Chapter 3

Planning the Project

The PMP exam content from the Planning process group performance domain covered in this chapter includes the following:

  • Assess detailed project requirements, constraints, and assumptions with stakeholders based on the project charter, lessons learned from previous projects, and the use of requirement-gathering techniques (e.g., planning sessions, brainstorming, focus groups), in order to establish the project deliverables.
  • Create the work breakdown structure with the team by deconstructing the scope, in order to manage the scope of the project.
  • Develop a budget plan based on the project scope using estimating techniques, in order to manage project cost.
  • Develop a project schedule based on the project timeline, scope, and resource plan, in order to manage timely completion of the project.
  • Develop a human resource management plan by defining the roles and responsibilities of the project team members, in order to create an effective project organization structure and provide guidance regarding how resources will be utilized and managed.
  • Develop a communication plan based on the project organization structure and external stakeholder requirements, in order to manage the flow of project information.
  • Develop a procurement plan based on the project scope and schedule, in order to ensure that the required project resources will be available.
  • Develop a quality management plan based on the project scope and requirements, in order to prevent the occurrence of defects and reduce the cost of quality.
  • Develop a change management plan by defining how changes will be handled, in order to track and manage changes.
  • Develop a risk management plan by identifying, analyzing, and prioritizing project risks and defining risk response strategies, in order to manage uncertainty throughout the project life cycle.
  • Present the project plan to the key stakeholders (if required), in order to obtain approval to execute the project.
  • Conduct a kickoff meeting with all key stakeholders, in order to announce the start of the project, communicate the project milestones, and share other relevant information.

Planning is the second of five project management process groups and includes the largest number of processes. Throughout the planning processes, the objectives are defined and refined, and a course of action is mapped out to successfully complete the project objectives as outlined by the project scope.

Several key project documents are created within this process group, including the project management plan and its collection of subsidiary plans and baselines, which will guide the project management activities.

The Planning process group accounts for 24 percent of the questions on the Project Management Professional (PMP) exam.

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The process names, inputs, tools and techniques, outputs, and descriptions of the project management process groups and related materials and figures in this chapter are based on content from A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, 4th Edition (PMBOK® Guide).

Assessing the Requirements

During the early stages of planning, requirements will need to be collected, documented, and assessed. This is carried out through the Collect Requirements process (one of the 42 project management processes). This tends to be an iterative process because requirements often need to be refined as the project moves forward.

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Requirements are typically conditions that must be met or criteria that the product or service of the project must possess to satisfy the objectives of the project. Requirements quantify and prioritize the wants, needs, and expectations of the project sponsor and stakeholders. According to the PMBOK® Guide, you must be able to measure, trace, and test requirements. It’s important that they be complete and accepted by your project sponsor and key stakeholders.

As covered in Chapter 2 (“Initiating the Project”) of this book, high-level requirements are documented within the project charter. Based on this document and lessons learned from past projects, detailed requirements will need to be gathered and assessed with the stakeholders. This is necessary to establishing the project deliverables. Detailed requirements can be gathered through the use of several requirement-gathering techniques that will produce a comprehensive list of requirements and that are needed to later establish the project deliverables.

Collect Requirements is the second process following the creation of the project management plan and the first process in the Project Scope Management Knowledge Area. The primary purpose of the Collect Requirements process is to define and document the project sponsors’, customers’, and stakeholders’ expectations and needs for meeting the project objectives. This can be done through the use of lessons learned from previous projects, information from within the project charter and stakeholder register, and several requirement-gathering techniques. By the end of this process, the project will include a plan that defines how the requirements will be documented and managed throughout all phases of the project.

Figure 3-1 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Collect Requirements process.

Figure 3-1: Collect Requirements process

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For more detailed information on the Collect Requirements process, see Chapter 3, “Developing the Project Scope Statement,” of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition (Sybex, 2011).

Inputs of Collect Requirements

Know the following inputs of the Collect Requirements process:

Project Charter In this process, the high-level project requirements and product description are used from within the project charter.

Stakeholder Register In this process, the stakeholder register is used as a way of determining who can provide the necessary information on the project and product requirements.

Tools and Techniques of Collect Requirements

Know the following tools and techniques that can be used during the Collect Requirements process:

  • Interviews
  • Focus groups
  • Facilitated workshops
  • Questionnaires and surveys
  • Observations
  • Prototypes
  • Group creativity techniques
  • Group decision-making techniques

Interviews Interviews allow subject matter experts and experienced project participants to impart a lot of information in a short amount of time. The following are characteristics of interviews:

  • Typically structured as a one-on-one conversation with stakeholders
  • Can be formal or informal
  • Consist of questions prepared ahead of time

Focus Groups Focus groups are usually conducted by a trained moderator. The key to this tool lies in picking the subject matter experts and stakeholders to participate in the focus group; they then engage in discussion and conversation as a way of imparting their feedback about the project’s end result.

Facilitated Workshops Cross-functional stakeholders come together in a facilitated workshop to discuss and define requirements that affect more than one department. The following are characteristics of facilitated workshops:

  • All the participants of the workshops understand the various project needs.
  • The workshops provide a facilitated forum to discuss and resolve their participants’ issues.
  • A consensus is reached more easily than through other methods.
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The primary difference between focus groups and facilitated workshops is that focus groups are gatherings of prequalified subject matter experts and stakeholders where the intention is to gather feedback from these individuals, and facilitated workshops consist of cross-functional stakeholders who work together to define cross-functional requirements.

Questionnaires and Surveys Questionnaires and surveys involve querying a large group of participants via questionnaires or surveys and applying statistical analysis, if needed, to the results. This is considered to be a quick way of obtaining feedback from a large number of stakeholders.

Observations Observations consist of a one-on-one experience where an observer sits side by side with the participant to observe how the participant interacts with the product or service. This technique is also known as job shadowing, and it can also involve participant observers who perform the job themselves to ascertain requirements. Observations are particularly useful when stakeholders have a difficult time verbalizing requirements.

Prototypes Prototyping is a technique involving constructing a working model or mock-up of the final product for participants to experiment with. The prototype does not usually contain all the functionality the end product does, but it gives participants enough information that they can provide feedback regarding the mock-up. This is an iterative process where participants experiment and provide feedback, the prototype is revised, and the cycle starts again. Prototypes are a great way of getting feedback during the early stages of a project’s life cycle.

Group Creativity Techniques Group creativity involves the following techniques:

Brainstorming Brainstorming involves getting together to generate ideas and gather the project requirements.

Nominal Group Technique Nominal group technique works to engage all participants through an idea-gathering or structured brainstorming session and ranking process.

Delphi Technique The Delphi technique utilizes a group of expert responses and feedback. Experts answer questionnaires by providing feedback on responses from each round of requirement gathering while maintaining a level of anonymity, thereby reducing bias in their feedback.

Idea/Mind Mapping In idea/mind mapping, participants use a combination of brainstorming and diagramming techniques to record their ideas.

Affinity Diagrams Affinity diagrams sort ideas into related groups for further analysis and review.

Group Decision-Making Techniques According to the PMBOK® Guide, several group decision-making techniques are used. The four methods mentioned are as follows:

  • Unanimity, where everyone agrees on the resolution or course of action
  • Majority, where more than 50 percent of the members support the resolution
  • Plurality, where the largest subgroup within the group makes the decision if a majority is not reached
  • Dictatorship, where one person makes the decision on behalf of the group

Outputs of Collect Requirements

For the exam, know the outputs of the Collect Requirements process, which are as follows:

Requirements Documentation This output involves recording the requirements in a requirements document. According to the PMBOK® Guide, this document includes at least the following elements:

  • Business need for the project and why it was undertaken
  • Objectives of the project and the business objectives the project hopes to fulfill
  • Functional requirements
  • Nonfunctional requirements
  • Quality requirements
  • Acceptance criteria
  • Business rules
  • Organizational areas and outside entities impacted
  • Support and training requirements
  • Assumptions and constraints
  • Signatures of the key stakeholders

Requirements Management Plan The requirements management plan defines how the requirements will be analyzed, documented, and managed throughout all phases of the project. The type of phase relationship used to manage the project will determine how requirements are managed throughout the project. A requirements management plan includes the following components:

  • How planning, tracking, and reporting of requirements activities will occur
  • How changes to the requirements will be requested, tracked, and analyzed along with other configuration management activities
  • How requirements will be prioritized
  • Which metrics will be used to trace product requirements
  • Which requirements attributes will be documented in the traceability matrix

Requirements Traceability Matrix The traceability matrix links requirements to business needs and project objectives and also documents the following:

  • Where the requirement originated
  • What the requirement will be traced to
  • Status updates all the way through delivery or completion
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According to the PMBOK® Guide, the requirements traceability matrix helps assure that business value is realized when the project is complete because each requirement is linked to a business and project objective.

Table 3-1 shows a sample traceability matrix with several attributes that identify the requirement.

Table 3-1: Requirements traceability matrix

Table 3-1

Here are the characteristics of a traceability matrix:

  • Each requirement should have its own unique identifier.
  • A brief description includes enough information to easily identify the requirement.
  • The source column refers to where the requirement originated.
  • Priority refers to the priority of the requirement.
  • The test scenario records how the requirement will be tested or during which project phase, and test verification indicates if it passes or fails the test.
  • Status may capture information about the requirement that refers to whether the requirement has been approved to be included in the project. Examples include added, deferred, and canceled.

Exam Essentials

Understand the purpose of collecting requirements. Requirements are collected to define and document the project sponsors’, customers’, and stakeholders’ expectations and needs for meeting the project objective.

Creating the Work Breakdown Structure

After requirements have been gathered, the next step is to begin breaking down and documenting the project and product’s scope. The end result will be a work breakdown structure (WBS), which is a deliverable-oriented, high-level decomposition of the project work. But before the WBS can be generated, there are a few additional steps that must be addressed:

  • The creation of a scope management plan
  • The creation and sign-off of the project scope statement
  • The creation of a scope baseline

Although the scope management plan isn’t a formal output of a process, it is an important document that exists prior to the start of any scope-related process. The project scope statement is an output of the Define Scope process and is where the project deliverables are documented along with the constraints and assumptions of the project. Once the project scope statement, WBS, and another output called the WBS dictionary are created, they become part of a scope baseline.

Understand the Scope Management Plan

As mentioned previously, the scope management plan is not an official output of a process, but it plays an important role within all of the Project Scope Management Knowledge Area processes. Plans not created out of a formal process are considered to be generated out of the Develop Project Management Plan process, which is high-level planning process that will be covered later in this chapter.

The scope management plan contains the following information:

  • The process used to prepare the project scope statement
  • A process for creating the work breakdown structure (WBS)
  • A definition of how the deliverables will be verified for accuracy and the process used for accepting deliverables
  • A description of the process for controlling scope change requests, including the procedure for requesting changes and how to obtain a change request form

Keep in mind that throughout the Project Scope Management Knowledge Area, the scope management plan serves as a guide for documenting and controlling the scope of the project.

Define Scope

The result and main objective of the Define Scope process is the creation of the project scope statement. The project scope statement is used to develop and document a detailed description of the deliverables of the project and the work needed to produce them. This process addresses the project objectives, requirements, constraints, assumptions, and other elements of writing the project scope statement and is progressively elaborated as more detail becomes known.

Figure 3-2 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Define Scope process.

Figure 3-2: Define Scope process

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For more detailed information on the Define Scope process, see Chapter 3 of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Define Scope

The Define Scope process has three inputs you should know:

Project Charter From within the project charter, this process primarily utilizes the project objectives. Objectives are quantifiable criteria used to measure project success. They describe what the project is trying to do, accomplish, or produce. Quantifiable criteria should at least include the following items:

  • Schedule
  • Cost
  • Quality measures
  • Business measures or quality targets (sometimes)

Requirements Documentation The requirements documentation includes elements such as functional and nonfunctional characteristics, quality metrics, and acceptance criteria. For a more detailed description, see “Outputs of Collect Requirements” earlier in this chapter.

Organizational Process Assets This process utilizes historical information from within the organizational process assets as well as policies, procedures, and project scope statement templates.

Tools and Techniques of Define Scope

Know the following tools and techniques that you will use during the Define Scope process:

Expert Judgment According to the PMBOK® Guide, the following items are examples of expert judgment utilized within this process:

  • Subject matter experts or consultants
  • Stakeholders
  • Industry groups and associations
  • Other departments or units internal to the organization

Product Analysis Product analysis is a method for converting the product description and project objectives into deliverables and requirements. According to the PMBOK® Guide, product analysis might include performing the following to further define the product or service:

  • Value analysis
  • Functional analysis
  • Requirements analysis
  • Systems-engineering techniques
  • Systems analysis
  • Product breakdown
  • Value-engineering techniques

Alternatives Identification Alternatives identification is a technique used for discovering different methods or ways of accomplishing the work of the project. Examples of alternatives identification are brainstorming and lateral thinking.

Lateral thinking is a process of separating problems, looking at them from angles other than their obvious presentation, and encouraging team members to come up with ways to solve problems that are not apparently obvious or look at scope in a different way. This can also be described as out-of-the-box thinking.

Facilitated Workshops Facilitated workshops involve stakeholders coming together to discuss and define requirements that affect more than one department.

Outputs of Define Scope

Know the following outputs of the Define Scope process:

Project Scope Statement The purpose of the project scope statement is to document the project objectives, deliverables, and the work required to produce the deliverables so that it can be used to direct the project team’s work and as a basis for future project decisions. The project scope statement is an agreement between the project organization and the customer that states precisely what the work of the project will produce.

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The project scope statement guides the work of the project team during the Executing process, and all change requests will be evaluated against the scope statement. The criteria outlined will also be used to determine whether the project was completed successfully.

According to the PMBOK® Guide, the project scope statement should include all of the following:

  • Product scope description
  • Product acceptance criteria
  • Project deliverables
  • Project exclusions
  • Project constraints
  • Project assumptions

Product Scope Description The product scope description describes the characteristics of the product, service, or result of the project.

Product Acceptance Criteria Product acceptance criteria include the process and criteria that will be used to determine whether the deliverables and the final product, service, or result of the project is acceptable and satisfactory.

Project Deliverables Deliverables are measurable outcomes, measurable results, or specific items that must be produced to consider the project or project phase completed. Deliverables should be specific, unique, and verifiable and may include supplementary outcomes.

Deliverables vs. Requirements

Deliverables describe the components of the goals and objectives in a quantifiable way. Requirements are the specifications of the deliverables. Select deliverables and requirements are sometimes referred to as critical success factors. Critical success factors are those elements that must be completed for the project to be considered complete.

Project Exclusions Project exclusions are anything that isn’t included as a deliverable or work of the project. Project exclusions should be noted in the project scope statement for stakeholder management purposes.

Project Constraints Anything that either restricts the actions of the project team or dictates the actions of the project team or the way the project should be performed is considered a constraint. The project manager must balance the project constraints while meeting or exceeding the expectations of the stakeholders.

Examples of project constraints include, but are not limited to, the following items:

  • Scope
  • Quality
  • Schedule
  • Budget
  • Resources
  • Risk

Project Assumptions Assumptions are things considered true, real, or certain, for planning purposes. Each project will have its own set of assumptions, and the assumptions should be identified, documented, validated, and updated throughout the project. Defining new assumptions and refining old ones are forms of progressive elaboration. The following list includes examples of assumptions:

  • Vendor delivery times
  • Product availability
  • Contractor availability
  • Accuracy of the project plan
  • Belief that key project members will perform adequately
  • Contract signing dates
  • Project start dates
  • Project phase start dates

Project Document Updates Project documents encompass those documents from within the project that are not plans or baselines. There may be several common updates and changes to project documents resulting from this process:

  • Original project objectives
  • Stakeholder register
  • Requirements documentation
  • Requirements traceability matrix
  • The scope statement as a result of approved changes
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In practice, the Define Scope process is performed before the Collect Requirements process. Deliverables must be identified before their detailed requirements are documented.

Create WBS

The Create WBS process takes the well-defined deliverables and requirements and begins the process of breaking down the work via a WBS. WBS stands for work breakdown structure, which defines the scope of the project and breaks down the deliverables into smaller, more manageable components of work that can be scheduled and estimated as well as easily assigned, monitored, and controlled. The WBS should detail the full scope of work needed to complete the project.

Figure 3-3 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Create WBS process.

Figure 3-3: Create WBS process

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Inputs of Create WBS

For the exam, know the following inputs of the Create WBS process:

Project Scope Statement The project scope statement contains information valuable to creating the WBS, most notably the list of project deliverables.

Requirements Documentation The requirements documentation describes how the requirements meet the business needs of the project.

Organizational Process Assets This process utilizes historical information from within the organizational process assets as well as policies, procedures, and WBS templates.

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For more detailed information on the Create WBS process, see Chapter 3 of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Tools and Techniques of Create WBS

The Create WBS process has only one tool and technique: decomposition.

Decomposition involves breaking down the project deliverables into smaller, more manageable components of work that can be easily planned, executed, monitored and controlled, and closed out.

The project manager typically decomposes the work with the help of the project team, whose members have expert knowledge of the work. Benefits of team involvement include a more realistic decomposition of the work and getting team buy-in.

Decomposition provides a way of managing the scope of the project and also does the following:

  • Improves estimates
  • More easily assigns performance measures and controls
  • Provides a baseline to compare against throughout the project or phase
  • Ensures that assignments go to the proper parties

According to the PMBOK® Guide, decomposition consists of the following five-step process:

1. Identify the deliverables and work.

2. Organize the WBS.

3. Decompose the WBS components into lower-level components.

4. Assign identification codes.

5. Verify the WBS.

Outputs of Create WBS

The Create WBS process has four outputs:

  • WBS
  • WBS dictionary
  • Scope baseline
  • Project document updates

Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) The following are various ways of organizing the WBS:

Major Deliverables The major deliverables of the project are used as the first level of decomposition in this structure.

Subprojects Another way to organize the work is by subprojects. Each of the subproject managers will develop a WBS for their subproject that details the work required for that deliverable.

Project Phases Many projects are structured or organized by project phases. Each phase listed here would be the first level of decomposition, and its deliverables would be the next level.

