Index

AARP, 192

activist investors, 155, 158–159

adaptation, 82–83, 84, 103–106, 129–130, 142–143

AdSense, 154

Advanced Micro Devices, 129

Affordable Care Act, 92

agricultural workers, 192

Ahir, Hites, 82

almond industry, 73–75

Alphabet, 134

Amazon, 134, 192

American Dream, 2

American International Group (AIG), 137

analogic reasoning, 25–26

Anheuser-Busch InBev (ABI), 123–124

anomalies, 111–112

antitrust legislation, 53–56, 152, 153

Apple iOS, 131

Argyris, Chris, 167, 178

Aristotle, 183

Aspen Publishers, 77

AT&T, 53–54, 130–131

Atlanta testing scandal, 45–46, 53

Australia, 206

auto exports, 151

Avishai, Ellie, 171

Bain & Company, 175

balance, 183–184

balanced scorecard, 129

Bank Act (Canada), 139, 143

bank bailouts, 137–138

Bank Holding Company Act, 108

bankruptcies, 97–98, 137

banks, 137–142, 151

baseball, 101–102

Bass, Jo Ann, 116, 118

Belgium, 157

bell curve, 33, 72

See also Gaussian distribution

Bernanke, Ben, 78, 79

bid-ask spreads, 55–56

Bieber, Justin, 65

Black Monday, 52

Blue Chip Economic Indicators forecast, 77–78, 82

bond market, 109–111

bond-rating agencies, 109–111

Boston Consulting Group, 175

Box, George, 25

boycotts, 189, 192

Bracken, Michael, 147–149

Bridgewater Associates, 31

Bristol University, 184

budgets, 124, 126, 173, 199–200

Buffett, Warren, 157

Bush, George W., 30

business

adaptation in, 129–130

proxies in, 49–53

business executives, 113

agenda for, 115–135

backgrounds of, 120–121

reductionism and, 121–122

business models, 27–29

business schools, 32, 174–176, 180

business siloes, 32, 122

business strategy, 175–176

butterfly effect, 81

buycotts, 189, 192

buying groups, 192

buy recommendations, 112–113

cable TV, 130, 131

Canada

antitrust policies in, 55

financial system of, 138–142, 151

metaphor for, 26

voter registration in, 205–206

capital efficiency, 97–99

capitalism, 4, 12

See also democratic capitalism

discontent with, 12–13

survival of, 210

capital markets, 50, 55, 85, 86, 99, 109–110, 112, 129, 155

capital-markets policy, 55

Cargill, 133

cash flows, 97–98

central limit theorem, 35, 60

certainty, teaching, 170–173, 181, 185

Chambers, John, 51–52

chaos theory, 81

Chavez, Cesar, 192

Chicago Board of Trade, 64, 90

chief executive officers (CEOs), 64, 86–88, 121, 155

See also business executives

China, 151, 210

Churchill, Winston, 26

circuit-breaker system, 108

Cisco Systems, 51–52

citizens, 114

agenda for, 187–207

collective action by, 192–197, 207

engagement of, 198–201

interviews of, 147–148

model of, 145

passive, 198

purchasing power of, 188–192, 207

reciprocal political relationships and, 197–200

responsibility of, 189–190

voting by, 201–206

civil-law system, 105–106

Clayton Antitrust Act, 53

Clinton, Bill, 54

cloud computing, 131

clustered industries, 67–70

collapsing sand pile example, 61–62

collective action, 192–197, 207

college students, 172–173

commercial banks, 108

common-law system, 105–106

communism, 15

comparative advantage, 40–41, 56

compensation theory, 146

competition, 63–65, 131–135, 151

competition policy, 53–54

competitive advantage, 67, 71

Competitive Advantage of Nations, The (Porter), 17, 67

complex adaptive systems, 80, 176–178, 182, 211–212

See also natural systems

complexity

design for, 100–103

teaching about, 176–177

complexity theory, 61–62, 81

Congressional Budget Office (CBO), 31, 78, 79

connectedness, 106–113

consensus estimates, 86, 87

Consensus Forecasts, 82

consolidation

See also mergers

industry, 71–73

consumer protection, 54

continuous adaptation, 82–83, 105–106

