,

Chapter 11

Controlling Work Results

The PMP® exam content from the Monitoring and Controlling the Project performance domain covered in this chapter includes the following:

  • Task 3: Ensure that project deliverables conform to the quality standards established in the quality management plan by using appropriate tools and techniques (e.g., testing, inspection, control charts) in order to satisfy customer requirements.
  • Task 4: Update the risk register and risk response plan by identifying any new risks, assessing old risks, and determining and implementing appropriate response strategies in order to manage the impact of risks on the project.
  • Task 5: Assess corrective actions on the issue register and determine next steps for unresolved issues by using appropriate tools and techniques in order to minimize the impact on project schedule, cost, and resources.
  • Task 6: Communicate project status to stakeholders for their feedback in order to ensure the project aligns with business needs.
  • Knowledge and Skills
    • Performance measurement and tracking techniques (for example, EV, CPM, PERT)
    • Project control limits (for example, thresholds, tolerance)
    • Cost analysis techniques
    • Variance and trend analysis techniques
    • Project plan management techniques
    • Change management techniques
    • Integrated change control processes

You’ve almost made it to the homestretch. This chapter covers the last group of project processes in the Monitoring and Controlling group. A significant amount of information is packed into this chapter, and I recommend you memorize all the formulas presented here for the exam.

I’ll cover the Monitor and Control Risks, Control Costs, Control Schedule, Perform Quality Control, Verify Scope, and Control Scope processes in this chapter.

The Monitor and Control Risks process monitors the project for risks and monitors the risk response plans that have been or might need to be put into action. The Control Cost and Control Schedule processes are similar to Perform Integrated Change Control, which we discussed in the last chapter. When you’re reading these sections, remember that the information from the Perform Integrated Change Control process applies to these areas as well.

The Perform Quality Control process involves several new tools and techniques that might show up on the exam. Take some time to understand these tools and techniques and know how to differentiate them from the tools and techniques associated with the Plan Quality and Perform Quality Assurance processes.

The Verify Scope process involves verifying and accepting work results. Control Scope is like the change control processes I discussed in Chapter 10, “Measuring and Controlling Project Performance,” and is concerned with controlling changes to project scope.

note.eps

The process names, inputs, tools and techniques, outputs, and descriptions of the project management process groups and related materials and figures in this chapter are based on content from the PMBOK® Guide.

Monitoring and Controlling Risk

The Monitor and Control Risks process involves implementing response plans, tracking and monitoring identified risks, and identifying and responding to new risks as they occur. You will examine performance information and use the tools and techniques of this process to analyze and implement other functions of this process, including the following:

  • Evaluating risk response plans that are put into action as a result of risk events
  • Monitoring the project for risk triggers
  • Reexamining existing risks to determine if they have changed or should be closed out
  • Monitoring residual risks
  • Reassessing project assumptions and determining validity
  • Ensuring that policies and procedures are followed
  • Ensuring that risk response plans and contingency plans are put into action appropriately and are effective
  • Ensuring that contingency reserves (for schedule and cost) are updated according to the updated risk assessment
  • Evaluating the overall effectiveness of the Risk processes

Monitor and Control Risks is a busy process. During the course of the project, risk responses, which were developed during the Planning process group, have been implemented and have reduced or averted the impact of risk events (or you hope they did).

Monitor and Control Risks Inputs

This process has four inputs:

  • Risk register
  • Project management plan
  • Work performance information
  • Performance reports

You’ll recall that the risk register tracks and ranks individual risks, identifies the risk owner, describes risk triggers and residual risks, and lists the response plans and strategies you should implement in the event of an actual risk event. Keep in mind that some risk events identified in risk planning will happen and some will not. You will have to stay alert for risk event occurrences and be prepared to respond to them when they do occur. This means you should monitor the risk register regularly.

Work performance information includes information that may help you determine that a new risk event is about to occur, or it may assist you in monitoring previously identified risks. Work performance information includes elements such as the status of deliverables, costs to date, cost changes, schedule progress to date, schedule changes, and/or scope changes.

Performance reports include information such as status reports, performance measurements, and forecasts. These should also be examined from the perspective of risks or risk response plans that might need close monitoring or changes to the response plans to coincide with the performance reports data.

Additional risk response planning might be needed to deal with the new risks or with expected risks whose impact might be greater than expected. This might require repeating the Plan Risk Responses process to create new contingency plans or alternative plans to deal with the risk, or it might require modification to existing plans.

Monitor and Control Risks Tools and Techniques

The tools and techniques of Monitor and Control Risks are used to monitor risks throughout the life of the project. You should perform periodic reviews, audits, and new earned value analyses to check the pulse of risk activity and to make certain risk management is enacted effectively.

The tools and techniques of this process are as follows:

  • Risk reassessment
  • Risk audits
  • Variance and trend analysis
  • Technical performance measurement
  • Reserve analysis
  • Status meetings

You’ll look at risk reassessment, risk audits, and technical performance measurements next. You’ve examined all the other tools and techniques of this process in discussions of previous processes.

Risk Reassessment

Periodic, scheduled reviews of identified risks, risk responses, and risk priorities should occur during the project. The idea here is to monitor risks and their status and determine whether their consequences still have the same impact on the project objectives as when they were originally planned. Every status meeting should have a time set aside to discuss and review risks and response plans.

Risk identification and monitoring is an ongoing process throughout the life of the project. Risks can change, and previously identified risks might have greater impacts than originally thought as more facts are discovered. Reassessment of risks should be a regular activity performed by everyone involved on the project. Monitor the risk register, including those risks that have low scores, and risk triggers. You should also monitor the risk responses that have been implemented for their effectiveness in dealing with risk. You might have to revisit the Perform Qualitative and Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis processes when new risk consequences are discovered or risk impacts are found to be greater than what was originally planned.

Risk Audits

Risk audits are carried out during the entire life of the project by risk auditors. Risk auditors are not typically project team members and are expertly trained in audit techniques and risk assessment. Risk audits are specifically interested in examining the implementation of response plans and their effectiveness at dealing with risks and their root causes.

Technical Performance Measurements

This tool and technique compares the technical accomplishments of project milestones completed during the Executing processes to the technical milestones defined in the project Planning processes. Variances might indicate that a project risk is looming, and you’ll want to analyze and prepare a response to it if appropriate. For example, a technical milestone for a new computer software project might require that the forms printed from a particular module include a bar code at the bottom of the page. If the bar code functionality does not work once the module is coded, a technical deviation exists, which means you should reexamine project risks. In this particular example, project scope is likely at risk.

Monitor and Control Risks Outputs

Monitor and Control Risks should occur throughout the life of the project. Identified risks are monitored and plans are reexamined to determine whether they will adequately resolve the risk as it approaches during this process. Several outputs might come about as a result of monitoring risks:

  • Risk register updates
  • Organizational process assets updates
  • Change requests (recommended corrective and preventive actions)
  • Project management plan updates
  • Project document updates

I’ve discussed these outputs before, so I’ll just bring to your attention the new points you need to know here about risk register updates and change requests.

Risk Register Updates

The risk register should be updated under three conditions. The first condition is when a risk audit or risk reassessment concludes that some element of the original risk information has changed—for example, the impact or probability scores are updated to reflect new conditions, the priority of the risk has changed, or the response plan has been updated. The second condition for updating the risk register is when the risk needs to be closed. If a risk event occurs, you’ll record that in the risk register along with the effectiveness of the response plan. The third reason is to include new risks that have been identified during the course of the project. This information becomes an input to the Close Project Process, which I’ll cover in the next chapter.

Change Requests

Change requests must be processed through the Perform Integrated Change Control process. You might find that a workaround is needed when implementing a requested change or recommended corrective action. A workaround is an unplanned response to a negative risk event. It attempts to deal with the risk in a productive, efficient manner. If no risk response plan exists (this might be the case when you accept a risk event during the Planning process) or an unplanned risk occurs, workarounds are implemented to deal with the consequences of the risk.

Managing Cost Changes

The Control Costs process monitors the project budget and manages changes to the cost performance baseline. It’s concerned with monitoring project costs to prevent unauthorized or incorrect costs from being included in the cost performance baseline. This means you’ll also use Control Costs to assure that the project budget isn’t exceeded (resulting in cost overruns). If a change is implemented, you’ll have to make certain the budget for the changed item stays within acceptable limits. All budget changes should be agreed to and approved by the project sponsor where applicable (the criteria for approvals should be outlined in the change control system documentation). Stakeholders should also be made aware of budget changes.

The following list includes some of the activities you’ll be involved in during this process:

  • Monitoring changes to costs or the cost performance baseline and understanding variances from the baseline
  • Monitoring change requests that affect cost and resolving them in a timely manner
  • Informing stakeholders of approved changes and their costs
  • Assuring the project budget does not exceed acceptable limits by taking action when overruns are imminent

Control Costs Inputs

The Control Costs process includes the following inputs:

  • Project management plan
  • Project funding requirements
  • Work performance information
  • Organizational process assets

These inputs are examined using the tools and techniques of this process to determine whether revised cost estimates or budget updates are required. One thing you should note regarding the project management plan input is that it includes the cost performance baseline and the cost management plan. You’ll use the cost performance baseline to compare actual expenditures to date on the project to the baseline. The cost management plan details how costs should be monitored and controlled throughout the life of the project. I’ve covered each of these inputs in previous chapters.

