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by Carol Alexander
Market Risk Analysis Volume IV: Value-at-Risk Models
Cover Page
Title Page
Copyright
Dedication
Contents
List of Figures
List of Tables
List of Examples
Foreword
Preface to Volume IV
SUMMARY OF THE 2008 BANKING CRISIS
CAUSES AND EFFECTS OF THE CRISIS
WHAT COULD (OR SHOULD) HAPPEN NOW?
ABOUT THE MARKET RISK ANALYSIS SERIES
OUTLINE OF VOLUME IV
ABOUT THE CD-ROM
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
IV.1: Value at Risk and Other Risk Metrics
IV.1.1 INTRODUCTION
IV.1.2 AN OVERVIEW OF MARKET RISK ASSESSMENT
IV.1.3 DOWNSIDE AND QUANTILE RISK METRICS
IV.1.4 DEFINING VALUE AT RISK
IV.1.5 FOUNDATIONS OF VALUE-AT-RISK MEASUREMENT
IV.1.6 RISK FACTOR VALUE AT RISK
IV.1.7 DECOMPOSITION OF VALUE AT RISK
IV.1.8 RISK METRICS ASSOCIATED WITH VALUE AT RISK
IV.1.9 INTRODUCTION TO VALUE-AT-RISK MODELS
IV.1.10 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
IV.2: Parametric Linear VaR Models
IV.2.1 INTRODUCTION
IV.2.2 FOUNDATIONS OF NORMAL LINEAR VALUE AT RISK
IV.2.3 NORMAL LINEAR VALUE AT RISK FOR CASH-FLOW MAPS
IV.2.4 CASE STUDY: PC VALUE AT RISK OF A UK FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO
IV.2.5 NORMAL LINEAR VALUE AT RISK FOR STOCK PORTFOLIOS
IV.2.6 SYSTEMATIC VALUE-AT-RISK DECOMPOSITION FOR STOCK PORTFOLIOS
IV.2.7 CASE STUDY: NORMAL LINEAR VALUE AT RISK FOR COMMODITY FUTURES
IV.2.8 STUDENT t DISTRIBUTED LINEAR VALUE AT RISK
IV.2.9 LINEAR VALUE AT RISK WITH MIXTURE DISTRIBUTIONS
IV.2.10 EXPONENTIAL WEIGHTING WITH PARAMETRIC LINEAR VALUE AT RISK
IV.2.11 EXPECTED TAIL LOSS (CONDITIONAL VAR)
IV.2.12 CASE STUDY: CREDIT SPREAD PARAMETRIC LINEAR VALUE AT RISK AND ETL
IV.2.13 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
IV.3: Historical Simulation
IV.3.1 INTRODUCTION
IV.3.2 PROPERTIES OF HISTORICAL VALUE AT RISK
IV.3.3 IMPROVING THE ACCURACY OF HISTORICAL VALUE AT RISK
IV.3.4 PRECISION OF HISTORICAL VALUE AT RISK AT EXTREME QUANTILES
IV.3.5 HISTORICAL VALUE AT RISK FOR LINEAR PORTFOLIOS
IV.3.6 ESTIMATING EXPECTED TAIL LOSS IN THE HISTORICAL VALUE-AT-RISK MODEL
IV.3.7 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
IV.4: Monte Carlo VaR
IV.4.1 INTRODUCTION
IV.4.2 BASIC CONCEPTS
IV.4.3 MODELLING DYNAMIC PROPERTIES IN RISK FACTOR RETURNS
IV.4.4 MODELLING RISK FACTOR DEPENDENCE
IV.4.5 MONTE CARLO VALUE AT RISK FOR LINEAR PORTFOLIOS
IV.4.6 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
IV.5: Value at Risk for Option Portfolios
IV.5.1 INTRODUCTION
IV.5.2 RISK CHARACTERISTICS OF OPTION PORTFOLIOS
IV.5.3 ANALYTIC VALUE-AT-RISK APPROXIMATIONS
IV.5.4 HISTORICAL VALUE AT RISK FOR OPTION PORTFOLIOS
IV.5.5 MONTE CARLO VALUE AT RISK FOR OPTION PORTFOLIOS
IV.5.6 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
IV.6: Risk Model Risk
IV.6.1 INTRODUCTION
IV.6.2 SOURCES OF RISK MODEL RISK
IV.6.3 ESTIMATION RISK
IV.6.4 MODEL VALIDATION
IV.6.5 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
IV.7: Scenario Analysis and Stress Testing
IV.7.1 INTRODUCTION
IV.7.2 SCENARIOS ON FINANCIAL RISK FACTORS
IV.7.3 SCENARIO VALUE AT RISK AND EXPECTED TAIL LOSS
IV.7.4 INTRODUCTION TO STRESS TESTING
IV.7.5 A COHERENT FRAMEWORK FOR STRESS TESTING
IV.7.6 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
IV.8: Capital Allocation
IV.8.1 INTRODUCTION
IV.8.2 MINIMUM MARKET RISK CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS FOR BANKS
IV.8.3 ECONOMIC CAPITAL ALLOCATION
IV.8.4 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
References
Index
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