Chapter 3

Developing a Retirement Plan

IN THIS CHAPTER

check Figuring out when to retire

check Determining your financial needs and wants

check Understanding your financial building blocks

check Crunching and tweaking the numbers

check Preparing for the nonfinancial side of retirement

Many folks dream about retiring. No more racing to catch the commuter train or beat the worst of rush hour traffic. Say goodbye to long, endless meetings about topics for which you have little or no interest. Instead you’ll have plenty of free time to do the things you can rarely find the time and energy to do while you’re working. It sure sounds appealing, doesn’t it?

Although many folks dream about retiring, few are preparing. A survey conducted by the Employee Benefit Research Institute regarding Americans’ planning for retirement found that:

  • Only about 64 percent of working adults surveyed are actually saving for retirement.
  • Of those who are saving, 69 percent have a nest egg of less than $50,000.
  • About half of survey participants simply guess at the amount of their retirement needs.

We think your future plans are important enough to deserve more than a guess! But we understand that your free time is valuable to you and that you have more interesting things to do than number crunching to determine your retirement needs. So in this chapter, we promise to provide plenty of retirement planning insights and tips without spending gobs of your time. Before we dig into the financial part of planning retirement, though, we discuss some general retirement topics that are as important or even more important. You need to have a firm grasp of these items as well.

Deciding When to Retire

Retiring sounds so appealing when you’ve had a frustrating stretch at a job you’re not particularly enjoying. But some folks really enjoying working and aren’t eager to have wide-open daily schedules day after day, week after week. Deciding when to retire and what to do in retirement is an intensely personal decision. For sure, there are many financial and personal considerations and questions, and we thoroughly address them in this chapter.

Even when you’re healthy, the job market may not be. Your employer could suffer financial hardship and reduce its workforce. Or maybe you’ll be lucky enough to retire early (even though it’s unplanned) because your employer offers you a buy-out package that’s too good to turn down. Or worse, you may lose your job with little notice and few benefits.

Ideally, when caught in one of these situations you would obtain another job and continue it until your planned retirement age. Unfortunately, events may not unfold that way. The economy, the job market, and your age could work against you. Finding another job, at a compensation level you’re willing to work for, may not be possible.

Even when you leave a full-time career voluntarily, you may plan to work part time for a few years. Or you may assume that if the first years of retirement are more expensive than planned, you could return to work at least part time. Yet a part-time job you assumed would be easy to find may not be available at all or may be available at a much lower level of pay than you expected.

Knowing How Much You Really Need for Retirement

Most people have a long-term financial goal of retiring someday. For some, doing so means leaving paid work behind entirely. To others, simply cutting back on work or doing something completely different on a part-time basis is most appealing.

If you don’t plan to work well into your golden years, you need a reasonable chunk of money in order to maintain a particular lifestyle in the absence of your normal employment income. (If you do plan on working some during retirement, check out Chapter 18 for some helpful hints.) The following sections help you get started on determining how much money you need and coming to grips with those numbers.

Figuring out what portion of income you need

If you’re like most people, you need less money to live on in retirement than during your working years. That’s because in retirement most people don’t need to save any of their income and many of their work-related expenses (commuting, work clothes, and such) go away or greatly decrease. With less income, most retirees find they pay less in taxes, too.

warning On the flip side, some categories of expenses may go up in retirement. With more free time on your hands, you may spend more on entertainment, meals out, and travel. The costs for prescription drugs and other medical expenses also can begin to add up.

So what portion of your income do you really need as you make your retirement plan? The answer isn’t simple. Everyone’s situation is unique, so examine your current expenditures and consider how they may change in the years ahead. (Check out Chapter 6 for more information on budgeting and managing your expenses in retirement.)

To help figure out how much money you need, keep the following statistics in mind. Studies have shown that retirees typically spend 65 to 80 percent of their pre-retirement income during their retirement years. Folks at the lower end of this range typically:

  • Save a large portion of their annual earnings during their working years.
  • Don’t have a mortgage or any other debt in retirement.
  • Are higher-income earners who don’t anticipate leading a lifestyle in retirement that’s reflective of their current high-income lifestyle.

Those who spend at the higher end of the range tend to have the following characteristics:

  • Save little or none of their annual earnings before retirement.
  • Still have a significant mortgage or growing rent to pay in retirement.
  • Need nearly all current income to meet their current lifestyle.
  • Have expensive hobbies that they have more time to pursue.

remember We can’t offer a definitive answer as to how much you personally may need to have for your retirement. Just make sure you carefully look at all your expenses and figure out how they may change (see Chapter 6).