Control Costs Tools and Techniques

The tools and techniques of the Control Costs process are as follows:

  • Earned value management (EVM)
  • Forecasting
  • To-complete performance index (TCPI)
  • Performance reviews
  • Variance analysis
  • Project management software

We’ll look at each of these next, with the exception of project management software. This tool and technique has been discussed previously, but you should know that in this process it can help automate and calculate the formulas we’re going to examine next. It can also display the results in graphical form for status reporting purposes.

Earned Value Management

You can accomplish performance measurement analysis using a technique called earned value management (EVM). Simply stated, EVM compares what you’ve received or produced to what you’ve spent.

The EVM continuously monitors the planned value, earned value, and actual costs expended to produce the work of the project (I’ll cover the definition of these terms shortly). When variances that result in cost changes are discovered (including schedule variances and cost variances), those changes are managed using the project change control system. The primary function of this analysis technique is to determine and document the cause of the variance, to determine the impact of the variance, and to determine whether a corrective action should be implemented as a result. We’ll walk through various examples of how to determine these variances later in this section.

EVM looks at schedule, cost, and scope project measurements together and compares them to the actual work completed to date. It is the most often used performance measurement method. EVM is performed on the work packages and the control accounts of the WBS. To perform the EVM calculations, you need to first gather the three measurements mentioned earlier: the planned value (PV), actual cost (AC), and earned value (EV).

note.eps

If you do any research on your own regarding these values, you might come across acronyms that are different from what you see here. I’ve included their alternative names and acronyms at the end of each description. They are also noted in the glossary of the PMBOK® Guide. I recommend you memorize planned value (PV), actual cost (AC), and earned value (EV) and make certain you understand the meaning of each before progressing.

Let’s take a look at some definitions of these key measurements before diving into the actual calculations:

Planned value The planned value (PV) is the cost of work that has been authorized and budgeted for a schedule activity or WBS component during a given time period or phase. These budgets are established during the Planning processes. PV is also called budgeted cost of work scheduled (BCWS).

Exam Spotlight

Remember to read exam questions carefully. PV might mean present value (as I talked about in Chapter 2, “Creating the Project Charter”) or planned value, as defined here.

Actual cost Actual cost (AC) is the cost of completing the work component in a given time period. Actual costs might include direct and indirect costs but must correspond to what was budgeted for the activity. If the budgeted amount did not include indirect costs, do not include them here. Later you’ll see how to compare this to PV to come up with variance calculation results. AC is also called actual cost of work performed (ACWP).

Earned value Earned value (EV) is the value of the work completed to date as it compares to the budgeted amount (PV) assigned to the work component. EV is typically expressed as a percentage of the work completed compared to the budget. For example, if our budgeted amount is $1,000 and we have completed 30 percent of the work so far, our EV is $300. Therefore, EV cannot exceed the PV budget for the activity. EV is also called budgeted cost of work performed (BCWP).

Exam Spotlight

PV, AC, and EV are really easy to mix up. In their simplest forms, here’s what each means:

  • PV: The approved budget assigned to work to be completed during a given time period
  • AC: Money that’s actually been expended during a given time period for completed work
  • EV: The value of the work completed to date compared to the budget

According to the earlier definition, EV is the sum of the cumulative budgeted costs for completed work for all activities that have been accomplished as of the measurement date. For example, if your total budget is $1,000 and 50 percent of the work has been completed as of the measurement date, your EV would equal $500. You can plot all the PV, AC, and EV measurements graphically to show the variances between them. If there are no variances in the measurements, all the lines on the graph remain the same, which means the project is progressing as planned. Figure 11-1 shows an example that plots these three measurements.

All of these measurements include a cost component. Costs are displayed in an S curve because spending is minimal in the beginning of the project, picks up steam toward the middle, and then tapers off at the end of the project. This means your earned value measurements will also take on the S curve shape.

Now you can calculate whether the project is progressing as planned or if variances exist in the approved baseline by using a variety of formulas discussed in the following sections. Use Figure 11-1 as your example for the formulas that follow. The Figure 11-1 totals are as follows:

PV = 400, EV = 375, AC = 325

Figure 11-1: Earned value

f1101.eps

Cost Variance

Cost variance is one of the most popular variances that project managers use, and it tells you whether your costs are higher than budgeted (with a resulting negative number) or lower than budgeted (with a resulting positive number). It measures the actual performance to date or during the period against what’s been spent.

The cost variance (CV) is calculated as follows:

CV = EV – AC

Let’s calculate the CV using the numbers from Figure 11-1:

375 – 325 = 50

The CV is positive, which means you’re spending less than what you planned for the work that you have completed as of July 1 (which Figure 11-1 shows because AC is less than EV).

If you come up with a negative number as the answer to this formula, it means that costs are higher than what you had planned for the work that was completed as of July 1 and these costs are often not recoverable.

Schedule Variance

Schedule variance, another popular variance, tells you whether the schedule is ahead or behind what was planned for this period. This formula is most helpful when you’ve used the critical path methodology to build the project schedule. The schedule variance (SV) is calculated as follows:

SV = EV – PV

Let’s plug in the numbers:

375 – 400 = –25

The resulting schedule variance is negative, which means you are behind schedule, or behind where you planned to be as of July 1.

Together, the CV and SV are known as efficiency indicators for the project and can be used to compare performance of all the projects in a portfolio.

Performance Indexes

Cost and schedule performance indexes are primarily used to calculate performance efficiencies, and they’re often used to help predict future project performance.

The cost performance index (CPI) measures the value of the work completed against actual cost. According to the PMBOK® Guide, it is the most critical of all the EVM measurements because it tells you the cost efficiency for the work completed to date, or at the completion of the project. If CPI is greater than 1, you’re spending less than anticipated. If CPI is less than 1, you are spending more than anticipated for the work completed.

The schedule performance index (SPI) measures the progress to date against the progress that was planned. This formula should be used in conjunction with an analysis of the critical path activities to determine if the project will finish ahead or behind schedule. If SPI is greater than 1, you are ahead of schedule. If SPI is less than 1, you are behind schedule.

The cost performance index (CPI) is calculated this way:

CPI = EV / AC

Let’s plug in the numbers and see where you stand:

375 / 325 = 1.15

This means cost performance is better than expected. You get an A+ on this assignment!

Cumulative CPI is a commonly used calculation to predict project costs at the completion of the project. It also represents the cumulative CPI of the project at the point the measurement is taken. First, you need to sum the earned value calculations taken to date, or cumulative EV, and the actual costs to date, or cumulative AC. The formula looks just like the CPI formula except that it uses the cumulative sums as follows:

Cumulative CPI = cumulative EV / cumulative AC

The difference between this and the CPI formula earlier is that the CPI formula is used for a single work period whereas the cumulative CPI is calculated using the sum of all the costs of every work component for the project. Additionally, you might also use cumulative CPI to calculate the total cost of a work component such as a deliverable, for example. Let’s say you have a deliverable that has five work packages. You would total the EV and AC at the measurement date for all five work packages to determine the cost performance index for the deliverable.

The schedule performance index (SPI) is calculated this way:

SPI = EV / PV

Again, let’s see where you stand with this example:

375 / 400 = .94

Uh-oh, not so good. Schedule performance is not what you expected. Let’s not grade this one.

Cumulative SPI predicts schedule performance at the completion of the project. Like cumulative CPI, it also represents the cumulative SPI of the project at the point the measurement is taken. The formula is as follows:

Cumulative SPI = cumulative EV / cumulative PV

Forecasting

Forecasting uses the information you’ve gathered to date and estimates the future conditions or performance of the project based on what you know when the calculation is performed. Forecasts are based on work performance information (an output from the Executing process group) and your predictions of future performance.

The forecasting formulas you’ll see later in this section are used to determine an estimate at completion (EAC). An EAC estimates (or forecasts) the expected total cost of a work component, a schedule activity, or the project at its completion. This is the probable final value for the work component (or project). EAC is most often calculated by using actual costs incurred to date plus a bottom-up ETC estimate. The formula for the most typical EAC looks like this:

EAC = AC + bottom-up ETC

The bottom-up estimate to complete (ETC) is an estimate provided by the members of the project team actually working on the project activities. They provide the project manager with an estimate of the amount of effort remaining (and, therefore, the cost of the effort) based on the activities they have completed to date and what they believe will occur in the future. Their estimates are summed to come up with a total ETC. We’ll look at two other ETC formulas at the end of this section.

There are three EAC forecasting formulas outlined in the PMBOK® Guide that we’ll look at next. They reference a new parameter you haven’t seen yet called budget at completion (BAC). BAC is the sum of all the budgets established for all the work in the work package, control account, schedule activity, or project. It’s the total planned value for the work component or project.

The first EAC formula is called “EAC forecast for ETC work performed at the budgeted rate.” I know that’s a mouthful. Here’s what you should know. This formula calculates EAC based on the actual costs to date and the assumption that ETC work will be completed at the budgeted rate. The formula looks like this:

EAC = AC + BAC – EV

Let’s assume your AC to date is $800, BAC is $1,200, and EV is $600. EAC, assuming work ETC will be completed at the budgeted rate, is as follows:

$800 + $1,200 – $600 = $1,400

In English, you’ll spend $1,400 to complete this work component, assuming the remaining work is performed at the budgeted rate.

The next EAC formula is called “EAC forecast for ETC work performed at the present CPI.” (I didn’t make up these titles!) Here’s what you need to know. This forecast assumes that future performance will be just like the past performance for the project. The formula looks like this:

EAC = BAC / cumulative CPI

For this example, let’s assume that BAC is $2,200 and cumulative CPI is 1.2. The formula looks like this:

$2,200 / 1.2 = $1,833.33

This formula predicts you will spend less than the originally budgeted amount for the project.

