all about signalling.

Evolutionary biologists have concluded that what the gazelles are doing is sending a message or signalling to the lions that are stalking them. Lions stalking herds want to pick out the oldest, the slowest or weakest prey to attack to guarantee the chances of a kill. What the prey are doing in effect is shouting out, ‘Hey look at me, I’m so fit and full of energy that I can waste energy jumping around like a maniac and you still couldn’t possibly catch me — so don’t even try.’

But here’s the catch — the signal they send has to be believed, which is why the gazelle developed a signal that involves so much energy. If stotting was easy and every gazelle started doing it, the lion would quickly catch on that some of them were faking; they might be acting full of energy, but some of them were actually old or slow. And the effort to jump around would only tire out these old gazelle, leaving them no energy to run when the lion attacked. Stotting effectively signals health because it comes with a real cost of energy, and only the fittest can afford to do it.

And so it often has been in the human world. You display wealth by signalling to others that you have more to spend. You can afford to ‘waste’ money on an expensive car, rather than a perfectly serviceable regular one, because even with all the money you wasted you can still put food on the table. Successful signalling involves cost. A signal is more believed the more it is seen to cost us. But in today’s world with easily available credit, that signal is not as clear: has that person got money to burn, or have they just maxed out their credit card?

Status as a Dominant Value may not motivate you to accumulate much wealth anymore, and may in fact cause you to go into debt.

So if in our jostling for status we are starting to move away from having different stuff to having different beliefs, then what is the cost? In the past, status was found in owning things that the average person couldn’t. In our cognitively stratifying society the greatest status concern for many people is to be seen to be more intelligent than others. (In chapter 5 I’ll share one way that valuing ‘seeming smart’ directly costs you as an investor.)

One way to signal that you are smarter is with a better education, which nowadays comes with much greater cost than in the past, for less tangible gain. The risk–reward ratio for higher education is becoming less favourable. In the past, seeking out a degree often meant earning more money as a side effect of your pursuit of higher status. Today, with ballooning debt and a tight job market, that’s often not the case.

On top of that, as more and more people now go to university, signalling you are smarter than others by having a degree is giving less cache and less status.

Another way to instead signal that you are ‘more intelligent’ and high status is to believe things that are counter intuitive. The average person believes what their lying eyes tell them, while the ‘enlightened’ person ‘understands’ the more complex reason why that which seems to be true, really isn’t.

In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.

George Orwell

So the race to gain status has moved on to signalling that you are more moral than others, that you have superior beliefs. As the status war heats up we seem to be rushing to adopt more and more extreme moral plumage to stay ahead of the pack.

‘Moral exhibitionism’ is the vice that cloaks itself as virtue. Signalling that you were smarter in the past may have at least involved getting a degree that may have had some value — but signalling that you are more moral than others doesn’t require you to do or achieve anything anymore. So valuing status today is unlikely to lead you to accumulate anything either — other than Facebook likes.

You can be wrong more than you are right and you can still make money

As George Soros said: ‘It’s not whether you are right or wrong that matters, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you don’t lose when you’re wrong’.

This was an important lesson I learned early on in my investing career. Ask most people, ‘What makes someone a successful investor?’ and the answer ‘making successful investments’ comes pretty high up on their list.

Almost no-one says successful investors manage risk well, cut their losses early, manage their downside and maximise their upside. We simply aren’t accustomed to thinking about the inputs as well as the outputs in our lives. I’ll cover this further in chapter 9, where I explain why it is that we’ve all been trained to think exclusively about the outputs in our lives.

Nevertheless, the saying is true. You can make money simply by losing less money when you are wrong, and making more money when you are right — even if you are wrong more often than you are right.

