Chapter 11
IN THIS CHAPTER
Looking at leases and their terms
Comprehending valuation
Developing value benchmarks
What you pay for a property and the cash flow it generates make a significant difference in the success of your investment. Leases generate the income stream you should base your real estate investment strategy on. All the quantitative analysis we guide you through in Chapter 12 is for naught if you don’t have a handle on the leases. Therefore, in this chapter, you start your research, analysis, and evaluation of specific properties by analyzing the leases.
We then introduce you to the concepts behind evaluating potential investment properties and explain the key principles behind property valuation that you need to be familiar with. We also provide you with a few quantitative tools you can use to size up prospective properties and determine whether you should move on to other properties or investigate further.
A lease is a contractual obligation between a lessor (landlord) and a lessee (tenant) to transfer the right to exclusive possession and use of certain real property for a defined time period for an agreed consideration (money). A verbal lease can be enforceable, but it’s much better to have a written lease that defines the rights and responsibilities of the landlord and the tenant.
Regardless of the type of property you’re considering as an investment, make sure that the seller provides copies of all the leases. And don’t accept just the first page or a summary of the salient points of the lease (sometimes called a lease abstract) — insist on the full and complete lease document along with any addendums or guarantees or written modifications with the seller’s written certification that the document is accurate and valid. (Verbal modifications to the written lease aren’t generally enforceable.) Have your real estate legal advisor review the leases as well (see Chapter 6).
You may find that you’re presented with the opportunity to purchase properties with leases that are detriments to the property and actually bring down its current and future value. The most common example is a long-term lease at below-market rental rates. But you could also have leases that are so far above the current market conditions that you should discount the likelihood that the leases will be in place and enforceable in the future.
Other common problems with leases include
We’re not saying to bypass purchasing any properties with these lease problems. Just be aware and factor the effect, if any, into your purchasing decision, or simply note that you need to change the onerous terms upon renewal.
A seller should be honest and disclose all material facts about the property he’s selling, but most states don’t have the same written disclosure requirements that are mandated for residential transactions of properties with one to four units. This is because purchasers of residential income properties with five or more units and commercial, industrial, and retail properties are considered to be more sophisticated and not in need of legislative protections. So even though your broker or sales agent and other members of your due diligence investigation team (see Chapter 6) may be assisting you with inspecting the property and reviewing the books provided during the transaction, remember that you need to be the one who cares the most about your best interests.
Note the expiration dates of the leases, because any lease that’s about to expire should be evaluated based on current market conditions. Future leases may not be at the same rent level, plus you must consider the concessions or tenant improvements necessary to get the lease renewed:
The analysis of current leases for residential properties is usually fairly straightforward, but that doesn’t mean you shouldn’t do your homework! Review each and every residential lease to make sure that no hidden surprises are awaiting you, such as future free rent, limits to rent increases, or promises of new carpet or other expensive upgrades. Some sneaky sellers of residential properties know that some buyers don’t thoroughly review each lease, so they load the leases with future rent concessions in exchange for higher rents upfront, which they use to make the property’s financial statements look more desirable. Be sure that you determine the net effective rent and base your offer for a property on those numbers. An apparent above-market lease isn’t really above market if you’re giving away free rent or promising to replace the carpet upon lease renewal.
Commercial leases are much more complicated than residential ones. Thus, the commercial real estate investor must have a thorough understanding of the contractual obligations and duties of the lessor (landlord) and lessee (tenant) when evaluating a potential acquisition.
When obtaining financing for commercial properties, lenders typically require a certified or signed rent roll along with a written lease abstract for each tenant. However, because the income of the property is critical to the owner’s ability to make the debt service obligations, most lenders don’t simply rely on the buyer’s numbers but independently derive their own income projections based on information they require the purchaser to obtain from the tenants. This information includes
Lease estoppel: A lease estoppel certificate is a legal document completed by the tenant that outlines the basic terms of his lease agreement and certifies that the lease is valid without any breaches by either the tenant or the landlord at the time it’s executed. These estoppel certificates also benefit the purchaser of the property; you should seriously consider requiring estoppels from all tenants when you purchase a commercial building — regardless of the requirements of any lender.
Although tenant or lease estoppel certificates are rarely required by lenders or purchasers for residential transactions, there is a strong argument that the benefits of the estoppel certificate also apply in the residential setting. Residential tenants are more likely to dispute the amount of the security deposit or claim that they were entitled to unwritten promises by the previous owner — free rent, new upgraded floors and window coverings, new appliances, extra parking, or waived late charges.
Knowing certain economic principles can be useful when seeking to evaluate the current and future value of potential real estate investments. In this section, we supply you with some background information to help you determine which properties are likely to have strong demand.
