To believe is very dull; to doubt is intensely engrossing; to be on the alert is to live; to be lulled into security is to die
– Oscar Wilde
Thinking is a basic trait found in everyone. The important point is to cultivate the habit of quality thinking, which is also referred to as logical thinking. This is of fundamental importance in one’s life and more so in the field of continual improvement. Quality thinking has to be developed and brought to a state of maturity. It is possible to achieve this with the use of certain simple tools and techniques. Some of the most frequently used effective tools are explained with illustrative examples in this chapter.
In one’s daily work, opportunities are not few that admit of logical thinking. Therefore, if the tools explained in this chapter are well understood, it will enable one to use them routinely every day. This routine practice has the effect of enhancing one’s ability to think logically as well as sharpen the edge of logical thinking.
Thinking is the most fundamental activity for every person. If one thinks one can accomplish, perhaps one will; on the other hand, if one thinks one cannot, one will never accomplish. Every human being is endowed with the power to think, and in majority of the cases, it is a power which is under-utilised. Any entity that is under-utilised gets rusted and this is also true of thinking which needs to be arrested by resorting to thinking as a routine habit and refining it to become a process of quality thinking.
Thinking about a problem is a fundamental step in solving it. There is no doubt that everyone thinks. There is also no doubt that everyone thinks that he/she is thinking. This may not always be so. Hence, it is desirable to check this to ensure that one’s thinking proves to be productive most of the time. First, we have to be aware of the following situations.
Thus, the first step in cultivating quality thinking is to ensure that it is focused on the problem and does not degenerate as worry, being reactive, dreaming or making a weighty comment.
Thinking is the process of focusing one’s in-depth attention on a problem, proposition, proposal, suggestion, an issue or conjecture to understand it wholistically with clarity in order to plan for an action. It is the process of analysing all the pros and cons of an issue to facilitate the plan of action.
Another dimension of quality thinking on a problem is that it should bring out all the relevant points associated with the problems without the label of critical, major, minor, etc. This task of unearthing all the relevant points is referred to as qualitative analysis and it leads to quality thinking.
Yet another discipline of thinking is that it has to be quantitative and not dramatic.
Question: How is his attendance?
Answer 1: Very good; always present.
These are dramatic expressions besides being subjective.Answer 2: His attendance is 95 per cent or 30 per cent?
These are quantitative and objective.
For thinking to be quantitative, it has to be data-based and data-oriented. This aspect of quality thinking is dealt in Chapter 19.
The tools of qualitative analysis discussed in this chapter are
The features common to most of the tools stated are that each one is meant to
The process of bringing about the features is through brainstorming. It is a versatile tool capable of ensuring that everyone proactively participates in the continual improvement project in all its phases.
The technique owes its origin to A.F. Osborne who invented it for the sole purpose of producing a checklist of ideas that can be used in developing solutions to a problem.
The ground rules for a brainstorming session to generate ideas are
If ideas rule the world, one of the tools to generate a wealth of ideas is brainstorming.
Brainstorming has to be resorted at different stages of a problem-solving project as
Thoroughness and the speed with which an improvement study progresses are influenced by the use of brainstorming technique at each of the key stages of the study.
Every problem-solving project must start with the customer, must be focused on customer requirement and enhance value to the customer. The customer can be internal and/or external. Many points related to customer focus, customer requirements, customer satisfaction, dissatisfaction and achieving customer trust and confidence have been discussed in Chapter 10. Gap analysis to ensure that nothing is missed out and/or wrongly spelt out in customer needs and requirements has been dealt in Chapter 9.
