Chapter 8
IN THIS CHAPTER
Seeing the value in competition
Unveiling your real competitors
Making use of strategic groups
Keeping tabs on your competitors’ actions
Predicting what your competitors are going to do next
Putting together competitive data
Spending time with the competition isn’t anyone’s idea of fun. Who could possibly forget the Lindsay Lohan character having to deal with the “Plastics” in Mean Girls? Think they’re out to get you? You bet they are. But the more you know about the competition, the better off you are when it comes to figuring out their next move — and setting a strategy to stay one step ahead.
If you haven’t gotten around to thinking about the competition yet, you’re in bad company; many businesses fail to take this part of planning seriously. Typical excuses include the following:
Business owners or managers in the first group wring their hands because trying to find out about the competition is tough. Those in the second group cover their eyes, assuming that if they don’t look too hard, nothing bad can happen. The third? They’re living in Fantasyland today. Talk about three blind mice; all these groups are making a big mistake. The competitor you’re familiar with is much less dangerous than an unknown enemy.
In this chapter, we show you why you need to have competitors in the first place. We help you identify your current competitors and your potential competitors. We look at competition from the viewpoint of customers and the choices they make in the marketplace. And we examine your competitors in relation to their strategies and company structure, introducing the idea of strategic groups. After identifying your competitors, we help you understand them better by looking at what they do; by forecasting their future plans; and by checking out their capabilities, strategies, goals, and assumptions.
Competition can be like Mom telling you to eat your spinach. It’s not exactly the highlight of your day. But you know what? Spinach is really good for you! Always trust Mom. Competing with the other guys out there can be like that. Wouldn’t it be so much easier if you could just open the store, display your wares, take the customers’ cash, and go home? Wasn’t that like the Soviet Union back when — and we know how that movie ended.
Competition is at the heart of capitalism, and it’s good for you, us, and everyone else in the system. Competition is why we have those cool new products and services that define our lives today. It sparks the invention of new technologies, expands market opportunities, drives the start-up of new firms, and creates entire new industries. It also brings out the best in you. Competitors force you to sharpen your strategies, hone your business plans, and go that extra mile when it comes to satisfying customers.
But there’s another dirty little secret down in the bowels of capitalism: Those who benefit from its rewards often want to pull the chairs out from any new players at the table. Old Adam Smith, the father of the market system, warned us long ago that whenever two or more businesspeople were conversing quietly in a corner, they were likely trying to figure out a way to rig the system to their own benefit. And boy, was he right.
But thankfully, not that long ago public policymakers began to re-acquaint themselves with this sad truth of the U.S. economic system. They began to deregulate industries that had slowed to a halt in terms of openness to change. As consumer benefits began to proliferate in untold ways, other nations also hopped on the deregulation bandwagon. Incumbents in industries as varied as airlines, financial services, telecommunications and postal services, public utilities, taxis, and more were now faced with serious competition for the first time in decades as entry barriers fell.
In each of these industries, a newly competitive marketplace has resulted in more products, services, and customers — along with more choices and lower prices for customers. Well-run companies that played by the rules have grown stronger, and market expansion has made room for many new players. Among the biggest beneficiaries of all are people who travel, use ATMs, send express mail, call home from the road, and turn on the lights at night.
Customer value = Benefits ÷ Price
The equation may look a bit odd at first, but it points to a simple truth: Consumers are always making choices, some consciously, others less so, many purely through habit. Think about the last time you went out to run errands and stopped by the grocery store. Maybe you chose a store brand over a higher-priced national one for a canned good, but you bought your favorite brand of ice cream that you always buy. Driving home, you put gas in the car, opting for the most conveniently located neighborhood station even though its prices were a little higher than an independent supplier across town. Consciously or not, you were weighing benefits against price.
You’ve probably already heard that old saw about the two kids who go hiking in the woods. They suddenly come across a bear. One kid immediately bends down and tightens their shoelaces. The other says, “There’s no way we can outrun that bear.” The first one quickly replies, “I’m not interested in outrunning the bear, doofus. I just want to outrun you!” The point, of course, is that like the feisty young sprinter in the story, you need to know who you’re really competing against.