Say you let your profits run and make $100 each successful trade you do, and you are strict about cutting your losses to $30 for each losing trade. You could be wrong three times as often as you are right and still come out ahead. In business, you could lose money on three items you sell as long as you make up more money in total on the fourth item. As an entrepreneur, you could start three businesses that fail to make it big if your fourth one takes off. But in teaching other people I’ve always found the difficult part of this truth is not in understanding it, but in applying it. Can you be wrong more than you are right and still make money? Phrased differently, can you stand to be wrong more than you are right?

Even if it could make you rich?

Most people can’t. In economics and psychology there is a term called ‘loss aversion’, first demonstrated by Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, that explains this tendency. Studies done on loss aversion suggest that we feel the stress of losses twice as strongly as we feel the pleasure of gains. Losing $100 costs you twice as much happiness as winning $100 would give you.

Studies have suggested, however, that the effect of loss aversion is not as universal as first thought. So what motivation for being rich would allow you to persist with constantly being wrong?

If status was your Dominant Value — if you cared about being seen as a share-trading or property-investing guru, for example — you might find that your motivation for proceeding in the face of a losing trade or investment might wither.

If you valued being seen to be smart by others, then saying ‘I was wrong four times this month but I cut my losses early and ended up ahead’ may not sound as flattering to you as being able to say ‘I picked it right again!’

Could valuing your freedom, instead of valuing being right, allow you to overcome your loss aversion?

The path of power

We live in a democratic age with equality as our guiding mantra. Doesn’t democracy mean that the power is in the hands of the voters? Since everyone has the vote, aren’t we all equally powerful? We elect ‘leaders’ but we can vote them out too, so surely there is no point in being driven by power anymore?

Nobody admits to being motivated primarily by power, yet nearly everyone can point to someone who is driven by this Dominant Value. Why is that?

There are two answers to that question. One is that power still exists today; it’s just gotten cleverer at hiding itself.

So while we are supposed to live in a meritocracy, I’m not going to pretend that the only way to get ahead is to work hard, save and so on. Nor am I going to pretend that being connected doesn’t pay off. But what I want to look at is how well does it pay, and does it pay as well as it used to — or are there better ways for you to become wealthy than by pursuing power?

I remember reading about a recent immigrant to the United States who was amazed that the president wasn’t automatically the richest man in the country. His surprise points out an important truth: for most people around the world and for most of our history powerful people were the wealthiest in society and the accumulation of power was a paramount concern for most people.

So while power may not be as profitable a path as it once was, our instinct or desire for it is still there. The popularity of books such as A Game of Thrones and shows such as House of Cards or Downton Abbey demonstrates that we are still fascinated with power and those who wield it. And the world does seem to be getting less egalitarian, despite protestations to the contrary, while those who wield real power seem to be getting more flagrant in abusing it.

But even if things are not as free as they once seemed, we need to put today in historical, even evolutionary, perspective. And so, the second reason that people still value power is an evolutionary one.

For the vast majority of our history we didn’t live in advanced civilisations. In fact, for the better part of 200 000 years we lived in small tribes and bands of people. For every 30 to 150 people there was a chief. Pull enough strings, push people in the right direction and the politically minded could arrange for their son to marry the chief’s daughter, for example, and rise to the top of the status hierarchy in their world. Now, we live in countries with millions of people and the chance of manipulating your way to the top has become exponentially harder. It’s like the path of fame in sports or movies where the top few spots now have millions of people competing for them.

… while power may not be as profitable a path as it once was, our instinct or desire for it is still there.

In fact, that’s an interesting topic in itself. There’s a concept proposed in the 1990s by anthropologist Robin Dunbar called Dunbar’s Number that suggests that there is a cognitive limit to the number of people with which the average person can maintain stable social relationships. This concept has been used to help to design work environments that better suit our psychology: creating working teams sized to fit what we were designed to handle, counteracting to some extent the alienating effects of working in large, impersonal corporations.