The following is a general description of the various levels within the WBS:

Level 1 According to the PMBOK® Guide, Level 1 of the WBS is the project level. The first level of decomposition, however, may be the second level of the WBS, which could include deliverables, phases, and subprojects—see Figure 3-4 for an example.

Figure 3-4: WBS Level 1 and Level 2

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Level 2 Level 2 and levels that follow show more and more detail. Each of these breakouts is called a level in the WBS. See Figures 3-5 and 3-6 for an example.

Figure 3-5: WBS Levels 1 through 3

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Figure 3-6: WBS Levels 1 through 4

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Lowest Level The lowest level of any WBS is called the work package level. The goal is to construct the WBS to the work package level where cost estimates and schedule dates can be estimated reliably and easily.

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Work packages are the components that can be easily assigned to one person, or a team of people, with clear accountability and responsibility for completing the assignment. The work package level will later be decomposed further into lists of activities.

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Collectively, all the levels of the WBS roll up to the top so that all the work of the project is captured. According to the PMBOK® Guide, this is known as the 100 percent rule.

Here are the other elements of the WBS that you should know:

WBS Templates Work breakdown structures can be constructed using WBS templates or the WBS from a similar completed project. Although every project is unique, many companies and industries perform the same kind of projects repeatedly.

Rolling Wave Planning Rolling wave planning is a process of elaborating deliverables, project phases, or subprojects in the WBS to differing levels of decomposition depending on the expected date of the work.

Unique WBS Identifiers Each element at each level of the WBS is generally assigned a unique identifier according to the PMBOK® Guide. Figure 3-7 shows what a WBS with unique identifiers displayed might look like.

Figure 3-7: Unique WBS identifiers

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WBS Dictionary The WBS dictionary is where work component descriptions are documented. According to the PMBOK® Guide, the WBS dictionary should include the following elements for each component of the WBS:

  • Code of accounts identifier
  • Description of the work of the component
  • Organization responsible for completing the component
  • List of schedule milestones
  • Schedule activities associated with the schedule milestones
  • Required resources
  • Cost estimates
  • Quality requirements
  • Criteria for acceptance
  • Technical references
  • Contract information

Scope Baseline The scope baseline for the project is the approved project scope statement, the WBS, and the WBS dictionary. These documents together describe in detail all the work of the project. These documents allow managers to carry out the following activities:

  • Document schedules
  • Assign resources
  • Monitor and control the project work

Project Document Updates The following documents may need to be updated as a result of this process:

  • Project scope statement
  • Project management plan
  • Any other project documents that should reflect approved changes to the project scope statement

Exam Essentials

Understand the purpose of the project scope statement. The scope statement serves as a common understanding of project scope among the stakeholders. The project objectives and deliverables and their quantifiable criteria are documented in the scope statement and are used by the project manager and the stakeholders to determine whether the project was completed successfully. It also serves as a basis for future project decisions.

Be able to define project constraints and assumptions. Project constraints limit the options of the project team and restrict their actions. Sometimes, constraints dictate actions. Common constraints include scope, quality, schedule, budget, resources, and risk. Assumptions are conditions that, for planning purposes, are presumed to be true, real, or certain.

Be able to describe the purpose of the scope management plan. The scope management plan has a direct influence on the project’s success and describes the process for determining project scope, facilitates creating the WBS, describes how the product or service of the project is verified and accepted, and documents how changes to scope will be handled. The scope management plan is a subsidiary plan of the project management plan.

Be able to define a WBS and its components. The WBS is a deliverable-oriented hierarchy. It uses the deliverables from the project scope statement or similar documents and decomposes them into logical, manageable units of work. The lowest level of any WBS is called a work package.

Developing a Cost Management Plan

The purpose of the cost management plan is, naturally, to create, monitor, and control the project costs. This plan is based on the project scope and documents the estimating techniques that will be used as well as how the cost-related processes will be carried out. Like the scope management plan, the cost management plan is not a formal output of a process but should be created prior to beginning the Project Cost Management Knowledge Area processes.

The project budget is created by carrying out two planning processes:

  • Estimate Costs, which estimates how much each activity will cost
  • Determine Budget, which aggregates the total cost estimates plus contingency reserves to create the project budget

The project budget is referred to as the cost performance baseline, which, along with the cost management plan, becomes a part of the project management plan.

Understand the Cost Management Plan

Although not an official output of a process, the cost management plan plays an important role within all of the Project Cost Management Knowledge Area processes. The cost management plan is created during the Develop Project Management Plan process and is a subsidiary plan of the project management plan (as all subplans are). The cost management plan contains the following information:

  • Level of accuracy
  • Units of measure
  • Organizational procedures links
  • Control thresholds
  • Rules of performance measurement
  • Reporting formats
  • Process descriptions

Using the preceding components, the cost management plan will guide the project management team in carrying out the three cost-related processes.

Estimate Costs

The purpose of the Estimate Costs process is to develop cost estimates for resources, both human and material, required for all schedule activities and the overall project. This includes weighing alternative options and examining risks and trade-offs. The cost-related processes are governed by the cost management plan, which establishes the format and conditions used to plan for project costs. It also outlines how you will estimate, budget, and control project costs.

Figure 3-8 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Estimate Costs process.

Figure 3-8: Estimate Costs process

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For more detailed information on the Estimate Costs process, see Chapter 5, “Developing the Project Budget,” of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Estimate Costs

There are six inputs of the Estimate Costs process that you should be familiar with:

  • Scope baseline
  • Project schedule
  • Human resource plan
  • Risk register
  • Enterprise environmental factors
  • Organizational process assets

Scope Baseline The following are included within the scope baseline and utilized in creating cost estimates:

  • Project scope statement (key deliverables, constraints, and assumptions)
  • WBS, which serves as the basis for estimating costs (project deliverables, control accounts)
  • WBS dictionary
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Scope definition is a key component of determining the estimated costs and should be completed early within the project.

Project Schedule Activity resource requirements and activity duration estimates are the key outputs that should be considered when estimating costs.

Human Resource Plan For the purposes of the Estimate Costs process, the following elements of the human resource plan should be considered:

  • Personnel rates
  • Project staffing attributes
  • Employee recognition or rewards programs

Risk Register From within the risk register, the cost of mitigating risks will be utilized for estimating costs, particularly the risks with negative impacts to the project.

Enterprise Environmental Factors According to the PMBOK® Guide, the following enterprise environmental factors should be considered in this process:

  • Market conditions, which help you to understand the materials, goods, and services available in the market and what terms and conditions exist to procure those resources.
  • Published commercial information, which refers to resource cost rates. These are obtained from commercial databases or published seller price lists.

Organizational Process Assets The organizational process assets considered include historical information and lessons learned on previous projects of similar scope and complexity. Also useful are cost-estimating worksheets from past projects as templates for the current project.

Tools and Techniques of Estimate Costs

The following list includes the tools and techniques of the Estimate Costs process:

  • Expert judgment
  • Analogous estimating
  • Parametric estimating
  • Bottom-up estimating
  • Three-point estimates
  • Reserve analysis
  • Cost of quality
  • Project management estimating software
  • Vendor bid analysis

Expert Judgment Cost estimates from individuals who have previous experience in past similar projects can be utilized. Information from those who have experience in performing the activities becomes valuable for calculating accurate estimates.

Analogous Estimating Analogous estimating, also called top-down estimating, is a form of expert judgment. This technique uses actual costs of a similar activity completed on a previous project to determine the cost estimate of the current activity. It can be used when the previous activities being compared are similar to the activities being estimated. Analogous estimating may also be useful when detailed information about the project is not yet available. Top-down estimating techniques are also used to estimate total project cost to look at the estimate as a whole. While analogous estimating is considered to be a quick and low-cost estimating technique, it is low in accuracy.

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The PMBOK® Guide states that analogous estimating can also be used to determine overall project duration and cost estimates for the entire project (or phases of the project).

Parametric Estimating Parametric estimating uses historical information and statistical data to calculate cost estimates. For a complete description of parametric estimating, see “Tools and Techniques of Estimate Activity Durations” later in this chapter.

Bottom-Up Estimating This technique estimates costs associated with every activity individually by decomposing that activity into smaller pieces of work until the cost of the work can be confidently estimated. The costs of the activity are then rolled up to the original activity level.

Three-Point Estimates Three-point estimates are used in this process when the project team is attempting to improve estimates and account for risk and estimate uncertainty.

Reserve Analysis During this process, cost reserves (or contingencies) are added. Cost contingencies can be aggregated and assigned to a schedule activity or a WBS work package level. This reserve is added to account for existing risk.

Cost of Quality The cost of quality (COQ) is the total cost to produce the product or service of the project according to the quality standards. You can find additional information on cost of quality in “Tools and Techniques of Plan Quality” later in this chapter.

Project Management Estimating Software The project management estimating software tool can help quickly determine estimates given different variables and alternatives.

Vendor Bid Analysis Vendor bid analysis involves gathering information from vendors to help establish cost estimates. This can be accomplished by requesting bids or quotes or working with some of the trusted vendor sources for estimates.

Outputs of Estimate Costs

The following are three outputs that result from the Estimate Costs process:

  • Activity cost estimates
  • Basis of estimates
  • Project document updates

Activity Cost Estimates Activity cost estimates are quantitative amounts that reflect the cost of the resources needed to complete the project activities. The following resources are commonly needed:

  • Human resources
  • Material
  • Equipment
  • Information technology needs
  • Any contingency reserve amounts and inflation factors

Basis of Estimates Basis of estimates is the supporting detail for the activity cost estimates and includes any information that describes how the estimates were developed, what assumptions were made during the Estimate Costs process, and any other details needed. According to the PMBOK® Guide, the basis of estimates should include the following as a minimum:

  • Description of how the estimate was developed or the basis for the estimate
  • Description of the assumptions made about the estimates or the method used to determine them
  • Description of the constraints
  • Range of possible results
  • Confidence level regarding the final estimates

Project Document Updates Updates to project documents, as a result of determining cost estimates, commonly include the following to account for cost variances and refined estimates:

  • Project budget
  • Risk register

Determine Budget

The Determine Budget process is primarily concerned with determining the cost performance baseline, which represents the project budget. This process aggregates the cost estimates of activities and establishes a cost performance baseline for the project that is used to measure performance of the project throughout the remaining process groups. By the end of this process, the project schedule and the project budget will both have been created.

Figure 3-9 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Determine Budget process.

Figure 3-9: Determine Budget process

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For more detailed information on the Determine Budget process, see Chapter 5 of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Determine Budget

The Determine Budget process contains seven inputs:

  • Activity cost estimates
  • Basis of estimates
  • Scope baseline
  • Project schedule
  • Resource calendars
  • Contracts
  • Organizational process assets

Activity Cost Estimates Activity cost estimates are determined for each activity within a work package and then summed to determine the total estimate for a work package. This information is essential to creating a project budget.

Basis of Estimates Basis of estimates contains all the supporting detail regarding the estimates. Assumptions regarding indirect costs and whether they will be included in the project budget should be considered. Indirect costs cannot be directly linked to any one project but are allocated among several projects.

Scope Baseline When determining the budget, the following is utilized within the scope baseline:

  • Project scope statement (describes the constraints of the project)
  • WBS (shows how the project deliverables are related to their components and typically provides control account information)
  • WBS dictionary

Project Schedule The schedule contains information that is helpful in developing the budget, such as start and end dates for activities, milestones, and so on. Based on the information in the schedule, budget expenditures for calendar periods can be determined.

Resource Calendars Resource calendars help determine costs in calendar periods and over the length of the project because they describe what resources are needed for the project.

Contracts Contracts include cost information that should be included in the overall project budget.

Organizational Process Assets The organizational process assets utilized include the following items:

  • Cost budgeting tools
  • Policies and procedures of the organization regarding budgeting exercises
  • Reporting methods
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Outputs from other planning processes, including Create WBS, Develop Schedule, and Estimate Costs, must be completed prior to working on Determine Budget because some of their outputs become the inputs to this process.

Tools and Techniques of Determine Budget

Know the following tools and techniques of the Determine Budget process for the exam:

  • Cost aggregation
  • Reserve analysis
  • Expert judgment
  • Historical relationships
  • Funding limit reconciliation

Cost Aggregation Cost aggregation is the process of tallying the schedule activity cost estimates at the work package level and then totaling the work package levels to higher-level WBS component levels. All costs can then be aggregated to obtain a total project cost.

Reserve Analysis Within this process, reserve analysis plans contingency reserves for unplanned project scope and project costs. Contingency reserves are included as part of the cost performance baseline, while management reserves are not.

Expert Judgment Expert judgment in calculating the project budget will include information from those with past experience in conducting similar projects.

Historical Relationships Analogous estimates and parametric estimates can be used to help determine total project costs. Actual costs from previous projects of similar size, scope, and complexity are used to estimate the costs for the current project. This is helpful when detailed information about the project is not available or it’s early in the project phases and not much information is known.

Funding Limit Reconciliation Funding limit reconciliation involves reconciling the amount of funds to be spent with the amount of funds budgeted for the project. The organization or the customer sets these limits. Reconciling the project expenses will require adjusting the schedule so that the expenses can be smoothed. This can be done by placing imposed date constraints on work packages or other WBS components in the project schedule.

Outputs of Determine Budget

There are three outputs of the Determine Budget process:

Cost Performance Baseline The cost performance baseline provides the basis for measurement, over time, of the expected cash flows (or funding disbursements) against the requirements. Adding the costs of the WBS elements by time periods develops the cost performance baseline. This is also known as the project’s time-phased budget. Most projects span some length of time, and most organizations time the funding with the project.

Cost performance baselines can be displayed graphically, as shown in Figure 3-10.

The cost performance baseline should contain the costs for all of the expected work on the project, as well as the contingency reserves set aside to account for known risks. Large projects may have more than one cost performance baseline.

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Cost performance baselines are displayed as an S curve. The reason for this is that project spending starts out slowly, gradually increases over the project’s life until it reaches a peak, and then tapers off again as the project wraps up.

Figure 3-10: Cost performance baseline

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Project Funding Requirements Project funding requirements describe the need for funding over the course of the project and are derived from the cost performance baseline. Funding requirements can be expressed in monthly, quarterly, or annual increments or other increments that are appropriate for your project.

Figure 3-11 shows the cost performance baseline, the funding requirements, and the expected cash flows plotted on the S curve. This example shows a negative amount of management reserve. The difference between the funding requirements and the cost performance baseline at the end of a project is the management reserve. Management reserves are set aside to deal with unknown-unknown risks.

Figure 3-11: Cost performance baseline, funding requirements, and cash flow

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Project Document Updates The following project documents require updates as a result of carrying out this process:

  • Cost management plan
  • Any other project documents that include cost estimates

Exam Essentials

Be able to identify and describe the primary output of the Estimate Costs process. The primary output of Estimate Costs is activity cost estimates. These estimates are quantitative amounts—usually stated in monetary units—that reflect the cost of the resources needed to complete the project activities.

Be able to identify the tools and techniques of the Estimate Costs process. The tools and techniques of Estimate Costs are expert judgment, analogous estimating, parametric estimating, bottom-up estimating, three-point estimate, reserve analysis, cost of quality, project management estimating software, and vendor bid analysis.

Be able to identify the tools and techniques of the Determine Budget process. The tools and techniques of Determine Budget are cost aggregation, reserve analysis, expert judgment, historical relationships, and funding limit reconciliation.

Be able to describe the cost performance baseline. The cost performance baseline is the authorized, time-phased cost of the project when using budget-at-completion calculations. The cost performance baseline is displayed as an S curve.

Be able to describe project funding requirements. Project funding requirements are an output of the Determine Budget process. They detail the funding requirements needed on the project by time period (monthly, quarterly, annually).

Developing a Project Schedule

Like the Project Scope and Project Cost Management Knowledge Areas, the Project Time Management Knowledge Area also has a plan that guides the processes within it: the schedule management plan. Similar to the scope and cost management plans, it is not a formal output of a process, but it plays an important role in guiding the project management team in carrying out the six time-related processes.

Developing a schedule consists of five steps, each carried out through a formal planning process:

  • Define Activities, which breaks down the work packages of the WBS into detailed work (activities) to be carried out by project team members
  • Sequence Activities, which places the activities into a logical order based on existing dependencies
  • Estimate Activity Resources, which estimates the type and quantity of resources needed to carry out each activity
  • Estimate Activity Durations, which estimates how long each activity will take
  • Develop Schedule, which produces an accepted and signed-off project schedule

Through the use of the planning processes noted, the project management team builds a schedule that is based on the project’s timeline, scope, and resource plan to arrive at the timely completion of the project. The accepted and signed-off version of the project schedule becomes the schedule baseline.

Understand Schedule Management Plan

The schedule management plan should be created prior to beginning any of the time-related processes and early within the planning stages of a project. The plan is responsible for guiding the creation, management, and control of the project schedule.

According to the PMBOK® Guide, this plan consists of the following elements:

  • Scheduling methodology
  • Scheduling tool
  • Schedule format
  • Criteria for developing and controlling the project schedule
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The Develop Project Management Plan process is responsible for any plan that is not formally created as an output of another process. This is most notably the case for the scope, cost, and schedule management plans. The Develop Project Management Plan process is the second process of the Project Integration Management Knowledge Area and is responsible for creating the project management plan.

Define Activities

The purpose of the Define Activities process is to decompose the work packages into schedule activities where the basis for estimating, scheduling, executing, and monitoring and controlling the work of the project is easily supported and accomplished. This process documents the specific activities needed to fulfill the deliverables detailed in the WBS. By the end of this process, the project team will have defined a list of activities, their characteristics, and a milestones list.

Figure 3-12 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Define Activities process.

Figure 3-12: Define Activities process

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For more detailed information on the Define Activities process, see Chapter 4, “Creating the Project Schedule,” of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Define Activities

You should know the following inputs of the Define Activities process:

Scope Baseline Utilized and considered from within the scope baseline are the following:

  • Work packages, from within the WBS
  • Constraints and assumptions, from within the project scope statement

Enterprise Environmental Factors Utilized from within the enterprise environmental factors is the project management information system.