You can come up with a list of possible competitors based on any number of factors. The problem is finding a method that identifies the competitors who truly impact your company. That’s not always an obvious choice. You’ve got to get into the head of your customers first to ensure you grasp what they’re really looking for. Is that buyer of a hot and speedy new convertible sports car in the hunt just for wheels? Perhaps not. Actually, he may have paid a visit to the boat dealer out by the harbor to take a spin in that spiff 45-footer with berths for four below. Now that you think of it, you notice the guy has recently hit the Big 5-0 and is beginning to question his mortality. The kids are out of the house, finally. But the hair’s thinning a bit, a few grays. Not fun. How to hang on to fleeting youth? “I want a new sports car! Or maybe that cool bay cruiser I’ve always coveted.” In reality both these suppliers of nonessential luxury products are fighting for the same demographically defined customer. What the poor guy really wants is to deny Father Time by getting something fancy that relates to his bygone youth. Be sure you grasp the lessons of Chapters 6 and 7 about customers and their underlying motivations before moving on.
To really understand your competition, you need to know the following:
Travel and tourism is a multi-trillion dollar industry today (that’s a trillion with a T). Millions of people work in this sector, and hundreds of thousands are employed in jobs that help travelers do their trip planning. Taking a vacation, booking lodging and transportation, adding on some special visits to mollify the kids — that used to be the job of the thousands of travel agencies that dotted the landscape in offices spread throughout every city and town in the United States, and other nations of the world, too. Many were independent operators, some part of a larger chain like American Express or Thomas Cook, yet others affiliated with organizations like AAA (the American Automobile Association, where you got those free maps and travel books).
The live, in-person travel advisor is still there, but time and technology have restructured this industry. There are now two primary segments, based on how customers contact and interact with the provider: traditional brick-and-mortar agencies, and online travel agencies (OTAs) that began to flourish with the rise of the Internet at the end of the 1990s (and some firms, of course, offer services through both channels).
But if you’re in this industry, or planning to enter, is that all you need to know about your competition — just choose one segment and jump in? Hardly. To achieve your business goals and learn who you’re up against, you’re going to need to further subdivide the two basic segments along a multitude of narrower variables. For starters, the industry caters to different kinds of customers. Some are families on a budget, others are searching for a once-in-a-lifetime experience with an almost unlimited budget. Some focus on solo business travelers; others contract with large corporations to handle all their employees’ travel needs. And then there are agents who handle only a certain type of travel experience (like cruises or adventure tours), or a certain geographic region (southern Europe, Tuscany, Rome), or certain customer demographics (singles, senior citizens, LGBTQ, multi-generational family reunions). The only limitation appears to be imagination.
Head-to-head competitors: Together, these companies represent your most intense competition. Your customers probably look at them, too, before deciding. They might ask you to compare your features, benefits, and pricing with these competitors’ products. You want to know as much as you can about these competitors. If you’re an independent brick-and-mortar agent, try drawing a circle of five to ten miles around your location. What other agents are in this same space? Which ones are optimized to offer specific services similar to yours? If you specialize in a certain type of traveler experience, search the Internet for competitors targeting the same market.
If you are an OTA like Travelocity/Orbitz/Expedia (all part of the same firm these days), Booking.com, or Trip.com, you need to know how big their supplier network is (airlines, hotels, restaurants, and so on). What unique features do they have, such as points programs or refund policies? How user-friendly is their online platform? Do they have any arrangements with airlines, hotels, or some corporate clients that give them a special advantage?
Ask customers for the short list of products that they seriously evaluated for purchase.
Your head-to-head competitors probably offer these products.
Ask customers for the larger list that they came up with when they started investigating what was available in the market.
Your first-tier competitors are likely to offer these products.
Ask customers for the names of products that popped into their heads when they first decided to go shopping.
These products may include those your indirect competitors offer.
Looking at products and services in the context of how customers use them gives you another viewpoint from which to eye the competition.
Consider this example: For centuries sufferers of hair loss (alopecia for the in-crowd) looked for a cure, especially males who saw this Samson-like curse as a threat to their masculinity. Lots of scammers touted snake-oil remedies, from ointments to more complex products. But nothing worked. In the 1950s researchers at the pharmaceutical firm Upjohn developed Minoxidil as a compound to treat ulcers; it proved a bust for that application, though further research showed it was effective in treating high blood pressure. It was relabeled as Loniten and approved for this indication in the 1970s. As physicians began to prescribe Loniten, however, some patients began to experience an unexpected side effect: hair growth. Not everyone was thrilled with this, but as word spread, some thought it was a miracle cure for baldness. In 1988 the regulatory agencies gave approval to the compound as a hair restorative under yet another new name, Rogaine.
