Index

Symbols and Numerics

  • * (asterisk), 144
  • σ (standard deviation of an entire population), 76, 313–314
  • 25th percentile (first quartile/Q1), 88
  • 75th percentile (third quartile/Q3), 88

A

  • ACT scores, examining, 86–88
  • addition rule
    • about, 180–182
    • simplifying with mutually inclusive events, 185
  • age trend project example, for pie charts, 103–108
  • alternative hypothesis, 42, 343
  • analyzing
    • data from experiments, 425–427
    • results from surveys, 405
  • anecdotes, 21
  • anonymity, for surveys, 403
  • asterisk (*), 144
  • average. See mean
  • avoiding probability misconceptions, 189–190
  • axes, in histograms, 128–129

B

  • bar graphs
    • about, 108
    • evaluating, 112
    • lotto example, 110
    • pet peeves example, 111–116
    • scales on, 110–111
    • transportation expenses example, 108–110
  • behavior, studying using t-tables, 258
  • bell curve, 38
  • best-fitting line. See regression line
  • bias
    • avoiding in experiments, 422
    • defined, 32
  • binomial distribution
    • about, 199
    • checking, 204
    • finding
      • binomial probabilities using formulas, 207–210
      • probabilities using binomial tables, 210–212
    • identifying binomials, 203–206
    • independence of trials, 205
    • mean of binomials, 212–213
    • number of trials, 204
    • practice questions answers and explanations, 214–215
    • probability of success (p) changes, 205–206
    • quiz, 216–217
    • standard deviation of binomials, 212–213
    • success vs. failure, 205
  • binomial table
    • finding binomial probabilities using, 210–212
    • illustrated, 507–512
  • binomials
    • checking conditions, 204
    • identifying, 203–206
    • mean of, 212–213
    • normal approximation to, 236–238
    • standard deviation of, 212–213
  • blind experiment, 30, 425
  • borderline values, in histograms, 128
  • boundaries, setting for rejecting H0, 350
  • boxplots
    • about, 143
    • creating, 143–145
    • examples of, 146–151
    • interpreting, 146–151
  • British Medical Journal, 20