Grasping what the numbers mean

When determining how much money you need for your retirement plans, you want to think in terms of your goals and how much you should save per month to reach your desired goal given your current situation.

In Eric’s previous work as a personal financial planner and lecturer, he came across many folks who had done some basic number crunching or had consulted a financial advisor. Far too often, these folks got a number — a big, bad number like $3.8 million — stuck in their heads. That number was the size of the nest egg they needed to achieve a particular standard of living throughout their retirement.

tip Rather than obsessing about a large number, you need to examine your own standard of living that can be provided by the assets you’ve accumulated or will likely accumulate by a preferred retirement age. You can then begin to put the numbers into perspective for your own individual case. We get to that task in the later section, “Crunching the Numbers.”

Eyeing the Components of Your Retirement Plan

In order to meet your retirement goals, you need a firm grasp of what resources are available to help you. In addition to government benefits such as Social Security, company-provided pensions and personal investments round out most people’s retirement income sources. This section takes a closer look at these elements.

Social Security retirement benefits

Social Security is intended to provide a subsistence level of income in retirement for basic living necessities such as food, shelter, and clothing. However, Social Security wasn’t designed to be a retiree’s sole source of income. When planning for retirement, you’ll likely need to supplement your expected Social Security benefits with personal savings, investments, and company pension benefits. If you’re a high-income earner, you particularly need to supplement your income — unless, of course, you’re willing to live well beneath your pre-retirement income. (Refer to Chapter 10 for more discussion on Social Security.)

tip If you’re still working, you can estimate your Social Security retirement benefits by looking at your most recent Social Security benefits statement, which the federal government sends annually to adults age 25 and older. Statements usually are mailed three months before your birthday. If you can’t locate your most recent statement, you can get one fairly quickly either by requesting it online at www.ssa.gov (click on the Your Social Security Earnings Statement tab on the home page) or by calling 800-772-1213 and requesting form SSA-7004 (“Request for Social Security Statement”). You also can set up a “my Social Security” account on the Social Security website that lets you obtain updated benefits estimates, verify your earnings, and take other actions.

remember Like many people, you may be concerned about your Social Security. You may be afraid that it won’t be there when you retire. Although you may have to wait until you’re slightly older to collect benefits or endure more of your benefits being taxed, rest assured. Congress has been reluctant over the years to make major negative changes to Social Security, because doing so would risk upsetting a large and highly active voting bloc of retirees and near retirees.

With your Social Security benefits statement in hand, you can see how much in Social Security benefits you’ve already earned and review how the Social Security Administration (SSA) determines these numbers. With this information, you can better plan for your retirement and make important retirement planning decisions.

Looking at your estimated benefits statement

Your Social Security benefits statement can give you important information about your estimated retirement benefits. On Page 2 of this annual statement, you see information like the following (unless you don’t have enough work credits, which are awarded for every year you earn money):

  • You have earned enough credits to qualify for benefits. At your current earnings rate, if you continue working until:
  • Your full retirement age (67 years), your payment would be about $1,543 a month
  • Age 70, your payment would be about $1,924 a month
  • If you stop working and start receiving benefits at age 62, your payment would be about $1,064 a month

These statements are pretty self explanatory. (We explain in Chapter 10 how the credit-earning part of Social Security works.)

Assumptions: Discovering how your benefits are estimated

Along with your benefits estimates, the SSA also discloses the assumptions used to come up with your numbers and some important caveats. You should understand the assumptions behind the estimates we talk about in the preceding section. Why? These are projections, and depending on your earnings in the years ahead, your expected benefits may change. Here’s what the SSA says:

Generally, the older you are and the closer you are to retirement, the more accurate the retirement estimates will be because they are based on a longer work history with fewer uncertainties such as earnings fluctuations and future law changes.

remember If you stop and consider this assumption, it does make sense and is true of about any forecast or estimate. The further into the future you try to project something, the more likely it is that the estimates may be off base.

To understand what could throw off future estimates, keep the following in mind as you dig a little deeper into the SSA’s assumptions:

  • If you have enough work credits, we estimated your benefit amounts using your average earnings over your working lifetime. For 2015 and later (up to retirement age), we assumed you’ll continue to work and make about the same as you did in 2013 or 2014. We can’t provide your actual benefit amount until you apply for benefits. And that amount may differ from the estimates stated above because:
    1. Your earnings may increase or decrease in the future.
    2. After you start receiving benefits, they will be adjusted for cost-of-living increases.
    3. Your estimated benefits are based on current law. The law governing benefit amounts may change.