Prescriptions grew rapidly, a women’s version was introduced shortly after, and by the mid-1990s, it was authorized for over-the-counter sales. The charlatan peddlers out there took a haircut. In 2006 Johnson & Johnson, the pharma giant, acquired the Rogaine brand, which now accounts for more than 50 percent of this nearly $8 billion global market. That’s a real growth story.
By viewing your competitors from a marketplace perspective — how customers choose and then use alternative products — you’re rewarded with a more complete picture of the competitive landscape that you face.
If you step back and look at the competitors around you, their differing appearances may amaze you. In certain industries, for example, companies that have a full product line compete with companies that offer a single product. In other industries, companies that gain recognition for their innovative research and development compete with companies that don’t develop anything on their own.
How can competitors in the same industry be so different? Over time, doesn’t every company figure out the best strategy for their industry, as well as the most efficient and effective ways to do business? And then they all converge on that one best way? These good questions have two possible answers:
Identifying competitors based on their unique capabilities and strategies has a great deal in common with some of the industry analysis topics we discuss in Chapter 5. Sometimes you can take that analysis one step further and divide companies in your industry into groups based on what they do and how they operate — sort of like the market segments that we talk about in Chapter 6, but this time applied to companies rather than individual customers.
You can apply all sorts of business criteria to identify the most useful strategic groups. Although every industry is different, you need to consider these general variables:
Strategic groups fall somewhere between an individual company and the entire industry. Lumping your competition into groups is helpful, because all the companies in a strategic group tend to be affected by, and react to, changes in the marketplace in the same ways. But grouping works only if those companies stay put in their assigned group long enough to be analyzed. Fortunately, they usually do.
As part of your industry analysis, you already may have discovered a few entry barriers — factors that make it tough to get into your business, such as high capital costs, expensive distribution systems, new technology, and the like. You also may have come up with some exit barriers — factors that keep competitors from getting out of the business, such as expensive factories with lots of debt and long-term labor agreements. Strategic groups can have the same kind of mobility barriers, which tend to keep competitors where they are, in one group or another.
Take a hard look at the group in which you put your company.
Are these competitors really closest to you in terms of their characteristics and the criteria that you identify?
Ask a few trusted customers to look over your groups and see whether they agree.
Viewing the world through your customers’ eyes is always worthwhile and can sometimes be a real eye-opener.
A defining element of business in the 21st century is globalization. The lowering of international trade barriers and the revolution in communications technology as well as transportation paved the way (or perhaps smoothed the waters) for an explosion of cross-border trade. But for too many firms in too many industries, globalization was an update of the three monkeys who saw no evil, heard no evil, and spoke no evil. That is, they ignored the threat until it was too late.
We all know about management failures in the auto, consumer electronics, steel, and so many other industries in which domestic American firms once ruled the roost with their smug attitudes about foreign competition. When the new guys came knockin’ at the door, they were ignored at best or probably ridiculed for their exotic company names or new product features that no American customer would possibly want. And those low prices? Obviously low because the hardware was junk. But then again…
Talk about learning a lesson the hard way. Today we don’t need to warn you about keeping a constant lookout for competitors no matter what their country of origin. Globalization has opened our eyes as well as our markets. The following are the likeliest sources of new competition to scan for threats:
Suppose you’re armed with a fresh list of competitors. You rank which of those competitors you have to watch most carefully and tag them as head-to-head competitors, first-tier competitors, or indirect competitors. (See the earlier section “Identifying Your Real Competitors.”) Maybe you even put them into strategic groups, singling out the competitors in your playpen most in need of special attention. So what’s next? You should decide which of the competitors on your list you want to spend more time with. Keeping track of competitors’ actions involves looking at both what the companies are capable of doing today as well as what they plan to do in the future.
You need to ask the same kinds of questions about your competitors that you ask yourself when you complete a company self-checkup in Chapters 9 and 10. We introduce the basics here, but turn to those chapters for all the details.
