Stationarity

A common assumption for a few of the time series models is that data has to be stationary. Let's look at what stationarity means regarding time series.

A stationary process is one for which the mean, variance, and autocorrelation structure doesn't change over time. What this means is that the data doesn't have a trend (increasing or decreasing).

We can describe this by using the following formulas:

E(xt)= μ, for all t

E(xt2)= σ2, for all t

cov(xt,xk)= cov(xt+s, xk+s), for all t, k, and s

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