Index

A

Alexandria, Library at, 22
AMIGOS, 66, 68
Anderson, Chris, 46
axes of uncertainty, 82

B

Berners-Lee, Tim, 6–7, 44
Bernstein, Peter, 4
BLCMP, 65
Borges, Jorge Luis, 13
business model, 46, 49, 70–4, 89, 99–100, 145
business model definition, 70, 99

C

cataloguing, 65–6, 108
CAVAL Collaborative Solutions, xiii, 57, 65, 67, 170–3
CD, 8–9, 37, 63
chance, 91, 132, 137–42
change, 13, 19–20, 25–8, 33–4, 101–4
Charleston Report, 97
Chesterton, G.K., 79
China, 18, 29, 30, 60
choices, 23, 77, 78, 82–5
Christensen, Clayton M., 35
Clarke, Arthur C., 13
collection development, 39
consortium, 56–7, 65, 67–9, 89, 116, 125
Business Models, 74
copyright, 72
creativity, 10, 19, 69, 90, 97, 105, 111

D

denial, state of, 103
digital delivery, 37, 38, 40, 81
disruptive technology, 21, 35–9, 53, 70, 74, 81, 107–8
DVD, 8

E

e-book, 15, 50, 145, 180
Edison, Thomas, 105, 106
Einstein, Albert, 99
e-journal, 7, 13, 50
extinction timeline, 92

F

failure, 26, 32, 96, 138, 141
focus groups, 118, 128
Fritz, Robert, 77
future, 91–9, 151–4
and past, 61–3
and science fiction, 62
and uncertainty, 137–9
attitudes toward future, 25–6
construction, 114–22
impact on libraries, 12–15, 37, 47–8
in a rear vision mirror, 23
not linear, 3, 9–11
of work, 52–3
on collection, 34, 39–40

G

Gardner, Howard, 97, 198
Gates, Bill, 35, 40
Generation Y, 177, 182
geologists, 33
Google, 43, 46, 48, 108, 143, 145, 146, 178
Google Book, 108
Google Scholar, 108
group thinking, 95, 105, 140, 147–8
Gutenberg press, 9

H

Haycock, Ken, 152
Heinlein, Robert, 13
Hong Kong Polytechnic University, 127

I

IBM, 35–6, 52, 141
ICANN, 15
ICOLC, 67, 68
ILS, 41, 42, 45, 144, 146
imagination, 10–12, 16, 90, 99, 100, 115, 120, 123, 124, 130, 133, 154
iPod, 9

K

Keller, David H., 13
Kennedy, Edward M., 25
King, Martin Luther, 20
Kitemark, 150
Kodak, 36, 39
Kotter, J.P., 195, 200, 206
Kübler-Ross, Elisabeth, 194

L

Learning Village, 128, 164
legacy collections, 10, 16, 66, 85
Librarians in future role, 150–3
libraries, 28, 31, 33–40, 152–3, 157–8
and data, 142–5
and future, 10–14
and open access, 44–5
and publishers, 48, 106
and scenarios, 7–10
and trust, 149–51
library models, 54–6, 64
Linux, 42
LYRASIS, 57, 68, 69

M

Mant, Alistair, 98–111
MARC, 23, 54, 108, 145–6
Maris, Roger, 138
McLuhan, Marshall, 13–14, 23
Meyrowitz, Joshua, 17
Mlodinow, Leonard, 137
mobile phones, 9, 21, 36, 107
‘Monty Hall’ Problem, 139
MS-DOS, 36, 40
Multiple Intelligences, 97

N

NELINET, 57, 66, 68
networked libraries, 55
Nevins, Kate, 69
newspaper – China, 18

O

O’Hara, Kieron, 150
Obama, Barack, 13, 21, 58
OCLC, 36, 42, 57, 65, 66, 68
OHIOLINK, 57
OPAC, 145, 184–5
open access, 7, 20, 46, 47, 106
open source, 29, 40, 46
outsourcing, 85, 86

P

PALINET, 57, 66, 68
PALM, 36
paradox, 79, 89, 90, 150
PC, 21, 35, 40, 52, 81
Personal Digital Assistant, 21
Preferred Scenario, 101, 114, 116, 125–6, 127–34, 151
and chance, 137–8
print, 8–14, 46
and digital, 50–1
repository, 67
probability, 139–42
publishers, 46–7, 71–3, 99–100, 106, 145, 150, 152
publishing, 14–15, 18, 99, 106, 117
and China, 19
Business Models, 46–8, 71–5
pull technology, 45
push technology, 45

R

rear vision mirror, 61–5
return on investment, 152, 175, 180–1
risk, 92, 93, 110–11, 114, 121, 126, 141, 142, 148–51
risk management, 142
roadshow, 125, 128
Rowling, J.K., 34
Royal Dutch Shell, 27
Ruth, Babe, 138

S

Savant, Marilyn vos, 139
Scenario Construction Workshop, 117–20
scenario planning, 10, 16–17, 31, 96, 101–3, 129–30, 195
and change, 202–3
and research, 109–10
and SOLINET, 67–8
construction, 114–26
organisational aspects, 189–94
worst case, 149
scenarios, 16–22, 27–8, 34, 67–8, 77, 86–9, 90–3, 109, 113–14, 118, 121, 123–6, 127, 129, 153
as a discipline, 26–8
construction, 82–3
mid-term review, 132–3
value, 5–6
what are they?, 1–2
Schwartz, Peter, 16, 22–3, 110
Semantic Web, 43, 44, 45, 86
Smith, Ian, 200
SOLINET, 57, 66–8, 173, 184
staff, 7, 44, 96, 109, 127, 130, 134–5
change, 28–9, 101–5
collaboration, 78–80
group thinking, 148
hierarchical, 75
role in scenario construction, 114–23
work, 53
stories, 1–3, 16, 83, 87, 90, 115, 120–1
Strategic Planning, 28, 127–9
and scenario planning, 1–3, 115

T

Toffler, Alvin, 113
traditional publishers, 46
transformation, 104
trust, 98, 149, 150

U

uncertainty, 10, 16, 26, 77, 82, 88, 90, 139, 141, 142, 149
University of Hong Kong Libraries, 203
Uyghur, 8

W

Wal-Mart, 142
Watson, Thomas, J., 141
Web, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0 43, 45, 86
Wei Jt (crisis), 10, 25, 73
Wells, H.G., 12
WIRED, 46
work, 38, 44, 78, 103
future of, 52–4
workforce, 22–3

X

Xinjiang, 18
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