In other words, the SSA assumes that your future earnings will annually be about the same as your earnings in the most recent couple of years. Therefore, as their own cautions highlight, if you expect your future work earnings to change from your most recent years’ employment earnings, your expected Social Security retirement benefits also will change.

Don’t get hung up over expected cost-of-living increases. When we walk you through the retirement number crunching later in this chapter, these increases are incorporated into the analysis. The third point about future benefit law changes is worth considering, so we cover that in detail in Chapter 10.

tip If you want to delve into different scenarios for your Social Security benefits, use the SSA’s online Retirement Estimator at www.socialsecurity.gov/estimator.

Pensions

When putting together your retirement plan, you also want to consider any pensions you have available to you. You may have previously worked for an employer offering pension benefits or you may currently work for a company with such a plan. Also known as a defined benefit plan, a company pension plan is one that your employer actually is contributing to and investing money in to fund your future pension payments.

In a typical plan, the employer may be putting away about 8 to 10 percent of your salary (this money is actually in addition to your salary, because the money isn’t taken from your income as it would be if you were contributing to a retirement plan such as a 401(k) plan). The money is then invested mostly in a mix of stocks and bonds (as it is in a balanced mutual fund).

remember Two terrific attributes of pension plans are:

  • The savings happen automatically. Unlike a retirement savings plan like a 401(k), you don’t have to think about your pension plan. You don’t have to cut back on your spending or complete any forms. Your employer is putting away money on your behalf month in and month out.
  • You don’t experience any investment hassles or challenges. The pension fund manager does all the heavy lifting with regard to investing the money. So there’s no need for you to research or monitor financial markets or investments.

investigate If your current or previous employers have a pension plan and you may have accumulated benefits, request a copy of each plan’s benefit description and a recent statement of your earned benefits. (When we get to crunching the numbers for your retirement plan, you need your pension benefit statements.)

Based on your years of service, your benefits statement will show you how much of a benefit you’ve earned. Your current employer’s statement or the person or department that works with benefits may also be able to show you how your pension benefits will increase based on working until a certain future age.

Investments

The many types of investments you may have are an important component of your retirement plan. These investments may come in various forms, such as bank accounts, brokerage accounts, mutual fund accounts, and so on. Your investments may or may not be in retirement accounts. Even if they aren’t, they still can be earmarked to help with your retirement.

investigate Take an inventory of your savings and investments by gathering recent copies of your statements from the following types of accounts or investment options:

  • Bank accounts — checking (especially if it holds excess savings), savings, CDs, and so on
  • IRA accounts
  • Taxable accounts at brokers and mutual funds
  • Employer retirement accounts, including
    • Profit-sharing plans
    • Employee stock ownership plans (ESOPs)
    • 401(k)s, 403(b)s, and so forth
  • Investment real estate

We provide numerous bits of information elsewhere in this book about how to invest your retirement money as well as where to save it. At this point, you simply need to take an inventory of your current assets and use that information in the “Crunching the Numbers” section to determine where you stand regarding retirement planning.

Your home’s equity

If you’ve owned a home over the years, and it has a decent amount of equity in it (the difference between its market value and the mortgage debt owed on it), you can tap into that equity to provide for your retirement. In order to tap into your home’s equity, you have two primary options:

  • You can sell your home. After you sell your home, you can either buy a less costly one or rent.
  • You can take out a reverse mortgage. With a reverse mortgage, you draw income against your home which is accumulated as a debt balance to be paid once the home is sold (check out Chapter 8 for more info).

If you’re pretty certain you’d like to tap your home’s equity to help with retirement, consider how much equity you would use.

When Setting Up Your Couples Plan

When beginning your retirement planning, make sure if you are married that you sit down with your spouse and coordinate each person’s plan together. Doing so may seem obvious, but it’s an important step. Discussions about retirement plans need to begin long before retirement. Even when one spouse is doing most of the financial planning for retirement, both spouses need to have a meeting of the minds over the non-financial aspects of their senior years. And the spouse who is not doing as much of the financial planning still needs to know the overall financial situation.

There are some topics couples should begin discussing at least five years before retirement.

  • Should each of you retire? If so, when would each prefer to begin retirement?
  • Would retirement be complete, or is part-time work a possibility for either spouse?
  • Where will you live during retirement?
  • How will each of you spend nonworking time during retirement? What things will you do together and which will you do separately?
  • Have you estimated how much money you will need to support your retirement plans? If so, how much will you need and how close are you to having it?
  • What is the plan for spending your retirement funds, and what is the plan for investing the funds?
  • What assets and accounts do you own, where are they, and how are they invested?
  • What legacy do you hope to leave? Is there a plan for fulfilling that goal?
  • What is your estate plan and where are the documents?
  • What role will children, grandchildren, and parents play in the rest of your lives? Will you move to live near either adult children or aging parents? Do you plan to help or support either of them if needed? If this is a second marriage for either spouse, what are the plans for any children of the prior marriage?
  • What is the attitude of each of you to aging, and how do you expect to react to it?