Organizational Process Assets The organizational process assets provide existing guidelines and policies, historical project documents (such as partial activity lists from previous projects), and a lessons-learned knowledge base, which are used for defining the project activities.

Tools and Techniques of Define Activities

There are four tools and techniques within the Define Activities process that you can utilize:

  • Decomposition
  • Rolling wave planning
  • Templates
  • Expert judgment

Decomposition Decomposition in this process involves breaking the work packages into smaller, more manageable units of work called activities. Activities are individual units of work that must be completed to fulfill the deliverables listed in the WBS.

Rolling Wave Planning Rolling wave planning is a form of progressive elaboration that involves planning near-term work in more detail than future-term work.

Templates Templates utilized from within this process include activity lists from previous projects.

Expert Judgment Expert judgment helps define activities and involves project team members with prior experience developing project scope statements and WBSs.

Outputs of Define Activities

The following are outputs of the Define Activities process:

Activity List Activity lists contain all the schedule activities that will be performed for the project, with a scope-of-work description of each activity and an identifier so that team members understand what the work is and how it is to be completed.

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The schedule activities are individual elements of the project schedule.

Activity Attributes Activity attributes describe the characteristics of the activities and are an extension of the activity list. Activity attributes will change over the life of the project, as more information is known.

During the early stages of the project, activity attributes typically consist of the following:

  • Activity ID
  • WBS identification code it’s associated with
  • Activity name

As the project progresses, the following activity attributes may be added:

  • Predecessor and successor activities
  • Logical relationships
  • Leads and lags
  • Resource requirements
  • Constraints and assumptions associated with the activity

Milestone List Milestones are major accomplishments of the project and mark the completion of major deliverables or some other key event in the project. The milestone list documents several things:

  • Records the accomplishments
  • Documents whether a milestone is mandatory or optional
  • Becomes part of the project management plan
  • Helps develop the project schedule
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In practice, the Define Activities process and Sequence Activities process may be combined into one process or step.

Sequence Activities

The Sequence Activities process takes the identified schedule activities from the Define Activities process, sequences them in logical order, and identifies any dependencies that exist among the activities. The interactivity of logical relationships must be sequenced correctly in order to facilitate the development of a realistic, achievable project schedule. The end of this process results in the creation of project schedule network diagrams, which visually show the sequence of activities and their dependencies.

Figure 3-13 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Sequence Activities process.

Figure 3-13: Sequence Activities process

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For more detailed information on the Sequence Activities process, see Chapter 4 of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Sequence Activities

Within the Sequence Activities process, you will utilize the following inputs:

  • Activity list
  • Activity attributes
  • Milestone list
  • Project scope statement
  • Organizational process assets

Activity List To sequence activities, you would first need to acquire the activity list as an input. The activity list includes the activities along with their identifiers and a description of the work’s scope.

Activity Attributes Activity attributes may reveal information on the sequencing of activities, such as through predecessor or successor relationships.

Milestone List Milestone lists may contain milestones with scheduled dates. These dates might impact the sequencing of activities.

Project Scope Statement The product scope description within the project scope statement includes product details that may be used for sequencing activities.

Organizational Process Assets The project files found within the corporate knowledge base are utilized from within the organizational process assets for scheduling purposes.

Tools and Techniques of Sequence Activities

You will need to be familiar with the following tools and techniques of the Sequence Activities process:

  • Dependency determination
  • Precedence diagramming method (PDM)
  • Applying leads and lags
  • Schedule network templates

Dependency Determination Dependencies are relationships between the activities in which one activity is dependent on another to complete an action, or perhaps an activity is dependent on another to start an action before it can proceed. Dependency determination is a matter of determining where those dependencies exist.

The following are three types of dependencies, defined by characteristics:

Mandatory Dependencies Mandatory dependencies, also known as hard logic or hard dependencies, are defined by the type of work being performed. The nature of the work itself dictates the order in which the activities should be performed.

Discretionary Dependencies Discretionary dependencies are defined by the project team. Discretionary dependencies are also known as preferred logic, soft logic, or preferential logic. These are usually process- or procedure-driven or best-practice techniques based on past experience.

External Dependencies External dependencies are external to the project. The PMBOK® Guide points out that even though the dependency is external to the project (and therefore a non-project activity), it impacts project activities.

Precedence Diagramming Method The precedence diagramming method (PDM) uses boxes or rectangles to represent the activities (called nodes). The nodes are connected with arrows showing the dependencies between the activities. This method is also called activity on node (AON). PDM uses only onetime estimates to determine duration.

The following information is displayed on a node:

  • Activity name (required)
  • Activity number (optional)
  • Start and stop dates (optional)
  • Due dates (optional)
  • Slack time (optional)
  • Any additional or relevant information (optional)

The following illustration shows a general example of a PDM, or AON.

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The PDM is further defined by the following four types of dependencies, also known as logical relationships:

Finish-to-Start The finish-to-start (FS) relationship is the most frequently used relationship. In this relationship, the predecessor—or from activity—must finish before the successor—or to activity—can start.

Start-to-Finish In the start-to-finish (SF) relationship, the predecessor activity must start before the successor activity can finish. This logical relationship is seldom used.

Finish-to-Finish In the finish-to-finish (FF) relationship, the predecessor activity must finish before the successor activity finishes.

Start-to-Start In the start-to-start (SS) relationship, the predecessor activity must start before the successive activity can start.

Arrow Diagramming Method The arrow diagramming method (ADM) technique isn’t used nearly as often as PDM. ADM is visually the opposite of the PDM. The arrow diagramming method places activities on the arrows, which are connected to dependent activities with nodes. This method is also called activity on arrow (AOA). Characteristics of the ADM technique are as follows:

  • ADM allows for more than onetime estimates to determine duration and uses only the finish-to-start dependency.
  • Dummy activities may be plugged into the diagram to accurately display the dependencies.

The following illustration shows a general example of the ADM method.

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The following illustration is meant to help you remember the difference between PDM and ADM for the exam.

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Applying Leads and Lags Leads and lags should be considered when determining dependencies:

Leads Leads speed up the successor activities and require time to be subtracted from the start date or the finish date of the activity you’re scheduling.

Lags Lags delay successor activities (those that follow a predecessor activity) and require time added either to the start date or to the finish date of the activity being scheduled.

Schedule Network Templates Schedule network diagrams from previous similar projects can be used as templates.

Outputs of Sequence Activities

There are two outputs of the sequence activities process that you should be familiar with:

Project Schedule Network Diagrams Like the WBS, the project schedule network diagrams might contain all the project details or contain only summary-level details, depending on the complexity of the project. Summary-level activities are a collection of related activities also known as hammocks. Hammocks are a group of related activities rolled up into a summary heading that describes the activities likely to be contained in that grouping.

Project Document Updates The following project documents may require updates as a result of this process:

  • Activity lists
  • Activity attributes
  • Risk register (for an introduction to the risk register, see “Outputs of Identify Risks” later in this chapter)

Figure 3-14 shows the position of the Sequence Activities process in relation to the other time management processes.

Figure 3-14: Order of Sequence Activities process

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Estimate Activity Resources

After the activities are sequenced, the next steps involve estimating the resources and estimating the durations of the activities so that they can be plugged into the project schedule. The Estimate Activity Resources process is concerned with determining the types and quantities of resources (both human and materials) needed for each schedule activity within a work package.

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The term resource refers to all the physical resources required to complete the project. The PMBOK® Guide defines resources as people, equipment, and materials.

Figure 3-15 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Estimate Activity Resources process.

Figure 3-15: Estimate Activity Resources process

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For more detailed information on the Estimate Activity Resources process, see Chapter 4 of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Estimate Activity Resources

You should know the following inputs for the Estimate Activity Resources process:

  • Activity list
  • Activity attributes
  • Resource calendars
  • Enterprise environmental factors
  • Organizational process assets

Activity List The activity list is necessary to know which activities will need resources.

Activity Attributes The activity attributes provide the details necessary to come up with an estimate of the resources needed per activity.

Resource Calendars Resource calendars describe the time frames in which resources are available and include the following:

  • Skills
  • Abilities
  • Quantity
  • Availability

Resource calendars also examine the quantity, capability, and availability of equipment and material resources that have a potential to impact the project schedule.

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Resource calendars are an output of the Acquire Project Team and Conduct Procurements processes. Both of these processes are performed during the Executing process group. For additional information on these processes, see Chapter 4 within this book.

Enterprise Environmental Factors Information on the resource availability and skills can be obtained through enterprise environmental factors.

Organizational Process Assets Information from previous similar projects, and policies and procedures relating to staffing and equipment purchase and rental, are utilized from within the organizational process assets.

Tools and Techniques of Estimate Activity Resources

There are several tools and techniques within the Estimate Activity Resources process:

  • Expert judgment
  • Alternatives analysis
  • Published estimating data
  • Bottom-up estimating
  • Project management software

Expert Judgment Individuals with experience and knowledge of resource planning and estimating can be tapped for information and guidance utilized within this process.

Alternatives Analysis Alternatives analysis helps to make decisions about the possible resource types (such as expert or novice) and methods that are available to accomplish the activities. Make-or-buy analysis can also be used for decisions regarding resources.

Published Estimating Data Estimating data might include organizational guidelines, industry rates or estimates, production rates, and so on.

Bottom-Up Estimating Bottom-up estimating is used when an activity cannot be confidently estimated. With the help of experts, the activity is broken down into smaller components of work for estimating purposes and then rolled back up to the original activity level. This is an accurate means of estimating, but it can be time-consuming and costly.

Project Management Software Within this process, project management software can help in the following ways:

  • Plan, organize, and estimate resource needs
  • Document resource availability
  • Create resource breakdown structures
  • Create resource rates
  • Create resource calendars

Outputs of Estimate Activity Resources

Three outputs result from carrying out the Estimate Activity Resources process:

Activity Resource Requirements Activity resource requirements describe the types of resources and the quantity needed for each activity associated with a work package. The description should include the following:

  • How estimates were determined
  • Information used to form the estimate
  • Assumptions made about the resources and their availability
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Work package estimates are derived by taking a cumulative total of all the schedule activities within the work package.

Resource Breakdown Structure The resource breakdown structure (RBS) is a hierarchical structure that lists resources by category and type. Figure 3-16 illustrates a basic example of what an RBS may look like.

Figure 3-16: Resource breakdown structure

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Here are some examples of categories:

  • Labor
  • Hardware
  • Equipment
  • Supplies

Here are some examples of types:

  • Skill levels
  • Quality grades
  • Cost

Project Document Updates Project document updates include updates to the following items:

  • Activity list
  • Activity attributes
  • Resource calendars

Estimate Activity Durations

The Estimate Activity Durations process attempts to estimate the work effort, resources, and number of work periods needed to complete each activity. These are quantifiable estimates expressed as the number of work periods needed to complete a schedule activity. Estimates are progressively elaborated, typically starting at a fairly high level, and as more and more details are known about the deliverables and their associated activities, the estimates become more accurate.

Figure 3-17 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Estimate Activity Durations process.

Figure 3-17: Estimate Activity Durations process

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For more detailed information on the Estimate Activity Durations process, see Chapter 4 of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Estimate Activity Durations

There are several inputs of the Estimate Activity Durations process that you should be familiar with:

  • Activity list
  • Activity attributes
  • Activity resource requirements
  • Resource calendars
  • Project scope statement
  • Enterprise environmental factors
  • Organizational process assets

Activity List The list of activities is necessary to estimate the activity durations.

Activity Attributes Information included within the activity attributes will influence the activity duration estimates.

Activity Resource Requirements The availability of the assigned resources will impact the duration of the activities.

Resource Calendars Information utilized from the resource calendars that influences this process is as follows:

  • Type, availability, and capability of human resources
  • Type, availability, capability, and quantity of equipment and material resources

Project Scope Statement Constraints and assumptions are considered when estimating activity durations.

Enterprise Environmental Factors Enterprise environmental factors utilized include the following items:

  • Internal reference data for estimating durations
  • External reference data available commercially
  • Defined productivity metrics

Organizational Process Assets The following organizational process assets are utilized:

  • Historical information from previous similar projects, including duration information, project calendars, and lessons learned
  • Scheduling methodology

Tools and Techniques of Estimate Activity Durations

The five tools and techniques of the Estimate Activity Durations process are as follows:

  • Expert judgment
  • Analogous estimating
  • Parametric estimating
  • Three-point estimates
  • Reserve analysis

Expert Judgment Expert judgment used includes staff members who will perform the activities and is based on their experience with past similar activities. When estimating durations, experts should consider the following:

  • Resource levels
  • Resource productivity
  • Resource capability
  • Risks
  • Any other factors that can impact estimates

Analogous Estimating Analogous estimating is commonly used when little detail is available on the project. For a complete description of analogous estimating, see “Tools and Techniques of Estimate Costs” earlier in this chapter.

Parametric Estimating Parametric estimating is a quantitatively based estimating method that multiplies the quantity of work by the rate. It is considered to be a quick and low-cost estimating technique, with a good level of accuracy when used with actual historical data and current market conditions that take inflation or other factors into consideration. The best way to describe it is with an example.

Activity: install 15 10×10 drapes.

Average time to install 1 10×10 drape, based on previous experience: 30 minutes.

Estimate: Therefore, installing 15 drapes at an average 30-minute installation time per drape results in an estimated duration of 7.5 hours.

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The PMBOK® Guide states that parametric estimating can also be used to determine time estimates for the entire project or portions of the project.

Three-Point Estimates Three-point estimates use the average of the following three estimates to result in a final estimate:

Most Likely (ML) The estimate assumes there are no disasters and the activity can be completed as planned.

Optimistic (O) This represents the fastest time frame in which your resource can complete the activity.

Pessimistic (P) The estimate assumes the worst happens and it takes much longer than planned to get the activity completed.

The concept of the three-point estimate comes from the Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT), which uses the following formula to determine the weighted average using the three duration estimates:

(Optimistic + 4 × (Most Likely) + Pessimistic) ÷ 6

In the following example, the Most Likely (ML) estimate = 15, the Optimistic (O) estimate = 11, and the Pessimistic (P) estimate = 19.

(11 + 4(15) + 19) ÷ 6

Thus, the activity duration = 15.

Reserve Analysis Reserve time—also called buffer/time reserves or contingency reserve in the PMBOK® Guide—is the portion of time added to the activity to account for schedule risk or uncertainty. To make sure the project schedule is not impacted, a reserve time of the original estimate is built in to account for the problems that may be encountered.

Original activity duration to install 15 10×10 drapes: 7.5 hours.

10 percent reserve time added: 45 minutes.

Estimate: Therefore, the new activity duration is adjusted to include the reserve, resulting in an estimated duration of 8.25 hours.

Outputs of Estimate Activity Durations

There are two outputs of the Estimate Activity Durations process you should know:

  • Activity duration estimates
  • Project document updates

Activity Duration Estimates Activity duration estimates are estimates of the required work periods needed to complete the activity. This is a quantitative measure usually expressed in hours, weeks, days, or months.

Final estimates should contain a range of possible results, such as X hours ± 10 hours, or a percentage may be used to express the range.

Original activity duration to install 15 10×10 drapes: 7.5 hours.

Final estimate: 7.5 hours ± 1 hour. Therefore, the activity may take as little as 6.5 hours or as much as 8.5 hours.

Project Document Updates The following information may need to be revisited and updated as a result of this process:

  • Activity attributes
  • Assumptions made regarding resource availability and skill levels

Develop Schedule

The purpose of the Develop Schedule process is to create the project schedule. Here, start and finish dates are created, activity sequences and durations are finalized, and the critical path is determined. The Develop Schedule process cannot be completed until the following processes of project planning have occurred:

  • Collect requirements
  • Define scope
  • Create WBS
  • Define activities
  • Sequence activities
  • Estimate activity durations
  • Develop human resource plan

Figure 3-18 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Develop Schedule process.

Figure 3-18: Develop Schedule process

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For more detailed information on the Develop Schedule process, see Chapter 4 of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Develop Schedule

The Develop Schedule process has nine inputs you should be familiar with:

  • Activity list
  • Activity attributes
  • Project schedule network diagrams
  • Activity resource requirements
  • Resource calendars
  • Activity duration estimates
  • Project scope statement
  • Enterprise environmental factors
  • Organizational process assets

Activity List Developing the project schedule requires the project activities, which are obtained from the activity list developed in the Define Activities process.

Activity Attributes Activity attributes provide the necessary details of the project activities, which will be utilized in creating the project schedule.

Project Schedule Network Diagrams The sequence of events will be important in creating the project schedule. The activity sequence and existing dependencies can be obtained from the project schedule network diagrams. For a more complete description of the project schedule network diagrams, see “Outputs of Sequence Activities” earlier in this chapter.

Activity Resource Requirements Activity resource requirements will provide the types and quantity of resources needed for creating the project schedule.

Resource Calendars Resource calendars display availability of project team members, which will help to avoid schedule conflicts.

Activity Duration Estimates Activity duration estimates will provide the time to complete each activity that is needed to assign start and finish dates.

Project Scope Statement Constraints and assumptions are utilized from within the project scope statement. The following time constraints are important to this process:

  • Imposed dates to restrict the start or finish date of activities
  • Key events/major milestones to ensure the completion of specific deliverables by a specific date

Enterprise Environmental Factors Existing holidays and other external information that could impact the project schedule may be utilized from within the enterprise environmental factors.

Organizational Process Assets Within the organizational process assets, project calendars may exist that provide information on working days and shifts that can be utilized in this process.

Tools and Techniques of Develop Schedule

The Develop Schedule process has several tools and techniques you may use:

  • Schedule network analysis
  • Critical path method
  • Critical chain method
  • Resource leveling
  • What-if scenario analysis
  • Applying leads and lags
  • Schedule compression
  • Scheduling tool

Schedule Network Analysis Schedule network analysis involves calculating early and late start dates and early and late finish dates for project activities to generate the project schedule. In short, it generates the schedule through the use of the following analytical techniques and methods:

  • Critical path method
  • Critical chain method
  • What-if scenario analysis
  • Resource leveling
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Calculations are performed without taking resource limitations into consideration, so the dates are theoretical. Resource limitations and other constraints are taken into consideration during the outputs of this process.