Contract with America, 198, 199

Costco, 125

Cowan, George, 177

Crawford, Cindy, 64, 65

creativity-intensive jobs, 68–70

Criterion-Referenced Competency Tests (CRCT), 45–46

customer experience, 117, 122–123

customer feedback, 130, 135

customer loyalty, 27–29, 48

customer value, 130

Dalio, Ray, 31

Darwin, Charles, 129–130

data

directly observable, 178–181

interpretation of, 172, 178–179

Data Resources Inc. (DRI), 22–23

debate, 214

debt, 97–99, 101

Declaration of Independence, 40

Deming, W. Edwards, 43, 56, 123

Deming Prize, 43

democracy, 3–4

Democracy in America (Tocqueville), 198–199

democratic capitalism

achieving balance in, 97–114

business executives and, 115–135

citizens and, 187–207

economic growth and, 5

educators and, 165–185

future of, 2, 3–17, 209–215

gaming of system in, 84–94

initiatives to improve, 211–212

model of, 13–14

as natural system, 94

political leaders and, 137–164

resilience of, 15

stakeholders in, 113–114

support for, 37–38, 75–76

Democrats, 160–161

See also political parties; politicians

derivatives, 55

design schools, 179–180

design thinking, 180

Dickson, Julie, 139–140

directly observable data, 178–181

disciplines, 174–176, 184

dispersed industries, 67–70

dividends, 98

division of labor, 39–40, 41

Dodd-Frank Act, 142

dot-com boom, 66

dot-com crash, 80

Dow Jones Industrial Average, 132, 138

Drucker, Peter, 32, 174

d.school, 179–180

earnings, decline in, 6–7

earnings expectations, 87–88, 155

Eastern philosophy, 183

Eckstein, Otto, 22–23, 31, 80

e-commerce, 66

economic bubbles, 103

economic depressions, 31

economic forecasting, 77–78, 82, 100–101

economic growth, 5, 6, 8, 12–13

as desired outcome, 33–38

efficiency and, 39–43

Pareto distribution and, 75–76

productivity growth and, 9

economic mobility, 9, 37

economic models, 13–15, 22–23

See also models

machine model, 22, 25, 26, 30–44, 94, 100, 103–104, 123, 210

overconfidence in, 25

powers and foibles of, 23–26

economic outcomes

efficiency as driver of, 39–43

growth as desired, 36–37

proxies and, 57

economic policy, 22, 41, 53–56, 80, 138–139

Economic Recovery Tax Act, 160

economics, neoclassical Keynesian, 23–24, 25

economic stagnation, 5–9, 12, 76

economic system, imbalances in, 1–3

economies of scale, 53

education policy, 29–30, 45–49

education system, 169, 170

educators, 114

See also teaching

agenda for, 165–185

appreciation of qualities and, 181–184

directly observable data and, 178–181

reductionism and, 173–178

role of, 169

teaching certainty and, 170–173, 185

efficiency

balance between resilience and, 15, 99–114, 210

capital, 97–99

in capital markets, 55

economic outcomes and, 39–43

goal of, 14

labor costs and, 49–50

monopolies and, 153–154

obsession with, 66–67

Pareto shift and, 66–67

product costs, 54

proxies for, 49–50

pursuit of, 44, 210

scientific management and, 42

short-term, 155

of US economy, 21–44, 63

efficiency defense, 53–55, 63, 153–155

Efficiency Movement, 42

employees

compensation of, 121, 125

customer experience and, 122–123

training of, 125

turnover of, 122, 123

Enron, 85

Environmental Protection Agency, 192, 207

equity investments, 157–158

ethnography, 179, 180

European Union, 54–55, 129, 151, 153–155

Every Student Succeeds Act, 49

executive compensation, 64, 87–88

executives. See business executives

executive tenure, 155

expectations management, 87–88

experimentation, 119

Facebook, 54, 129, 134, 153, 191, 192

Fair Districts, Fair Elections, 204

Fair Districts Florida, 204

fame game, 64–65

Fannie Mae, 80–81, 137

fascism, 15

federal budget, 91