What should be of the most concern to you is how well these others stack up against your own primary strengths and weaknesses. No need to get agitated about, say, a competitor’s ability to cut a few shekels of cost here and there when you’re in a luxury goods market that turns on brand perception more than price. But if the other guy hires that hot new celebrity with her new hit show to pitch its goods? Now that’s something entirely different.
This may sound like a poor imitation of some psychiatrist, but you won’t regret the effort. It’s not always what a competitor has that drives its behavior, but rather how it manages those resources it has. This was the sad lesson learned by too many U.S.-based firms that initially dismissed foreign competition when globalization began to churn the waters.
Your competitors’ capabilities tell you something important about their capacity to get things done right now in your business. But what are they planning to do for the future?
A competitor doesn’t have to go with just one of these three generic strategies. The Swiss-based Swatch Group makes that eponymous timepiece, hardly considered a luxury brand. But it also makes high-end Omega, Longines, and Breguet watches, more fine jewelry than mere watches. Chapter 14 shows that generic strategies are often combined.
Usually, you find that a long-term strategy requires time to implement and the total commitment of the company. It turns out that knowing a little about your competitors’ history is very useful in understanding their strategies. It also helps you keep in mind what you think your competitors are capable of in the future. Remember, you can use the concept of strategic groups to simplify this process. (See the earlier section “Spotting strategic groups.”)
Trying to predict where your competitors are headed isn’t easy, of course, kind of like predicting the weather. But modern meteorological science has dramatically improved what was once left to those who spoke to the weather gods. Knowing where your competitors plan to be in the months and years to come certainly depends on where they are today, as well as on their capabilities and the strategies that they’ve set in motion. If you know where to look and what to do, like the modern meteorologist, there’s a lot you can find that will give you some good clues.
Many companies intentionally (or accidentally) send market signals about how they may behave. Some companies, for example, always lower their prices only when a competitor moves first. Looking at the past actions of competitors can provide you with an indication of what they may do next. Predicting your competitors’ actions also requires a little insight into what they think and how they think — the goals that they aim for, as well as the assumptions that they make about the industry.
Your competitors’ mission, vision, and values statements tell you a great deal about what they expect of themselves in the future (see Chapters 3 and 4). These documents aren’t top-secret; they communicate a company’s intentions to all its stakeholders, and you should take advantage of them. You don’t have to read your competitors’ minds. All you have to do is read what they say about themselves and what they plan to do. (See the later section “Organizing facts and figures” for places to find such info.)
When the late Jack Welch was CEO of General Electric, he instituted one of the most famous — and emulated — business goals in recent history. Shortly after taking over in 1981, he spelled out the giant company’s new goals to his senior managers: market share, market share, and market share. There was growing evidence at the time that profits were disproportionately located in the top two market leaders in an industry, and then fell off precipitously further down the line. He wanted GE to become either first or second in market share in each of its many businesses — or else. No one misunderstood what the “or else” meant.
GE’s competitors could have listened to Welch, because the company sent a clear signal about how it intended to compete in the future. And he followed through, firing managers and ultimately selling off divisions that failed the number-one-or-two-in-the-market test. Any company that went head-to-head with GE for market share had a battle on its hands. The companies that understood this fact had both a warning and the opportunity to adjust their own strategies to meet a changed competitive landscape.
What your competitors plan to do is usually related to their assumptions about themselves, about you and other companies like you, and about your industry — how they think and the way in which they see the world. Sometimes you can get important clues about your competitors’ assumptions by going back over their goals and objectives. Companies can’t easily make a statement about where they want to go without giving something away about where they think they are today. You can often come up with valuable insights by comparing your competitors’ assumptions about the industry with what you know (and think) to be true.
Just as marketers tell us that consumers operationalize their perceptions of reality rather than reality itself, we humans also translate much of what we observe through a screen of assumptions — about the world, people, and also goods we buy in the marketplace. Many of these assumptions are formed early in life through a variety of sources, and over time they get deeply ingrained in how we see and interpret things. One result is that people from different generations can look at a similar product but see a different reality.