Critical Path Method Critical path method (CPM), a schedule network analysis technique, determines the amount of float, or schedule flexibility, for each of the network paths by calculating the earliest start date, earliest finish date, latest start date, and latest finish date for each activity. This technique relies on sequential networks and a single duration estimate for each activity. PDM can be used to perform CPM. Here is some information related to CPM that you should know:

Critical Path The critical path (CP) is generally the longest full path on the project. Any project activity with a float time that equals zero is considered a critical path task. The critical path can change under the following conditions:

  • When activities become tasks on the critical path as a result of having used up all their float time
  • When a milestone on the critical path is not met

Float There are two types of float time, also called slack time:

  • Total float (TF), or the amount of time you can delay the earliest start of a task without delaying the ending of the project
  • Free float (FF), or the amount of time you can delay the start of a task without delaying the earliest start of a successor task

Calculating the Forward and Backward Pass A forward pass is used to calculate the early start and early finish date of each activity on a network diagram. To calculate a forward pass, follow these steps:

1. Begin with the first activity.

2. The calculation of the first activity begins with an early start date of zero. Add the duration of the activity to determine the early finish.

3. The early start date of the next activity is the early finish date of the previous activity. Continue calculating the early start and early finish dates forward through all the network paths while following the existing dependencies.

4. When an activity has two connecting predecessors, the early start date would be the early finish of the predecessor that finishes last. (For example, suppose activity A has an early finish of 4 and activity B has an early finish of 5. If activities A and B both converge at activity C, then activity C would have an early start date of 5.)

A backward pass is used to calculate the late start and late finish date of each activity on a network diagram. To calculate a backward pass, follow these steps:

1. Begin with the last activity. The late finish will be the same as the early finish date.

2. Subtract the duration of the activity from the end date to calculate late start. This becomes the late finish of its predecessors.

3. Continue calculating the latest start and latest finish dates moving backward through all of the network paths.

4. When an activity has two connecting predecessors, the late finish date would be the late start of the activity that follows. (For example, if activity C has a late start of 7 and both activity A and activity B connect to activity C, the late finish of both activity A and B would be 7.)

Figure 3-19 summarizes a forward and backward pass.

Figure 3-19: Forward and backward pass

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Calculating the Critical Path A critical path task is any task that cannot be changed without impacting the project end date. By definition, these are all tasks with zero float. To determine the CP duration of the project, add the duration of every activity with zero float.

Another way to determine the critical path is by determining the longest path within the network diagram. This can be done by adding the duration of all the activities within each path of the network.

Using Table 3-2, set up a network diagram using the activity number, activity description, dependency, and duration. Next, practice calculating the early start, early finish, late start, and late finish dates. Check your answers against the dates shown on the chart and by referencing Figure 3-20.

Figure 3-20: Critical path diagram

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Table 3-2: CPM calculation

Table 3-2

Calculating Expected Value Using PERT PERT and CPM are similar techniques: CPM uses the most likely duration to determine project duration, while PERT uses what’s called expected value (or the weighted average). Expected value is calculated using the three-point estimates for activity duration.

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For an explanation of how to calculate three-point estimates, see the tools and techniques of the Estimate Activity Durations process.

Calculating Standard Deviation The formula for standard deviation is as follows:

(Pessimistic – Optimistic) / 6

For data that fits a bell curve, the following is true:

  • Work will finish within ± 3 standard deviations 99.73 percent of the time.
  • Work will finish within ± 2 standard deviations 95.44 percent of the time.
  • Work will finish within ± 1 standard deviation 68.26 percent of the time.

Standard Deviation

The higher the standard deviation is for an activity, the higher the risk. Since standard deviation measures the difference between the pessimistic and the optimistic times, a greater spread between the two, which results in a higher number, indicates a greater risk. Conversely, a low standard deviation means less risk.

One standard deviation gives you a 68 percent (rounded) probability, and two standard deviations give you a 95 percent (rounded) probability. For an example of calculating date ranges for project durations, see Chapter 4 of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Critical Chain Method Critical chain method is a schedule network analysis technique that will modify the project schedule by accounting for limited or restricted resources. The modified schedule is calculated, and it often changes the critical path as a result of adding duration buffers, which are nonworking activities added to help manage the planned activity durations. The new critical path showing the resource restrictions is called the critical chain.

Critical chain uses both deterministic (step-by-step) and probabilistic approaches. The following are steps in the critical chain process:

1. Construct the schedule network diagram using activity duration estimates (you’ll use nonconservative estimates in this method).

2. Define dependencies.

3. Define constraints.

4. Calculate critical path.

5. Enter resource availability into the schedule.

6. Recalculate for the critical chain.

A project buffer is placed at the end of the critical chain to help keep the finish date from slipping. After the buffers are added, the planned activities are then scheduled at their latest start and finish dates.

Resource Leveling Resource leveling, also called resource-based method, is used when resources are overallocated. It attempts to smooth out the peaks and valleys of total resource usage through strategic consumption of float while also addressing any overcommitment of individual resources through rescheduling or reassignment.

Overallocated Resources Resource leveling attempts to smooth out the resource assignments to get tasks completed without overloading the individual while trying to keep the project on schedule. This typically takes the form of allocating resources to critical path tasks first.

Here are some examples of resource leveling:

  • Delaying the start of a task to match the availability of a key team member
  • Adjusting the resource assignments so that more tasks are given to team members who are underallocated
  • Requiring the resources to work mandatory overtime

Reverse Resource Allocation Scheduling Reverse resource allocation scheduling is a technique used when key resources are required at a specific point in the project and they are the only resources available to perform these activities. This technique requires the resources to be scheduled in reverse order to assign the key resources at the correct time.

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Resource leveling can cause the original critical path to change.

What-If Scenario Analysis What-if scenario analysis uses different sets of activity assumptions to produce multiple project durations. Simulation techniques such as Monte Carlo analysis use a range of probable activity durations for each activity, and those ranges are then used to calculate a range of probable duration results for the project itself. Monte Carlo runs the possible activity durations and schedule projections many, many times to come up with the schedule projections and their probability, critical path duration estimates, and float time.

Applying Leads and Lags A lead accelerates the start date of an activity by the number of days specified, while a lag delays the start date of an activity. Leads and lags were first used in the Sequence Activities process, discussed earlier in this chapter.

Schedule Compression Schedule compression is a form of mathematical analysis that’s used to shorten the project schedule without changing the project scope. To be effective, work compressed must be based on those activities that fall on the critical path. There are two types of schedule compression techniques:

Crashing Crashing is a compression technique that looks at cost and schedule trade-offs. This involves adding resources to critical path tasks in order to shorten the length of the tasks and therefore the length of the project. Crashing the schedule can lead to increased risk, increased costs, and a change in the critical path.

Fast Tracking Fast tracking is performing two tasks in parallel that were previously scheduled to start sequentially. Fast tracking can increase project risk and cause the project team to have to rework tasks, and it only works for activities that can be overlapped.

Scheduling Tool The scheduling tools used are typically in the form of project management software programs. They will automate the mathematical calculations and perform resource-leveling functions.

Outputs of Develop Schedule

Know the following outputs of the Develop Schedule process:

  • Project schedule
  • Schedule baseline
  • Schedule data
  • Project document updates

Project Schedule The project schedule details the start and finish dates for each project activity as well as the resource assignments. In PMBOK® Guide terms, the project schedule is considered preliminary until resources are assigned. The following are additional elements of the project schedule:

  • The project schedule should be approved and signed off by stakeholders and functional managers.
  • For functional organizations, confirmation that resources will be available as outlined in the schedule should be obtained.
  • The schedule cannot be finalized until approval and commitment for the resource assignments outlined in it are received.
  • Once approved, the schedule becomes the schedule baseline for the remainder of the project.

The following are various ways of displaying the project schedule:

Project Schedule Network Diagrams Project schedule network diagrams usually show the activity dependencies and critical path. They will work as schedule diagrams when the start and finish dates are added to each activity.

Gantt Charts Gantt charts are commonly used to display schedule activities. They may show activity sequences, activity start and end dates, resource assignments, activity dependencies, and the critical path. Figure 3-21 shows a simple example that plots various activities against time.

Figure 3-21: Gantt chart

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Milestone Charts Milestone charts mark the completion of major deliverables or some other key events in the project. They may be displayed in a bar chart form, similar to a Gantt chart, or use a simple table format, as shown in Table 3-3. As the milestones are met, the Actual Date column within the table is filled in.

Table 3-3: Milestone chart

Milestone Scheduled Date Actual Date
Sign-off on deliverables 4/12 4/12
Sign-off on hardware test 4/22 4/25
Programming completed 6/06
Testing completed 6/28
Acceptance and sign-off 7/10
Project closeout 7/10

Schedule Baseline The schedule baseline can be described as the final, approved version of the project schedule with baseline start and baseline finish dates and resource assignments. The PMBOK® Guide notes that the schedule baseline is a designated version of the project schedule that’s derived from the schedule network analysis. The approved project schedule becomes a part of the project management plan.

Exam Note

For the exam, remember that the project schedule is based on the timeline (derived from the activity), the scope document (to help keep track of major milestones and deliverables), and resource plans.

Schedule Data The schedule data refers to documenting the supporting data for the schedule. At least the following elements must be included within the schedule data:

  • Milestones
  • Schedule activities
  • Activity attributes
  • Assumptions
  • Constraints
  • Any other information that doesn’t fit into the other categories
  • Resource histograms (suggested by the PMBOK® Guide)

Project Document Updates Updates may be made to the following project documents:

  • Activity resource requirements document
  • Activity attributes
  • Calendars
  • Risk register

Exam Essentials

Know the difference between the precedence diagramming method (PDM) and the arrow diagramming method (ADM). PDM uses boxes or rectangles to represent the activities (called nodes) that are connected with arrows showing the dependencies between the activities. ADM places activities on the arrows (called activity on arrow), which are connected to dependent activities with nodes.

Be able to describe the purpose of the Estimate Activity Resources process. The purpose of Estimate Activity Resources is to determine the types and quantities of resources (human, equipment, and materials) needed for each schedule activity within a work package.

Be able to name the tools and techniques of Estimate Activity Durations. The tools and techniques of Estimate Activity Durations are expert judgment, analogous estimating, parametric estimating, and reserve analysis.

Be able to define the difference between analogous estimating, parametric estimating, and bottom-up estimating. Analogous estimating is a top-down technique that uses expert judgment and historical information. Parametric estimating multiplies the quantity of work by the rate. Bottom-up estimating performs estimates for each work item and rolls them up to a total.

Be able to calculate the critical path. The critical path includes the activities whose durations add up to the longest path of the project schedule network diagram. Critical path is calculated using the forward pass, backward pass, and float calculations.

Be able to define a critical path task. A critical path task is a project activity with zero float.

Be able to describe and calculate PERT duration estimates. This is a weighted average technique that uses three estimates: optimistic, pessimistic, and most likely. The formula is as follows:

(Optimistic + (4 × Most Likely) + Pessimistic ) ÷ 6

Be able to name the schedule compression techniques. The schedule compression techniques are crashing and fast tracking.

Be able to describe a critical chain. The critical chain is the new critical path in a modified schedule that accounts for limited resources.

Be able to name the outputs of the Develop Schedule process. The outputs are project schedule, schedule baseline, schedule data, and project document updates.

Developing a Human Resource Plan

The project manager creates a human resource plan by carrying out a process called Develop Human Resource Plan. Through this process, roles and responsibilities of the project team members are defined and the strategies for utilizing and managing the project team are documented. The high-level purpose of the plan itself is to create an effective project organization structure.

The Develop Human Resource Plan process documents the roles and responsibilities of individuals or groups for various project elements and then documents the reporting relationships for each. Reporting relationships can be assigned to groups as well as to individuals, and the groups or individuals might be internal or external to the organization or a combination of both. This process will result in the creation of the human resource plan, which considers factors such as the availability of resources, skill levels, training needs, and more.

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For more detailed information on the Develop Human Resource Plan process, see Chapter 7, “Planning Project Resources,” of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Figure 3-22 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Develop Human Resource Plan process.

Figure 3-22: Develop Human Resource Plan process

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Inputs of Develop Human Resource Plan

Inputs of the Develop Human Resource Plan process you should know are as follows:

Activity Resource Requirements Human resources are needed to perform and complete the activities outlined in the activity resource requirements output of the Estimate Activity Resources process. During the Develop Human Resource Plan process, these resources are defined in further detail.

Enterprise Environmental Factors Enterprise environmental factors play a key role in determining human resource roles and responsibilities. The following is a list of factors that are used:

  • Organizational factors
  • Existing human resources and marketplace conditions
  • Personnel policies
  • Technical factors
  • Interpersonal factors
  • Location and logistics
  • Political factors
  • Organizational structures
  • Collective bargaining agreements
  • Economic conditions

Organizational Process Assets The following three elements of the organizational process assets are used in this process:

  • Organizational processes and standardized role descriptions
  • Templates and checklists
  • Historical information

Tools and Techniques of Develop Human Resource Plan

The following are tools and techniques of the Develop Human Resource Plan process that you should be familiar with:

  • Organization charts and position descriptions
  • Networking
  • Organizational theory

Organization Charts and Position Descriptions

The following information is presented in organization charts and position descriptions:

Hierarchical Charts Hierarchical charts, like a WBS, are designed in a top-down format. Two types of hierarchical charts that can be used are OBS and RBS:

  • Organization breakdown structure (OBS), which displays departments, work units, or teams in an organization and their respective work packages
  • Resource breakdown structure (RBS), which breaks down the work of the project according to the types of resources needed

Matrix-Based Charts Matrix-based charts are used to show the type of resource and the responsibility that resource has in the project. There are a couple of types of matrix-based charts that can be used:

  • Responsibility assignment matrix (RAM) is displayed as a chart with resource names listed in each column and project phases or WBS elements listed as the rows. Indicators in the intersections show where the resources are needed.
  • A RACI chart is a type of RAM. Table 3-4 shows a sample portion of an RACI chart for a software development team. In this example, the RACI chart shows the roles and expectations of each participant.

The letters in the acronym RACI are the designations shown in Table 3-4:

R = Responsible for performing the work

A = Accountable, the one who is responsible for producing the deliverable or work package and approves or signs off on the work

C = Consult, someone who has input to the work or decisions

I = Inform, someone who must be informed of the decisions or results

Table 3-4: Sample RAM

Table 3-4

R = Responsible, A = Accountable, C = Consult, I = Inform

Text-Oriented Formats Text-oriented formats are used when there is a significant amount of detail to record. These are also called position descriptions or role-responsibility-authority forms. Text-oriented formats typically provide the following information:

  • Role
  • Responsibility
  • Authority of the resource

Other Sections of the Project Management Plan Other subsidiary plans of the project management plan might also describe roles and responsibilities.

Networking

Networking in this context means human resource networking. According to the PMBOK® Guide, several types of networking activities exist:

  • Proactive communication
  • Lunch meetings
  • Informal conversations
  • Trade conferences

Organizational Theory

Organizational theory refers to all the theories that attempt to explain what makes people, teams, and work units perform.

Outputs of Develop Human Resource Plan

There is only one output of the Develop Human Resource Plan process: the human resource plan.

The human resource plan documents how human resources should be defined, staffed, managed and controlled, and released from the project when their activities are complete. This plan is meant to clearly outline the roles and responsibilities of the project team and to create an effective project organization structure. As a result, guidance is provided on how resources are to be utilized and managed throughout the project.

This output has the following three components:

Roles and Responsibilities The roles and responsibilities component includes the list of roles and responsibilities for the project team. It can take the form of the RAM or RACI, or the roles and responsibilities can be recorded in text format. The following key elements should be included in the roles and responsibilities documentation:

  • Role describes which part of the project the individuals or teams are accountable for. This should also include a description of authority levels, responsibilities, and what work is not included as part of the role.
  • Authority describes the amount of authority the resource has to make decisions, dictate direction, and approve the work.
  • Responsibility describes the work required to complete the project activities.
  • Competency describes the skills and ability needed to perform the project activities.

Project Organizational Charts The project organizational charts display project team members and their reporting relationships in the project.

Staffing Management Plan The staffing management plan documents how and when human resources are introduced to the project and the criteria for releasing them. The staffing management plan should be updated throughout the project. The following elements should be considered and included in the staffing management plan:

  • Staff acquisition describes how team members are acquired, where they’re located, and the costs for specific skills and expertise.
  • Resource calendars describe the time frames in which the resources will be needed on the project and when the recruitment process should begin.
  • Staff release plan describes how project team members will be released at the end of their assignment, including reassignment procedures.
  • Training needs describe any training plans needed for team members who don’t have the required skills or abilities to perform project tasks.
  • Recognition and rewards describe the systems used to reward and reinforce desired behavior.
  • Compliance details regulations that must be met and any human resource policies the organization has in place that deal with compliance issues.
  • Safety includes safety policies and procedures that are applicable to the project or industry and should be included in the staffing management plan.

Exam Essentials

Be able to define the purpose of the Develop Human Resource Plan process. Develop Human Resource Plan involves determining roles and responsibilities, reporting relationships for the project, and creating the staffing management plan, which describes how team members are acquired and the criteria for their release.

Developing a Communications Management Plan

Communications plays an important role in effectively and efficiently carrying out a project—with successful results! Like other plans, it should be as detailed as needed for the project at hand and should be based on the project organization structure and stakeholder requirements. This plan is responsible for managing the flow of project information and is created out of the Plan Communications process.

Keep in mind that, according to PMI, a good project manager spends up to 90 percent of their time communicating. Therefore, the communications management plan should be well thought out and clearly documented.

The Plan Communications process involves determining the communication needs of the stakeholders by defining the types of information needed, the format for communicating the information, how often it’s distributed, and who prepares it. All of this is documented in the communications management plan, which is an output of this process. The total number of existing communication channels is also calculated in this process.

Figure 3-23 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Plan Communications process.