The last formula is called “EAC forecast for ETC work considering both SPI and CPI factors.” This formula assumes two things: there is a negative cost performance to date and the project schedule dates must be met. The formula looks like this:

EAC = AC + [(BAC – EV) / (cumulative CPI * cumulative SPI )]

Let’s assume AC is $1,000, BAC is $1,500, EV is $900, cumulative CPI is .97, and cumulative SPI is 1.05. Here’s the resulting EAC:

$1,000 + [($1,500 – $900) / (.97 * 1.05)] = $1,589.10

Based on the assumption that cost performance to date is negative and we must meet the project schedule date, EAC is $1,589.10.

Exam Spotlight

For study purposes, the EAC formula and the three EAC calculations are shown here:

The EAC formula

EAC = AC + bottom-up ETC

EAC using actual costs to date and assuming ETC uses budgeted rate

EAC = AC + BAC – EV

EAC assuming future performance will behave like past performance

EAC = BAC / cumulative CPI

EAC when cost performance is negative and schedule dates must be met

EAC = AC + [(BAC – EV) / (cumulative CPI * cumulative SPI )]

In addition to the bottom-up ETC, there are two other formulas for calculating ETC that you should be aware of for the exam. They are discussed next.

When you believe that future cost variances will be similar to the types of variances you’ve seen to date, you’ll use this formula to calculate ETC:

ETC = (BAC – cumulative EV) / cumulative CPI

Assuming your cumulative earned value (cumulative EV) is 725, cumulative CPI value is 1.12, and BAC is 1,000, plug in the numbers:

(1,000 – 725) / 1.12 = 245.54

Therefore, at the measurement date, you need $245.54 to complete all the remaining work of this work component (or project if you’re using project totals), assuming variances in the future will be the same as they have been to date.

When you believe that future cost variances will not be similar to the types of variances you’ve seen to date, you’ll use this formula to calculate ETC:

ETC = (BAC – cumulative EV)

Now calculate your value:

(1,000 – 725) = 275

In this case, you need $275 to complete all the remaining work of this work component, assuming variances in the future are different than they have been to date.

Exam Spotlight

For study purposes, the ETC formulas are shown here.

Bottom-up ETC

Summation of the costs of the remaining work based on estimates from the project team members working on these activities

ETC when future cost variances will be similar to past variances

ETC = (BAC – cumulative EV) / cumulative CPI

ETC when future cost variances are expected to be atypical

ETC = (BAC – cumulative EV)

To-Complete Performance Index

To-complete performance index (TCPI) is the projected performance level the remaining work of the project must achieve in order to meet the BAC or EAC. It’s calculated by dividing the work that’s remaining by the funds that are remaining.

The formula for TCPI when using the BAC is as follows:

(BAC – EV) / (BAC – AC)

Assume for this example that BAC is $1,000, EV is $700, and AC is $800.

($1,000 – $700) / ($1,000 – $800) = 1.5

This means you’ll need to reach a CPI rate that’s 1.5 times what you’ve experienced to date in order to meet the BAC goal. If the result is less than one, future work does not have to be performed as efficiently as past performance.

When the BAC is no longer attainable, the project manager should calculate a new EAC and this new estimate becomes the goal you’ll work toward once it’s approved by management. The TCPI formula when EAC is the goal you’re aiming for is as follows:

(BAC – EV) / (EAC – AC)

We’ll use the same assumptions we used in the formula earlier and note that EAC is $1,200. The formula looks like this:

($1,000 – $700) / ($1,200 – $800) = .75

There is one last thing to note regarding this formula: if cumulative CPI falls below one, all future project work must be performed at the TCPI.

Performance Reviews

Performance reviews compare cost performance over time and the estimates of funds needed to complete the remaining work. Three types of analyses are associated with performance reviews: variance analysis, trend analysis, and earned value performance.

According to the PMBOK® Guide, trend analysis determines whether project performance is improving or worsening over time by periodically analyzing project results. These results are measured with mathematical formulas that attempt to forecast project outcomes based on historical information and results. You can use several formulas to predict project trends, but it’s outside the scope of this book to go into them. For the exam, you’re expected to understand the concept behind trend analysis, not the formulas used to calculate it. You’ll want to remember that you can use the results you’ve analyzed using trend analysis formulas to predict future project behavior or trends.

I’ve already covered earned value performance and variance analysis is its own technique, so we’ll look at it next.

Variance Analysis

Variance analysis in the Control Costs process examines the difference between the performance cost baseline and actual performance. One formula you can use with this technique is called variance at completion (VAC). This calculates the difference between the budget at completion and the estimate at completion. It looks like this:

VAC = BAC – EAC

If the result is a negative number, it means you’re not doing as well with costs as you anticipated and that variance exists. Assuming your project performance is improving, as the project progresses, variances will become smaller.

Control Costs Outputs

The Control Costs process has six outputs:

  • Work performance measurements
  • Budget forecasts
  • Organizational process assets updates
  • Change requests
  • Project management plan updates
  • Project document updates
note.eps

You’ll be given some scratch paper when you go into the exam. I recommend that you write these formulas down on a piece of your scratch paper before you start the exam and keep it handy. That way, the formulas are off your mind and you’ve got them in front of you to reference when you get to the portion of the exam where these questions appear. You might want to use this tip for other items you’ve memorized as well. If you write them down before you begin, you don’t have to jog your memory on every question. If you forget something, leave a blank space where it goes and as soon as you remember it or see a question that reminds you what it is, fill in the blank.

I’ve discussed most of these before, or they are self-explanatory.

Recap of Formulas

You have a lot of formulas to memorize. Keep in mind that you’ll be given a calculator when you take the exam, so you don’t have to do the math manually. Variance and trend analysis are part of the project performance reviews tool and technique. Here are the formulas I’ve covered in this chapter:

Performance measurements

Cost variance: CV = EV – AC

Schedule variance: SV = EV – PV

Performance indexes

Cost performance index: CPI = EV / AC

Cumulative cost performance index: Cumulative CPI = cumulative EV / cumulative AC

Schedule performance index: SPI = EV / PV

Cumulative schedule performance index: Cumulative SPI = cumulative EV / cumulative PV

Forecasting

EAC formula: EAC = AC + bottom-up ETC

EAC using actual costs to date and assuming ETC uses budgeted rate: EAC = AC + BAC – EV

EAC assuming future performance will behave like past performance: EAC = BAC / cumulative CPI

EAC when cost performance is negative and schedule dates must be met: EAC = AC + [(BAC – EV) / (cumulative CPI * cumulative SPI )]

Bottom-up ETC: Summation of the costs of the remaining work based on estimates from the project team members working on these activities

ETC when future cost variances will be similar to past variances: ETC = (BAC – cumulative EV) / cumulative CPI

ETC when future cost variances are expected to be atypical: ETC = (BAC – cumulative EV)

Variance analysis

Variance analysis: VAC = BAC – EAC

note.eps

Problems with costs come about for many reasons, including incorrect estimating techniques, predetermined or fixed budgets with no flexibility, schedule overruns, inadequate WBS development, and so on. Good project management planning techniques during the Planning processes might prevent cost problems later in the project. At a minimum, proper planning will reduce the impact of these problems if they do occur.

Always inform appropriate stakeholders of revised budget or cost estimates and any changes of significant impact to the project. Keep them updated on changes, status, and risk conditions during regularly scheduled project meetings.

realworld.eps

Mustang Enterprise’s New Accounting System

You are a stakeholder of the New Accounting System project for Mustang Enterprises. The existing accounting system resides on a mainframe, and some of the programs used to process data are more than 15 years old. Your company decided to hire a contract software services firm to write a thin-client, browser-based version of the accounting system so that the mainframe programs could be retired. You’ve also assigned a senior programmer to act as the project manager on behalf of your organization.

The project is in the Monitoring and Controlling process group, and the project manager keeps reporting that everything is OK and on schedule. When you asked him detailed questions and requested performance data, the project manager patted you on the back and said, “Don’t worry, I’ve got everything under control.”

You are a little worried because some of the key project team members have come to you confidentially to inform you of the progress of the project.

After further investigation, you discover that the project manager changed the database from SQL to Oracle midway through the project and didn’t tell anyone except the project team. The project scope stated specifically that project development required a SQL database. The change in database products changed the project scope and product scope without letting the stakeholders know.

This change has caused schedule delays because the project team members have told you they need to be trained to use the new database development tools before they can proceed. Additionally, many of the programs have already been written to interface with SQL, not Oracle, and will have to be modified. To add insult to injury, the database switch will impact the project budget in two ways. First, purchasing the Oracle database involves substantially more money than purchasing the SQL database, and it requires the purchase of new development tools for the programming team. Second, several members of the programming staff will have to attend multiple training sessions on the new database product to fully integrate the programs and system. Training is currently running $2,200 per session per person.

Because you’re a key stakeholder, you decide to bring this information out into the open at the next project status meeting. Additionally, you plan to meet with the project sponsor and the procurement department to determine what alternatives you have to request that the contracting firm realign the project to meet the original contractual requirements. However, you fear that because the project manager is the one who gave the orders to change the database, your organization might not have a lot of recourse. You will also make the project sponsor aware that the project manager doesn’t have the skills needed to conduct this project and a new project manager should be hired as soon as possible. The project manager is invaluable to the organization as a programmer, but he doesn’t have the project management experience needed to conduct a project of this size and complexity. This might cause further setback to the project, but the project management plan and project schedule will require updates anyway as a result of the existing project manager’s decisions. You also determine to document all that has happened as a lesson learned and to set up a change control process to prevent this from happening in the future.