C

  • calculating
    • center, 65–74
    • chance of wrong decisions, 352–355
    • conditional distributions, 478–479
    • confidence intervals for population means, 315–318
    • correlation, 440–441
    • joint distributions, 476–477
    • margin of error
      • for sample means, 293–294
      • for sample proportions, 291–292
    • marginal distributions, 473
    • mean, 66–68
    • median, 68–70
    • percentiles
      • about, 83–84
      • for normal distribution, 232–233
      • for t-distribution, 256–257
    • p-values, 347–349
    • relative standing with percentiles, 83–89
    • sample variability, 289–291
    • standard deviation, 75–76
    • standard error, 266–269
    • test statistic, 345
    • totals for two-way tables, 469–471
    • variability
      • with IQR, 147–148
      • using standard errors, 344–345
  • categorical data
    • about, 34, 49, 99–100
    • bar graphs, 108–116
    • descriptive statistics, 49–50
    • example questions, 51, 52, 56, 104–105, 113
    • frequency, 50–52
    • graphing, 99–124
    • interpreting counts, 55–56
    • percents, 50–56
    • pie charts, 100–108
    • practice questions answers and explanations, 57–59, 117–122
    • quiz, 60–63, 123–124
    • tables, 50–56
    • two-way tables, 54–55
  • cause-and-effect relationship
    • about, 21, 435
    • checking for, 489–490
    • compared with correlation, 458–459
    • in observational studies, 415
    • questioning claims of, 44–45
  • cells, setting up in two-way tables, 469
  • center
    • finding using median, 148
    • measuring, 65–74
  • Central Limit Theorem (CLT). See also sampling distributions
    • about, 38–39, 263
    • sampling distribution and, 269–272
  • Cheat Sheet (website), 3
  • checking
    • binomial conditions, 204
    • for cause and effect, 489–490
    • conditions, 446, 453
    • independence, 483–486
    • independence for events, 182–183
    • match, 16
    • shape of boxplots, 146–147
    • sources, 20–21
  • Chi-square test, 480
  • claims
    • about, 341–342
    • assessing chance of wrong decisions, 352–355
    • compiling evidence, 344–345
    • decision-making, 346–349
    • example questions, 348, 351, 354
    • gathering good evidence, 343–344
    • making conclusions, 349–352
    • practice questions answers and explanations, 356–358
    • p-values, 346–349
    • quiz, 359–360
    • setting up hypotheses, 342–343
    • test statistic, 344–345
    • weighing evidence, 346–349
  • clarifying survey purpose, 396
  • clinical trials, 423
  • collecting
    • data
      • about, 343–344
      • from experiments, 424–425
      • for surveys, 402
    • quality data, 30–32
    • sample statistics, 344
  • comparing
    • designing experiments for making comparisons, 417–419
    • household incomes, 85–86
    • independence and exclusivity, 186
    • marginal and conditional distributions, 485–486
    • means and medians, 70–74
    • results of two conditional distributions, 484–485
    • two (independent) population averages, 371–374
    • two population proportions, 378–381
  • compiling evidence, 344–345
  • complements
    • about, 173
    • complement rule, 178–179
    • probabilities, 176
  • conclusions
    • drawing
      • about, 44–45, 349–352
      • appropriate, 428–429
      • from surveys, 405–406
      • using critical value, 366–368
    • jumping to, 491
  • conditional distributions
    • about, 478
    • calculating, 478–479
    • comparing
      • with marginal distributions, 485–486
      • results of two, 484–485
    • graphing, 479–483
  • conditional probabilities, 176–177
  • conditions, checking, 446, 453
  • confidence intervals
    • about, 38, 40–41, 305, 426
    • calculating for population means, 315–318
    • creating
      • for difference of two means, 322–325
      • for one population proportion, 319–321
      • sample size needed, 318–319
    • defined, 307
    • for the difference of two population means (μ1 - μ2), 322–325
    • for the difference of two population proportions (p1 - p2), 326–329
    • estimates and, 306
    • estimating difference of two proportions, 326–329
    • example questions, 309, 314, 317, 321, 324–325, 327–328
    • finding misleading, 329
    • interpreting results, 308–309
    • linking statistics to parameters, 306–307
    • for the population proportion (p), 319–321
    • population variability and, 313–314
    • practice questions answers and explanations, 330–336
    • quiz, 337–340
    • sample size and, 312–313
    • selecting, 310–311
    • selecting values for, 257–258
    • terminology for, 307–308
    • width of, 310
  • confidentiality, for surveys, 403
  • confounding variables (confounders), controlling for, 422–423
  • connecting
    • statistics to parameters, 306–307
    • test statistics and p-values, 346–347
  • continuous data, 33
  • continuous random variables, 200–201
  • control group, 29–30, 418
  • correlation analysis
    • about, 43–44, 426, 435
    • calculating, 440–441
    • compared with cause and effect, 458–459
    • defined, 486
    • example questions, 438, 443, 448, 451, 455
    • interpreting, 441–443
    • practice questions answers and explanations, 460–464
    • properties of, 443–445
    • quantifying linear relationships using, 440–445
    • quiz, 465–466
    • scatterplots, 436–439
  • correlation coefficient, 440
  • countably infinite sample spaces, 170, 200–201
  • counts, interpreting, 55–56
  • cover letter, 397–398
  • creating
    • boxplots, 143–145
    • conclusions, 349–352
    • confidence intervals for difference of two means, 322–325
    • histograms, 126–130
    • informed decisions, 429–430
    • predictions, 453–456, 491
    • questions for surveys, 398–399
    • scatterplots, 436–437
  • crime statistics, 17–18
  • criteria, for good experiments, 417
  • critical value (z*-value)
    • defined, 311
    • drawing conclusions using, 366–368