Federal Reserve Board, 31, 80, 103, 137

Fernandez, Brian, 188

Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) Rule 2711, 112–113

Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) Rule 5310, 64

financial institutions, 137–142

financial regulation, 107–108, 112, 139–141, 143

financial stress, 1–3

firebreaks, 107–109

First Call, 86, 112

fiscal cliff, 78–79, 100

Florange Act (France), 157

Florida, Richard, 67–68

foreign banks, 151

foreign competition, 63

Forrester, Jay, 176–177

forward-looking statements, 87

Founding Fathers, 40, 199

Four Seasons Hotels and Resorts, 122–123

France, 157, 158

Freddie Mac, 80–81, 137

free markets, 40

free trade, 41–42, 56, 63, 66, 150–152

Freidin, Ellen, 204

French’s, 188–189

friction, 101–103, 113, 123–125, 142, 149–152

Friedman, Milton, 24

Fukushima nuclear facility, 100

Fung, Josie, 171

gaming the system, 84–94, 104, 143

Gates, Bill, 129

Gaussian distribution, 33–38, 44, 57, 59, 62–63, 76, 100, 106

GDP per capita growth, 8

General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), 41–42, 63, 150

General Electric (GE), 87

Gerry, Elbridge, 201

gerrymandering, 201–205, 207

Gibson, William, 16

Gingrich, Newt, 198, 199

Glass-Steagall Act, 107–108, 109

global financial crisis, 55, 77, 78, 80, 81, 85, 108–110, 137–138

globalization, 65–66

golden mean, 183

Gomez, Selena, 65

Good Jobs Institute, 126

Good Jobs Strategy, The (Ton), 124–125

Google, 54, 134, 153, 154

Google Android, 131

government digital services (GDS), 147–149, 163

government policies, 14–15

See also public policy

GOV.UK website, 147–149, 163

Graham, John, 155

Great Depression, 4–7, 12, 15, 31, 41, 76, 159

Groh, Kevin, 188

Grosso, Beth, 165–169, 171, 172, 181

growth. See economic growth

growth rate, 8, 11

gun control, 197, 206

Hamilton, Alexander, 40

Harris, Michael, 47

Harvard Business School, 175

Harvard Kennedy School, 180

Harvey, Campbell, 155

Hasso Plattner Institute of Design, 179–180

hedge funds, 91, 155, 157, 158

hedonistic adjustments, 10–11

Heinz, 123–124, 187, 189

high-frequency trading, 90, 156–157

high-income Americans, 7–8

high-speed trading, 90

honeybees, 74–75

Hong Kong, 93–94

hotel industry, 122

House of Representatives, 201, 202

housing bubble, 81, 137, 140

Huizenga, Wayne, 71–72

humanities, 181–182, 184

IBM, 132

IDEO, 179

ideology, 213–214

iHeartMedia, 97–98, 99, 101

IIT Institute of Design, 180

Illinois Institute of Technology, 180

improvement, 103–106, 113, 132

income

average, by percentile, 1913–2015, 7

disparities, 66

growth, 33

mean family, 4, 6

median family, 4–5, 11, 38

real, 10, 11

income distribution, 14, 36–37, 38, 63, 70, 161

income taxes, 159–162

incumbents, 202

Industrial Revolution, 41

industry consolidation, 71–73

See also mergers

inflation, 24, 31, 103

innovation, 54

input-output relationships, 81–82

input-output tables, 22

Instagram, 61, 65, 71, 129, 191, 192

Institute for Competitiveness & Prosperity, 17

integrative thinking, 174, 176, 178

Intel, 129

interdependencies, 106–113

interest rates, 80, 81

internet, 63–64, 66

internet of things (IoT), 106

Investors Exchange (IEX), 156–157

invisible hand, 39, 41

Irish potato famine, 75

isolation, 199

Italy, 157

I-Think Initiative, 171–172, 181

Japanese auto manufacturers, 43, 151

Jefferson, Thomas, 40

Jenner, Kylie, 65

job design, 31–32

job market, 66–70

Joe’s Stone Crab, 115–120, 121, 132–133

Johnson, Dwayne, 65

Kaplan, Robert, 129

Kardashian, Kim, 65

Ka-shing, Li, 52

Katsuyama, Brad, 156

Kelley, David, 179

Kennedy, John F., 198

killer whales, 82–83