Monitoring and Controlling Schedule Changes

The Control Schedule process involves determining the status of the project schedule, determining whether changes have occurred or should occur, and influencing and managing schedule changes. In the following sections, you’ll look at this process’s inputs, tools and techniques, and outputs.

Control Schedule Inputs

Control Schedule inputs include the following:

  • Project management plan
  • Project schedule
  • Work performance information
  • Organizational process assets

I’ve covered each of these inputs previously. Keep in mind that the Control Schedule process works hand in hand with the Perform Integrated Change Control process we covered in Chapter 10 (as all the change control processes do).

note.eps

Keeping the schedule on track means you’re monitoring and controlling time—one of the classic triple constraints.

Schedule and Control Tools and Techniques

The tools and techniques of the Control Schedule process are as follows:

  • Performance reviews
  • Variance analysis
  • Project management software
  • Resource leveling
  • What-if scenario analysis
  • Adjusting leads and lags
  • Schedule compression
  • Scheduling tool

We’ve covered all of these tools and techniques previously. I’ll give you a few new points you should know regarding performance reviews.

Performance reviews in this process examine elements such as actual start and end dates for schedule activities and the remaining time to finish uncompleted activities. If you’ve taken earned value measurements, the SV and SPI will be helpful in determining the impact of the schedule variations and in determining if corrective actions are necessary.

The PMBOK® Guide notes that if you’re using the critical chain method to construct the schedule, you should compare the amount of buffer needed to the amount of buffer remaining to help determine if the schedule is on track. This will also indicate whether corrective actions are necessary to adjust the schedule.

In the Control Schedule process, because you’re dealing with time issues, it’s imperative that you act as quickly as possible to implement corrective actions so that the schedule is brought back in line with the plan and the least amount of schedule delay as possible is experienced.

note.eps

Schedule changes might be potential hot buttons with certain stakeholders and can burn you if you don’t handle them correctly. No one likes to hear that the project is going to take longer than originally planned. That doesn’t mean you should withhold this information, however. Always report the truth. If you’ve been keeping your stakeholders abreast of project status, they should already know that the potential for schedule changes exists. Nevertheless, be prepared to justify the reason for the schedule change or start dusting off your résumé—maybe both, depending on the company.

Make sure to examine the float variance of the critical path activities when monitoring the schedule. Thinking back to the Develop Schedule process, you’ll recall that float is the amount of time you can delay starting an activity without increasing the amount of time it takes to complete the project. Because the activities with the least amount of float have the potential to cause the biggest schedule delays, examine float variance in ascending order of critical activities.

Keep in mind that not all schedule variances will impact the schedule. For example, a delay to a noncritical path task will not delay the overall schedule and might not need corrective action. Use caution here, though—if a delay occurs on a noncritical path task or its duration is increased for some reason, that task can actually become part of the critical path. Delays to critical path tasks will always cause delays to the project completion date and require corrective action. Careful watch of the variances in schedule start and end dates will help you control the total time element of the project.

Control Schedule Outputs

The Control Schedule process has the following outputs:

  • Work performance measurements
  • Organizational process assets updates
  • Change requests
  • Project management plan updates
  • Project document updates

Project management plan updates include making updates to the schedule baseline and the cost performance baseline. Changes to the cost baseline may be necessary when you’ve used a schedule compression or crashing technique. Changes to approved schedule start and end dates in the schedule baseline are called revisions. They generally occur as a result of a project scope change, or changes to activity estimates, and might result in a schedule baseline update. Schedule baseline updates occur when significant changes to the project schedule, such as the changes just mentioned, are made. This means a new schedule baseline is established that reflects the changed project activity dates. Once the new baseline is established, it is used as the basis for future performance measurements. Never rebaseline a schedule without first having it approved by the project sponsor and archiving a copy of the original baseline and schedule.

note.eps

Take care when rebaselining a project schedule. Don’t lose the original baseline information. Why do you care? Because the original baseline serves as historical information to reference for future projects. Make a backup copy of the original schedule so that you have a record of the original baseline as a reference. Even though some project management software allows you to save several baselines plus the original, it’s still good practice to make a backup copy of the original.

Changes to the project schedule might or might not require updates to other elements of the project plan as well. For example, extending a schedule activity involving a contractor might impact the costs associated with that activity.

The project document updates output may require updates to the schedule data or project schedule or both. For example, project schedule network diagrams require updates as a result of schedule model data updates. Don’t forget to document these changes and inform your stakeholders.

Exam Spotlight

For the exam, remember that when any changes are made to a project, as the project manager, you must ensure that the team is working toward the revised project goals. Once the changes are accepted and agreed upon by the stakeholders, the newly revised project goals, including new schedule dates, scope changes, and so on, are what you and the team should work toward. Project success will be measured against the revised goals, not the original goals.

Utilizing Perform Quality Control Techniques

Plan Quality, Perform Quality Assurance, and Perform Quality Control are part of the project Quality Management Knowledge Area. These processes work together to define and monitor the work of the project and to make certain the quality activity results meet the quality requirements laid out in the plan.

Perform Quality Control is specifically concerned with monitoring work results to see whether they comply with the standards set out in the quality management plan. You should practice Perform Quality Control throughout the project to identify and remove the causes of unacceptable results. Remember that Perform Quality Control is concerned with project results both from a management perspective, such as schedule and cost performance, and from a product perspective. In other words, the end product should conform to the requirements and product description defined during the Planning processes.

Perform Quality Control Inputs

Perform Quality Control includes the following inputs:

  • Project management plan
  • Quality metrics
  • Quality checklists
  • Work performance measurements
  • Approved change requests
  • Deliverables
  • Organizational process assets

I’ve discussed each of these inputs previously, so I’ll move on to tools and techniques.

Perform Quality Control Tools and Techniques

The tools and techniques in the Perform Quality Control process are as follows:

  • Cause-and-effect diagram
  • Control charts
  • Flowcharting
  • Histogram
  • Pareto chart
  • Run chart
  • Scatter diagram
  • Statistical sampling
  • Inspection
  • Approved change requests review
note.eps

The first seven Perform Quality Control tools and techniques are collectively known as Ishikawa’s seven basic tools of quality. We talked about the fishbone diagram (a cause-and-effect diagram), also known as the Ishikawa diagram, in Chapter 6, “Risk Planning.” Recall that the fishbone diagram is used to help determine root causes. Kaoru Ishikawa is known not only for the fishbone diagram, he was also a significant contributor in the realm of quality.

The primary purpose of each of these tools is to examine the product, service, or result as well as the project processes for conformity to standards. If the results fall within the tolerance range specified, the results are acceptable. Alternatively, if the results fall within the control limits set for the product (as defined by the various tools and techniques I’ll discuss in the following sections), the process you are examining is said to be in control. Spend time understanding these tools and techniques and their individual uses because you might see exam questions about each of them.

I talked about cause-and-effect diagrams as a diagramming technique in the Identify Risks process in Chapter 6. This technique helps identify root causes. If you need a refresher, refer to Figure 6-2 in that chapter.

I also discussed flowcharts in the same section of Chapter 6. Flowcharts are diagrams that show the logical steps that must be performed in order to accomplish an objective. They can also show how the individual elements of a system interrelate. Flowcharting can help identify where quality problems might occur on the project and how problems happen. This is important because it gives the project team the opportunity to develop alternative approaches for dealing with anticipated quality problems identified with this tool and technique. Refer to Figure 6-3.

Histograms are typically bar charts that depict the distribution of variables over time. Chapter 7, “Planning Project Resources,” contains an example of a histogram. In Perform Quality Control, the histogram usually depicts the attributes of the problem or situation. (I’ll discuss attributes shortly.)

We will look at the other tools and techniques in more detail in the following sections.

Control Charts

Control charts measure the results of processes over time and display the results in graph form. Control charts are a way to measure variances to determine whether process variances are in control or out of control.

A control chart is based on sample variance measurements. From the samples chosen and measured, the mean and standard deviation are determined. Perform Quality Control is usually maintained—or said to be in control—within plus or minus three standard deviations. In other words, Perform Quality Control says that if the process is in control (that is, the measurements fall within the control limits), you know that 99.73 percent of the parts going through the process will fall within an acceptable range of the mean. If you discover a part outside of this range, you should investigate and determine whether corrective action is needed.

Figure 11-2 illustrates an example of a control chart.

Figure 11-2: Control chart

f1102.eps

Let’s assume you’ve determined from your sample measurements that 5 mm is the mean in the example control chart. One standard deviation equals 0.02. Three standard deviations on either side of the mean become your upper and lower control points on this chart. Therefore, if all control points fall within plus or minus three standard deviations on either side of the mean, the process is in control. If points fall outside the acceptable limits, the process is not in control and corrective action is needed.

The Rule of 7 is another way for the project team to use control charts and determine if the process is in control. The Rule of 7 works like this. If seven consecutive points or more fall on one side of the mean, this may indicate there are factors influencing the result and should be investigated. So, while the overall results are within the control limits, the process may not necessarily be in control and those factors should be examined more closely.