Take the Silent Generation we discuss in Chapter 7. These folks were there when Japan was defeated in World War II and also when that country began to get back on its feet as a dramatically changed market-based democracy in the 1950s. Japanese firms took advantage of lowered international trade practices and began to export goods to the United States. But how were they received? “Japanese junk! Those producers can’t make anything; remember how we won the war?” A fair number of the key decision-makers for American firms whose products were the target of the new Japanese competition fell within this group of naysayers. Based on assumptions formed in their formative years of development, these executives dismissed the threat. But the rising Baby Boomers loved the new stuff from Japan. Toyota, Sony, and Nokia became beloved brands. These new customers from a different generational era didn’t harbor the bias of the past.
As Korean manufacturers followed the Japanese into global markets, there were criticisms of the first wave of goods pushing into the United States from this emerging economy. But when Hyundai began to challenge Japanese automakers and Samsung took on consumer electronics brand leaders, opinions began to change again. These new products were pretty darn good by comparison, and the price was right. A Korean firm like TSMC, founded in 1987, is now rightly regarded as the world’s top supplier of semiconductors.
And today? There’s a whole generation of business planners who write off Chinese companies as purveyors of low-cost and low-quality goods based on what was on offer in the 1990s. What are your assumptions about the country of origin of the goods and services with which you compete? Are they valid assumptions — or shaded by your past beliefs? Might be worth a reality check; one place to start would be investigating how and where that top-end high-quality $1,000 iPhone you use got made.
Business headlines of the past few decades have been dominated by stories about feisty little disrupters who challenged the industry giants and their conventional approaches, and won. In most cases, defeat was a function of poor judgment rather than a lack of resources.
The more you get to know your competitors, the better off you are when it comes to understanding their actions and anticipating their moves.
If you’re serious about the competition, you can’t do all this analysis as a one-off exercise, file it away, and be finished with it. The market never sleeps, and if you start ignoring the constant chatter out there, you’re setting yourself up for a bad surprise. You have to monitor your competitors in a systematic and ongoing manner. If you’re good at observing your competitors, you can choose the competitive battles that you have the resources to win. That way you won’t get ambushed and trapped in competitive situations where you’re bound to lose, or end up in zero-sum games (whoops — game theory speak; sorry).
To find out what really makes your competitors tick, take advantage of data from all sorts of places. (Refer to Chapter 5 for a list of resources.) Start your search using the power of the Internet. You can usually find facts and figures on the competition included in the following resources:
And let’s not forget the fee-based sources of data that are available. Throughout this book we implore you to do your own spade work when doing business planning. But we also admit that there are suppliers of comprehensive and up-to-the-minute information about your industry and the competition that inhabits that space. Sometimes these guns for hire can also serve up data that no other source could ever bring to the table. Be careful if the information you get from a paid source seems too proprietary — it could end up costing you far more than you paid. But most of these organizations can cut the time considerably in getting the dope on the competition out there. Here’s just one for your consideration: Fuld+Company (www.fuld.com
), a highly professional consulting firm that employs state-of-the-art investigatory methodologies and serves clients throughout the world.
How are other firms structured? Scan through the usual sources to find what you can — industry news media, company newsletters, the library. You might even try looking for so-called “case studies” of firms. These are short accounts of specific companies and how they handled some problem, typically used at collegiate business schools for training the future business leaders of the world. Most all cases are available in public files somewhere; there are thousands of them.
The last item in our list of competition data sources deserves a special note. Your employees are an invaluable source of data when it comes to the competition. As you look inside your company, start with your salespeople, who are smack-dab in the middle of the information stream. They talk with customers, deal with distributors, and occasionally run into competitors. They hear all the gossip, rumors, and news flashes that flow through your industry. Take advantage of their position at the crossroads of data flow and figure out how to capture what they know — and how to use it to your advantage.
You need a way to organize the facts and figures that you collect from your many sources so you can turn the pieces into useful competitive information. Filing cabinets and file folders used to do the trick nicely. Now, however, it probably makes more sense to set up a computer-based system to keep track of the data. As you set up the system, keep in mind that information about your competitors won’t fall in your lap in the next two days — instead, it trickles in over weeks, months, and years.
It was the famed Chinese military strategist and philosopher Sun Tzu who said, “Every battle is won before it is fought.” If you do your competitor analysis right as we outline it in this chapter, chances are you’ll be on the right side of the fray when the medals and ribbons are handed out.
18.216.144.165