King, Martin Luther, Jr., 192

Kraft, 123–124

Kraft Heinz, 123–124, 127

labor

division of, 39–41

rewards for, 67–70

labor costs, 49–50, 63, 122, 124–125, 128

labor market, 67–70

ladder of inference, 167

laws, revision of, 142–145

leading brands, 191–192

leaky bucket metaphor, 27–28

Leamington Ketchup Affair, 187–190

LearningEdge platform, 177

legal system, 105–106

legislation, 93

antitrust, 53–56, 152, 153

revising, 142–145

Lehman Brothers, 84–86, 104, 137

Leontief, Wassily, 21–22, 30, 80

leveraged buyouts (LBOs), 97–99, 101

Lightner, Candace, 193–194

living standards, 9–11, 33

lobbyists, 91, 93

Loblaws, 188

Long Depression, 31

long-term capital, 157, 158–159

Long-Term Stock Exchange (LTSE), 156

Loosemore, Tom, 147–149

Lorenz, Edward, 81

Loungani, Prakash, 82

Love Canal families, 193, 207

Loyalty Effect, The (Reichheld), 27–28

Lucas, Robert, 24

MacArthur, Douglas, 43

machine model, 22, 25, 26, 30–44, 94, 100, 103–104, 123, 210

Madison, James, 40

management

models, 49–50

scientific, 42

total quality, 43

manufacturing industries, 41, 126

Martin, Paul, 141

Martin Prosperity Institute, 2, 17

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), 176–177, 184

master’s in business administration (MBA), 174–175

McKelvey, Bill, 62

mean family income, 4, 6

Measure What Matters (Doerr), 52

median family income, 4–5, 11, 38

median voter, 38

mental proximity, 145–149

mergers, 53–54, 63–64, 123–124, 141

metaphors

for education, 29

importance of, 25–26

leaky bucket metaphor, 27–28

machine, 22, 25, 26, 30–44, 94, 100, 103–104, 123, 210

Microsoft, 131

middle class, 9, 14, 36

mobile operating systems, 131

mobility, 9, 37

models

building better, 171–172, 179

in business and public policy, 27–30

of citizens, 145

core components of, 29

critical evaluation of, 171

doubling-down on existing, 214

economic. See economic models

imperfections in, 45–57

use of proxies and, 45–57

Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America, 197

monetarists, 24

monetary policies, 31, 103

monocultures, 73–75, 153

monopolies, 53–54, 63, 129–135, 152–154

mortgage-backed bond market, 109–111

mortgages, 80–81

Mothers Against Drunk Driving (MADD), 193–196, 199

multihoming, 192

NAFTA. See North American Free Trade Agreement

NASCAR, 102

National Football League (NFL), 144–145

National Rifle Association (NRA), 197

natural systems

achieving balance in, 97–114

adaptivity of, 103–106

complexity of, 100–103

continuous adaptation in, 82–83

dynamic interactions in, 80–81

features of, 80–84, 100

relationship between inputs and outputs in, 81–82

stability of, 84

structure of, 106–113

sum of parts and, 80–81

US economy as, 77–94

NCLB. See No Child Left Behind Act

neoclassical Keynesian economics, 23–24, 25

Nestlé, 192

Net Promoter Score (NPS), 28, 29, 48

network effects, 191–192

New Deal, 12, 107, 159

new-economy companies, 71

New England Complex Systems Institute, 177

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), 64, 88–91, 92, 93

Nicomachean Ethics (Aristotle), 183

1970s, 5–12, 24

No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB), 29–30, 45, 49

nonreductionist thinking, 118–119

normal distributions, 33–38

North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), 66, 150

Norton, David, 129

NYSE. See New York Stock Exchange

Obamacare, 92

Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OFSI), 139–141

off-shoring, 155

oligopolies, 63

optimal financial structure, 173

options trading, 55

outsourcing, 155

Pareto, Vilfredo, 59

Pareto distribution, 46, 57, 59–76, 100

challenge of, 75–76