Control charts are used most often in manufacturing settings where repetitive activities are easily monitored. For example, the process that produces widgets by the case lot must meet certain specifications and fall within certain variances to be considered in control. However, you aren’t limited to using control charts only in the manufacturing industry. You can use them to monitor any output. You might consider using control charts to track and monitor project management processes. You could plot cost variances, schedule variances, frequency or number of scope changes, and so on to help monitor variances.

Pareto Chart

You have probably heard of the 80/20 rule. Vilfredo Pareto, an Italian economist and sociologist, is credited with discovering this rule. He observed that 80 percent of the wealth and land ownership in Italy was held by 20 percent of the population. Over the years, others have shown that the 80/20 rule applies across many disciplines and areas. As an example, generally speaking, 80 percent of the deposits of any given financial institution are held by 20 percent of its customer base. Let’s hope that rule doesn’t apply to project managers, though, with 20 percent of the project managers out there doing 80 percent of the work!

The 80/20 rule as it applies to quality says that a small number of causes (20 percent) create the majority of the problems (80 percent). Have you ever noticed this with your project or department staff? It always seems that just a few people cause the biggest headaches. But I’m getting off track.

Pareto charts are displayed as histograms that rank-order the most important factors—such as delays, costs, and defects, for example—by their frequency over time. His theory is that you get the most benefit if you spend the majority of your time fixing the most important problems. The information shown in Table 11-1 is plotted on an example Pareto chart shown in Figure 11-3.

Table 11-1: Frequency of Failures

The problems are rank-ordered according to their frequency and percentage of defects. The defect frequencies in this figure appear as black bars, and the cumulative percentages of defects are plotted as circles. The rank-ordering of these problems shows you where corrective action should be taken first. You can see in Figure 11-3 that problem A should receive priority attention because the most benefit will come from fixing this problem.

Figure 11-3: Pareto chart

f1103.eps

Run Charts

Run charts are used to show variations in the process over time or to show trends (such as improvements or lack of improvements) in the process. Differences in results will occur in processes because there is no such thing as a perfect process. When processes are considered in control, differences in results might occur because of common causes of variances or special-cause variances.

Common causes of variances come about as a result of circumstances or situations that are relatively common to the process you’re using and are easily controlled at the operational level. Special-cause variances are variances that are not common to the process. For example, perhaps you have very detailed processes with specific procedures that must be followed in order to produce the output and a process gets missed, or maybe your project requires the manufacturing of a certain part and a machine on the line has a problem and requires a special calibration. This is an easy set of terms to remember because their names logically imply their definitions.

For the exam, you should understand the three types of variances that make up common causes of variances:

Random variances Random variations might be normal, depending on the processes you’re using to produce the product or service of the project, but they occur, as the name implies, at random.

Known or predictable variances Known or predictable variances are variances that you know exist in the process because of particular characteristics of the product, service, or result you are processing. These are generally unique to a particular application.

Variances that are always present in the process The process itself will have inherent variability that is perhaps caused by human mistakes, machine variations or malfunctions, the environment, and so on, which are known as variances always present in the process. These variances generally exist across all applications of the process.

Common cause variances that do not fall within the acceptable range are difficult to correct and usually require a reorganization of the process. This has the potential for significant impact, and decisions to change the process always require management approval.

Exam Spotlight

According to the PMBOK® Guide, when a process is in control, it should not be adjusted. When a process falls outside the acceptable limits, it should be adjusted.

Trend analysis is another technique that’s carried out using run charts. Trend analysis in the Perform Quality Control process is a mathematical technique that uses historical results to predict future outcomes. Trend analysis often tracks variances in cost and schedule performance by monitoring the number of activities completed with significant variances within a certain time period. This information can then be used to forecast future performance. Trend analysis also tracks technical performance by determining the number of defects observed and the number of defects not corrected. Technical performance measurements compare the technical accomplishments of project milestones completed to the technical milestones defined in the project Planning process group.

Scatter Diagrams

Scatter diagrams use two variables: an independent variable, which is an input, and a dependent variable, which is an output. Scatter diagrams display the relationship between these two elements as points on a graph. This relationship is typically analyzed to prove or disprove cause-and-effect relationships. As an example, maybe your scatter diagram plots the ability of your employees to perform a certain task. The length of time (in months) they have performed this task is plotted as the independent variable on the X-axis, and the accuracy they achieve in performing this task, which is expressed as a score—the dependent variable—is plotted on the Y-axis. The scatter diagram can help you determine whether cause-and-effect (in this case, increased experience over time versus accuracy) can be proved. Scatter diagrams can also help you look for and analyze root causes of problems.

The important point to remember about scatter diagrams is that they plot the dependent and independent variables, and the closer the points resemble a diagonal line, the closer these variables are related. Figure 11-4 shows a sample scatter diagram.

Figure 11-4: Scatter diagram

f1104.eps

Statistical Sampling

Statistical sampling involves taking a sample number of parts from the whole population and examining them to determine whether they fall within acceptable variances. The formula to calculate the correct sample size is beyond the scope of this book. However, Creative Research Systems has an online calculator and an explanation of statistical sampling that you might find useful. You can find them at http://www.surveysystem.com/sscalc.htm.

Perhaps you determine to statistically sample 25 parts out of a lot or run. The quality plan outlines that the lot will pass if four parts or fewer fall outside the allowable variance.

Statistical sampling might also involve determining the standard deviation for a process, as discussed in the control chart tool and technique. The quality plan determines whether plus or minus two standard deviations—95.44 percent of the population—is adequate or whether plus or minus three standard deviations—99.73 percent—is adequate.

Inspection

Inspection involves physically looking at, measuring, or testing results to determine whether they conform to the requirements or quality standards. It’s a tool used to gather information and improve results. Inspections might occur after the final product is produced or at intervals during the development of the product to examine individual components. Acceptance decisions are made when the work is inspected and the work is either accepted or rejected. When work is rejected, it might have to go back through the process for rework. Inspection is also known as reviews or peer reviews.

Inspection might take actual measurements of components to determine whether they meet requirements. Maybe a component part for your product must be exactly 5 mm in length. To pass inspection, the parts are measured and must meet the 5 mm length requirement. If they measure 5 mm, they pass; if they do not, they fail.

Exam Spotlight

Don’t confuse inspection with prevention; they’re two different tools. Inspection keeps errors in the product from reaching the customer. Prevention keeps errors from occurring in the process. It always costs less to prevent problems in the first place than it does to fix problems built into the product after the fact. Rework, labor costs, material costs, and potential loss of customers are all factors to consider when weighing prevention costs versus the cost of rework. Philip Crosby developed the theory of Zero Defects, which deals with prevention costs. Loosely translated, Zero Defects means doing it right the first time.

Measurements can vary even if the variances are not noticeable. Machines wear down, people make mistakes, the environment might cause variances, and so on. Measurements that fall within a specified range are called tolerable results. So, instead of 5 mm exactly, maybe a range between 4.98 mm and 5.02 mm is an acceptable or tolerable measurement for the component. If the samples that are measured fall within the tolerable range, they pass; otherwise, they fail inspection.

One inspection technique uses measurements called attributes. The measurements taken during attribute sampling determine whether they meet one of two options, conforming or nonconforming. In other words, the measurements conform or meet the requirement or they do not conform. This can also be considered a pass/fail or go/no-go decision.

Attribute conformity and inspections are not necessarily performed on every component part or every end product that’s produced. That’s time-consuming and inefficient when you’re producing numerous components. Inspection in cases like this is usually performed on a sampling of parts or products where every x number of parts is tested for conformity or measurement specifics.

Inspection will tell you where problems exist and will give you the opportunity to correct them, thereby leading to quality improvements. The other tools and techniques I’ll talk about in these sections also lead to quality improvements in the product or process or in both.

realworld.eps

An Ounce of Prevention

One of the main thoroughfares into your city requires a bridge replacement. You were appointed the project manager for the city and have managed this project since its initiation 15 months ago. The project entailed hiring a contractor to build the new bridge and manage the contract.

Approximately 28,000 vehicles travel across this bridge daily, carrying commuters and college students back and forth to the downtown area. One of the requirements was no more than three of the six lanes of traffic could be closed at one time during construction. Another requirement was that each piece of steel had to be painted with two coats before it was brought on-site. A third coat of paint was to be applied at the site after construction. The paint was to be guaranteed to last 25 to 30 years.

An on-site quality control inspection revealed that some of the paint was peeling. After further investigation, you discovered that the contractor did not allow the first coat of paint to cure properly, so when the second coat was applied, it peeled and flaked.

You informed the contractor that, according to the terms of the contract and the SOW specifications, they were required to apply three coats of paint to the bridge, and the paint was required to last 25 to 30 years. Paint that peeled before construction was completed did not comply with specifications. Corrective action was needed. As a result, the contract company decided to subcontract the painting work to another company while they finished their remaining tasks on the project.

Unfortunately, the subcontractor they hired was not up to the task and was unable to complete the paint job. Several months passed, and the original project completion date was missed. Obviously, revisions to the project schedule were required when it became clear that the subcontractor wasn’t going to make the deadline to complete the painting task.

The original contractor found another subcontractor capable of completing the paint job. Because it was the middle of winter and temperatures were cold, the painting crew had to hang insulated tarps between the bays on the bridge and use heaters to warm up small areas of steel to the proper temperature to apply the paint. This process extended the completion date by more than three times its original estimate and ultimately delayed the completion of the project by two years. Additional costs were incurred to hire the subcontractor and rent the heaters.