Dunbar’s Number is actually a series of numbers that vary depending on the closeness of the relationship between individuals — family, friends, neighbours, colleagues and so on — with an upper limit of people we can relate to of about 150, which incidentally is about the average number we observe in modern hunter-gatherer societies. What this tells me is that our brains are wired to do risk–reward calculations, and seeking out fame as the best hunter in your tribe, or power by aligning your family with the chief’s family, was a reasonable goal in the environments we evolved in.

But the number of ‘top spots’ hasn’t grown in proportion to the population today; we don’t have a prime minister or president for every 150 people. And despite unlimited avenues for fame, there are only a handful of top celebrities and top sport stars for millions of people. And that’s because the average person can only pay attention to so many celebrities at once!

But we didn’t evolve a desire for power, or status, just for ambitious reasons. In the past, we depended on each other in a very real way for our survival against the seasons and the predators we shared the Earth with. If you didn’t have some political skills, if you annoyed people enough to get kicked out of the tribe, you died. Today, socially awkward people can make a product that millions, even billions, of people value. If the movie The Social Network is any representation of how socially awkward he is, a Palaeolithic Mark Zuckerberg could have found himself out on his own fighting sabre-tooth tigers instead of becoming a billionaire!

… wealth is a product of the networking of human minds.

So in the past when we lived in small tribes, politicking may have delivered a much better return on investment, but the opposite was true too: innovating didn’t pay off as well as it does today. In chapter 10 where we discuss cycles, and the nature of wealth, I’ll introduce you to the ‘Freedom First Wealth Creation Formula’.

The formula tells us that wealth is a product of the networking of human minds, but in prehistory there were only so many minds to network. We lived in a world where the network of minds that we have today — with hundreds of millions of people solving billions of problems for each other, and building on the trillions of previous advancements that have come before — didn’t exist. So much of what we take for granted today are innovations that are built upon previous innovations; even a Leonardo da Vinci born in the Stone Age would have only been able to innovate so much. Before writing was invented, discoveries were often forgotten. When there were only 30 to 100 possible customers available to value your innovation, you could only grow so rich by creating something new.

And that’s if you were allowed to keep what you created.

Rich doesn’t always mean financially free

If, for example, the path to wealth you took was the path of power, your continued wealth may depend on your ability to support those who gave you power. In the old medieval monarchies one of the things the monarchs did to keep themselves safe from challengers to their power was to routinely visit those they had given power to.

A visit by the Queen and her entourage would be a costly affair that could last for weeks and cost lords or barons enormous sums of money as they struggled to host the royal court. Their wealth came not from any value they had created themselves, but rather was contingent on the blessing of the monarch. A title and all the income that was attached to it, was dependent on the goodwill of the ruler. To maintain their position, nobles were expected to receive the monarch, a duty that, while assuring their place at court, also served to drain them of money that they could use to raise support against the ruler, while the ruler also transferred the costs of maintaining their own household to their nobles. Quite devious. Thank goodness there are so many paths to wealth today that don’t rely on you gaining the favour of someone in power.

In chapter 7 we’ll see that while there is still temptation to choose politicking over producing in the workplace, getting ahead by politicking will make you less free.

Politicking is part of our nature. In this increasingly politicised world it can feel like you’d be a fool to ignore the need to be connected, to know the right people to get ahead. While power may like to hide itself, or at least it used to, it certainly feels like you can’t hide from it. When it comes to building wealth, which path should you take? Should you value being freer over being more powerful, or should you value gaining power even if it costs you a little freedom?

The path of security

It’s funny how we talk about the ‘rich and famous’ and the ‘rich and powerful’, but you don’t often, or ever, hear people talk about the ‘rich and secure’.

It’s as if on some level we acknowledge that the desire for fame or for power is the desire to be ‘greater’ than, or to have more than, the average person. And the definition of being rich, of course, is having more than what is average.

While those other values may appeal to the very driven type of individual, security is something that most people find easy to value, and even value quite highly at different stages of life, for evolutionary reasons. And it’s probably because of this that we are most often sold things by those in power, in the name of security.