Figure 3-23: Plan Communications process

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For more detailed information on the Plan Communications process, see Chapter 5 of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Plan Communications

Know the following inputs of the Plan Communications process:

  • Stakeholder register
  • Stakeholder management strategy
  • Enterprise environmental factors
  • Organizational process assets

Stakeholder Register The stakeholder register is a list of all the project stakeholders and contains additional information, including their potential influence on the project and their classifications.

Stakeholder Management Strategy The stakeholder management strategy defines the level of participation needed for each stakeholder and potential strategies used to gain their support or reduce the negative impacts or obstacles they could present to the project.

Enterprise Environmental Factors All enterprise environmental factors can be utilized within the Plan Communications process. Special attention should be given to the organizational structure and culture as well as external stakeholder requirements. This information will be key to managing the flow of the project’s information.

Organizational Process Assets The PMBOK® Guide notes that all the elements described in the enterprise environmental factors can be utilized within this process. Particular consideration should be given to lessons learned and historical information.

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The PMBOK® Guide notes that there is a difference between effective and efficient communication. Effective communication refers to providing the information in the right format for the intended audience at the right time. Efficient communication refers to providing the appropriate information at the right time—that is, only the information that’s needed at the time.

Tools and Techniques of Plan Communications

The Plan Communications process includes the following tools and techniques:

  • Communication requirements analysis
  • Communication technology
  • Communication models
  • Communication methods

Communication Requirements Analysis

Communication requirements analysis involves analyzing and determining the communication needs of the project stakeholders. According to the PMBOK® Guide, there are several sources of information you can examine to help determine these needs:

  • Company and departmental organizational charts
  • Stakeholder responsibility relationships
  • Other departments and business units involved in the project
  • The number of resources involved in the project and where they’re located in relation to project activities
  • Internal needs that the organization may need to know about the project
  • External needs that organizations such as the media, government, or industry groups might have that require communication updates
  • Stakeholder information (documented in the stakeholder register and stakeholder management strategy outputs of Identify Stakeholders)

The preceding list goes through analysis to make certain that information that is valuable to the stakeholders is being supplied. It is important to know the number of communication channels, also known as lines of communication, that exist. Figure 3-24 shows an example of a network model with six stakeholders included.

Figure 3-24: Network communication model

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The nodes are the participants, and the lines show the connection between them all. The formula for calculating the lines of communication is as follows (where n represents total participants):

lines of communication = n(n 1) ÷ 2

Figure 3-24 shows six participants. When you plug the total participants into the formula, the result is a total of 15 communication channels:

6(6 1) ÷ 2 = 15

Communication Technology

Communication technology examines the methods (or technology) used to communicate the information to, from, and among the stakeholders. This tool and technique examines the technology elements that might affect project communications.

The following are examples of methods used when communicating:

  • Written
  • Spoken
  • Email
  • Formal status reports
  • Meetings
  • Online databases
  • Online schedules

Communication Models

Communication models depict how information is transmitted from the sender and how it’s received by the receiver. According to the PMBOK® Guide, the key components of a communication model are as follows:

Encode Encoding the message means to put information or thoughts into a language that the receiver will understand.

Message and Feedback Message The result or output of the encoding.

Medium The method used to communicate, such as written, oral, or email.

Noise Anything that keeps the message from being either transmitted or understood.

Decode The receiver translates the information that was sent by the sender.

The sender is responsible for encoding the message, selecting the medium, and decoding the feedback message. The receiver is responsible for decoding the original message from the sender and encoding and sending the feedback message. Figure 3-25 shows this dynamic through the basic communication model.

Figure 3-25: Communication model

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Communication Methods

Communication methods refer to how the project information is shared among the stakeholders. According to the PMBOK® Guide, there are three classifications of communication methods:

Interactive Communication Interactive communication involves multidirectional communication where two or more parties must exchange thoughts or ideas. This method includes videoconferencing, phone or conference calls, and meetings.

Push Communications Push communications refers to sending information to intended receivers. It includes methods such as letters, memos, reports, emails, voicemails, and so on. This method assures that the communication was sent but is not concerned with whether it was actually received or understood by the intended receivers.

Pull Communications The likely recipients of the information access the information themselves using methods such as websites, e-learning sites, knowledge repositories, shared network drives, and so on.

Outputs of Plan Communications

The following two outputs result from carrying out the Plan Communications process:

Communications Management Plan The communications management plan documents the following:

  • Types of information needs the stakeholders have
  • When the information should be distributed
  • How the information will be delivered

According to the PMBOK® Guide, the communications management plan typically describes the following elements:

  • The communication requirements of each stakeholder or stakeholder group
  • Purpose for communication
  • Frequency of communications, including time frames for distribution
  • Name of the person responsible for communicating information
  • Format of the communication and method of transmission
  • Method for updating the communications management plan
  • Glossary of common terms

The information that will be shared with stakeholders and the distribution methods are based on the following items:

  • Needs of the stakeholders
  • Project complexity
  • Organizational policies

Project Document Updates The following updates may be required as a result of performing this process:

  • Project schedule
  • Stakeholder register
  • Stakeholder management strategy

Exam Essentials

Be able to describe the purpose of the communications management plan. The communications management plan determines the communication needs of the stakeholders. It documents what information will be distributed, how it will be distributed, to whom it will be distributed, and the timing of the distribution.

Developing a Procurement Management Plan

In many cases, some resources will need to be obtained externally (meaning outside of the project’s organization). When this is the case, a procurement management plan will be needed. This plan is created out of the Plan Procurements process, which is also responsible for producing other key procurement documents.

The procurement management plan should be based on the project’s scope and schedule and is responsible for guiding the procurement-related processes and ensuring that the required project resources will be available when and as needed.

Plan Procurements is a process of identifying what goods or services will be purchased from outside the organization. This process addresses the make-or-buy decision and when acquired goods or services will be needed. By the end of this process, a procurement management plan will have been created, make-or-buy decisions will have been made, and a contract statement of work will have been drafted.

Figure 3-26 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Plan Procurements process.

Figure 3-26: Plan Procurements process

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For more detailed information on the Plan Procurements process, see Chapter 7 of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Plan Procurements

There are many inputs to the Plan Procurements process that you should be familiar with:

  • Scope baseline
  • Requirements documentation
  • Teaming agreements
  • Risk register
  • Risk-related contract decisions
  • Activity resource requirements
  • Project schedule
  • Activity cost estimates
  • Cost performance baseline
  • Enterprise environmental factors
  • Organizational process assets

Scope Baseline The Plan Procurements process utilizes the following items from within the project scope statement, which is included within the scope baseline:

  • Description of the need for the project
  • Lists of deliverables
  • Acceptance criteria
  • Constraints
  • Assumptions
  • Product scope description (if applicable)

As part of the scope baseline, the WBS and WBS dictionary identify the deliverables and describe the work required for each element of the WBS.

Requirements Documentation The requirements documentation documents details of the project requirements. For a more detailed description, see “Outputs of Collect Requirements” earlier in this chapter.

Teaming Agreements Teaming agreements are contractual agreements between multiple parties that are forming a partnership or joint venture to work on the project. They are often used when two or more vendors form a partnership to work together on a particular project. If teaming agreements are used, the following should be predefined:

  • Scope of work
  • Requirements for competition
  • Buyer and seller roles
  • Any other important project concerns identified

Risk Register The risk register guides the project team in determining the types of services or goods needed for risk management.

Risk-Related Contract Decisions Risk-related contract decisions determine which activities will be addressed through the acquirement of insurance, services, and so forth to shift party responsibility as necessary.

Activity Resource Requirements The availability of the assigned resources will impact the procurement process and will aid in the make-or-buy decision.

Project Schedule The project schedule is necessary for determining the start and finish dates of activities that will be completed through a third party.

Activity Cost Estimates Activity cost estimates are necessary for determining the budget allotted for completing project activities, which will influence make-or-buy decisions and services or goods acquired.

Cost Performance Baseline The cost performance baseline shows the planned budget over the life span of the project.

Enterprise Environmental Factors Marketplace conditions are the key element of enterprise environmental factors used within this process.

Organizational Process Assets The organization’s guidelines, policies, and procedures (including any procurement policies and guidelines) are the elements of the organizational process assets used in this process.

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The project manager and the project team will be responsible for coordinating all the organizational interfaces for the project, including technical, human resource, purchasing, and finance.

Tools and Techniques of Plan Procurements

There are three tools and techniques of the Plan Procurements process that you should know:

  • Make-or-buy analysis
  • Expert judgment
  • Contract types

Make-or-Buy Analysis Make-or-buy analysis is concerned with whether it is more cost-effective to buy or lease the products and services or more cost-effective for the organization to produce the goods and services needed for the project. Costs should include both direct costs and indirect costs.

Other considerations in make-or-buy analysis are as follows:

  • Capacity issues
  • Skills
  • Availability
  • Trade secrets
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Make-or-buy analysis is considered a general management technique and concludes with the decision to do one or the other.

Expert Judgment Expert judgment can be utilized within the Plan Procurements process.

Contract Types A contract is a compulsory agreement between two or more parties and is used to acquire products or services from outside the organization. Contracts are enforceable by law and require an offer and an acceptance, with money typically exchanged for goods or services. As reflected in Figure 3-27, there are different types of contracts for different purposes.

Figure 3-27: Contract types

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The PMBOK® Guide divides contracts into three categories:

Fixed-Price, or Lump-Sum, Contracts Fixed-price contracts (also referred to as lump-sum contracts) can either set a specific, firm price for the goods or services rendered (known as a firm fixed price contract) or can include incentives for meeting or exceeding certain contract deliverables. There are three types of fixed-price contracts:

  • In a firm fixed price (FFP) contract, the buyer and seller agree on a well-defined deliverable for a set price. In this kind of contract, the biggest risk is borne by the seller. The seller assumes the risks of increasing costs, nonperformance, or other problems.
  • Fixed price incentive fee (FPIF) contracts are another type of fixed-price contract. The difference is that the contract includes an incentive—or bonus—for early completion or for some other agreed-upon performance criterion that meets or exceeds contract specifications. Some of the risk is borne by the buyer as opposed to the firm fixed price contract, where most of the risk is borne by the seller.
  • A fixed price with economic price adjustment (FP-EPA) contract allows for adjustments due to changes in economic conditions, like cost increases or decreases, inflation, and so on. These contracts are typically used when the project spans many years. This type of contract protects both the buyer and seller from economic conditions that are outside of their control.

Cost-Reimbursable, or Cost Plus, Contracts With cost-reimbursable contracts, the allowable costs associated with producing the goods or services are charged to the buyer. All the costs the seller takes on during the project are charged back to the buyer; thus, the seller is reimbursed. Cost-reimbursable contracts carry the highest risk for the buyer because the total costs are uncertain and are used most often when the project scope contains a lot of uncertainty or for projects that have large investments early in the project life. The following list includes four types of cost-reimbursable contracts:

  • Cost plus fixed fee (CPFF) contracts charge back all allowable project costs to the seller and include a fixed fee upon completion of the contract. The fee is always firm in this kind of contract, but the costs are variable. The seller doesn’t necessarily have a lot of motivation to control costs with this type of contract.
  • Cost plus incentive fee (CPIF) is the type of contract in which the buyer reimburses the seller for the seller’s allowable costs and includes an incentive for meeting or exceeding the performance criteria laid out in the contract. A possibility of shared savings between the seller and buyer exists if performance criteria are exceeded.
  • Cost plus award fee (CPAF) is the riskiest of the cost plus contracts for the seller. In a CPAF contract, the seller will recoup all the costs expended during the project, but the award fee portion is subject to the sole discretion of the buyer.

Time and Material (T&M) Contracts T&M contracts are a cross between fixed-price and cost-reimbursable contracts. The full amount of the material costs is not known at the time the contract is awarded. T&M contracts are most often used when human resources with specific skills are needed and when the scope of work needed for the project can be quickly defined. Time and material contracts include the following characteristics:

  • This type of contract resembles a cost-reimbursable contract because the costs will continue to grow during the contract’s life and are reimbursable to the contractor. The buyer bears the biggest risk in this type of contract.
  • This type of contract resembles fixed-price contracts when unit rates are used. Unit rates might be used to preset the rates of certain elements or portions of the project.

Outputs of Plan Procurements

Know the following outputs of the Plan Procurements process:

  • Procurement management plan
  • Procurement statements of work
  • Make-or-buy decisions
  • Procurement documents
  • Source selection criteria
  • Change requests

Procurement Management Plan The procurement management plan details how the procurement process will be managed. According to the PMBOK® Guide, it includes the following information:

  • Types of contracts to use
  • Authority of the project team
  • How the procurement process will be integrated with other project processes
  • Where to find standard procurement documents (provided your organization uses standard documents)
  • How many vendors or contractors are involved and how they’ll be managed
  • How the procurement process will be coordinated with other project processes, such as performance reporting and scheduling
  • How the constraints and assumptions might be impacted by purchasing
  • How multiple vendors or contractors will be managed
  • Coordination of purchasing lead times with the development of the project schedule
  • Schedule dates that are determined in each contract
  • Identification of prequalified sellers (if known)
  • Risk management issues
  • Procurement metrics for managing contracts and for evaluating sellers

Procurement Statements of Work A procurement statement of work (SOW) contains the details of the procurement item in clear, concise terms. It includes the following elements:

  • Project objectives
  • Description of the work of the project and any post-project operational support needed
  • Concise specifications of the product or services required
  • Project schedule, time period of services, and work location

The procurement SOW is prepared by the buyer and is developed from the project scope statement and the WBS and WBS dictionary. The seller uses the SOW to determine whether they are able to produce the goods or services as specified. It will undergo progressive elaboration as the procurement processes occur.

Make-or-Buy Decisions The make-or-buy decision is a document that outlines the decisions made during the process regarding which goods and/or services will be produced by the organization and which will be purchased. This can include any number of items:

  • Services
  • Products
  • Insurance policies
  • Performance
  • Performance bonds

Procurement Documents Procurement documents are used to solicit vendors and suppliers to bid on procurement needs. These documents are prepared by the buyer to assure as accurate and complete a response as possible from all potential bidders. Procurement documents have commonly been referred to by the following terms:

  • Request for proposal (RFP)
  • Request for information (RFI)
  • Invitation for bid (IFB)
  • Request for quotation (RFQ)

Procurement documents typically include the following information:

  • Clear description of the work requested
  • Contract SOW
  • Explanation of how sellers should format and submit their responses
  • Any special provisions or contractual needs

The following words are used during the procurement process:

  • When the decision is going to be made primarily on price, the words bid and quotation are used, as in IFB or RFQ.
  • When considerations other than price (such as technology or specific approaches to the project) are the deciding factor, the word proposal is used, as in RFP.

Procurement documents are posted or advertised according to the buyer’s organizational policies. This might include ads in newspapers and magazines or ads/posts on the Internet.

Source Selection Criteria The term source selection criteria refers to the method the buyer’s organization will use to choose a vendor from among the proposals received. The criteria might be subjective or objective.

Here are some examples of criteria used:

  • Purchase price
  • Scoring models
  • Rating models

The following list includes some of the criteria for evaluating proposals and bids:

  • Comprehension and understanding of the needs of the project as documented in the contract SOW
  • Cost
  • Technical ability of the vendor and their proposed team
  • Technical approach
  • Risk
  • Experience on projects of similar size and scope, including references
  • Project management approach
  • Management approach
  • Financial stability and capacity
  • Production capacity
  • Reputation, references, and past performance
  • Intellectual and proprietary rights

Change Requests As a result of going through this process, changes to the project management plan may be required due to vendor capability, availability, cost, quality considerations, and so on. Change requests must be processed through the Perform Integrated Change Control process.

Exam Essentials

Be able to define the purpose of the Plan Procurements process. The purpose of the Plan Procurements process is to identify which project needs should be obtained from outside the organization. Make-or-buy analysis is used as a tool and technique to help determine this.

Be able to identify the contract types and their usage. Contract types are a tool and technique of the Plan Procurements process and include fixed-price and cost-reimbursable contracts. Use fixed-price contracts for well-defined projects with a high value to the company, and use cost-reimbursable contracts for projects with uncertainty and large investments early in the project life. The three types of fixed-price contracts are FFP, FPIF, and FP-EPA. The three types of cost-reimbursable contracts are CPFF, CPIF, and CPAF. Time and material contracts are a cross between fixed-price and cost-reimbursable contracts.

Be able to name the outputs of the Plan Procurements process. The outputs of Plan Procurements are a procurement management plan, procurement statements of work, make-or-buy decisions, procurement documents, source selection criteria, and change requests.

Developing a Quality Management Plan

Preventing the occurrence of defects and reducing the cost of quality can be critical to a project’s success. To this end, a quality management plan is created out of the Plan Quality process and is responsible for guiding the project management team in carrying out the three quality-related processes. This plan should be based on the project scope and requirements.

In addition to creating the quality management plan, the Plan Quality process is also responsible for creating the process improvement plan. This plan measures the effectiveness of and improves the project management processes. Continuous improvement is a recurring theme throughout the PMBOK® Guide and is an important element of modern quality theories. The ideas, concepts, and theories from key quality theorists (such as Deming, Juran, and Crosby) played an important role in shaping the Project Quality Management Knowledge Area processes.

The Plan Quality process is concerned with targeting quality standards that are relevant to the project at hand and devising a plan to meet and satisfy those standards. The quality management plan is the result of the Plan Quality process, which describes how the quality policy will be implemented by the project management team. The result of this process also produces the process improvement plan, which documents the actions for analyzing processes to ultimately increase customer value.

Figure 3-28 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Plan Quality process.

Figure 3-28: Plan Quality process

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For more detailed information on the Plan Quality process, see Chapter 7 of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Plan Quality

The Plan Quality process contains the following inputs:

  • Scope baseline
  • Stakeholder register
  • Cost performance baseline
  • Schedule baseline
  • Risk register
  • Enterprise environmental factors
  • Organizational process assets

Scope Baseline The following are utilized from within the scope baseline:

  • Project scope statement, which defines the project deliverables, objectives, and threshold and acceptance criteria, all of which are used within the quality processes
  • WBS
  • WBS dictionary

Stakeholder Register A list of stakeholders is utilized within this process to understand the expectations of all stakeholders. Quality has been achieved when the expectations of all stakeholders have been met.