Corrective action was taken as a result of the inspection, and eventually the project was completed, but not without schedule delays, schedule changes, scope changes, and rework—not to mention the increased cost to the original contractor. Because the contract was a fixed-price contract, the contractor’s profit was eaten away paying for the painting job. The cost to correct the quality issue did not impact the city, but it did impact the contractor. This is a case where an ounce of prevention would have been worth several gallons of cure, as the old saying goes.

Perform Quality Control Outputs

Quality improvement, as mentioned in the Perform Quality Assurance process discussed in Chapter 9, “Conducting Procurements and Sharing Information,” is a primary goal of the quality processes. Failure to meet quality requirements can have a significant impact on the project and the project team and might result in rework. Rework causes a project to take longer and cost more than originally planned because the project team has to repeat processes to correct the work. You should try to keep rework to a minimum so as not to impact the project schedule and budget. Rework has the potential to cause morale issues as well, especially if the team members thought they were doing a good job all along. Rework might require the project team to put in long hours, which in turn might cause more errors or other negative consequences. Monitor quality periodically so that rework is kept to a minimum.

note.eps

Perform Quality Assurance is concerned with assuring that the project is using the correct and most efficient processes to meet the project requirements; Perform Quality Control is concerned with the accuracy of the project results.

Perform Quality Control has several outputs:

  • Quality control measurements
  • Validated changes
  • Validated deliverables
  • Organizational process assets updates
  • Change requests
  • Project management plan updates
  • Project document updates

I’ve already discussed many of these outputs, but I’ll add a few quick notes here.

The results of changes, defect repairs, or variances that have been inspected and corrected are called validated changes. Validated changes, particularly corrective and preventive actions, can contribute to overall quality improvements and should be noted in the lessons learned documentation. Remember that processes that are in control should not be adjusted. Processes out of control might require adjusting, but this should occur only as a result of a management decision.

Validating deliverables involves using the tools and techniques of this process to determine if the deliverable is correct and accurate and meets the user’s needs. This output becomes an input to the next process we’ll discuss, Verify Scope, which entails accepting the deliverables.

Completed checklists become part of the project’s documentation and are included as part of the organizational process asset updates. Lessons learned should include the causes of variances found during this process and why the corrective actions were recommended.

Updates to the quality management plan and the process improvement plan may be required as part of the project management plan updates output of this process. Quality standards may also need to be updated as a result of this process, and they are included in the project document updates output.

Verifying Project Scope

Managing and reporting on project progress make up the primary focus of the Monitoring and Controlling processes. The primary purpose of the Verify Scope process, which is one of those processes, is to formally accept completed deliverables and obtain sign-off that the deliverables are satisfactory and meet stakeholders’ expectations and the documented requirements.

The inputs of the Verify Scope are the project management plan, requirements documentation, requirements traceability matrix, and validated deliverables. This process involves evaluating these inputs to determine whether the work is complete and whether it satisfies the project objectives. Evaluation is performed using inspection, which is the only tool and technique of this process. Even if the project is canceled, you should perform Verify Scope to document the degree to which the project was completed. This will serve as historical information, and if the project is ever started up again, you will have documentation that tells you what was completed and how far the project progressed.

Exam Spotlight

The most important fact you should know about the Verify Scope process is that Verify Scope formalizes the acceptance of the project scope and is primarily concerned with the acceptance of work results. Don’t confuse this process with the Perform Quality Control process I just discussed.

You can remember the difference between Verify Scope and Perform Quality Control this way:

  • Perform Quality Control = checking for correct work results and assuring that the quality requirements are met
  • Verify Scope = accepting work results

The outputs of Verify Scope are accepted deliverables, change requests, and project document updates. Accepted deliverables are concerned with the formal acceptance of the work by the stakeholders. Remember that stakeholders include customers, the project sponsor, the project team, the management team, and so on. Document their acceptance with formal sign-off, and keep this with your project documents.

Controlling Scope

The Project Scope Management Knowledge Area includes Collect Requirements, Define Scope, Create WBS, Verify Scope, and Control Scope. You’ll recall that project scope describes the work required to produce the product, service, or result of the project. This broad statement usually includes the product scope statement and the product description, which describes the characteristics, features, and functionality of the product, service, or result. The Control Scope process involves monitoring the status of both the project and the product scope, monitoring changes to the project and product scope, and monitoring work results to ensure that they match expected outcomes. Any modification to the agreed-upon WBS is considered a scope change. (It has been eons ago that you looked at this, so remember that the work breakdown structure is a deliverable-oriented hierarchy that defines the total work of the project.) This means the addition or deletion of activities or modifications to the existing activities on the WBS constitute a project scope change.

Changes in product scope require changes to the project scope as well. Let’s say one of your project deliverables is the design of a piece of specialized equipment that’s integrated into your final product. Now let’s say that because of engineering setbacks and some miscalculations, the specialized equipment requires design modifications. The redesign of this equipment impacts the end product or product scope. Because changes to the product scope impact the project requirements, which are detailed in the scope document, changes to project scope are also required. This change, along with recommended corrective actions, should be processed through the Perform Integrated Change Control process.

Unapproved or undocumented changes that sometimes make their way into the project are referred to as scope creep. How often have you overheard a stakeholder speaking directly with a project team member and asking them to make “this one little change that doesn’t impact anybody…really, no one will notice”? Make certain your project team members are well versed in the change control process and insist that they inform you of shenanigans like this. Scope creep can kill an otherwise viable project. Little changes add up and eventually impact budget, schedule, and quality.

Control Scope Inputs

The Control Scope process has five inputs, all of which you’ve seen before:

  • Project management plan
  • Work performance information
  • Requirements documentation
  • Requirements traceability matrix
  • Organizational process assets

There is no new information you need to know about these inputs for this process, so let’s move on to tools and techniques.

Control Scope Tools and Techniques

The Control Scope process has one tool and technique: variance analysis. Variance analysis includes reviewing project performance measurements to determine whether there are variances in project scope. It’s also important to determine and document the cause of variances and examine those against the scope baseline so that you can implement corrective actions if needed.

note.eps

If you are using a configuration management system to control product scope, the change control system must also integrate with it. The configuration management system manages changes to product and project scope and ensures that these changes are reasonable and make sense before they’re processed through the Perform Integrated Change Control process.

Control Scope Outputs

The outputs of the Control Scope process are as follows:

  • Work performance measurements
  • Organizational process assets updates
  • Change requests
  • Project management plan updates
  • Project document updates

Changes to scope will likely require that you repeat some of the project Planning processes and make any needed adjustments, including updating the project documents. Scope changes require an update to the project scope statement. This may require an update to the WBS and WBS dictionary as well. Here’s a pop quiz: the project scope statement, WBS, and WBS dictionary are collectively known as what? The answer is the scope baseline. Scope baseline updates are part of the project management plan updates output of this process.

Scope changes include any changes to the project scope as defined by the agreed-upon WBS. This in turn might require changes or updates to project objectives, costs, quality measures or controls, performance measurements baselines, or time in the form of schedule revisions. Scope changes almost always affect project costs and/or require schedule revisions.

note.eps

Schedule revisions are almost always needed as a result of scope changes, but not all scope changes lengthen the project schedule. Some scope changes (a reduction in overall project requirements, for example) might reduce the number of hours needed to complete the project, which in turn might reduce the project budget. This most often occurs when the schedule is the primary constraint on the project and the start or end dates cannot be changed.

When scope changes are requested, all areas of the project should be investigated to determine what the changes will impact. The project team should perform estimates of the impact and of the amount of time needed to make the changes. Sometimes, however, the change request is so extensive that even the time to perform an estimate should be evaluated before proceeding. In other words, if the project team is busy working on estimates, they aren’t working on the project. That means extensive change requests could impact the existing schedule because of the time and effort needed just to evaluate the change. Cases like these require you to make a determination or ask the change control board (CCB) to decide whether the change is important enough to allow the project team time to work on the estimates.

Always remember to update your stakeholders regarding the changes you’re implementing and their impacts. They’ll want to know how the changes impact the performance baselines, including the project costs, project schedule, project scope, and quality.

This process concludes the Monitoring and Controlling process groups. You’ll look at the Closing processes in the next chapter.

realworld.eps

Project Case Study: New Kitchen Heaven Retail Store

Stakeholders have asked for an updated status on the project schedule as well as a remaining cost projection. You decide to provide several cost and schedule performance figures for the project on the status report.

“Build-out is behind schedule. They were scheduled to be completed by the 15th of January, but they aren’t going to finish up until the 24th.”

“What’s that going to do to my schedule?” Jill asks. “I’m starting interviews for the store positions on the 16th. I hope to have that wrapped up by the 19th. As long as I have the majority of the staff hired by the 20th, we can have them stocking shelves starting the 22nd.”

“Let’s finish up the status of the other items, and I’ll come back to that.”

You’ve calculated some performance measurements, including earned value measures, and you show them to Jill and Dirk (all figures are in millions of dollars):

  • BAC = 2; PV = 1.86; cumulative EV = 1.75; cumulative AC = 1.70
  • Cumulative CPI is 1.03 (1.75 / 1.70)
  • SPI is .94 (1.75 / 1.86)
  • EAC is 1.94 (1.70 + ((2 – 1.75) / 1.03)))
  • ETC is .25 (2 – 1.75)

“What is all this telling us?” Dirk asks.

“The cost performance index tells us we’re getting a good return for the money spent on the project so far. In other words, we’ve experienced a $1.03 value for every dollar spent to date,” you respond.

