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The Pebble and the Avalanche
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The Pebble and the Avalanche
by Moshe Yudkowsky
The Pebble and the Avalanche
Cover Page
Title Page
Copyright Page
Preface
Acknowledgments
Part I. Disaggregation: Why the Sum of the Parts Is Greater Than the Whole
Chapter One Disaggregation: The Driving Force of Revolution
Taking Things Apart: Recent Revolutions
Disaggregation: The Science of Taking Things Apart
Chapter Two Starting Revolutions: What to Take Apart
Step 1. Sort the Innovation
Step 2: Answer the Basic Questions
Step 3: Assess the Revolutionary Potential
Chapter 3 Benefits of Disaggregation: The Revolutionary’s Bill of Rights
Creativity
Competition
Cost Reduction
Simplicity
Specialization
Synergy
Chapter Four Four Stages to Revolution: Devise, Interface, Accept, Evaluate
Devise
Interface
Accept
Evaluate
An Important Distinction
Part II. Case Studies: Two Hundred Years of Revolutions
Chapter Five From Horses and Buggies to Jet Planes: The Revolution in Manufacturing
Chapter Six The Automobile Takes On the Railroads
The Industrial Age: Canals, Railways, and Automobiles
The Roadway
The Traffic
Network Management
The Business
Chapter Seven The Internet’s Permanent Revolution
The Ancient History of Networks: The 1970s and 1980s
Two Visions of the Worldwide Data Network
How and Why the Internet Won
Benefits of the Permanent Revolution
The Automobile and the Internet
Part III. Business Strategies: How to Cope, How to Fail, and How to Predict the Future
Chapter Eight Interfaces and Standards: The Nuts and Bolts of Modern Civilization
The Origin of Standard Parts
The Business Case for Standards
Business Case Errors
Standards and Obsolescence
The Benefits of Standards
Chapter Nine Coping with Surprises
Digital Photography
Five Steps to Remember: A, E, I, O, U
A Little Pep Talk
Chapter Ten Marx, Lenin, and Gates: Failed Counterrevolutions
Karl Marx, Vladimir Lenin, and the Nuts and Bolts of Socialism
Bill Gates: Running the Wheels Backwards
The Open Source Challenge to Microsoft
Chapter Eleven The Role of Government
The Other Government
If You Lose Anyway
Chapter Twelve Predictions: Three Revolutions in Progress
XML: A Universal Language for Data
The End of the Telephone Company: Internet Telephony
The Amazing Exploding Computer: Jini and Bluetooth, or Something Like Them
Chapter Thirteen Getting Started, Finishing Touches
How to Start
Finishing Touches: The Thoughts That Got Away
Endnotes
Index
About Disaggregate
About the Author
About Berrett-Koehler Publishers
Be Connected
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Chapter Thirteen Getting Started, Finishing Touches
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Endnotes
Table 13.1 Innovation Worksheet
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