D

  • data
    • about, 33–34
    • analyzing from experiments, 425–427
    • categorical
      • about, 34, 49, 99–100
      • bar graphs, 108–116
      • descriptive statistics, 49–50
      • example questions, 51, 52, 56, 104–105, 113
      • frequency, 50–52
      • graphing, 99–124
      • interpreting counts, 55–56
      • percents, 50–56
      • pie charts, 100–108
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 57–59, 117–122
      • quiz, 60–63, 123–124
      • tables, 50–56
      • two-way tables, 54–55
    • collecting
      • about, 30–32
      • from experiments, 424–425
      • for surveys, 402
    • compiling, 344–345
    • continuous, 33
    • defined, 2
    • discrete, 33
    • gathering, 343–344
    • numerical
      • about, 33–34, 65, 99, 125
      • examining boxplots, 143–151
      • example questions, 128–129, 133–134, 138, 142, 145, 150–151, 155–156
      • graphing, 125–166
      • handling histograms, 126–143
      • handling time charts, 152–158
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 159–164
      • quiz, 165–166
    • quality of, 30–32
    • reliability of, 424
    • shape of, 130–132
    • simplifying excess, 153–158
    • time series, 152
    • unbiased, 425
    • validity of, 424–425
  • data set, 34
  • debates, statistics in, 17–18
  • decision-making
    • about, 346–349
    • assessing chance of wrong decisions, 352–355
    • making informed decisions, 429–430
  • defining
    • null hypothesis, 342
    • p-values, 347
    • sample size, 420
    • sampling distributions, 264–265
    • target population for surveys, 396–397
  • degrees of freedom (df), 252
  • dependent relationships, 486–488
  • dependent variables, 446
  • descriptive statistics, 49–50
  • designing
    • experiments, 29–30, 417–427
    • polls, 28–29
    • studies, 28–30
    • surveys, 28–29, 396–399
  • determining
    • binomial probabilities
      • using binomial table, 210–212
      • using formulas, 207–210
    • center using median, 148
    • confidence intervals for one population proportion, 319–321
    • impact of sample size, 296–299
    • margin of error, 289–296
    • misleading confidence intervals, 329
    • misleading histograms, 139–143
    • misleading time charts, 153–158
    • probabilities
      • for normal distributions, 227–230
      • for sample mean, 273–274
      • for sample proportion, 278–279
      • for specific values of X, 210–211
      • with t-tables, 253–255
      • for X greater-than, less-than, or between two values, 211–212
      • for Z with Z-table, 225–226
    • sample size needed, 318–319
    • slope of a line, 447
    • variables with marginal distributions, 472–476
    • volunteers for experiments, 421
    • which variable is X and which is Y, 445–446
    • X when you know the percent, 232–235
    • y-intercept, 447–449
  • discrete data, 33
  • discrete random variables
    • about, 200–201
    • mean of, 202–203
    • variance of, 202–203
  • distributions
    • about, 38
    • binomial
      • about, 199
      • checking, 204
      • finding binomial probabilities using formulas, 207–210
      • finding probabilities using binomial tables, 210–212
      • identifying binomials, 203–206
      • independence of trials, 205
      • mean of binomials, 212–213
      • number of trials, 204
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 214–215
      • probability of success (p) changes, 205–206
      • quiz, 216–217
      • standard deviation of binomials, 212–213
      • success vs. failure, 205
    • conditional, 478–486
    • defined, 264
    • joint, 476–478
    • marginal, 472–476, 485–486
    • normal
      • about, 37, 38, 219
      • basics of, 219–222
      • calculating percentile for, 232–233
      • example questions, 222, 225, 229, 231, 234, 237
      • finding probabilities for, 227–230
      • finding X when you know the percent, 232–235
      • normal approximation to the binomial, 236–238
      • percentiles, 230–231
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 239–247
      • quiz, 248–250
      • standard normal (Z-) distribution, 223–226
    • sampling
      • about, 263, 269
      • defining, 264–265
      • example questions, 272, 274, 277, 279
      • finding probabilities for sample mean, 273–274
      • finding probabilities for sample proportion, 278–279
      • mean of, 265–266
      • measuring standard error, 266–269
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 280–282
      • quiz, 283–284
      • of sample proportion, 275–277
      • shape of, 269–272
  • double-blind experiment, 30, 425
  • drawing conclusions
    • about, 44–45
    • from surveys, 405–406
    • using critical value, 366–368