“The schedule performance index isn’t as cheery, but it’s not dreadful news either. This performance indicator says that work is progressing at 94 percent of what we anticipated by this point.

“The estimate at completion tells us that based on what we know today, the total project will cost $1.94 million. That’s coming in under the original $2 million we had budgeted for completion, so we’re on track with the project budget. The last figure is the estimated cost of the remaining work.”

“It looks like we’re a little behind schedule based on what you have figured here,” Dirk says.

“Yes, that’s correct,” you reply. “That brings us back to Jill’s question. I have two alternatives to propose. One, we overlap the schedule and allow Gomez’s crew to complete their work while Jill’s staff starts stocking shelves.”

Jill says, “I don’t like this option. We’ll be tripping over each other, and I don’t want merchandise damaged by workers who are still dragging equipment around inside the store. What’s your other option?”

“We could ask Gomez to increase the crew size so that they complete on time according to the contract. We have a provision in the contract that stipulates they add crew members if it looks as though they’ll miss the scheduled completion date. I will instruct the contract management department to inform Gomez that we’re requiring additional crew members.”

“That will do the trick,” Jill says. “We need the storefront to ourselves when stocking and preparing for opening. I’m glad you had that stipulation in the contract.”

You report that sign-off has been obtained for the completed deliverables to date. Quality inspections and comparisons of the deliverables to the acceptance criteria were completed to Jill and Ricardo’s satisfaction on the work performed to date.

Project Case Study Checklist

  • Control Costs
  • Cost change control system
  • Performance measurement analysis
  • Forecasting
  • Control Schedule
  • Schedule compression
  • Verify Scope
  • Verified work results
  • Perform Quality Control
  • Assured quality requirements were met

Understanding How This Applies to Your Next Project

With the exception of the Perform Integrated Change Control process, we covered the meaty portion of the Monitoring and Controlling process group in this chapter. It’s critical to monitor every process we discussed in order to keep the project in alignment with the objectives and to be able to take corrective action as soon as possible.

Monitoring and Controlling Risks is a process you’ll perform once the work of the project begins and throughout the remainder of the project. Just like change, risk is something that will occur on most projects you undertake. I’ve never managed a project (except for projects that were started and finished within a matter of days) that didn’t encounter risk. My experience has been that most risks are known-unknown, which makes contingency reserves (both time and money) essential on any project. Unknown-unknown risks are common also and require adequate management reserves. For example, during the writing of this book, we moved to a new home. I did the smart thing and got three estimates from three reputable moving companies in the area. The estimates were based on an hourly rate for a certain number of movers. Two estimates came back very close to each other, and the third was more than double the other estimates. I picked the company that said they could get us moved in two days rather than the three their competitor quoted. Fortunately, we don’t move very often. Unfortunately, I didn’t realize moving companies woefully underbid the amount of time it actually takes to pack you up, load the truck, and unload at the other end. By the third day, I had to insist they complete the job in four hours because we were at more than double the original quote at that point. It’s a good thing I had a reserve tucked away for the unexpected, but this overrun wiped out the entire contingency fund! Taking on a project without knowing that risks will occur and without having some contingency set aside is a huge gamble because even the smallest projects have risks.

Earned value management is a tool you can’t live without for measuring performance on your project, particularly the cost and schedule variance and the cost and schedule performance indexes. The size and complexity of the project will dictate how often you should run the performance measurements. The mantra of stakeholders everywhere is “on time and on budget.” Therefore, controlling the project budget and the schedule will likely be two of your most time-consuming project management tasks. Use the tools we discussed in this chapter to keep yourself and your stakeholders informed of what’s happening regarding these two important areas. If cost or schedule changes must occur, it’s imperative you communicate what happened, why it happened, and if it’s expected to happen again, and that you realign stakeholders’ expectations with the new forecasted estimates.

Perform Quality Control and Verify Scope work together to measure, inspect, and accept the project deliverables. Verifying and accepting the work of the project shouldn’t be a mind-boggling task at this point if you’ve been following the project management processes all along. For example, you should monitor and inspect deliverables as they’re completed. At project’s end, additional testing or inspection might be needed to verify that all the deliverables work together (if they’re required to do so), but many issues or problems you’ve discovered regarding the deliverables should have been discovered already. However, I know that exceptions do exist. It isn’t always possible to inspect the work of the project as it progresses because some projects aren’t complete until the last piece of the puzzle is put into place. In that case, inspection, testing, and deliverables acceptance won’t occur until the end of the project. However, if you’ve used sound Monitoring and Controlling tools and techniques to monitor the processes, ideally you won’t encounter any big surprises at this stage.

Control Scope is absolutely essential for all projects. Time and again I’ve seen changes to scope end up pitting stakeholders against the project team because the requirements weren’t defined adequately in the first place and because neither party clearly understood what was being requested. Scope changes can kill a project by significantly delaying the finish date or by so drastically modifying the original objective of the project that it no longer resembles what it set out to accomplish. I try to keep the questions regarding scope change simple, as in “Do you absolutely have to have this to meet the objective of this project?” That isn’t always easy for people to understand because we often confuse wants with needs. So, I might come up with an analogy they can relate to—something like this: “Let’s say your one and only culinary skill is boiling water. Do you really need a designer stove with dual fuel options and a built-in warming oven to boil water? Wouldn’t a simple store brand work in that case?”

Summary

We covered a lot of material in this chapter, and we also closed out the Monitoring and Controlling process group.

The Monitor and Control Risks process responds to risks as they occur and implements workarounds for unplanned risk events. Some risks planned for during the Plan Risk Responses process will occur, and some will not. Perhaps risks that were previously identified do occur, and their impacts are much greater than anticipated during the Plan Risk Responses process. These will require updates to the risk management plan or workarounds.

Control Costs involves managing changes to project costs. It’s also concerned with monitoring project budgets to prevent unauthorized or incorrect costs from getting included in the cost baseline. Control Costs uses tools and techniques such as earned value management (CV, SV, CPI, SPI), forecasting (ETC, EAC, and TCPI), and project performance reviews (variance analysis, trend analysis, and EVM) to monitor costs.

Control Schedule involves determining the status of the project schedule, determining whether changes have occurred or should occur, and influencing and managing schedule changes.

Perform Quality Control monitors work results to see whether they fulfill the quality standards outlined in the quality management plan. Perform Quality Control should occur throughout the life of the project. It uses many tools and techniques. Inspection measures results to determine whether the results conform to the quality standards. Attributes are measurements that either conform or do not conform. Control charts measure the results of processes over time, and Pareto charts are histograms that rank-order the most important quality factors by their frequency over time. You should not adjust processes that are in control; however, you can change these processes to realize improvements.

Verify Scope involves verifying and accepting work results, while Control Scope is concerned with controlling changes to project scope.

Exam Essentials

Describe the purpose of Monitor and Control Risks. Monitor and Control Risks involves identifying and responding to new risks as they occur. Risk monitoring and reassessment should occur throughout the life of the project.

Name the purpose of the Control Costs process. The Control Costs process is concerned with monitoring project costs to prevent unauthorized or incorrect costs from being included in the cost baseline.

Be able to describe earned value management techniques. Earned value management (EVM) monitors the planned value (PV), earned value (EV), and actual costs (AC) expended to produce the work of the project. Cost variance (CV), schedule variance (SV), cost performance index (CPI), and schedule performance index (SPI) are the formulas used with the EVM technique.

Be able to name the tools and techniques of the Control Costs process. The tools and techniques of the Control Costs process are earned value management, forecasting, to-complete performance index, performance reviews, variance analysis, and project management software.

Be able to name the purpose of the Perform Quality Control process. The purpose of the Perform Quality Control process is to monitor work results to see whether they comply with the standards set out in the quality management plan.

Name the purpose of the Verify Scope process. The purpose of Verify Scope is to determine whether the work is complete and whether it satisfies the project objectives.

Be able to describe product verification. Product verification confirms that all the work of the project was completed accurately and to the satisfaction of the stakeholder.

Key Terms

I’ve discussed in detail the processes you’ll use to monitor your project progress. You need to understand and use each of these processes to be an effective project manager. You’ll need to know them by the names used in the PMBOK® Guide to be successful on the exam.

Control Costs Monitor and Control Risks
Control Schedule Perform Quality Control
Control Scope Verify Scope

You’ve learned a lot of new key words in this chapter. PMI® has worked hard to develop and define standard project management terms that apply across industries. Here is a list of some of the terms you came across in this chapter:

actual cost (AC) planned value (PV)
attributes prevention
budget at completion (BAC) revisions
common causes of variances rework
control charts run chart
cost performance index (CPI) scatter diagrams
cost variance (CV) Pareto charts
cumulative CPI schedule performance index (SPI)
cumulative SPI schedule variance (SV)
earned value (EV) statistical sampling
earned value management (EVM) technical performance measurements
efficiency indicator tolerable results
estimate at completion (EAC) variance at completion (VAC)
estimate to complete (ETC) workaround
inspection

Review Questions

1. You are working on a project that was proceeding well until a manufacturing glitch occurred that requires corrective action. It turns out the glitch was an unintentional enhancement to the product, and the marketing people are absolutely crazy about its potential. The corrective action is canceled, and you continue to produce the product with the newly discovered enhancement. As the project manager, you know that a change has occurred to the product scope because the glitch changed the characteristics of the product. Which of the following statements is true?