Cost Performance Baseline Meeting cost performance goals is part of project quality management, and therefore, the cost performance baseline will be utilized within this process.

Schedule Baseline Completing activities on schedule is part of the project, as opposed to product, quality management, and therefore, the schedule baseline will be utilized in this process.

Risk Register The risk register outlines the documented information pertaining to risk, including the list of risks. Management of risk is tied into quality and should therefore be considered in the Plan Quality process.

Enterprise Environmental Factors The project manager should consider any standards, regulations, guidelines, quality policies, or rules that exist concerning the work of the project when writing the quality plan.

Organizational Process Assets The quality policy is included from within the organizational process assets and used in this process. The quality policy is a guideline published by executive management that describes what quality policies should be adopted for projects the company undertakes.

Standards and Regulations

A standard is something that’s approved by a recognized body and that employs rules, guidelines, or characteristics that should be followed. According to the PMBOK® Guide, the Project Quality Management Knowledge Area is designed to be in alignment with the ISO standards.

A regulation is mandatory. Governments or institutions almost always impose regulations, although organizations might also have their own, self-imposed regulations.

Tools and Techniques of Plan Quality

Know the following tools and techniques of the Plan Quality process:

  • Cost-benefit analysis
  • Cost of quality
  • Control charts
  • Benchmarking
  • Design of experiments
  • Statistical sampling
  • Flowcharting
  • Proprietary quality management methodologies
  • Additional quality planning tools

Cost-Benefit Analysis In the case of quality management, cost of quality trade-offs should be considered from within cost-benefit analysis. The benefits of meeting quality requirements are as follows:

  • Stakeholder satisfaction is increased.
  • Costs are lower.
  • Productivity is higher.
  • There is less rework.

Cost of Quality The cost of quality (COQ) is the total cost to produce the product or service of the project according to the quality standards. Three costs are associated with the cost of quality:

Prevention Costs Prevention costs are the costs associated with satisfying customer requirements by producing a product without defects.

Appraisal Costs Appraisal costs are the costs expended to examine the product or process and make certain the requirements are being met.

Failure Costs Failure costs are what it costs when things don’t go according to plan. Failure costs are also known as cost of poor quality. Two types of failure costs exist:

  • Internal failure costs
  • External failure costs

There are two categories of costs within COQ, as listed in Table 3-5.

Table 3-5: Cost of conformance and nonconformance

Conformance Costs Nonconformance Costs
Prevention costs Internal failure costs
Appraisal costs External failure costs
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Quality must be planned into the project, not inspected after the fact, to ensure that the product or service meets stakeholders’ expectations.

Quality theorists and quality techniques are responsible for the rise of the quality management movement and the theories behind the cost of quality. Figure 3-29 highlights four quality theorists, along with their ideas, that you should be very familiar with for the exam.

Figure 3-29: Quality theorists

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Philip B. Crosby Philip B. Crosby is known for devising the zero defects practice, which means to do it right the first time. If the defect is prevented from occurring in the first place, costs are lower, conformance to requirements is easily met, and the cost measurement for quality becomes the cost of nonconformance rather than the cost of rework.

Joseph M. Juran Joseph M. Juran is known for the fitness for use premise, which means the stakeholders’ and customers’ expectations are met or exceeded and reflects their views of quality. Juran proposed that there could be grades of quality.

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Grade is a category for products or services that are of the same type but have differing technical characteristics. Quality describes how well the product or service (or characteristics of the product or service) fulfills the requirements. Low quality is usually not an acceptable condition, while low grade might be.

W. Edwards Deming W. Edwards Deming suggested that as much as 85 percent of the cost of quality is management’s responsibility, which came to be known as the 85 percent rule or rule of 85. He believed that workers need to be shown what acceptable quality is and that they need to be provided with the right training so that quality and continuous improvement become natural elements of the working environment. Deming was also a major contributor to the modern quality movement and theories, which emphasizes a more proactive approach to quality management (prevention over inspection). For example, he documented 14 points that summarize how management can transform their organization to one that is effective. This and his body of work have been credited for launching the Total Quality Management (TQM) movement. He also popularized the Plan-Do-Check-Act cycle, also referred to as the Deming Cycle, which focuses on continuous improvement.

Six Sigma is a measurement-based strategy that focuses on process improvement and variation reduction by applying Six Sigma methodologies to the project. There are two Six Sigma methodologies:

  • DMADV (define, measure, analyze, design, and verify) is used to develop new processes or products at the Six Sigma level.
  • DMAIC (define, measure, analyze, improve, and control) is used to improve existing processes or products.

Walter Shewhart According to some sources, Walter Shewhart is the grandfather of statistical quality control and the Plan-Do-Check-Act model, which was further popularized by Deming. Shewhart developed statistical tools to examine when a corrective action must be applied to a process. He is also known for the control chart techniques.

Kaizen Approach The Kaizen approach—kaizen means improvement in Japanese—is a technique in which all project team members and managers should be constantly watching for quality improvement opportunities. The Kaizen approach states that the quality of the people should be improved first and then the quality of the products or service.

Control Charts Control charts help determine if a process is stable and whether process variances are in control or out of control.

Benchmarking Benchmarking is a process of comparing previous similar activities to the current project activities to provide a standard against which to measure performance.

Design of Experiments Design of experiments (DOE) is a statistical technique attributed to Genichi Taguchi that identifies the elements—or variables—that will have the greatest effect on overall project outcomes. DOE provides a statistical framework that allows the variables that have the greatest effect on overall project outcomes to be changed at once instead of one at a time.

Statistical Sampling Statistical sampling involves taking a sample number of parts from the whole population and inspecting them to determine whether they fall within acceptable variances.

Flowcharting Flowcharts show the relationships between the process steps. In regard to quality planning, flowcharting helps the project team identify quality issues before they occur.

Proprietary Quality Management Methodologies The following are examples of proprietary quality management methodologies:

  • Six Sigma
  • Lean Six Sigma
  • Total Quality Management (TQM)
  • Quality Function Deployment

Additional Quality Planning Tools The PMBOK® Guide lists additional tools, as described in Table 3-6.

Table 3-6: Quality planning tools

Tool Description
Brainstorming Used to generate ideas within a large group. A brainstorming session can also utilize and review information obtained using the nominal group technique.
Affinity diagrams Used to group and organize thoughts and facts; can be used in conjunction with brainstorming.
Force field analysis A method of examining the drive and resistance of change.
Nominal group techniques Brainstorming sessions consisting of small groups. The ideas of these sessions are later reviewed by a larger group.
Matrix diagrams Used as a decision-making tool, particularly when several options or alternatives are available.
Prioritization matrices Used to prioritize complex issues that have numerous criteria for decision making.

Outputs of Plan Quality

There are five outputs of the Plan Quality process:

  • Quality management plan
  • Quality metrics
  • Quality checklists
  • Process improvement plan
  • Project document updates

Quality Management Plan The project manager in cooperation with the project staff writes the quality management plan. The plan should be based on the project scope and requirements to successfully prevent defects from occurring, therefore reducing the cost of quality.

The quality management plan includes the following elements:

  • Description of how the project management team will carry out the quality policy
  • Resources needed to carry out the quality plan
  • Responsibilities of the project team in implementing quality
  • All the processes and procedures the project team and organization should use to satisfy quality requirements, including the following items:
    • Quality control
    • Quality assurance techniques
    • Continuous improvement processes

Quality Metrics A quality metric, also known as operational definition, describes what is being measured and how it will be measured during the Perform Quality Control process.

Quality Checklists Checklists provide a means to determine whether the required steps in a process have been followed. As each step is completed, it’s checked off the list.

Process Improvement Plan The process improvement plan focuses on finding inefficiencies in a process or activity and eliminating them. The following elements are among those included in the process improvement plan:

  • Process boundaries, which describe the purpose for the process and its expected start and end dates
  • Process configuration so that you know what processes are performed when and how they interact
  • Process metrics
  • Any specific elements that should be targeted for improvement

Project Document Updates The following project documents may need to be updated:

  • Stakeholder register
  • RAM
  • Quality management plan
  • Process improvement plan

Exam Essentials

Be able to identify the benefits of meeting quality requirements. The benefits of meeting quality requirements include increased stakeholder satisfaction, lower costs, higher productivity, and less rework, and they are discovered during the Plan Quality process.

Be able to define the cost of quality. The COQ is the total cost to produce the product or service of the project according to the quality standards. These costs include all the work necessary to meet the product requirements for quality. The three costs associated with cost of quality are prevention, appraisal, and failure costs (also known as cost of poor quality).

Be able to name four people associated with COQ and some of the techniques they helped establish. They are Crosby, Juran, Deming, and Shewhart. Some of the techniques they helped to establish are TQM, Six Sigma, cost of quality, and continuous improvement. The Kaizen approach concerns continuous improvement and specifies that people should be improved first.

Be able to name the tools and techniques of the Plan Quality process. The Plan Quality process consists of cost-benefit analysis, cost of quality, control charts, benchmarking, design of experiments, statistical sampling, flowcharting, proprietary quality management methodologies, and additional quality planning tools.

Developing a Change Management Plan

Managing changes is important to successfully managing a project overall. Scope creep is often the result of a poorly documented scope and poorly documented change control procedures. To ensure that changes are managed appropriately, a change management plan should be created. It should be noted that there isn’t a formal documented process that creates this plan.

The change management plan should document the following:

  • How changes will be monitored and controlled
  • Detailed processes for managing change to a project
  • How change requests are to be documented and managed
  • Process for approving changes
  • How to document and manage the final recommendation for the change requests

Developing a Risk Management Plan

The first official step in performing risk management is creating a risk management plan. This is done by carrying out the Plan Risk Management process, which is the first official process of the Project Risk Management Knowledge Area. Five of the six processes that fall in this knowledge area belong to the Planning process group.

The risk management plan is created to manage uncertainty throughout the project life cycle, which allows the project management team to control the outcome of the project to the extent possible. Like other plans, it plays an important role in guiding the rest of the processes that fall within its respective knowledge area. Without the risk management plan, a project management team cannot effectively identify and manage risks because this plan ensures that everyone is on the same page when it comes to assessing, prioritizing, responding to, and managing risks.

Aside from the Plan Risk Management process, the following risk-related processes fall within the Planning process group: Identify Risks, Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis, Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis, and Plan Risk Responses.

Plan Risk Management

The Plan Risk Management process determines how the project team will conduct risk management activities. The risk management plan, which will be developed during this process, guides the project team in carrying out the risk management processes and also assures that the appropriate amount of resources and time is dedicated to risk management. By the end of this process, the project team will have developed a common understanding for evaluating risks throughout the remainder of the project.

Figure 3-30 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Plan Risk Management process.

Figure 3-30: Plan Risk Management process

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For more detailed information on the Plan Risk Management process, see Chapter 6, “Risk Planning,” of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Plan Risk Management

You should know the inputs of the Plan Risk Management process:

  • Project scope statement
  • Cost management plan
  • Schedule management plan
  • Communications management plan
  • Enterprise environmental factors
  • Organizational process assets

You should know how each of these inputs relates to the Risk Management process.

Project Scope Statement The project scope statement contains the project deliverables, which will be the first stop when identifying risks and determining the process used to evaluate risks.

Cost Management Plan, Schedule Management Plan, Communications Management Plan The cost management plan, schedule management plan, and communications management plan all provide important details and information to consider when planning risk management. This includes guidelines for setting aside contingency reserves, information needed to determine risk-reporting formats, and other information important for defining risk activities.

Enterprise Environmental Factors One of the key elements of the enterprise environmental factors to consider within this process is the risk tolerance levels of the organization and the stakeholders. This is important for evaluating and ranking risk.

Organizational Process Assets Organizational process assets include policies and guidelines that might already exist in the organization. The following should be considered when developing the risk management plan:

  • Risk categories
  • Risk statement formats
  • Risk management templates tailored to the needs of the project
  • Defined roles and responsibilities
  • Authority levels of the stakeholders and project manager

Tools and Techniques of Plan Risk Management

The Plan Risk Management process has only one tool and technique: planning meetings and analysis.

The purpose of the meetings is to contribute to the risk management plan. During these meetings, the fundamental plans for performing risk management activities will be discussed and determined and then documented in the risk management plan.

Outputs of Plan Risk Management

The output of the Plan Risk Management process is the risk management plan.

The risk management plan describes how you will define, monitor, and control risks throughout the project. It details how risk management processes will be implemented, managed, monitored, and controlled.

According to the PMBOK® Guide, the risk management plan should include the following elements:

Methodology Methodology is a description of how you’ll perform risk management, including elements such as methods, tools, and where you might find risk data that you can use in the later processes.

Roles and Responsibilities The risk management plan should include descriptions of the people who are responsible for managing the identified risks and their responses and the people responsible for each type of activity identified in the plan.

Budgeting The budget for risk management activities is included in the plan as well. In this section, you’ll assign resources and estimate the costs of risk management activities and its methods. These costs are then included in the cost performance baseline.

Timing Timing refers to how often and at what point in the project life cycle risk management processes will occur. You may also include protocols to establish contingency schedule reserves.

Revised Stakeholder Tolerances As the project proceeds through the risk management processes, risk tolerances will change. These are documented in the risk management plan. Risk management should be carried out according to stakeholder risk tolerances.

Reporting formats In the reporting formats section, you’ll describe the content and format of the risk register. You should also detail how risk management information will be maintained, updated, analyzed, and reported to project participants.

Tracking This includes a description of how you’ll document the history of the risk activities for the current project and how the risk processes will be audited.

Risk Categories Risk categories are a way of systematically identifying risks and providing a foundation for understanding. Risk categories should be identified during this process and documented in the risk management plan.

There are multiple ways of displaying risk categories, such as through a simple list or by constructing a risk breakdown structure (RBS), which lists the categories and subcategories. Figure 3-31 shows a sample of an RBS.

Figure 3-31: Risk breakdown structure

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The following list includes some examples of the categories you might consider during this process:

  • Technical/quality/performance risks
  • Project management risks
  • Organizational risks
  • External risks

Defining Probability and Impact The definitions for probability and impact are documented in the risk management plan as they relate to potential positive or negative risk events and their impacts on project objectives.

  • Probability describes the potential for the risk event occurring.
  • Impact describes the effects or consequences the project will experience if the risk event occurs.

Probability and Impact Matrix A probability and impact matrix prioritizes the combination of probability and impact scores and helps determine which risks need detailed risk response plans.

Identify Risks

The Identify Risks process describes all the risks that might impact the project and documents their characteristics in the risk register. Identify Risks is an iterative process that continually builds on itself as additional risks emerge. The risk register is created at the end of this process. The risk register documents all risk information, proposed responses, responses implemented, and status.

Figure 3-32 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Identify Risks process.

Figure 3-32: Identify Risks process

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For more detailed information on the Identify Risks process, see Chapter 6 of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Identify Risks

You should be familiar with the following inputs of the Identify Risks process:

  • Risk management plan
  • Activity cost estimates
  • Activity duration estimates
  • Scope baseline
  • Stakeholder register
  • Cost management plan
  • Schedule management plan
  • Quality management plan
  • Project documents
  • Enterprise environmental factors
  • Organizational process assets

Risk Management Plan Within this process, the roles and responsibilities section of the risk management plan will be utilized, as well as the budget and schedule set aside for risk activities.

Activity Cost Estimates Activity cost estimates may provide insight into the identification of risks if the estimates are found to be insufficient to complete the activity.

Activity Duration Estimates Activity duration estimates may reveal existing risks in relation to the time that has been allotted for completing an activity or the project as a whole.

Scope Baseline The project scope statement, part of the scope baseline, contains a list of project assumptions, which are issues believed to be true. The assumptions about delivery times are reexamined, and it is determined if they are still valid.

Stakeholder Register Understanding stakeholder influence is essential to risk management. The stakeholder register provides a list of stakeholders and may list levels of influence.

Cost Management Plan, Schedule Management Plan, Quality Management Plan, Project Documents An understanding of the project management plans is necessary for identifying risks. A thorough review of these documents should be carried out to identify risks associated with them.

Enterprise Environmental Factors The enterprise environmental factors utilized include aspects from outside the project that might help determine or influence project outcomes. Industry information or academic research that might exist for your application areas regarding risk information is especially relevant.

Organizational Process Assets Historical information, such as from previous project experiences and project team knowledge, are utilized from within the organizational process assets. Risk register templates can also be used from past similar projects.

Tools and Techniques of Identify Risks

The Identify Risks process includes the following tools and techniques:

  • Documentation reviews
  • Information-gathering techniques
  • Checklist analysis
  • Assumptions analysis
  • Diagramming techniques
  • SWOT analysis
  • Expert judgment

Documentation Reviews Documentation reviews involve reviewing project plans, assumptions, and historical information from previous projects from a total project perspective as well as an individual deliverables and activities level. This review helps the project team identify risks associated with the project objectives.

Information-Gathering Techniques The following information-gathering techniques are utilized to assist in compiling a comprehensive list of risks:

  • Brainstorming
  • Delphi technique
  • Interviewing
  • Root cause analysis

Checklist Analysis Checklists used during the Identify Risks process are usually developed based on historical information and previous project team experience. The lowest level of the RBS may be used or a list of risks from previous similar projects. The WBS can also be used as a checklist.

Assumptions Analysis Assumptions analysis is a matter of validating the assumptions identified and documented during the course of the project planning processes. Assumptions should be accurate, complete, and consistent. All assumptions are tested against two factors:

  • Strength of the assumption or the validity of the assumption
  • Consequences that might impact the project if the assumption turns out to be false

Diagramming Techniques Three types of diagramming techniques are used in the Identify Risks process:

Cause-and-Effect Cause-and-effect diagrams show the relationship between the effects of problems and their causes. This diagram depicts every potential cause and subcause of a problem and the effect that each proposed solution will have on the problem. This diagram is also called a fishbone diagram or Ishikawa diagram after its developer, Kaoru Ishikawa. Figure 3-33 shows a sample cause-and-effect diagram.