Here, the tool for fine tuning the customer requirement as applicable to the problem on hand is dealt with. The tasks that are better done through brainstorming approach include
TABLE 18.1 Classification of Customer Requirements
Classification | Description and focus of action |
---|---|
Dissatisfiers | These must be category features and/or performance parameters. Customers (i) take it for granted that they are met satisfactorily and (ii) get terribly annoyed when these requirements are not met. They may even feel that they are cheated. Focus here is elimination of dissatisfiers. |
Satisfiers | These are features which enhance the satisfaction level of a customer. These features fall into two sub-classes:
Focus here is ‘Can we do more?’ |
Delighters | These are features beyond customers’ expectation or anticipation. These need to be researched. They are latent requirements. For example, features perceived as value by customers are generally not known. The perception quality is real but latent and hence has to be researched and found. Focus here is to ‘Create new and be innovative’, to have more of delighters frequently. |
For example, stating the requirement as shipment received on time is vague and hence proper data cannot be generated. Instead if the requirement is stated as ‘shipment received from 8 AM to 7 PM everyday from Monday to Saturday is treated as shipment-on-time’, it helps to collect the data on shipment receipt which are in-time as well as those which are not in-time. Thus, the manner of stating the required should facilitate correct collection of data.
The point to be noted is that every word should be probed to find the area of vagueness to bring clarity. In this example, the imprecise words were on-time, and clarity was given to these two words. Any failure to meet a requirement is a defect. Measurement of defects to assess the Sigma value of the process is the first step of the Six Sigma exercise.
Requirements of quality (specification) are known and rendered free from being vague and incomplete through gap analysis. The type of attention to be given is known through Kano analysis as already discussed. Now, the question is focused on improving the conformance level as illustrated.
In all these illustrations, the quality target to be achieved is defined on the basis of the current defect level. Now, the task is to reach a new level of improvement.
This hinges on the question, which factors affect the quality level? The ones that affect are termed as factors critical to quality and they are designated as CTQs. CTQs need to be discovered. There are a number of tools for discovering/surmising/guessing the CTQs. The factors fall into two categories and each category admits a different type of approach for their control. The details are given in Figure 18.1.
In some cases, it may be difficult to ‘discover’ the CTQs. A logical approach termed ‘building a CTQ tree’ can help. This is illustrated as follows:
Figure 18.1 CTQ classification
Figure 18.1a Analysis of process load
From the analysis given above, the following points are clear.
It is an analytical and logical method of mapping out a process/activity. It helps to locate the problem in the process and identify bottlenecks and non-value adding activities in a process. This was explained with illustrated example in Chapter 6.
Flow chart is to be used to
Thus, a flow chart of the process is a tool to raise questions with clarity on the origin, cause and interpretation of the problem in all its details. This is a qualitative analysis. From this follows formulating conjectures or hypotheses through which further probing can be undertaken. This phase needs quantitative techniques of analysis.
For example, to say, low pressure is the cause of poor adhesion is a technical hypothesis/conjecture. It is not a fact. Suitable data has to be collected and the actual situation has to be verified. This is verification of the conjecture/hypothesis. If data confirms the conjecture/hypothesis, it is considered as a fact. Thus, it can be noted that in problem solving, thinking/questioning helps to come out with a number of conjectures/hypotheses which can turn out to be solutions to the problem. In generating such conjectures/hypotheses relevant to a process, the flow chart is a useful tool of qualitative analysis.
Certain processes are characterised by a set of pre-determined steps and are applied every time a need arises. When the pre-determined steps are complied with appropriately, it helps to transact the task concerned properly. There are several checklist-controlled processes such as
Thus, a possible solution to any process problem that has a checklist, lies in examining the checklist itself for omissions, new additions, lack of clarity, mistakes, etc., and set right the checklist. Likewise, adopting the checklist in any process wherein a checklist is admissible can also render the process defect-free. A checklist-controlled automated process is the most desirable one.
Defects lie in details. This is equivalent to the saying devil lies in details. Every job has its own few details perceived as minor ones and these are the potential source of defects. A knowledge of them is important and more important is to put that knowledge to work. The best method to accomplish is to make the job controllable through a checklist in which the ‘minute details’ are incorporated. This adds immense value to the checklist.
Prof. Kaoru Ishikawa, the father of quality circles in Japan, designed this method and is named after him as Ishikawa diagram. It is also called as fish-bone diagram.
The basic purpose of this tool is to facilitate picturising all the causes for a certain effect, categorisation of causes into major factors and sub-factors within a major factor, and linking up the causes with the effect as a logical network to picturise clearly the entire cause–effect anatomy of the problem. Figures 18.2 and 18.3 illustrate the diagram. The final version of CED as seen in Figures 18.2 and 18.3 needs several iterations and cannot normally be arrived at in just one or two attempts.
