Rolling Up Your Sleeves

Now that the types of potential risk associated with competitors, the industry, suppliers, customers, and operations have been recognized, what is the best way to get to the bottom of the pertinent questions for each of these risks? There are a number of strong approaches, a few of which are key to conducting the right assessment. Most companies find that the quickest and easiest approaches are qualitative assessments that leverage your own knowledge and your own people.

Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats

A great way to identify strategic risks and many other core operational and financial risks is through an analysis of strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats, what risk managers call a “SWOT analysis” for short. When performed by the key management team and/or operational team, a SWOT analysis can quickly highlight key risks across the business.
A SWOT analysis is conducted by asking questions related to each category, such as the following:
Strengths.What are my businesses strengths? What makes the business most successful? Is it reputation, good products, good prices, good service, good location? Something else?
Weaknesses.What does your company worry about the most? What causes your greatest problems? What is noticeably weak about your company versus other competitors?
Opportunities.Where is your company’s next opportunity coming from? Are there changes in your industry or market likely to open up new opportunities?
Threats.Are there any notable changes that are looming and could seriously hurt your business or your industry more generally?

Use Your Organization

Go inside your company walls and start assessing! Brainstorming sessions, focus groups, and structured interviews with the top executive or operations team work well. These can be conducted with a SWOT framework or using the questions laid out earlier in this chapter.

What Keeps You Up at Night?

Undertake a scenario analysis to focus on key risks as well as how they might manifest themselves. This process provides powerful insight into measuring, assessing, and managing risks down the road. This is often best conducted with your key business teams, your advisors, and your board.
def•i•ni•tion
Scenario analysis is the process of identifying and evaluating potential risks to your business and thinking about how they might play out before they actually occur.
Here’s an example: Suppose your company loses a key supplier or encounters a major quality control problem with that supplier. What are the possible repercussions? Identify them, then ask, “What alternatives do we have, and what are the issues with those alternatives?” Maybe you can find a supplier that delivers product faster. Perhaps another supplier provides greater quality.
Explore these possibilities, and make lists of suppliers you can actually use if this situation arises. Then ask, “What risks could be generated by making this move?” Think of what might happen if the new product or material is inferior to the current supply. Would it shut down your process? Hurt your business’s reputation?

War-Gaming

War-gaming is similar to scenario analysis, but it is done from the perspective of both the competitor and the company. Set up competitive teams (a “competitor” and the “home team”), and work through competitive scenarios and responses. This helps bring to light key strategic risks.

Call the Experts

Some companies seek risk assessment through outside experts and sources such as auditors, specialists, insurance claims reports, post-event reports, and other methods. Even without a formal risk assessment, standard reports provided by outside experts can provide great insight into where your business’s deepest challenges lurk.
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Best Bets
An expert or consultant can come into your business and provide a fresh, yet experienced, set of eyes. The information you need to identify risks to your business might be lying out in the open. An audit report, insurance report, or similar evaluation may already be in your hands—and may be ready to provide powerful insight into your key risks.
Why call an expert? Companies will make the call if they experience more severe issues or feel they need help the first time they encounter a risk situation—especially if theirs is a specialty business. If a company is regulated in any way by industry or government, it may want an outside opinion to provide a third-party view that satisfies an inspector.

The Least You Need to Know

◆ Risk identification requires a comprehensive view of internal and external factors affecting your business.
◆ Many of your key risks will be defined by the risks inherent to your industry.
◆ Use your workforce to obtain the best view of the key risks you face.
◆ Determine your key risks and how they might manifest in your business by using exercises such as scenario analysis and war-gaming.
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