But how effective is it at making us rich? Should you make security your Dominant Value? Do people who value security highly end up rich, and even if they do, do they end up financially free?

If money is your hope for independence you will never have it. The only real security that a man will have in this world is a reserve of knowledge, experience, and ability.

Henry Ford

I’ve noticed that with a lot of baby boomers who are retired, much of their conversation revolves around money: Where’s the stock market going? Will housing continue to rise? Where’s the best place to get a five-dollar steak, and do they do early dinner?

But seriously, some people have worked very hard their whole lives, and have done the right thing and funded their own retirement, only to realise at the end of it all that pursuing financial security doesn’t necessarily get you financial freedom.

They may have finally had enough money saved up that they could stop working, but they are now realising that they wanted to stop working and be free to do stuff. And not be dependent on the market, on the pension, or constantly worried about money.

It turns out that, after a lifetime of prioritising security instead of freedom, security (to the extent that you even have it) doesn’t feel that freeing. Who’d have thought?

Valuing security, however, is at the heart of ‘responsible’ financial advice.

In fact, the financial planning industry has its roots steeped in the value of security: the original financial planners started out as door-to-door insurance salesmen. ‘Get security sorted first: get a good education, then a good, secure career, then make sure you’ve got a roof over your head, your health insured and your retirement funded, and then think about starting a business … but only in your spare time — you wouldn’t want to lose all that security!’

Not only is security at the heart of financial planning, but much of society revolves around the promise of security. I say promise, because what we often end up with is dependence and insecurity.

Education used to be a guarantee of a good job; now it’s a requirement for any job, and a guarantee for none. Jobs used to last a lifetime; now industries don’t last a lifetime. Work used to be full-time. Now, with more people employed part-time and even on ‘zero-hour workweeks’ (where your employer requires you to be available all week, but doesn’t have to provide any minimum hours at all), a full working week isn’t even guaranteed.

This insecurity has even been sold to us as ‘cool’ and is often referred to as the ‘gig economy’. Taking boarders into your house, or acting as a taxi driver in your spare time might sound like something people did to make ends meet in the Great Depression, but in our Digital Great Depression the ubiquity of apps that allow you to do just that is seen as a positive sign as the economy becomes ‘Uberised’.

The gig is up

According to the JPMorgan Chase Institute, in 2018 more than 3 million people in the United States made money from ridesharing apps alone. However, according to The Wall Street Journal, the average monthly amount that people are earning from ridesharing apps has fallen by half since 2013 as the number of people competing to make ends meet by performing these services has skyrocketed.

Pensions used to be ‘defined benefit’, where the benefit was guaranteed. Now, while we are still promised the ‘security’ of a pension, all the risk has been passed onto us, with pensions becoming ‘market based’ or ‘defined contribution’ only — which is a fancy way of saying the results aren’t guaranteed, or secure, and that we carry the risk.

We are gradually being weaned off a secure life path, but despite this, we are still expected to buy into the illusion of security. We talk about retirement ‘savings’ even though most people are in reality retirement ‘investors’. We take on greater risk, but are encouraged not to take on greater responsibility — let your fund manager or other ‘experts’ take care of that.

Which is why I say don’t ‘save’ for retirement. On the one hand, you can’t literally save by putting money in a bank with no risk and forgetting about it: inflation will eat away the value of your savings over the long term.

…don’t ‘save’ for retirement.

But in another important sense, you shouldn’t ‘save’ for retirement because after a lifetime of working hard and putting all your focus on maximising your savings from your job, even if you do manage to accumulate a good amount of money, a retirement that depends on accumulated savings over a lifetime isn’t secure. If something happens, even if it’s just that you’ve wound up with less than you want to live on, it’s a strategy that you can’t simply repeat: it’s not like you can go back to work and save for another 40 years all over again. On the other hand, a retirement that comes from creating wealth can be repeated — that is, wealth can be created again.