This is an aid to systematically enumerate all the causes and not leave out anything, logically categorise them and link them. A blank CED as shown in Figure 18.4 can be kept ready to prepare the diagram. It is better if each member of a quality circle draws the CED according to his/her perception, examine each CED and develop a final CED. Examination of this final version of CED is vital.
It is better to have provision for three/four main causes such as man, material, machine and method. The CED should be used to generate technical conjectures and hypotheses. These have to be recorded. For each conjecture/hypothesis, the technical explanation/justification or logic should be stated. This provides the basis for verification exercise. Verification can be in two ways—physical verification of the set-up, parameter settings, etc. at the place of work; data verification through data already available or to be collected. The CED exercise has to find the root cause(s) for the effect under study.
Classification of the cause does not necessarily mean identification of its source. In such cases, the source also needs to be identified.
Cause/source identification should lead to the next step of plugging them. Methods and means of plugging must be found and data evidence also needs to be demonstrated that the chosen mode and method of plugging to prevent occurrence of the defect are effective. All these results need to be documented as in Table 18.2.
Our opinion based on the observation made on the use of CED in a large number of projects spread over a number of organisations is not a happy one. CED is used as a ritual because ‘instruction’ has been given that a problem-solving study must have evidence of having used cause–effect diagram. The conviction that CED is used because it was found necessary is not evident. The conclusions arrived through CED application are also vague and more often do not appear to have emerged from CED analysis. All these infirmities need to be overcome.
Figure 18.2 Cause–effect diagram
Note: A bold horizontal line indicates the EFFECT. The main lines (marked No. 1 to 5) joining the bold horizontal line are the major causes of the effect. The short horizontal lines joining the main line are sub-causes; these are noted by alphabets in each main line. The lines joining the short lines are sub-sub-causes shown by numerals. All are logically linked as per technology.
Figure 18.3 Cause and effect diagram for high petrol consumption
Figure 18.4 Blank cause–effect diagram
TABLE 18.2 Results of CED Analysis
For a problem under investigation, it is better to enumerate all the factors related to it. After such an enumeration, it becomes necessary to distinguish each factor as an effect or a cause and, among the causes, to identify the predominant ones. This logical qualitative analysis is accomplished through the use of the tool relationship diagram explained in Illustrations X and Y.
Illustration X—High turnover of employees: relationship diagram The factors identified through brainstorming are (A) low pay scales, (B) benefits not competitive, (C) no scope for getting trained, (D) poor job satisfaction, (E) working condition stressful, (F) difficulty in getting suitable persons, (G) competition to attract good people and (H) no scope for advancement.
Now complete the following exercise:
Figure 18.5 Linkage: plot and summary
Factor | No. of out-arrows | No. of in-arrows |
---|---|---|
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) |
3 2 2 – 1 1 1 3 |
– – – 5 4 4 – – |
TABLE 18.3 Record of the Linkages Between the Factors
Factor | Linkage | Type of linkage |
---|---|---|
(A) Low pay scales (B) Benefit not competitive (C) No scope for getting trained (D) Poor job satisfaction (E) Working condition stressful (F) Difficulty in getting suitable persons (G) Competition to attract good people (H) No scope for advancement |
(D) (E) (F) (D) (F) (D) (E) Nil (D) (E) (F) (D) (E) (F) |
→ → → → → → → → |
‘Out’ arrow is the cause; ‘in’ arrow is the effect. Of the eight factors enumerated, (A), (B), (C), (G) and (H) are the causes and (D), (E) and (F) are the effects. The priority attention has to be bestowed on causes (A) and (H) followed by (B) and (C).
Illustration Y—Analysis of factors for lost sales: relationship diagram Six factors are responsible for lost sales. They are (A) inexperienced sales staff, (B) customers do not get the information they need to decide, (C) pricing not competitive, (D) incorrect information given to customers, (E) customers feel that they are not treated well, (F) Lack of training and (G) customers’ needs not known well.