Crunching the Numbers

For purposes of retirement planning, what matters most is where you stand today as far as reaching your goal. So you need to crunch some numbers to get a handle on your situation. One of the best ways to do so is to use available retirement calculators, either online or with a hard copy workbook. These resources can walk you through the calculations needed to figure how much you should be saving to reach your retirement goal. The information you collect and the questions you answer earlier in this chapter allow you to hit the ground running with the number crunching.

Among the mass market website tools and booklets, we like the ones from T. Rowe Price. Visit www.troweprice.com for the online version, or call 800-638-5660 for the work booklets.

tip The T. Rowe Price Web-based Retirement Income Calculator is a user-friendly tool, and the website says it takes about 10 minutes to complete. If you’re organized and have your documents handy, you may cruise through it that quickly, but otherwise you’ll more than likely need 20 to 30 minutes.

In the following sections, we walk you through steps for using the T. Rowe Price retirement planning tools to get a better assessment of your financial numbers as you prepare for retirement. We use T. Rowe Price as an example, but please note that you can select another company’s tool if you prefer.

Understanding assumptions and how they work

Whether you use a retirement calculator online or via a work booklet, make sure you’re aware of the different assumptions used. This section details those assumptions.

In this section, we specifically look at the T. Rowe Price assumptions and online calculator. In order for you to be able to make the best use of this site, we review the following important key assumptions. If you choose not to use this online tool, you can use the discussion of the assumptions that follow for other retirement planning tools including the T. Rowe Price work booklet.

  • Asset allocation: The calculator asks you to enter your current allocation (mix of major investment classes) and then to select an allocation for after you’re retired. For the retirement allocation, you can choose a fixed 40 percent stock, 40 percent bond, 20 percent money fund, or you can have the mix gradually shift away from stocks each year that you’re in retirement. Either choice is fine, but we have a slight preference for the latter of the two options.

    remember The calculator doesn’t include real estate as a possible asset. If you own real estate as an investment, you should treat those assets as a stock-like investment, because they have similar long-term risk and return characteristics. You should calculate your equity in investment real estate.

  • Age of retirement: For this assumption, you plug in your preferred age of retirement, within reason of course. (For example, plugging in age 53 is pointless if you’ve selected that age knowing that the only way to accomplish that date is by winning the lottery.) Depending on how the analysis works out, you can always go back and plug in a different age. Sometimes folks are pleasantly surprised that their combined accumulated resources provide them with a decent enough standard of living that they can actually consider retiring sooner than they thought.
  • Social Security: The T. Rowe Price calculator asks whether you want to include expected Social Security benefits. We’d rather that the calculator didn’t pose this question, because you definitely should include your Social Security benefits in the calculations. Don’t buy into the nonsense that the program will vaporize and leave you with little to nothing from it. For the vast majority of people, Social Security benefits are an important component of their retirement income, so do include them.

    Based on your current income, the T. Rowe Price retirement program will automatically plug in your estimated Social Security benefits. So long as your income hasn’t changed or won’t change dramatically, using their estimated number should be fine. Alternatively, you could input your own number using a recent Social Security benefits statement if you have one handy. Or use the Retirement Estimator at the Social Security website (www.socialsecurity.gov/estimator).

After you enter your personal information and decide on the preceding assumptions, you’re ready to finish the calculations on the T. Rowe Price website. Price’s completed analysis shows how much you can live on per month and then compares that with what you’re stated goal or amount was. The calculations include doing 1,000 market simulations, and it works 80 percent of the time. (See the nearby sidebar “Monte Carlo retirement simulations” for a more detailed explanation of this type of modeling, if you’re interested.)

remember The T. Rowe Price analysis allows to you make adjustments, such as your desired age of retirement, rate of savings, and how much you expect to spend per month to what age you’d like your savings to last. So, for example, if the analysis showed that you have much more than enough to retire by age 65, try plugging in, say, age 62 and, voila, the calculator quickly shows you how the numbers change.