in companies, 71–73

of income, 161–162

monocultures and, 73–75

Parker, Jeffrey, 86

Parkland shooting, 197

participatory budgeting, 199–200

Penner, Elliot, 188

perfection, 103–106, 113, 126

performance management, 173

Pershing Square, 158

Persona Project, 2, 4, 14–16, 206

Phillips curve, 24

pitch-count restrictions, 102

platform businesses, 71

policy making

long-term thinking and, 155–159

mental proximity and, 145–149

revision and, 142–145

political economy, 38

political leaders, 113–114

agenda for, 137–163

political parties, 92, 201–205

political relationships, 197–200

politicians, 197–205

politics, disengagement from, 3, 198

Porter, Michael, 17, 67, 128

power, abuse of, 152–153

power blackouts, 106–107

Power Law distribution. See Pareto distribution

preferential attachment, 61

pressure, 100–103, 113

prices, decline in, 9–10

Principles of Scientific Management, The (Taylor), 42

private markets, 91

Private Securities Litigation Reform Act, 87, 112

Private Sponsorship of Refugees Program, 196

problem solving, 172–174

procurement costs, 50, 63

production-cost efficiencies, 54

productive friction, 102, 113, 142, 149–152

productivity growth, 8–10, 42

Progressive Era, 53

progressive taxation, 14, 159–162

protectionism, 151

proxies

in business, 49–53

in economic policy, 53–56

in education, 45–49

lineage of, 56–57

long-term, 155–159

for measuring progress, 46

multiple measurements as, 127–129, 135

outcomes and, 57

problem with, 46–57

surrogation and, 127–129

public companies, 91

public policy

models, 29–30

schools of, 180

public utilities, 152

purchasing power, 188–192, 207

Putnam, Robert, 199

Qualcomm, 154

qualities, appreciation of, 181–184

quantities, 181, 182

QuikTrip, 125

Rajgopal, Shiva, 155

random-access memory (RAM), 177

Reagan, Ronald, 54, 160

real income, 10, 11

real world, interaction with, 178–181

reciprocal political relationships, 197–200

Reckitt Benckiser Group, 188

reductionism, 119–123, 134, 173–178

redundancies, 111, 133–134

reflectiveness, 172, 213–214

refugees, 196

regulations, financial, 107–108, 112, 139–141, 143

Reichheld, Fred, 27, 48, 147–148

Renaissance Technologies, 157

Repo 105, 85, 86, 104, 137

Report on the Subject of Manufactures (Hamilton), 40

representative government, 201

Republicans, 160–161, 197–198

See also political parties; politicians

resilience, 98–99

balance between efficiency and, 15, 99–114, 210

monopolies and, 132

restaurant industry, 115–116

restrictor plates, 102, 103

retailers, 124–126

revision, of laws, 142–145

Ricardo, David, 40–42, 56

Riel, Jennifer, 171

Ries, Eric, 156

Rise of the Creative Class, The (Florida), 67–68

robber barons, 53

Rockefeller, John D., 129

Rodrik, Dani, 150

Ronaldo, Cristiano, 61, 64–65

Roosevelt, Franklin, 12

Rotman School of Management, 176, 180, 212–213

routine-intensive jobs, 68–70

rules, 142–145

safe harbor provision, 87

Sandy Hook shooting, 197

Santa Fe Institute, 177

Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SOX), 84–85, 142

Sawitz, Stephen, 116–119

Scherer, Stephen, 111–112

school reform, 29–30, 49

school shootings, 197

scientific management, 42

SeaWorld Entertainment, 192

Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), 64, 90, 112–113, 156

self-interest, 94, 203

Senate, 201, 202

separation, 106–113

September 11, 2001, 111

shareholder value, 50–52

Sharp, Isadore, 122, 123

Sherman Antitrust Act, 53, 152

short-term capital, 157

short-term efficiency, 155

siloes, 32, 122

Sinatra, Frank, 64, 65

Singapore, 93–94

slack, 50, 56, 63, 123–127, 132, 134–135