Have you ever traveled to a foreign country and observed miles of beautiful coastline that you know would be worth a fortune at home? A few years ago, Robert returned from Costa Rica, where he saw dozens of faded “For Sale” signs on mile after mile of unimproved oceanfront property with spectacular water views. Local folks told him that these properties rarely sell and are available at low prices. The weather is humid but not much different than similar weather along the Florida coast, where property is expensive. So what are the factors behind such wide disparities in pricing and value?
Well, you need to consider several important economic principles when evaluating the potential value of a property. The basis of value for any piece of real estate is grounded in the following four concepts:
Transferability: This term refers to the relative ease with which ownership rights and the rights associated with the ownership and control of a given property are transferred from one owner to another. It also includes the ability for private parties to own and control real estate, which generally isn’t a problem in the United States, but may be a major factor for real estate investors seeking to invest internationally.
Value can also be affected when certain restrictions (such as the Conditions, Covenants, and Restrictions — commonly referred to as CC&Rs or homeowners’ associations — found in most common interest developments) are elements of utility while also being part of transferability because they run with the land and limit the rights of future owners.
In the earlier example, the oceanfront land in Costa Rica wasn’t in high demand and was relatively inaccessible (the closet major airport was in the capital city of San Jose — nearly 100 miles away). Furthermore, the availability of so many similar properties made scarcity a nonissue, and the complications of the government requirements for foreign ownership may have limited the ability to transfer the property to non–Costa Ricans.
An understanding of the current value and future potential of real estate investments is based on these four concepts. But three other important economic principles can affect the value of real estate now and in the future:
Progression: A property’s value is positively impacted by surrounding properties that are superior, in better condition, and have a higher value.
This concept is one of the most important for the real estate investor looking for long-term success. Seek a well-built but neglected and poorly maintained property located in a good neighborhood. You can then add significant value by repositioning the property up to the level of the surrounding properties through proper maintenance, repairs, and upgrades, and you will have a great rental property.
All of these economic principles are based on the premise that the maximum value of real estate is achieved when a property is being utilized in its highest and best use. Highest and best use is the fundamental concept that there is one single use that results in the maximum profitability by the best and most efficient use of the property. (This concept focuses solely on financial issues. For example, it says nothing about the impact that a significant, dense property development has on traffic and the local environment.)
The highest and best use of a specific property doesn’t remain constant over time. Zoning of a property can eliminate certain possible uses of a property at the time of evaluation. However, particularly for properties in the path of progress, time can create new opportunities. For example, agricultural land in the middle of a rapidly expanding commercial and resort area isn’t the highest and best use (financially speaking) of the property. (Check out Chapter 10 for more on zoning issues.)
This was the case for the strawberry fields that bordered the west side of Disneyland in Anaheim for several decades. The long-time owner of the property had an emotional attachment to the land and wasn’t interested in selling at any price, so the property wasn’t utilized to its highest and best use. However, after the owner passed away, his heirs quickly sold the property, and the Disney resort developed the property.
When discussing real estate values, most people immediately think of fair market value — basically, the price that the buyer and seller can agree to for a real estate transaction. Determining the fair market value of real estate often seems like an elusive concept much like the old adage “Beauty is in the eye of the beholder.”
A bit more specifically, the fair market value is the most likely price a buyer is willing to pay and a seller is willing to accept for a property at a given time. This definition is based on three assumptions:
However, real estate investors encounter another type of value — investment value. Although the market value is the value of a property to a typical investor, investment value is its value to a specific investor based on his particular requirements, such as the cost of capital, tax rate, or personal goals.
Someday, you may find yourself competing against another buyer for a prime investment property only to be surprised that she seems willing to pay much more. If you’ve carefully analyzed the property, and the seller provided the same information about the property to all potential purchasers, the other buyer is likely basing her offer on the property’s investment value to her.
Maybe the other buyer needs a replacement property for a 1031 exchange and has the strong motivation of potentially losing the benefit of significant capital gains tax deferral unless she buys property of equal or greater value within certain defined time periods (see Chapter 18). Such buyers are often willing to pay a premium for a property to avoid losing the tax deferral benefits available under federal and many state tax codes. (Note that we do, however, believe that you should never buy a property solely to preserve tax benefits — it’s better to pay the taxes and then take your time to locate, carefully evaluate, and purchase your next investment property. We have seen too many owners of troubled or underperforming income properties that were a last-minute purchase based on the concern over losing the capital gains tax deferral offered by a 1031 exchange.)
As a prospective buyer, you may find that quite a few folks have an idea of what a piece of property is worth:
As a prospective buyer, the values these folks come up with are merely starting points for your analysis. Much more research is required. We spend the balance of this chapter, and Chapter 12, helping you do your research.
The proper analysis of real estate requires due diligence and research, which starts with evaluating the existing leases (see the section “The Importance of Evaluating a Lease” earlier in this chapter) and continues with crunching the numbers (refer to Chapter 12). However, almost more than any other investment, the real estate industry has relied for years on value benchmarks to set prices and evaluate potential purchases.