A. Changes to product scope should be reflected in the project scope.

B. Changes to product scope should be documented in the scope management plan.

C. Changes to product scope will result in cost changes.

D. Changes to product scope are a result of corrective action.

2. You are working on a project that was proceeding well until a manufacturing glitch occurred that requires corrective action. It turns out the glitch was an unintentional enhancement to the product, and the marketing people are absolutely crazy about its potential. The corrective action is canceled, and you continue to produce the product with the newly discovered enhancement. As the project manager, you know that a variance has occurred. Which of the following is true?

A. Common causes of variance, also known as special-cause variances, are situations that are unique and not easily controlled at the operational level.

B. Random variances, known or predictable variances, and variances that are always present in the process are known as common causes of variance.

C. Attribute inspection determines whether measurements fall within tolerable results.

D. Scatter diagrams display the relationships between an independent and a dependent variable to show variations in the process over time.

3. Your project has experienced some changes to the agreed-upon WBS elements. The changes were approved through the proper change control process. The WBS changes might in turn require which of the following?

A. Scope changes

B. Cost changes

C. Schedule revisions

D. Risk response changes

4. You are a project manager for Dakota Software Consulting Services. You’re working with a major retailer that offers its products through mail-order catalogs. It is interested in knowing customer characteristics, the amounts of first-time orders, and similar information. The stakeholders have accepted the project scope. Work has begun on the project, and you’re confirming some of the initial work results with the stakeholders. You’ve asked for acceptance of the work results. Which process are you performing?

A. Monitor and Control Risks

B. Perform Quality Control

C. Verify Scope

D. Control Scope

5. You are the project manager for a top-secret software project for an agency of the United States government. Getting top-secret clearances for contractors takes quite a bit of time, and waiting for clearances would jeopardize the implementation date. Your mission—should you choose to accept it—is to complete the project using internal resources. Your programmers are 80 percent of the way through the programming and testing work when your agency appoints a new executive director. Your programmers are siphoned off this project to work on the executive director’s hot new project. Which of the following addresses the purpose of Verify Scope in this case?

A. Verify Scope determines the correctness and completion of all the work.

B. Verify Scope documents the level and degree of completion.

C. Verify Scope determines whether the project results comply with quality standards.

D. Verify Scope documents the correctness of the work according to stakeholders’ expectations.

6. Which of the following statements is true regarding schedule variances?

A. Schedule variances impact scope, which impacts the schedule.

B. Schedule variances sometimes impact the schedule.

C. Schedule variances always impact the schedule.

D. Schedule variances never impact the schedule.

7. You are a project manager for Laurel’s Theater Productions. Your new project is coming in over budget and requires a cost change through the cost change control system. You know all of the following statements are true regarding Control Costs except for which one?

A. A description of how cost changes should be managed and controlled is found in the cost management plan.

B. Cost changes are reflected in the cost baseline.

C. EVM is used to determine the cost performance that must be realized for the remaining work of the project to meet the goal.

D. This equation, EAC = BAC / cumulative CPI, is used to forecast an estimate at completion assuming future project performance will be the same as past performance.

8. Which of the following might require rebaselining of the cost performance baseline?

A. Corrective action

B. Revised cost estimates

C. Updates to the cost management plan

D. Budget updates

9. What are the performance measurements for the Control Schedule process?

A. SV = (EV – PV) and SPI = (EV / PV)

B. SV = (EV – AC) and SPI = (EV / AC)

C. SV = (EV – BAC) and SPI = (EV / BAC)

D. SV = (PV – EV) and SPI = (PV / EV)

10. This measurement is the value of the work that has been completed to date compared to the budget.

A. PV

B. AC

C. EV

D. EAC

11. You are a contract project manager for a wholesale flower distribution company. Your project is to develop a website for the company that allows retailers to place their flower orders online. You will also provide a separate link for individual purchases that are ordered, packaged, and mailed to the consumer directly from the grower’s site. This project involves coordinating the parent company, growers, and distributors. You are preparing a performance review and have the following measurements at hand: PV = 300, AC = 200, and EV = 250. What do you know about this project?

A. The EAC is a positive number, which means the project will finish under budget.

B. You do not have enough information to calculate CPI.

C. The CV is a negative number in this case, which means you’ve spent less than you planned to spend as of the measurement date.

D. The CV is a positive number in this case, which means you’re under budget as of the measurement date.

12. A negative result from an SV calculation means which of the following?

A. PV is higher than EV.

B. PV equals 1.

C. EV is higher than PV.

D. EV is higher than AC.

13. You are a contract project manager for a wholesale flower distribution company. Your project is to develop a website for the company that allows retailers to place their flower orders online. You will also provide a separate link for individual purchases that are ordered, packaged, and mailed to the consumer directly from the grower’s site. This project involves coordinating the parent company, growers, and distributors. You are preparing a performance review and have the following measurements at hand: PV = 300, AC = 200, and EV = 250. What is the CPI of this project?

A. 0.80

B. 1.25

C. 1.5

D. 0.83

14. You accept project costs to date and assume future work (ETC) will be performed at the budgeted rate. If BAC = 800, ETC = 275, PV = 300, AC = 200, EV = 250, and cumulative CPI = 1.25, what is the EAC?

A. 640

B. 750

C. 600

D. 550

15. You know that BAC = 375, PV = 300, AC = 200, and cumulative EV = 250. Variances that have occurred on the project to date are not expected to continue. What is the ETC?

A. 75

B. 50

C. 125

D. 150

16. You expect future project performance to be consistent with the project performance experienced to date. If BAC = 800, ETC = 275, PV = 300, cumulative AC = 200, EV = 250, and cumulative CPI = 1.25, what is the EAC?

A. 640

B. 750

C. 600

D. 550

17. You know that BAC = 500, PV = 325, AC = 275, CPI = .9, and EV = 250, and you are using actual costs to date and assuming ETC uses the budgeted rate. Variance at completion tells you which of the following?

A. 25

B. –52

C. 52

D. –25

18. You know that BAC = 500, PV = 325, cumulative AC = 275, and cumulative EV = 250 and that you are experiencing typical variances. What is ETC?

A. 227.3

B. 250

C. 274.7

D. 525

19. Your project progressed as planned until yesterday. Suddenly, an unexpected risk event occurred. You quickly devised a response to deal with this negative risk event using which of the following outputs of Monitor and Control Risks?

A. Risk management plan updates

B. Workarounds

C. Corrective action

D. Additional risk identification

20. Which of the following is considered the most critical EVM metric?

A. CPI

B. CV

C. SPI

D. SP

Answers to Review Questions

1. A. Changes to product scope should be reflected in the project scope.

2. D. Scatter diagrams display the relationship between an independent and dependent variable over time.

3. C. WBS element changes are scope changes. According to the PMBOK® Guide, schedule revisions are often required as a result of scope changes.

4. C. The Verify Scope process is concerned with the acceptance of work results. It also formalizes the acceptance of the project scope.

5. B. Verify Scope should document the level and degree of completion of the project given the circumstances in this question. If you come back at a later date and restart this project, Verify Scope will describe how far the project progressed and give you an idea of where to start.

6. B. Schedule variances will sometimes—but not always—impact the schedule. Changes to noncritical path tasks will not likely impact the schedule, but changes to critical path tasks will always impact the schedule.

7. C. To-complete performance index determines the cost performance that must be realized for the remaining work of the project to meet a goal such as BAC or EAC.

8. D. Budget updates might require cost rebaselining.

9. A. Schedule variance is (EV – PV) and schedule performance index is (EV / PV).

10. C. Earned value is referred to as the value of the work that’s been completed to date compared to the budget.

11. D. The CV is a positive number and is calculated by subtracting AC from EV as follows: 250 – 200 = 50. A positive CV means the project is coming in under budget, meaning you’ve spent less than you planned as of the measurement date.

12. A. The SV calculation is EV – PV. If PV is a higher number than EV, you’ll get a negative number as a result.

13. B. CPI is calculated as follows: EV / AC. In this case, 250 / 200 = 1.25.

14. B. When you accept project performance to date and assume future ETC work will be performed at the budgeted rate, EAC is calculated as follows: AC + BAC – EV. Therefore, the calculation for this question looks like this: (200 + 800) – 250 = 750.

15. C. The correct formula for ETC for this question is as follows: BAC – cumulative EV. Therefore, ETC is as follows: 375 – 250 = 125.

16. A. When project performance is expected to behave like past performance, EAC is calculated as follows: EAC = BAC / cumulative CPI. Therefore, the calculation for this question looks like this: 800 / 1.25 = 640.

17. D. You first have to calculate EAC in order to calculate VAC. EAC for variances that are atypical is AC + BAC – EV. So, our numbers are 275 + 500 – 250 = 525. VAC is calculated this way: BAC – EAC. Therefore, 500 – 525 = –25. Our costs are not doing as well as anticipated.

18. C. You must first calculate cumulative CPI in order to calculate ETC. Cumulative CPI is cumulative EV / cumulative AC. We have 250 / 275 = .91. ETC with typical variances is (BAC – cumulative EV) / cumulative CPI. Our numbers are (500 – 250) / .91 = 274.7.

19. B. Workarounds are unplanned responses. They deal with negative risk events as they occur. As the name implies, workarounds were not previously known to the project team. The risk event was unplanned, so no contingency plan existed to deal with the risk event, and thus it required a workaround.

20. A. CPI is considered the most critical EVM metric. It measures the cost efficiency of the project work completed at the measuring date.

..................Content has been hidden....................

You can't read the all page of ebook, please click here login for view all page.
Reset
3.131.153.160