Figure 3-33: Cause-and-effect diagram

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Process Flowcharts The system of process flowcharts shows the logical steps needed to accomplish an objective, how the elements of a system relate to each other, and which actions cause which responses. Figure 3-34 shows a flowchart to help determine whether risk response plans should be developed for the risk.

Influence Diagramming According to the PMBOK® Guide, influence diagramming typically shows the causal influences among project variables, the timing or time ordering of events, and the relationships among other project variables and their outcomes. Figure 3-35 shows an influence diagram for a product introduction decision.

SWOT Analysis Strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) analysis is a technique that examines the project from each of these viewpoints and from the viewpoint of the project itself, project management processes, resources, the organization, and so on to identify risks to the project, including risks that are generated internally. SWOT analysis uncovers the following:

  • Negative risks, which are typically associated with the organization’s weaknesses
  • Positive risks, which are typically associated with the organization’s strengths

SWOT analysis also determines whether any of the organization’s strengths can be used to overcome its weaknesses.

Figure 3-34: Flowchart diagram

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Figure 3-35: Influence diagram

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Expert Judgment Experts for risk identification purposes can include individuals with the following experience:

  • Experience with similar projects
  • Experience in the business area for which the project was undertaken
  • Industry-specific experience

The bias of experts regarding the project or potential risk events should be considered when using this technique.

Outputs of Identify Risks

There is only one output of the Identify Risks process: the risk register.

The risk register contains the following elements:

  • List of identified risks
  • List of potential responses
  • Triggers

List of Identified Risks Risks are all the potential events and their subsequent consequences that could occur as identified during this process. A list provides a means of tracking risks and their occurrence and responses. The list should contain the following items:

  • All potential risks
  • Tracking number
  • Potential cause or event
  • Potential impact
  • Responses implemented

List of Potential Responses While you’re identifying risks, you may identify a potential response at the same time. If this is the case, these potential responses are documented.

Triggers Triggers are signals that a risk event is about to occur. Although triggers are not listed as a risk register element, the risk register is an appropriate place to list them in practice.

Table 3-7 shows a sample template for a risk register.

Table 3-7: Risk register template

Table 3-7

Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis

The Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis process involves determining what impact the identified risks will have on the project objectives and the probability that they will occur. It also ranks the risks in priority order according to their effect on the project objectives. The purpose of this process is to determine risk event probability and risk impact. By the end of this process, updates will have been made to the risk register.

Figure 3-36 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis process.

Figure 3-36: Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis process

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For more detailed information on the Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis process, see Chapter 6 of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis

Know the following inputs of the Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis process and how they apply:

  • Risk register
  • Risk management plan
  • Project scope statement
  • Organizational process assets

Risk Register The list of risks from within the risk register is utilized in this process.

Risk Management Plan The risk management plan documents the following, which are utilized when prioritizing risks:

  • Roles and responsibilities of risk team members
  • Budget and schedule factors for risk activities
  • Stakeholder risk tolerances
  • Definitions for probability and impact
  • Probability and impact matrix

Project Scope Statement The project scope statement describes the deliverables of the project, which will provide insight into the level of uncertainty that exists within the project.

Organizational Process Assets Historical information, lessons learned, and risk databases from past projects are used from within the organizational process assets as a guide for prioritizing the risks for this project.

Tools and Techniques of Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis

The following tools and techniques are utilized in the Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis process:

  • Risk probability and impact assessment
  • Probability and impact matrix
  • Risk data quality assessment
  • Risk categorization
  • Risk urgency assessment
  • Expert judgment

Risk Probability and Impact Assessment This tool and technique assesses the probability that the risk events identified will occur and determines the effect (or impact) they have on the project objectives:

Probability Probability is the likelihood that an event will occur.

Impact Impact is the amount of pain or gain that the risk event poses to the project. The following are two types of scales used to assign a value to risk:

  • The risk impact scale, also known as an ordinal scale, can be a relative scale that assigns values such as high, medium, or low.
  • Cardinal scale values are actual numeric values assigned to the risk impact. Cardinal scales are expressed as values from 0.0 to 1.0 and can be stated in equal (linear) or unequal (nonlinear) increments.

Table 3-8 shows a typical risk impact scale for cost, time, and quality objectives based on a high-high to low-low scale.

Table 3-8: Risk impact scale

Table 3-8

Assessing Probability and Impact The idea behind both probability and impact values is to develop predefined measurements that describe which value to place on a risk event. Assumptions used to arrive at these determinations should also be documented within this process.

Probability and Impact Matrix The outcome of a probability and impact matrix is an overall risk rating for each of the project’s identified risks. The following are characteristics of the probability and impact matrix:

  • The combination of probability and impact results in a classification usually expressed as high, medium, or low.
  • Values assigned to the risks determine how the Plan Risk Responses process is carried out for the risks later during the risk-planning processes.
  • Values for the probability and impact matrix (and the probability and impact scales) are determined prior to the start of this process.
  • The impact and probability matrix is documented in the risk management plan.
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In several countries, it is common for high risks to be reflected as a red condition within the probability and impact matrix, medium risks as a yellow condition, and low risks as a green condition. This type of ranking is known as an ordinal scale because the values are ordered by rank from high to low.

Risk Data Quality Assessment The risk data quality assessment involves determining the usefulness of the data gathered to evaluate risk. The data must be unbiased and accurate. Elements such as the following are used when performing this tool and technique:

  • Quality of the data used
  • Availability of data regarding the risks
  • How well the risk is understood
  • Reliability and integrity of the data
  • Accuracy of the data

Risk Categorization Risk categorization is used to determine the effects risk has on the project.

Risk Urgency Assessment Risk urgency assessment determines how soon the potential risks might occur and quickly determines responses for those risks that could occur in the near term. The following play a role in determining how quickly a risk response is needed:

  • Risk triggers
  • Time to develop and implement a response
  • Overall risk rating

Expert Judgment Expert judgment is used to determine the probability, impact, and other information derived to date from this process. Interviews and facilitated workshops are two techniques used in conjunction with expert judgment to perform this process.

Outputs of Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis

The output of the Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis process includes updates to the risk register.

According to the PMBOK® Guide, the risk register will receive the following updates, which are added as new entries:

  • Risk ranking (or priority) for the identified risks
  • Risks grouped by categories
  • Causes of risk
  • List of risks requiring near-term responses
  • List of risks that need additional analysis and response
  • Watch list of low-priority risks
  • Trends in qualitative risk analysis results

Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis

The Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis process evaluates the impacts of risk prioritized during the Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis process and quantifies risk exposure for the project by assigning numeric probabilities to each risk and their impacts on project objectives. The purpose of this process is to perform the following:

  • Quantify the project’s possible outcomes and probabilities.
  • Determine the probability of achieving the project objectives.
  • Identify risks that need the most attention by quantifying their contribution to overall project risk.
  • Identify realistic and achievable schedule, cost, or scope targets.
  • Determine the best project management decisions possible when outcomes are uncertain.

Figure 3-37 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis process.

Figure 3-37: Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis process

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For more detailed information on the Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis process, see Chapter 6 of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis

Know the following inputs of the Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis process:

  • Risk register
  • Risk management plan
  • Cost management plan
  • Schedule management plan
  • Organizational process assets

Risk Register The risk register contains a list of identified risks as well as any other documented information on risks to date.

Risk Management Plan The risk management plan guides the project team in carrying out the risk processes. The following key elements are used from within the risk management plan:

  • Roles and responsibilities
  • Risk management activities
  • Guidelines for setting aside contingency reserves
  • RBS
  • Stakeholder tolerances

Cost Management Plan The cost management plan provides the necessary information to address cost-related risks so that the project may be kept within budget.

Schedule Management Plan The schedule management plan provides the necessary information to address schedule-related risks so that the project may be kept on schedule.

Organizational Process Assets The organizational process assets utilized include the following elements:

  • Historical information from previous projects
  • Risk databases
  • Risk specialists’ studies performed on similar projects

Tools and Techniques of Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis

Three tools and techniques are utilized in the Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis process:

  • Data-gathering and representation techniques
  • Quantitative risk analysis and modeling techniques
  • Expert judgment

Data-Gathering and Representation Techniques Data-gathering and representative techniques are as follows:

Interviewing Project team members, stakeholders, and subject matter experts are typical interview subjects. Oftentimes, three-point estimates are gathered from the experts to quantify the probability and impact of risks on project objectives. The following interview topics are common:

  • Experiences on past projects
  • Experiences working with the types of technology or processes used during this project

Probability Distributions Continuous probability distributions (particularly beta and triangular distributions) are commonly used in Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis. According to the PMBOK® Guide, the following probability distributions are often used:

  • Normal and lognormal
  • Triangular
  • Beta
  • Uniform distributions
  • Discrete distributions

Distributions are graphically displayed and represent both the probability and time or cost elements.

Quantitative Risk Analysis and Modeling Techniques One or more of the following quantitative risk analysis and modeling techniques are used:

Sensitivity Analysis Sensitivity analysis is a quantitative method of analyzing the potential impact of risk events on the project and determining which risk event (or events) has the greatest potential for impact by examining all the uncertain elements at their baseline values. Figure 3-38 shows a sample tornado diagram, which is one of the ways that sensitivity analysis data can be displayed.

Figure 3-38: Tornado diagram

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Expected Monetary Value (EMV) Analysis Expected monetary value (EMV) analysis is a statistical technique that calculates the average, anticipated future impact of the decision. EMV is calculated by multiplying the probability of the risk by its impact and then adding them together:

  • Positive results generally indicate an opportunity within the project.
  • Negative results generally indicate a threat to the project.

EMV is used in conjunction with the decision tree analysis technique. Decision trees are diagrams that show the sequence of interrelated decisions and the expected results of choosing one alternative over the other. Typically, more than one choice or option is available in response to a decision. The available choices are depicted in tree form starting at the left with the risk decision branching out to the right with possible outcomes. Decision trees are usually used for risk events associated with time or cost. Figure 3-39 shows a sample decision tree using expected monetary value (EMV) as one of its inputs.

Figure 3-39: Decision tree

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Modeling and Simulation Modeling and simulation techniques are often used for schedule risk analysis and cost analysis. Simulation techniques compute the project model using various inputs, such as cost or schedule duration, to determine a probability distribution for the variable chosen. Modeling and simulation techniques examine the identified risks and their potential impacts to the project objectives from the perspective of the whole project.

Monte Carlo analysis is an example of a simulation technique. It is replicated many times, typically using cost or schedule variables. Every time the analysis is performed, the values for the variable are changed with the output plotted as a probability distribution. This type of information helps the risk management team determine the probability of completing the project on time and/or within budget.

Expert Judgment Experts can come from inside or outside the organization and should have experience that’s applicable to the project. When performing quantitative risk analysis, experts can also assist in validating the data and tools used.

Outputs of Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis

Like the process before it, the Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis process contains one output, updates to the risk register.

The following risk register updates occur as a result of this process:

  • Probabilistic analysis of the project
  • Probability of achieving the cost and time objectives
  • Prioritized list of quantified risks
  • Trends in Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis results

Probabilistic Analysis of the Project Probabilistic analysis of the project is the forecasted results of the project schedule and costs as determined by the outcomes of risk analysis. The following are characteristics of probabilistic analysis:

  • Results include projected completion dates and costs along with a confidence level associated with each.
  • The output is often expressed as a cumulative distribution.
  • Results are used along with stakeholder risk tolerances to quantify the time and cost contingency reserves.

Probability of Achieving the Cost and Time Objectives The probability of achieving the cost and time objectives of the project are documented based on the results of performing the quantitative risk analysis tools and techniques.

Prioritized List of Quantified Risks The prioritized list of risks includes the following items:

  • Risks with the greatest risk or threat to the project
  • Risk impacts
  • Risks that present the greatest opportunities to the project
  • Risks that are most likely to impact the critical path
  • Risks with the largest cost contingency

Trends in Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis Results Trends in Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis appear as the process is repeated. Trends are documented for further analysis and for use in developing risk response plans.

Plan Risk Responses

Plan Risk Responses is a process of deciding what actions to take to reduce threats and take advantage of the opportunities discovered during the risk analysis processes. This includes assigning resources the responsibility of carrying out risk response plans outlined in this process. By the end of this process, the risk register will be updated to include a risk response plan for all risks that require some form of action.

Figure 3-40 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Plan Risk Responses process.

Figure 3-40: Plan Risk Responses process

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For more detailed information on the Plan Risk Responses process, see Chapter 6 of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Plan Risk Responses

The Plan Risk Responses process contains two inputs that you should be familiar with. Be sure you know how they are used during the process.

Risk Register All of the information included within the risk register to date will be utilized in developing risk responses.

Risk Management Plan The following are utilized from within the risk management plan in carrying out this process:

  • Roles and responsibilities that pertain to risk
  • Definitions of risk analysis
  • Risk thresholds
  • Time and budget requirements allotted for risk activities

Tools and Techniques of Plan Risk Responses

Tools and techniques of the Plan Risk Responses process that you should know are as follows:

  • Strategies for negative risks or threats
  • Strategies for positive risks or opportunities
  • Contingent response strategies
  • Expert judgment

Strategies for Negative Risks or Threats As Figure 3-41 shows, strategies for negative risks or threats include avoid, transfer, mitigate, and accept.

Figure 3-41: Strategies for negative risks

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Avoid To avoid a risk means to evade it altogether, eliminate the cause of the risk event, or change the project plan to protect the project objectives from the risk event.

Here are some examples of avoiding risk:

  • Improving communications
  • Refining requirements
  • Assigning additional resources to project activities
  • Refining the project scope to avoid risk events

Transfer The purpose of risk transfer is to transfer a risk and its consequences to a third party. This strategy will impact the project budget.

Here are some examples of transferring risk:

  • Insurance
  • Contracting
  • Warranties
  • Guarantees
  • Performance bonds

Mitigate To mitigate a risk means to reduce the probability of a risk event and its impacts to an acceptable level. According to the PMBOK® Guide, the purpose of mitigation is to reduce the probability that a risk will occur and reduce the impact of the risk to an acceptable level.

Accept The acceptance strategy is used when the project team isn’t able to eliminate all the threats to the project. Acceptance of a risk event is a strategy that can be used for risks that pose either threats or opportunities to the project. There are two forms of acceptance:

  • Passive acceptance occurs when the project team has assessed the risk as low enough in probability and/or impact that they choose to do no additional planning for that potential event at this time.
  • Active acceptance includes developing contingency reserves to deal with risks should they occur.

Strategies for Positive Risks or Opportunities Strategies for positive risks or opportunities, as shown in Figure 3-42, include exploit, share, enhance, and accept.

Figure 3-42: Strategies for positive risks

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Exploit Exploiting a risk event is to look for opportunities for positive impacts. This is the strategy of choice when positive risks have been identified and the project team wants to make certain the risk will occur within the project. An example of exploiting a risk would be reducing the amount of time to complete the project by bringing on more qualified resources.

Share The share strategy is similar to transferring because risk is assigned to a third-party owner who is best able to bring about the opportunity the risk event presents. An example of sharing a risk would be a joint venture.

Enhance The enhance strategy involves closely watching the probability or impact of the risk event to assure that the organization realizes the benefits. This entails watching for and emphasizing risk triggers and identifying the root causes of the risk to help enhance impacts or probability.

Accept This is similar to the accept strategies used for negative risks or threats.

Contingent Response Strategies Contingent response strategies, also known as contingency planning, involves planning alternatives to deal with the risks should they occur. Contingency planning recognizes that risks may occur and that plans should be in place to deal with them.

The following contingency responses are common:

  • Contingency reserves, which include project funds that are held in reserve to offset any unavoidable threats that might occur to project scope, schedule, cost, or quality. It also includes reserving time and resources to account for risks.
  • Fallback plans, which are developed for risks with high impact or for risks with identified strategies that might not be the most effective at dealing with the risk.

Expert Judgment Expert judgment is utilized in developing risk responses, including feedback and guidance from risk management experts and those internal to the project qualified to provide assistance in this process.

Outputs of Plan Risk Responses

The following are the four outputs of the Plan Risk Responses process:

  • Risk register updates
  • Risk-related contract decisions
  • Project management plan updates
  • Project document updates

Risk Register Updates According to the PMBOK® Guide, after Identify Risks, Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis, and Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis are preformed, the following elements should appear in the risk register:

  • List of identified risks, including their descriptions, what WBS element they impact (or area of the project), categories (RBS), root causes, and how the risks impact the project objectives
  • Risk owners and their responsibility
  • Outputs from the Perform Qualitative Analysis process
  • Agreed-upon response strategies
  • Actions needed to implement response plans
  • Risk triggers
  • Cost and schedule activities needed to implement risk responses
  • Contingency plans
  • Fallback plans, which are risk response plans that are executed when the initial risk response plan proves to be ineffective
  • Contingency reserves
  • Residual risk, which is a leftover risk that remains after the risk response strategy has been implemented
  • Secondary risks, which are risks that come about as a result of implementing a risk response

Risk-Related Contract Decisions If risk response strategies include responses such as transference or sharing, it may be necessary to purchase services or items from third parties. Contracts for those services can be prepared and discussed at this time.

Project Management Plan Updates The following documents within the project management plan may require updates:

  • Any and all of the management plans
  • WBS
  • Schedule baseline
  • Cost performance baseline

Project Document Updates Other project documents, such as technical documentation and the assumptions documented in the project scope statement, may require an update after performing this process.

Exam Essentials

Be able to define the purpose of the risk management plan. The risk management plan describes how you will define, monitor, and control risks throughout the project. It details how risk management processes (including Identify Risks, Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis, Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis, Plan Risk Responses, and Monitor and Control Risks) will be implemented, monitored, and controlled throughout the life of the project. It describes how you will manage risks but does not attempt to define responses to individual risks. The risk management plan is a subsidiary of the project management plan, and it’s the only output of the Plan Risk Management process.

Be able to define the purpose of the Identify Risks process. The purpose of the Identify Risks process is to identify all risks that might impact the project, document them, and identify their characteristics.