One of the reasons value benchmarks are so widely used is that they can easily be calculated by using basic information available on a property. Virtually all properties you encounter for sale include this information in the listing brochures or offering packages provided by sellers or their brokers or sales agents.
Some professional appraisers may perform these calculations as a verification test to ensure that their results are in the ballpark and even include them in their appraisal. However, these numbers aren’t as accurate at indicating value as the traditional methods of appraising the value of real estate (the cost approach, market data approach, and income capitalization approach discussed in Chapter 12). Neither are they formally recognized and mandated by the professional appraisal institutes or federal lending guidelines as approved methods of appraising real estate.
In the following sections, we cover the standard value benchmarks that apply to all types of real estate, as well as some that are unique to a specific sector.
Two important value benchmarks include
The monthly rent or income is used in some areas of the country, but typically the GRM and GIM are calculated by using annual numbers. Both the GRM and GIM are calculated by dividing the proposed acquisition price by the annual rent or total income. For example, the GRM for a rental home that can be acquired for $120,000 with a monthly rent of $1,000 ($12,000 annualized) is 10.
Likewise, an industrial building that sells for $250,000 with an annual gross income of $20,000 has a GIM of 12.5.
Here’s how relying on these formulas can be tricky: If the GRM and GIM ratios seem high, you need to check further to see whether the price is too high — in which case you should pass on this property or make a much lower offer. Or maybe the rents are below market value and the price is reasonable. Conversely, you may see a low GRM and think that you found your next investment prospect only to discover that the property is really overpriced because the seller has projected unrealistic rents based on seasonal rentals for dilapidated furnished studio apartments in a beach community.
Because both GRM and GIM only consider the income side of the investment, these formulas don’t differentiate between the operating and capital expense levels of each property. The income is important, but what you’re left with after paying the expenses makes your mortgage payment and provides you with cash flow. As we discuss in Chapter 12, the operating and capital expense levels can make a tremendous difference in the overall cash flow and the value of the property.
For example, compare two small apartment communities — both available for $1 million and each with an annual gross income of $100,000. On each, the GRM is 10. But which is the better investment? The GRM doesn’t give any indication, but further analysis gives you the answer because expenses for each property probably differ.
One apartment building is more than 40 years old and has only month-to-month rental agreements with a high turnover of tenants. The property has interior hallways, is poorly maintained, and has an elevator that has never been modernized. This property suffers from above-average annual operating expenses of $85,000. The other potential investment is also an older property but caters to seniors on long-term leases who rarely move and do little damage. The building is a two-story, garden-style walk-up with annual expenses of $45,000. Clearly, assuming you use the same financing for each property, the second property (with $40,000 less in expenses) should result in greater cash flow to the owner.
For apartment investors, the asking price per unit can provide a general feel for the reasonableness of the seller’s pricing. Price per unit is calculated by simply dividing the asking price by the number of units. For example, a six-unit building priced at $240,000 works out to $40,000 per unit.
Like the GRM calculation, the price per unit does have its limitations. The calculation doesn’t account for the location or age of the property, the quality of construction or amenities, the square footage, number of bedrooms and baths, or condition of the units. You should only use it as a quick indicator of relative value when comparing very similar properties in the same market area.
The price per square foot is a widely used yet simple calculation most often associated with commercial, industrial, and retail properties (and sometimes used for residential properties). To find this number, take the asking or sales price of a property and divide it by the square footage of the buildings. It’s only a ballpark gauge of relative value and can be limited because it doesn’t factor in the location or other important issues like views; proximity to employment, transporation, and schools; the quality of any improvements; the parking ratio; the occupancy level; and rent collections.
For example, a 5,000-square-foot building going for $250,000 may seem like a good value at $50 per square foot in your market until you find that it hasn’t been occupied for years and is in a distressed area of town. Or a 10,000-square-foot building for $1.25 million may seem overpriced at $125 per square foot until you discover that the U.S. Postal Service just signed a 20-year net lease at full market rent with generous annual cost-of-living increases.
Replacement cost is another factor that real estate investors should consider prior to making a real estate investment. The replacement cost is the current cost to construct a comparable property that serves the same purpose or function as the original property. The calculation of replacement cost is usually done by comparing the price per square foot to an estimate of the cost per square foot to build a similar new property, including the cost of the land.
Especially when considering investing in a real estate market that seems overpriced, avoid buying investment properties where the cost for new construction is equal to or lower than the replacement cost of a similar building. When prices rise to the point that it’s more economical to build a new product rather than buy existing investment properties, developers know that they can build an additional product and sell it at a profit. And you will then have competition from these additional properties that are likely to be in better condition with great amenities. Plus, upon opening, the management will probably offer generous rental concessions until the new property is stabilized.
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