If you are someone who values security strongly, chances are you are not comfortable having a large portion of your money in the stock market. In fact, you probably want the security of guaranteed income in retirement and having your money in a vehicle that yields variable income each year wouldn’t feel very secure to you at all.

Which is a shame, because as you approach retirement, you’ll be confronted with the fact that if you want your capital to last, you are going to have to be invested in something that can at least keep up with inflation, which will be eating away at the value of your savings.

So that’s strike one for security as a good Dominant Value, if you want to be rich. It may be a good value to motivate you to do the steps involved in ‘traditional financial planning’ — start saving early, live below your means and so on — but it’s not a great value to hold if the end of that path involves committing all your life’s savings to the stock market.

But, wouldn’t it be great if there was a way to ‘guarantee’ with 100 per cent security that if you put your life savings in stock market-based investments and withdrew only a certain amount of money each year from your retirement savings (regardless of the actual interest or dividends your savings may be earning), your savings would still last as long as you want and not run out? Isn’t that exactly what those who have security as a Dominant Value really want?

The real cost of security

Well, the good news is you can — sort of — by looking at long-term stock-market returns. A study on retiring early (based on data from the book Irrational Exuberance by Robert J Shiller) looked all the way back to 1871, and worked out what would have happened to your savings if you had retired at different points in time since then.

Looking back, you could compare how your savings would have performed from a worst-possible scenario — like retiring the day before the Great Depression — to a best-possible scenario — like retiring just before the market boomed. From there, you could work out how much money you could safely withdraw from your retirement fund each year, under even the worst possible conditions historically, and still have some money left.

That figure is 3.81 per cent of your initial retirement savings.

In other words, if you retired with $1 million, you could pay yourself $38 100 each year. That’s an awful lot of savings for an awfully small income. That’s the cost of being 100 per cent secure.

Clearly the cost of security is much higher than most people expect, or many people have planned for.

Wanting to be secure is not greedy; it’s not even that ambitious. It seems crazy to me that people motivated by a simple desire to be secure, should feel they need to be rich first to do that.

Matthew Klan

As these figures sink in, let’s fast forward the grieving process and skip from the denial stage straight to the bargaining stage — which is what many people do when they first realise they’ll never save enough to live the lifestyle they want.

If you are prepared to accept a 2 per cent chance that your money might run out, then your 3.81 per cent initial drawdown can be increased to 4.01 per cent. With only 95 per cent security it increases to 4.33 per cent, and if you are prepared to accept a 10 per cent chance your money might run out, then your initial drawdown can go as high as 4.78 per cent, meaning with $1 million of retirement savings you could live on $47 800 per year.

Of course a 10 per cent chance of their retirement savings running out is probably terrifying to someone who values security. If you do ‘run out of money’ (or never manage to save up the tremendous amount that being 100 per cent secure requires), in most developed countries there is always the pension to fall back on (if you are old enough). However, for someone who values security, ending up dependent on a pension may not feel that secure either. With good reason too — with ageing populations and increasing debt it’s uncertain how much longer the pension systems many have come to depend on will last. (I’ll discuss the effects of the pension in more detail in chapter 7.) Watching your retirement savings decline while you hope the pension system will still be there at the end is hardly comforting, and not what most people who followed the ‘safe and secure’ path envisioned for their later years.

The cost of retiring young

Already, younger generations expect that when they retire, the pension as we know it will not be available to them.

Of course, if you want to be financially free and retire securely at a younger age, and therefore want your money to last longer than 30 years, valuing security the most may not be the way to do that either. The 100 per cent secure withdrawal rate gets lower (meaning you need a lot more savings to live off) the longer you want your money to last.

