PART II The Design of Risk Models – Principles, Processes and Methodology
by Michael Rees
Business Risk and Simulation Modelling in Practice: Using Excel, VBA and @RISK
- Preface
- About the Author
- About the Website
- PART I An Introduction to Risk Assessment – Its Uses, Processes, Approaches, Benefits and Challenges
- CHAPTER 1 The Context and Uses of Risk Assessment
- CHAPTER 2 Key Stages of the General Risk Assessment Process
- CHAPTER 3 Approaches to Risk Assessment and Quantification
- CHAPTER 4 Full Integrated Risk Modelling: Decision-Support Benefits
- 4.1 Key Characteristics of Full Models
- 4.2 Overview of the Benefits of Full Risk Modelling
- 4.3 Creating More Accurate and Realistic Models
- 4.4 Using the Range of Possible Outcomes to Enhance Decision-Making
- 4.5 Supporting Transparent Assumptions and Reducing Biases
- 4.6 Facilitating Group Work and Communication
- CHAPTER 5 Organisational Challenges Relating to Risk Modelling
- PART II The Design of Risk Models – Principles, Processes and Methodology
- CHAPTER 6 Principles of Simulation Methods
- 6.1 Core Aspects of Simulation: A Descriptive Example
- 6.2 Simulation as a Risk Modelling Tool
- 6.3 Sensitivity and Scenario Analysis: Relationship to Simulation
- 6.4 Optimisation Analysis and Modelling: Relationship to Simulation
- 6.5 Analytic and Other Numerical Methods
- 6.6 The Applicability of Simulation Methods
- CHAPTER 7 Core Principles of Risk Model Design
- CHAPTER 8 Measuring Risk using Statistics of Distributions
- CHAPTER 9 The Selection of Distributions for Use in Risk Models
- CHAPTER 10 Creating Samples from Distributions
- CHAPTER 11 Modelling Dependencies between Sources of Risk
- CHAPTER 6 Principles of Simulation Methods
- PART III Getting Started with Simulation in Practice
- CHAPTER 12 Using Excel/VBA for Simulation Modelling
- 12.1 Description of Example Model and Uncertainty Ranges
- 12.2 Creating and Running a Simulation: Core Steps
- 12.3 Basic Results Analysis
- 12.4 Other Simple Features
- 12.5 Generalising the Core Capabilities
- 12.6 Optimising Model Structure and Layout
- 12.7 Bringing it All Together: Examples Using the Simulation Template
- 12.8 Further Possible uses of VBA
- CHAPTER 13 Using @RISK for Simulation Modelling
- 13.1 Description of Example Model and Uncertainty Ranges
- 13.2 Creating and Running a Simulation: Core Steps and Basic Icons
- 13.3 Simulation Control: An Introduction
- 13.4 Further Core Features
- 13.5 Working with Macros and the @RISK Macro Language
- 13.6 Additional In-Built Applications and Features: An Introduction
- 13.7 Benefits of @RISK over Excel/VBA Approaches: A Brief Summary
- CHAPTER 12 Using Excel/VBA for Simulation Modelling
- Index
- EULA
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