Sloan School of Management, 177

smartphones, 131

Smith, Adam, 39–40, 41, 56

Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act, 41

Snapchat, 129, 191, 192

social media, 61, 65, 191

South Korea, 151

Southwest Airlines, 127–128

SOX. See Sarbanes-Oxley Act

specialization, 176, 184

Spread Networks, 90

stability, 84

staffing decisions, 124–125

stakeholders, 113–114

standard deviation, 35

standardized tests, 29–30, 45–46, 48–49, 170

standard of living, 9–11, 33

Stanford-Binet IQ test, 33

Sterman, John, 25, 30, 111, 145, 177

stock exchanges, 55–56, 64, 88–93

stock markets, 86, 88–93, 138

circuit-breaker system of, 108

gaming, 89–93

stock prices, 50–52, 88, 108

stock volatility, 51–52, 88

Stottlemyre, Mel, 101

Stottlemyre, Mel, Jr., 101–102

Stottlemyre, Todd, 101–102

stress, financial, 1–3

Superfund, 192, 207

supply costs, 50

surrogation, 47, 50–53, 57, 127–129

survival of the fittest, 129–130

sustainability problem, for monopolies, 130–132

swing voters, 5

Syrian refugee crisis, 196

System Dynamics Group, 177

system dynamics, 176–177

systemic structure, 106–113

Taoism, 183

tariffs, 41–42, 56

tax cuts, 160–161

taxes

income, 159–162

progressive, 14, 159–162

Tobin tax, 92, 103

Tax Reform Act (1986), 160

Tayler, Bill, 47

Taylor, Frederick Winslow, 42, 56–57

teachers. See educators

teaching

See also educators

certainty, 170–173, 181, 185

integrative approach to, 174

reductionism, 173–178

technology, 65, 66, 88–89

tenure-based voting rights, 157–159

theorizing, 178–179

Third Congressional District of Maryland, 202, 203

third-party candidates, 201–202

3G Capital, 123–124, 126, 187

tightly coupled systems, 106–107

Tilly, Charles, 192, 194

time-and-motion studies, 42

time horizons, 155–159

Tobin, James, 92

Tobin tax, 92, 103

Tocqueville, Alexis de, 198–199

Ton, Zeynep, 124–126

total quality management, 43

Toyota Production System, 43

Toys “R” Us, 97–98, 99, 101

trade

free, 41–42, 56, 63, 66, 150–152

productive friction in, 150–152

trade barriers, 150

trade policy, 56, 150, 151

Trader Joe’s, 125

trade wars, 41

trading technology, 88–91

training, 125

transaction costs, 106

trickle-down economics, 161

Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), 138, 144

two-sided markets, 152–153

Uber, 192

unemployment, 24

United States, metaphor for, 26

University of Chicago, 24

US Census Bureau, 4

US Constitution, 40

US economy

achieving balance in, 97–114

efficiency in, 63

as efficient machine, 21–44, 94, 100, 210

gaming the system and, 84–94

growth of, 33–38

imbalances in, 1–17

models of, 22–25

as natural system, 77–94

of 1970s, 5–12, 24

proxies in, 45–57

sectors, 22

user-experience (UX) design, 180

value creation, 130

Verizon, 53–54

voter registration, 205–206, 207

voters, 201–206

Voters Not Politicians, 204

wage growth, 9, 10, 68

wages, 67–70, 125, 150

Wagner School, 180

Wallace, George, 201

Wallenstein Feed & Supply (WFS), 133–134

Washington Mutual, 137

Waste Management Inc. (WMI), 71–73

waste-management industry, 71–73

wealth disparities, 7–8, 12–13, 66, 161–162

Wealth of Nations, The (Smith), 39, 40

wealthy, during Great Depression, 7

Weiss, Joe, 117, 118

Welch, Jack, 87

Wells Fargo & Company, 47–48, 101, 127, 128

workers

agricultural, 192

wages of, 9

workforce reduction, 155

WorldCom, 85

World Trade Organization, 63

World War I, 159

World War II, 6, 12, 159–160

Wynett, Craig, 25–26

yang, 183

yin, 183

zero-based budgeting (ZBB), 124, 126, 173

Zou Yan, 182–183

Zuckerberg, Mark, 129

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