Each factor was questioned in relation to each of the remaining factors. Each of the seven steps explained in the illustration is applied to each of the factors (A) to (G) stated above. This resulted in the linkage plot given in Figure 18.6. From this plot, it can be seen that from (A) four arrows emerge, from (G) three arrows emerge, from (F) two arrows emerge, from (B) and (D) one each, and from (C) and (E) nil, indicating that priority attention needs to be bestowed on (A)—inexperienced staff and (G)—customers’ needs not known well.
The causes identified through the cause–effect diagram and the relationship diagram represent conjectures and they are not facts. To show that these conjectures are facts, they need to be verified through data, experimentation and statistical analysis.
Figure 18.6 Linkage plot
In a certain process, it is surmised that three of its factors—pressure, temperature, rate of addition—give good yield (>80%) when they are in the range 2.5–2.6 kg/cm2, 100–102°C, 3–4 kg/m, respectively. To explore this conjecture, the available process log data is used and the results are tabulated as in Table 18.4 and then the results are checked.
From the summary, it is seen that the average yield of the batches within the range is higher than that of the batches not in range. Thus, on the face of it, there exists scope for in-depth investigation of the phenomenon. Prior to this, it is worthwhile to establish statistical significance of the results. This is dealt in Chapter 23. The mode of handling a surmise through logical summarisation and scrutiny of the available data to gain an in-depth understanding of a process and thus recognise the use of available data are to be noted.
TABLE 18.4 Summary of the Results Recorded in the Logbook
At a certain stage in ‘continual improvement’ studies, several suggestions come up. Along with them come the issues of feasibility and practicality of implementation. These have to be faced objectively and unilateral choice of a few cannot be made by brushing aside views of others. This is the worst course one can take and hence needs to be avoided. The method to be chosen to overcome the natural resistance is to have a brainstorming session on the two issues of feasibility and practicality as
Figure 18.7 Practicality scale
This is another version of practicality analysis. A number of alternative solutions are arrived at during problem-solving. Each one varies according to its pay off as well as difficulty in implementation. Categorise pay off as high and low and difficulty as hard and easy to implement. Draw a chart as shown in Figure 18.8, and inside each quadrant post each solution according to its judgement as pay off and implement. Such a four-way priority classification suggests itself the way of handling each alternative.
P: Pick to implement without delay—Small pay off and easy to implement
I: Implement aggressively—Big pay off and easy to implement
C: Challenge to render it implementable—Big pay off and hard to implement
K: Kill or ignore—Small pay off and hard to implement
Figure 18.8 Priority Analysis Chart
In improving the practicality of implementation of suggestions/ideas/proposed solutions, there is another tool called Force-field analysis. It is (i) classifying the forces governing the problem as favourable and unfavourable; (ii) analysing each favourable one to strengthen them to solve the problem and (iii) scrutinising each unfavourable one in order to find ways and means of eliminating them and/or minimising their influence. Favourable factors are those that help and support improvement; unfavourable ones hinder and hamper improvement. They are explained here.
Kurt Lewin, a social psychologist, developed this method. It is based on the following concept that a given goal can be attained through building on strengths, rendering weakness irrelevant and taking simultaneous actions on both.
TABLE 18.5 Classification Forces—Favourable and Unfavourable
Favourable | Unfavourable |
---|---|
Identify the critical ones, which if strengthened give a pay off. | Identify the critical ones which if weakened/eliminated give good relief. |
The method of strengthening the critical ones. | The method of weakening the critical ones. |
Any new force that can be added. | Any force that can be neutralised/eliminated. |
Integrating the new favourable forces into the work system. Method of integration depends on the nature of favourable force such as changing a procedure, using a new device or employing a new machinery. | The mode of neutralising is not same for every negative force but depends on the type of force on hand. The common modes available are as many as discussed in the Chapters 7 to 10. |
In the task of achieving a certain objective/goal at any given point of time there would be positive forces helping to achieve targets and also the negative ones acting as a drag. These negative forces are not necessarily ‘human problems’. They can arise out of certain other limitations also. When negative forces dominate, it can dampen the interest and drive out the enthusiasm behind a venture resulting in its failure. To avoid such situations ‘force-field’ approach is recommended. It comprises
Force-field approach has to be always kept in view. Steps must be taken to ensure that the resultant of positive and negative forces is always positive so that the goal is achieved. Force-field approach has also the virtue of looking at negative forces positively.
