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Book Description

Why do so many gamblers risk it all when they know the odds of winning are against them? Why do they believe dice are "hot" in a winning streak? Why do we expect heads on a coin toss after several flips have turned up tails? What's Luck Got to Do with It? takes a lively and eye-opening look at the mathematics, history, and psychology of gambling to reveal the most widely held misconceptions about luck. It exposes the hazards of feeling lucky, and uses the mathematics of predictable outcomes to show when our chances of winning are actually good.


Mathematician Joseph Mazur traces the history of gambling from the earliest known archaeological evidence of dice playing among Neolithic peoples to the first systematic mathematical studies of games of chance during the Renaissance, from government-administered lotteries to the glittering seductions of grand casinos, and on to the global economic crisis brought on by financiers' trillion-dollar bets. Using plenty of engaging anecdotes, Mazur explains the mathematics behind gambling--including the laws of probability, statistics, betting against expectations, and the law of large numbers--and describes the psychological and emotional factors that entice people to put their faith in winning that ever-elusive jackpot despite its mathematical improbability.


As entertaining as it is informative, What's Luck Got to Do with It? demonstrates the pervasive nature of our belief in luck and the deceptive psychology of winning and losing.

Some images inside the book are unavailable due to digital copyright restrictions.

Table of Contents

  1. Cover
  2. Title
  3. Copyright
  4. Dedication
  5. Contents
  6. Introduction
  7. Part I: The History
    1. Chapter 1. Pits, Pebbles, And Bones
    2. Chapter 2. The Professionals
    3. Chapter 3. From Coffeehouses To Casinos
    4. Chapter 4. There’s No Stopping It Now
    5. Chapter 5. Betting With TRILLIONS
  8. Part II: The Mathematics
    1. Chapter 6. Who’s Got A Royal Flush?
    2. Chapter 7. The Behavior Of A Coin
    3. Chapter 8. Someone Has To Win
    4. Chapter 9. A Truly Astonishing Result
    5. Chapter 10. The Skill/Luck Spectrum
  9. Part III: The Analysis
    1. Chapter 11. Let It Ride
    2. Chapter 12. Knowing When To Quit
    3. Chapter 13. The Theories
    4. Chapter 14. Hot Hands
    5. Chapter 15. Luck
  10. Acknowledgments
  11. Appendix A. Descriptions of the Games Used in This Book
  12. Appendix B. Glossary of Gambling Terms Used in This Book
  13. Appendix C. The Weak Law of Large Numbers
  14. Appendix D. Glossary of Mathematical Definitions
  15. Appendix E. Callouts
  16. Notes
  17. Further Reading
  18. Index
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