Be able to define the risk register and some of its primary elements. The risk register is an output of the Identify Risks process, and updates to the risk register occur as an output of every risk process that follows this one. By the end of the Plan Risk Responses process, the risk register contains these primary elements: identified list of risks, risk owners, risk triggers, risk strategies, contingency plans, and contingency reserves.

Be able to define the purpose of the Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis process. Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis determines the impact the identified risks will have on the project and the probability they’ll occur, and it puts the risks in priority order according to their effects on the project objectives.

Be able to define the purpose of the Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis process. Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis evaluates the impacts of risks prioritized during the Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis process and quantifies risk exposure for the project by assigning numeric probabilities to each risk and their impacts on project objectives.

Be able to define the purpose of the Plan Risk Responses process. Plan Risk Responses is the process where risk response plans are developed using strategies such as avoid, transfer, mitigate, accept, exploit, share, enhance, develop contingent response strategies, and apply expert judgment. The risk response plan describes the actions to take should the identified risks occur. It should include all the identified risks, a description of the risks, how they’ll impact the project objectives, and the people assigned to manage the risk responses.

Obtaining Project Management Plan Approval

With the subsidiary plans and baselines created, it’s time to bring them all together into a project management plan. The project management plan consists of a compilation of these plans and baselines and is an output of the Develop Project Management Plan process. This primary plan is presented to key stakeholders for sign-off (if required). Once it’s approved, the team can move forward to execute the plan.

Develop Project Management Plan is the first process within the Planning process group, and it’s part of the Project Integration Management Knowledge Area. This process defines, coordinates, and integrates all the various subsidiary project plans and baselines. The result is a project management plan document that describes how the project outcomes will be executed, monitored, and controlled as the project progresses and how the project will be closed out once it concludes.

Throughout the project, the project management plan will be updated to reflect approved project changes. It will be used as an input to many of the project management processes, and as a result of approved changes, it will also become an output of several processes.

Figure 3-43 shows the inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs of the Develop Project Management Plan process.

Figure 3-43: Develop Project Management Plan process

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For more detailed information on the Develop Project Management Plan process, see Chapter 3 of PMP: Project Management Professional Exam Study Guide, 6th Edition.

Inputs of Develop Project Management Plan

Know the following inputs of the Develop Project Management Plan process:

  • Project charter
  • Outputs from the planning processes
  • Enterprise environmental factors
  • Organizational process assets

Project Charter Based on the high-level scope outlined in the project charter, the project team can start determining which project management processes will be most beneficial for this particular project.

Outputs from Planning Processes The following outputs from the planning processes may be helpful inputs to develop the project management plan:

  • Any processes used that produce a baseline
  • Any processes that produce a subsidiary management plan

Enterprise Environmental Factors The following key elements of the environmental factors should be considered when choosing the processes to perform for this project:

  • Standards and regulations (both industry and governmental)
  • Company culture and organizational structure
  • Personnel administration
  • Project management information system (PMIS)

The PMIS is an automated or manual system used to document the subsidiary plans and the project management plan, facilitate the feedback process, and revise the documents.

Organizational Process Assets The following key elements of the organizational process assets should be considered within this process:

  • Project management plan template
  • Change control procedures
  • Historical information
  • Configuration management knowledge database that contains the official company policies, standards, procedures, and other project documents

Tools and Techniques of Develop Project Management Plan

Expert judgment is the only tool and technique of the Develop Project Management Plan process.

The following types of expert judgment are needed to complete this process:

  • Tailoring techniques
  • Understanding technical and management details that need to be included in the project management plan
  • Determining resources and assessing skill levels needed for project work
  • Determining and defining the amount of configuration management to apply on the project

Output of Develop Project Management Plan

The output of the Develop Project Management Plan process is the project management plan.

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The purpose of most processes is to produce an output. Outputs are usually a report or document of some type or a deliverable.

The project management plan includes the following elements:

  • Processes used to perform each phase of the project
  • Life cycle used for the project and for each phase of the project when applicable
  • Tailoring of results the project team defines
  • Methods for executing the work of the project to fulfill the objectives
  • Change management plan describing methods for monitoring and controlling change
  • Configuration management
  • Methods for determining and maintaining the validity of performance baselines
  • Communication needs of the stakeholders and techniques to fulfill those needs
  • Management reviews of content, issues, and pending decisions

The project management plan also contains multiple subsidiary plans and baselines, as described in Table 3-9. Figure 3-44 depicts a high-level view of the contents that make up the plan.

Figure 3-44: High-level view of project management plan contents

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Table 3-9: Project management plan summary

Subsidiary Plan or Document Description
Requirements management plan This plan documents how the project requirements will be managed throughout the life of the project. It also addresses how the requirements will be analyzed and documented.
Schedule management plan This plan identifies the scheduling format, tool, and methodology that will be used for creating and managing the project schedule.
Cost management plan This plan defines the criteria for planning, budgeting, estimating, and managing the costs of the project. It also identifies the cost-related formats and tools that will be used within the project.
Quality management plan This plan describes how the organization’s quality policies will be implemented and addresses the following items: quality assurance, quality control, and process improvement.
Communications management plan This plan guides the communication for the project. It defines the communication requirements of the stakeholders as well as the format, type, frequency, and methods for project reports. It also lists report recipients and anything else pertinent to project communication.
Risk management plan This plan defines how risk management activities will be carried out. It also outlines the budget and time allotted for risk activities, risk roles and responsibilities, risk categories, and how risks will be defined and assessed.
Procurement management plan This plan describes how procurements will be managed, from make-or-buy decisions all the way through contract closure.
Schedule baseline This baseline is an approved version of the project schedule that will be used to compare and measure the planned schedule against the actual schedule.
Cost performance baseline This baseline contains an approved budget that is used to measure, monitor, and control the planned budget against the actual amount of funds used.
Scope baseline This baseline provides scope boundaries for the project and consists of the project scope statement, the work breakdown structure (WBS), and the WBS dictionary.
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Subsidiary and component plans may be detailed or simply a synopsis, depending on the project needs. As the project progresses and more and more processes are performed, the subsidiary plans and the project management plan itself may change.

Exam Essentials

Be able to state the purpose of the Develop Project Management Plan process. It defines how the project is executed, monitored and controlled, and closed, and it documents the processes used during the project.

Conducting a Kickoff Meeting

A kickoff meeting typically occurs at the end of the planning process, prior to beginning the project work. The purpose of the kickoff meeting is to ensure that everyone is aware of the project details and their role within the project and to announce that the project work is ready to begin. This is a great opportunity to review project milestones and other important information with key stakeholders.

Meeting Attendees

Those who attend a kickoff meeting include, but are not limited to, the following individuals:

  • Project manager
  • Project team members
  • Customer
  • Project sponsor
  • Department managers
  • Other key stakeholders

Meeting Topics

The topics discussed within a kickoff meeting include, but are not limited to, the following:

  • Introductions of attendees
  • Meeting agenda
  • Review of the project management plan

Bringing the Processes Together

This chapter covered a tremendous amount of information; the Planning process group is the largest project management process group. In addition to understanding each process individually, you’ll need to understand how the processes work together. Understanding that bigger picture will help you with situational exam questions as well as utilizing the project management processes in a real-world setting.

Now that you have a strong grasp of how the outputs from various processes become the inputs for other processes, you understand why some processes must occur before others can move forward. For example, to create the project management plan, the results of the initiating process group are required. Figure 3-45 shows this interaction between the Initiating process group and the Planning process group, the first two stages of the project’s life cycle. The relationship between the project management plan and the rest of the planning processes is just as interactive, if not more dynamic.

Figure 3-45: Planning Process Group interaction

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The project management plan is used in planning processes across eight of the nine Knowledge Areas. (The remaining Knowledge Area generates the project management plan.) The results of these planning processes are fed back into the project management plan as updates. The updates might, in turn, impact several of the other planning processes. For example, the project management plan contains the cost management plan. Any changes that are approved within the cost management plan become updates to the project management plan. As a result, these approved and updated changes might impact other planning processes that might also require that updates and changes be made.

By now, it should be clear that the project management plan is the heart of the project and that much of the project’s success can be based on the processes of the Planning process group. A common motto within the project management industry is, “A well-planned project makes for a successful project.” Figure 3-46 illustrates how the project management plan remains at the center of the planning process group.

Figure 3-46: Planning process group triangle

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In summary, the project management plan is a compilation of several subsidiary plans and baselines:

  • Change management plan
  • Communications management plan
  • Configuration management plan
  • Cost management plan
  • Cost performance baseline
  • Human resource plan
  • Process improvement plan
  • Procurement management plan
  • Quality management plan
  • Requirements management plan
  • Risk management plan
  • Schedule baseline
  • Schedule management plan
  • Scope baseline
  • Scope management plan

The change management plan, which was not previously addressed, describes how you will document and manage change requests, the process for approving changes, and how to document and manage the final recommendation for the change requests. Configuration management changes deal with the components of the product of the project, such as functional ability or physical attributes, rather than the project process itself.

Scope is also a critical element within planning because it defines the boundaries of the project and what it is that the project has set out to achieve. As shown in Figure 3-46, the project schedule and the project budget are part of the project’s foundation. These project elements play a big role in measuring and monitoring the progress of the project. The resources and purchased services and/or products complete the project’s foundation. Without the human resources, as well as the external project teams, the project could not move forward.

Guiding the project from above are communications management, quality management, and risk management—all critical elements of the project that influence and guide the project toward success. As you can see, all of these project elements are intertwined and build one on another.

With this big picture in mind, let’s go back and review what you’ve learned thus far about each of the project management Knowledge Areas. You’ll find that what goes on within each Knowledge Area is connected on a high level and is structured in a logical format.

Project Scope Management Knowledge Area Review

You may recall that the project scope defines the work to be completed during the project, providing the project with boundaries. Figure 3-47 illustrates the process and inputs used to create the work breakdown structure. (Remember that the WBS is a decomposition of the project deliverables, down to the work package level.) The WBS becomes part of the scope baseline, as is the project scope statement and the WBS dictionary. The scope baseline is necessary input for activities in the next Knowledge Area, Project Time Management.

Figure 3-47: Project Scope Management Knowledge Area process interaction

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Project Time Management Knowledge Area Review

Figure 3-48 reflects, step by step, how the project schedule is developed. The planning process flow within the Project Time Management Knowledge Area is extremely clear. It’s important to understand the following points:

  • The scope baseline is central to creating the initial list of project activities; creating the list is the first step toward developing the project schedule.
  • The project budget can influence the number and type of resources the project can use.
  • Clearly defining the resources needed to carry out the project activities is key to planning human resources and procurements.

Figure 3-48: Project Time Management Knowledge Area process interaction

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Project Cost Management Knowledge Area Review

Figure 3-49 shows the key process steps for creating the project budget. The scope baseline is necessary for determining estimates for the cost of each activity. Although not shown as an output of the first cost-related process, the cost management plan comes into play and governs how the activity costs are estimated and how the project budget is created.

Figure 3-49: Project Cost Management Knowledge Area process interaction

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Project Quality Management Knowledge Area Review

The single planning step within the Project Quality Management Knowledge Area results in several key items within the quality management processes. Figure 3-50 shows how the information resulting from scope, cost, time, and risk planning processes is necessary for carefully planning project quality. This first step in defining project quality produces the following:

  • Method for planning, carrying out, and controlling quality activities
  • Metrics used to measure project quality
  • Method the project management team can use to approach and then carry out a process improvement strategy

Figure 3-50: Project Quality Management Knowledge Area process interaction

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Project Human Resource Management Knowledge Area Review

Figure 3-51 depicts the only planning process within the Project Human Resource Management Knowledge Area. Key to this first process of the Knowledge Area is developing the human resource management plan, which will guide the rest of the processes relating to human resources, including hiring, developing, and managing the project team.

Project Communications Management Knowledge Area Review

As you learned in this chapter, meeting stakeholder needs, requirements, and expectations is essential to a successful project. Project communications play a big role in meeting these objectives. Figure 3-52 depicts the only planning-related step within the Project Communications Management Knowledge Area. This step determines how project communications will be managed and defines stakeholder communication requirements. The result is the communications management plan. To define the communication needs and requirements of stakeholders, you need the following results of the Initiating process group:

  • Stakeholder register
  • Stakeholder management strategy

Figure 3-51: Project Human Resource Management Knowledge Area process interaction

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Figure 3-52: Project Communications Knowledge Area process interaction

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Project Risk Management Knowledge Area Review

Risk management planning begins as early as the project begins. The first step, which creates the risk management plan, is carried through early on during the planning phase of the project. Project plans, such as the cost management plan, the schedule management plan, and the communications management plan, are used to develop the risk management plan. The project scope statement is also utilized.

As depicted in Figure 3-53, the steps within risk management planning are very intuitive. First, you plan how to manage, assess, and deal with risks. Then, you identify and prioritize the identified risks. Analyzing the risks comes next. As you may recall, this can include qualitative risk analysis and quantitative risk analysis.

Figure 3-53: Project Risk Management Knowledge Area process interaction

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With the existing information at hand, you can now plan how you will respond to risks that call for action. As you can see in Figure 3-53, the risk register is a living document, updated throughout the project as risks are identified. It documents all of the information about these risks and is therefore continuously updated as the processes are carried out.

Project Procurement Management Knowledge Area Review

Figure 3-54 shows the single procurement-planning step. Here you plan how procurements will be carried out and managed within the project. This activity also determines which products or services will be procured. A total of 11 inputs feed the process.

The results include the following items:

  • A plan that lays out the guidelines for carrying out procurement activities, the types of contracts that will be used, and how vendor progress and performance will be measured
  • Make-or-buy decisions
  • Several key procurement-related documents, including procurement terms, the procurement statement of work, and source selection criteria

As you can see, the planning processes within each Knowledge Area are highly interactive. The processes interact not just within their own respective Knowledge Areas, but among the other planning processes.

Each project carries different needs, and not all of the processes will be necessary for every project. We previously touched on the fact that some processes can be combined to tailor management for a particular project to the needs of that individual project. But, as you’ve also seen, some process outputs are critical as inputs to other processes. The project management plan, which lies at the core of the Planning process group, is one of those critical outputs.

Figure 3-54: Project Procurement Management Knowledge Area process interaction

f0354.eps

Review Questions

1. All of the following are subsidiary elements of the project management plan EXCEPT:

A. Quality management plan

B. Risk management plan

C. Project scope statement

D. Scope baseline

2. The following BEST describes a focus group:

A. Gathering of prequalified subject matter experts and stakeholders

B. One-on-one conversations with stakeholders

C. Group of subject matter experts who participate anonymously

D. Group of cross-functional stakeholders who can define cross-functional requirements

3. Sam is currently in the planning stages of a project and is working on developing the project scope statement. As part of converting the product description into deliverables, he has utilized the product breakdown and systems analysis techniques. Which of the following tools and techniques of the Define Scope process is Sam currently utilizing?

A. Expert judgment

B. Product analysis

C. Alternatives identification

D. Facilitated workshops

4. The following are included within the WBS dictionary EXCEPT:

A. Code of accounts identifiers

B. Cost estimates

C. Description of the work of the component

D. Activity list

5. While sequencing activities, a project manager decides to utilize the precedence diagramming method to show existing dependencies between activities. Which of the logical relationships is the project manager most likely to use?

A. Finish-to-start

B. Start-to-finish

C. Finish-to-finish

D. Start-to-start

6. Rodrigo is in the Plan Communications process of a new systems component project. He has determined that there are 32 stakeholders within the project. How many communication channels exist?

A. 496

B. 512

C. 32

D. 31

7. What is the purpose of the Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis process?

A. To determine how the project team will plan for risks

B. To identify and gather all potential risks within the project

C. To determine the impact and probability of identified risks and prioritize them

D. To evaluate the impact of risks prioritized and determine the risk exposure

8. Which type of contract carries the highest risk for the buyer?

A. Fixed-price contracts

B. Lump-sum contracts

C. Cost-reimbursable contracts

D. Time and material contracts

9. Which of the following quality theorists devised the zero defects practice?

A. Walter Shewhart

B. Philip B. Crosby

C. W. Edwards Deming

D. Joseph Juran

10. All of the following are tools and techniques of the Plan Quality process EXCEPT:

A. Statistical sampling

B. Flowcharts

C. Force field analysis

D. Operational definition

Answers to Review Questions

1. C. The project scope statement is an output of the Define Scope process and is not included as part of the project management plan. The following plans and components are included: scope management plan, requirements management plan, schedule management plan, cost management plan, quality management plan, communications management plan, risk management plan, procurement management plan, schedule baseline, cost performance baseline, and the scope baseline.

2. A. Option A refers to those participating in a focus group, while B refers to interviews, C refers to the Delphi technique, and D refers to facilitated workshops.

3. B. Sam is currently utilizing product analysis, which is a method for converting the product description and project objectives into deliverables and requirements. To do this, Sam may have utilized any of the following: value analysis, functional analysis, requirements analysis, systems-engineering techniques, systems analysis, product breakdown, and value-engineering techniques.

4. D. The WBS contains deliverables that are broken down to the work package level. The work packages are not broken down into the activity level until the Define Activities process, which cannot occur until after the WBS has been created.

5. A. Finish-to-start is the type of logical relationship most frequently used within precedence diagramming methods and therefore the most likely choice. Option B, start-to-finish, is used the least.

6. A. The formula for calculating communications channels is n multiplied by n – 1, all divided by 2, where n represents the total number of stakeholders within the project. When you plug in the number of stakeholders in Rodrigo’s project, the following formula results:

32(321) ÷ 2

7. C. Option A refers to Plan Risk Management, B refers to Identify Risks, and D refers to Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis.

8. C. Cost-reimbursable contracts carry the highest risk for the buyer because the total cost of the goods or services purchased is uncertain and the seller charges all costs to the buyer with no preset cap. As a side note, options A and B refer to the same type of contract.

9. B. Philip B. Crosby believed that preventing defects from occurring resulted in lower costs and conformance to requirements and that cost of quality transformed to cost of conformance as opposed to rework.

10. D. Option D is another name for quality metrics, which is an output of the Plan Quality process. Although C is not directly listed as a tool and technique of this process, it is listed by the PMBOK® Guide as an additional quality planning tool.

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