The approach to force-field analysis is as follows:
All the driving forces as well as restraining forces associated with a change need to be listed and tabulated (Table 18.6a) and action plan on the lines indicated in Table 18.6b needs to be worked out.
TABLE 18.6a Listing of Forces
Driving forces—Help and support improvement | Restraining forces—Hinder improvement |
---|---|
Higher rate of output | More space is needed |
Handling varieties of jobs | Fear of mishandling |
Customised products possible | Not in current year’s budget |
Less wastage on par with competitors | Spare parts difficulty |
Can meet closer tolerances | Skilled labour availability |
Make widely known and seek support | Neutralise the restraining forces by identifying which ones are
|
Following illustration explains the tool of force-field analysis.
The entire operation is highly risky and hazardous to drivers, forklift operators, cargo container and the cargo itself.
Categorisation showed that pay-off lies in neutralising the negative forces by questioning the basic ‘mind-set’ issues—Is a heavy duty lift necessary? Is handling the container warranted? These questions bring into sharp focus the following points.
TABLE 18.7 Factors Affecting Safety
Positive forces | Negative forces |
---|---|
Knowledgeable workmen Work crew are well motivated Work crew are not tradition bound |
Heavy duty forklift not available Cargo has to be handled using a pack of lifts Total capacity matching the needs of cargo and individual capacity far less |
Harmony in work crew | Resources not available to purchase/lease heavy duty lifts |
Accordingly, the practice was changed. Positive forces facilitated quick adoption and assimilation, sources of risk and hazard were totally eliminated.
The nature of some projects is such that during brainstorming sessions they attract numerous ideas and suggestions. It is neither necessary nor wise to restrict the flow of ideas and suggestions but to welcome as many as possible.
When these ideas and suggestions are listed, it appears formidable besides being incoherent and illogical. To handle such a raw data of ideas and suggestions, it is necessary to use the idea of natural attraction or kinship. This idea is shaped as a tool called affinity diagram and it is as follows:
A multi-location company intends to establish a multi-purpose recreation facility for its employees. The company sets up a cross-functional team of six persons, two persons from each of its three locations. The team is expected to submit a preliminary report on the various issues to be considered for setting up the facility. The team goes through a few brainstorming sessions and organises its ideas and suggestions as per the affinity diagram shown in Figure 18.9.
Twenty-nine different ideas affiliated to the project are represented as an affinity diagram as shown in Figure 18.9.
While conceptualising a product, the first step is to enumerate the basic needs to be met by a product in terms of its broad generic classification applicable to a product and inviting various ideas under each generic classification. Grouping of the various ideas under different generic titles is the affinity diagram. This forms the basis of eventual actions related to formulating product specification, manufacturing standard, material specification, etc. Thus, for example, the affinity diagram for a brief case can be as given in Table 18.8.
Figure 18.9 Affinity diagram
TABLE 18.8 Classification of Customer Requirements
One of the best and easy ways of identifying areas requiring improvement is through a study to compare one’s product/service with that of the competitor benchmarked for the purpose. This exercise has to be undertaken by a team of competent persons drawn from different functional areas such as marketing, sales, design, customer service and production.
The outline of the steps for comparative study is as follows.
Table 18.9 Summary of Results—Comparative Study
Table 18.10 Summary of Results—Ranking
The 13 tools of analysis explained in this chapter are meant to enhance the ability to think analytically as well as logically. Application of these tools while handling a problem helps to (i) dissect the problem, (ii) understand the different aspects of the problem, (iii) identify the diverse factors related to an aspect and (iv) raise certain pertinent questions to get a clear picture of the problem. All these instinctively develop the habit of verifying the understanding reached on a problem on the basis of data and thus establish its veracity. Thus, it can be seen that the tools are a skill-set of fundamental importance for everyone. Therefore, everyone must compulsorily be made to learn and use these tools of logical thinking. Chapter 19 deals with tools of analysis of data and it is complementary to the subject of this chapter.
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