Needing to be 100 per cent secure means, in many cases, drawing out a very small amount of money from your savings to prevent a worse-case scenario that may never happen, and living below your means for many extra years before retiring, only to perhaps end up leaving behind more savings than when you started! (Sometimes vastly more: the safe withdrawal rate protects you against the worst possible outcome — but depending on what the market did after you retired, your $1 million retirement savings could have grown to $3.97 million in 50 per cent of cases, and in the best case scenario it could have grown to $11.13 million by the end of the 30 years.)

If only you could look ahead and see that the market is going to surge after you retire, instead of crash — you could retire with security years sooner!

Well, there is one way to do that (retire earlier and with less money), and that is to take the time to acquire some skills: anything you can learn — a hobby, some investing skills — that can earn you even as little as $5000 a year in retirement is worth $130 000 dollars in extra retirement savings ($130 000 of extra savings would give you, at a safe withdrawal rate, $5000 a year income). How many years of work would it take to save an extra $130 000, or $260 000, or $390 000?

So the flipside of these depressingly low secure retirement withdrawal rates is actually quite exciting: any small amount of money you can earn, or even better ‘create’, after you retire is worth more than 20 times as much in retirement savings. This is not ‘continue to work in your retirement’. In fact, it’s the opposite: it’s stop work, and retire sooner.

… any small amount of money you can earn, or even better ‘create’, after you retire is worth more than 20 times as much in retirement savings.

Retire sooner

An old guy who lives down the road from me used to work in a high-stress corporate environment. To relax, he’d go fishing on the weekends. Eventually he’d had enough and quit his job. With time on his hands, he got certified and now has a part-time business taking people out in his boat to get their boat licences: a business that, because he already owned a boat, cost him almost nothing to start other than the time it took to get his qualification.

I’ll show you in later chapters some simple investing skills you can learn, as well as why it’s worth spending some of your time during your working years focusing on your growth, not just on your money’s growth.

Retiring early to do something fun that makes a little money — rather than slogging away at your soul-killing-but-maximally-profitable career for more years — sounds smart to me. And if it turns out that instead of crashing, the market actually soars after you retire, then you won’t need to make that $5000 a year anymore either!

Security as a motivator

The biggest problem I have with security is not the exorbitant cost that achieving a ‘secure’ retirement entails — my biggest problem with security as a value is that it’s not a great motivator to accumulate that wealth in the first place.

Many people are motivated to feel secure, and as I’ll talk about in chapters 7 and 9, there are certainly plenty of things that may make us feel secure, but feeling secure and being secure are not exactly the same thing. In this increasingly insecure world, feeling secure is often an illusion.

Dostoyevsky’s Despair

Russian novelist Fyodor Dostoyevsky was motivated by security. He felt that pain and a lack of security were essential to his creative process. After the success of his earliest works he found that the material comfort and security he had achieved robbed him of his motivation to write. Being relatively secure, he had no urgent need to create anymore. Despairing at this, he gambled heavily and threw his newfound wealth away until, penniless again, he was finally able to feel motivated once more.

In fact, only a pathological need for security — never feeling you are secure enough — may actually drive you to accumulate riches. And even then, wealth made this way won’t make you financially free, and it certainly won’t make you feel that secure either.

Ironically, if you want financial security, you might be better off valuing something other than security.

Matthew Klan

If you think about it, within the desire for security can be found an embryonic yearning for freedom itself — for many people who ‘want to be secure in retirement’, what they really want is to be free from having to worry about money, from having to slave for it, from being stressed by it.

Instead of slaving longer for your money to reach a 100 per cent ‘secure’ retirement lump sum, why not confront your fear of not having enough, and embrace the desire to be free of worrying about money, using this desire to motivate yourself to master money instead?

When something is largely out of your control it’s easy to worry about it, but when you master something, it ceases to be a worry at all.

A Quick Recap

While it’s normal for people to value different things at different times and in different circumstances, people who become successful — that is, greater than average — do so by valuing something more than what is average. They have a Dominant Value. Different Dominant Values lead to different results, and not always the result you’d think. If you want to be financially free, you need to value the right thing.

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