Statistical Appendix:
Supplem entary Statistical Tables, Notes and Basic Data

Appendix to Chapter 3

Table A3.1 Social development indicators

tablea3_1
tablea3_1

Table A3.2 Growth rate of real GDP and inflation in Papua New Guinea, 1970–95 1990=100

tablea3_2

Table A3.3 Government revenues and expenditures, 1971–2000 (current prices, kina million)

tablea3_3

Table A3.4 Minerals and agricultural exports of PNG, 1971–2000 (current prices, US dollar million)

Year Mining exports Agricultural exports Non–mining exports Total exports*
1971 0.62 53.24 67.50 89.67
1972 19.40 43.09 58.72 106.85
1973 88.62 37.66 51.73 160.72
1974 216.32 68.66 100.53 333.75
1975 182.48 99.71 123.50 321.86
1976 159.11 82.32 101.91 287.32
1977 147.26 227.52 267.89 438.37
1978 164.65 148.18 189.36 400.16
1979 254.96 196.32 243.39 538.75
1980 216.01 154.30 214.00 471.81
1981 201.40 110.62 164.89 379.49
1982 224.29 121.58 180.12 422.84
1983 309.67 192.15 245.10 570.54
1984 290.85 338.73 420.35 731.58
1985 489.90 330.20 409.60 926.20
1986 544.36 321.94 402.07 970.78
1987 650.56 244.70 355.63 1022.11
1988 749.51 222.02 313.37 1092.72
1989 601.73 240.39 333.22 989.32
1990 727.20 196.42 280.70 1077.50
1991 955.04 194.37 289.94 1320.98
1992 1330.36 369.57 475.79 1806.72
1993 1732.44 674.24 744.02 2476.46
1994 1693.85 836.00 854.05 2547.90
1995 1837.51 379.06 348.58 2565.15
1996 1695.35 437.02 370.63 2502.99
1997 1281.90 541.79 309.65 2132.64
1998 1190.74 495.41 104.60 1790.75
1999 1382.11 456.91 116.21 1955.23
2000 1628.39 346.18 120.09 2098.66

Notes: *Some total export entries are not equal to the sum of mining exports and non–mining exports because of omission of other minor export items and re–exports.

Source: Constructed from Bank of Papua New Guinea, Quarterly Economic Bulletin (various issues), AusAID (1996).

Table A3.5 Minerals and agricultural exports of PNG, 1971–2000 (current prices, kina million)

tablea3_5

Table A3.6 Total labour force and wage employment in PNG, 1968–95 (persons)

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Table A3.7 Foreign aid to PNG, 1970–94 (current prices, US dollar million)

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tablea3_7

Appendix to Chapter 4

Table A4.1 Nominal and real exchange rate indices, 1970–94 (1990=100)

tablea4_1

Table A4.2 Test for unit roots

Variables Data series DF/ADF Statistics Ho: I(1) versus Ha: I(0)
Real income (real GDP) Y −2.25(1)
Trade-weighted real exchange rate RER1 −4.25(0)*
Real exchange rate defined as EPI/CPI RER2 −3.31(0)*
Real exchange rate defined as IPI/CPI RER3 −2.27(0)
Nominal effective exchange rate NEER −1.37(0)
External terms of trade TOT −3.41(0)*
Openness of trade regime OP −1.65(0)
Money supply MS −2.09(0)
Government expenditure to GDP GEX 1.00(0)
Gross investment to GDP GIY −4.45(0)*
Lag net long-term capital inflow NKI −2.64(0)
Foreign aid flow AID −14.49(0)*
Nominal devaluation NDEV −96.36(0)*

Note: The critical value of null hypothesis of nonstationarity at the 10-per-cent level is−3.13 with total number of observation n = 23.

The null hypothesis of rejecting there is no serial correlation lies outside 1.54<d<2.46.

The null hypothesis of rejecting there is no 1st order autocorrelation lies outside −1.96<h<1.96.

*indicates the rejection of null hypothesis. Figures in parentheses indicate the number of lags on the differenced variable used in the auxiliary regression to achieve residual whiteness.

Appendix to Chapter 5

Table A5.1 Test for unit roots

Variables Data series DF/ADF Statistics Ho: I(1) versus Ha: I(0)
Per capita GDP PCY −1.62(1)
Financial Institutional development FD −83.62(0)*
Non-mining GDP NMY −1.69(1)
Domestic absorption DA −3.16(0)*
Government consumption GC −1.97(1)
Gross investment to GDP GIY −4.45(0)*
Net official transfers OT −3.14(0)*
Consumer price index CPI −1.25(1)
GDP deflator DEF −1.72(1)
Nontradable price index PNT −2.50(0)
Agricultural value added AVA −2.77(0)
Manufacturing value added MVA −2.54(0)
Nontradable sector NT −3.89(0)*
Construction sector CONS −3.20(0)*
Gross domestic savings RDS −1.85(0)
Private savings PS −2.52(0)
Foreign savings FS −4.12(0)*
Real interest rate RIR −2.06(0)
Expected rate of inflation INF −3.73(0)*

Note: The critical value of null hypothesis of nonstationarity at the 10-per-cent level is −3.13 with total number of observation n = 23.

The null hypothesis of rejecting there is no serial correlation lies outside 1.54<d<2.46.

The null hypothesis of rejecting there is no 1st order autocorrelation lies outside −1.96<h<1.96.

*indicates the rejection of null hypothesis. Figures in parentheses indicate the number of lags on the differenced variable used in the auxiliary regression to achieve residual whiteness.

Appendix to Chapter 6

Table A6.1 Central government revenues and expenditures, 1971–77 (kina million)

tablea6_1

Appendix to Chapter 7

Table A7.1 Index of government consumption and domestic absorption in PNG, Indonesia and Nigeria, 1970–84 (1970=100)

tablea7_1
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