Making the numbers work

After you crunch the numbers, you may discover you need to save at a rate that isn’t doable. Don’t despair. You have the following options to lessen the depressingly high savings you apparently need:

  • Boost your investment returns. Reduce your taxes while investing: While you’re still working, be sure to take advantage of retirement savings accounts, especially when you can gain free matching money from your employer or you’re eligible for the special tax credit from the government. When investing money outside of retirement accounts, take care to minimize taxes. For more on investing strategies, see Chapter 7.
  • Work (a little) more. Extend the number of years you’re willing to work, or consider working part time for a few years past the age you were expecting to stop working. Refer to Chapter 18 for more information regarding working during retirement.
  • Reduce your spending. The more you spend today, the more years you’ll have to work in order to meet your savings goal. See Chapter 6 to find out how to manage your spending in retirement.
  • Use your home’s equity. If you didn’t factor using some of your home’s equity into your retirement nest egg, consider doing so. Some people are willing to trade down into a less costly property in retirement. You also can take a reverse mortgage to tap some of your property’s equity. We talk more about home equity and reverse mortgages in the earlier section “Your home’s equity.”

Dealing with excess money

When Eric was working as a financial counselor, one of his favorite parts of the job was going over the retirement analysis with clients who had accumulated more than they needed to achieve their desired lifestyle. Often, this was a surprise to the client, so some folks had a hard time believing the good news.

If you find yourself with extra money, the good news is at least you don’t have to worry about making sure you can continue your current standard of living during retirement. In this situation, consider taking either of the following actions:

  • Enhance your retirement. We’re not suggesting that the only way to a happy retirement is to spend money, but don’t be afraid to enjoy yourself. While you’re still healthy, travel, eat out, take some classes, and do whatever else floats your boat (within reason, of course). Remember that come the end of your life, you can’t take your money with you.
  • Earmark a portion of your assets for your beneficiaries. You may want to leave something for your family members as well as other beneficiaries, such as your place of worship and charities. If so, you need to determine the approximate dollar amount for each of the beneficiaries. Estate planning is so important that we devote Part 4 to it.

remember Of course, life can throw you unexpected curve balls that could cause you to incur higher than expected expenses. But if you’re always preparing for rainy day after rainy day, you may lead a miserly, unenjoyable retirement.

Making Plans for Nonfinancial Matters

Although our focus in this book is clearly on all matters financial in your senior years, you should know that we take a holistic approach to your finances. Getting caught up in the climb up the career ladder, burning the midnight oil, and accumulating wealth and possessions is easy in a capitalist society. In your pursuit, losing sight of some areas — the ones not about money — is also easy. These areas are just as important — if not more important — than your finances, which is why you should be working just as hard at planning them. That’s what we discuss in this section.

Personal connections

A lot of research shows that those individuals who have strong and healthy connections in their later years tend to be happier, enjoy better health, live longer, and live longer independently. As you’re preparing for retirement, make sure you spend time making and maintaining healthy personal relationships. Doing so is an investment that pays dividends by improving the length and quality of your life.

tip If you have children of your own (and perhaps they give you grandchildren), you’ve got a built-in network of younger folks to keep you actively involved. If you don’t have any children or grandchildren, or if you want more personal connections, you can forge friendships with people younger than you through your activities, hobbies, fellowship, and so forth.

Personal health

Your health is much, much more important than your financial net worth. Just ask folks who have major medical problems — especially those they could have avoided — if they wish they had taken better care of their health. Although anyone can experience bad luck or bad genes when it comes to health, you can do a lot to stay healthy and enjoy enhanced longevity and the best possible quality of life. Chapter 2 can help you take action and plan ahead for health.

Activities, hobbies, interests

For folks who have had full-time jobs, retiring and having no job to occupy their days sounds alluring. However, some retirees feel a lack of purpose and miss the satisfaction that comes from meeting the challenges of work. A fringe benefit of most people’s work is the human interaction that comes along with it.

remember When planning for your future, consider the following as good substitutes for work, because they provide challenges and foster friendships and connections with others:

  • Activities and hobbies: Exercising is a good choice to include in long-term plans; it provides vast health benefits and opportunities to meet new friends and hang out with old ones. If you’re not into exercising, perhaps you can look at different hobbies you like, such as collecting something. You can meet interesting people and make new friends by going to auctions, garage sales, and such. People like to collect all sorts of things; just be careful you don’t spend too much money.
  • Part-time work: Working part time, especially when you have more flexibility in setting your hours, can be an excellent part of a retirement plan. It can provide enjoyments and a challenge — not to mention some extra dough. Check out Chapter 18 for more on continuing to work during retirement.
  • Volunteering: Giving something back to society pays many dividends. You can find a zillion volunteer opportunities. Your place of worship, organizations that support a cause you believe in (for example, fighting cancer or heart disease), and schools are super places to start looking. Stumped for ideas? Try a service like VolunteerMatch (www.volunteermatch.org).
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