E

  • Empirical Rule (68-95-99.7)
    • about, 79–83
    • using, 138–139
  • empty sets, 172
  • error, 266
  • error of omission, 16
  • estimating
    • about, 306
    • difference of two proportions, 326–329
  • Ethical Review Board (ERB), 424
  • ethics
    • respecting in experiments, 423–424
    • for surveys, 397–398
  • evaluating
    • bar graphs, 112
    • pie charts, 104
    • time charts, 156
    • using conditional probabilities, 177
  • events
    • checking independence for, 182–183
    • independence in multiple, 182–184
    • multiplication rule for independent, 183–184
    • mutually inclusive, 184–185
    • probabilities of, 173–177
    • as subsets of sample spaces, 171–172
  • evidence
    • compiling, 344–345
    • gathering, 343–344
    • weighing, 346–349
  • examining ACT scores, 86–88
  • Example icon, 3
  • example questions
  • exclusivity, compared with independence, 186
  • experiments. See also observational studies
    • about, 413–414, 415–417
    • analyzing data from, 425–427
    • avoiding bias in, 422
    • collecting data from, 424–425
    • controlling confounding variables, 422–423
    • criteria for good, 417
    • designing, 29–30, 417–427
    • example questions, 416, 426, 430
    • finding volunteers for, 421
    • interpreting results of, 428–430
    • in observational studies, 414
    • practice questions answers and explanations, 431–432
    • quiz, 433–434
    • random assignments for, 421–422
    • respecting ethical issues in, 423–424
    • selecting
      • sample size for, 419–420
      • subjects for, 421

F

  • factor, in observational studies, 414
  • fake data, 22
  • fake treatments, 418–419
  • Federal Drug Administration (FDA), 424
  • finding
    • binomial probabilities
      • using binomial table, 210–212
      • using formulas, 207–210
    • center using median, 148
    • confidence intervals for one population proportion, 319–321
    • impact of sample size, 296–299
    • margin of error, 289–296
    • misleading confidence intervals, 329
    • misleading histograms, 139–143
    • misleading time charts, 153–158
    • probabilities
      • for normal distributions, 227–230
      • for sample mean, 273–274
      • for sample proportion, 278–279
      • for specific values of X, 210–211
      • with t-tables, 253–255
      • for X greater-than, less-than, or between two values, 211–212
      • for Z with Z-table, 225–226
    • sample size needed, 318–319
    • slope of a line, 447
    • variables with marginal distributions, 472–476
    • volunteers for experiments, 421
    • which variable is X and which is Y, 445–446
    • X when you know the percent, 232–235
    • y-intercept, 447–449
  • finite sample spaces, 170
  • first quartile. See 25th percentile (first quartile/Q1)
  • five-number summary, 88–89
  • following up, after surveys, 403–405
  • formulas
    • finding binomial probabilities using, 207–210
    • solving
      • conditional probabilities with, 176–177
      • conditional probabilities without, 176
  • frequency, 50–52

G

  • gathering
    • data
      • about, 343–344
      • from experiments, 424–425
      • for surveys, 402
    • quality data, 30–32
    • sample statistics, 344
  • generalizing results, 429
  • generating
    • boxplots, 143–145
    • conclusions, 349–352
    • confidence intervals for difference of two means, 322–325
    • histograms, 126–130
    • informed decisions, 429–430
    • predictions, 453–456, 491
    • questions for surveys, 398–399
    • scatterplots, 436–437
  • graphing
    • categorical data, 99–124
    • conditional distributions, 479–483
    • joint distributions, 477–478
    • marginal distributions, 473–476
    • numerical data, 125–166
  • greater-than probabilities
    • about, 253–254
    • finding for X, 211–212
  • groups, quantity of, 139–141

H

  • H0, setting boundaries for rejecting, 350
  • handling
    • for confounding variables, 422–423
    • histograms, 126–143
    • negative t-values, 365
    • small samples, 363–368
    • unknown standard deviations, 363–368
  • histograms
    • about, 70–74, 126
    • creating, 126–130
    • detecting misleading, 139–143
    • examples of, 126–130
    • interpreting, 130–136
    • time charts compared with, 153
    • using, 137–139
  • household incomes, comparing, 85–86
  • hypotheses, setting up, 342–343
  • hypothesis tests
    • about, 38, 41, 361, 426
    • comparing
      • two (independent) population averages, 371–374
      • two population proportions, 378–381
    • paired t-test, 375–378
    • practice questions answers and explanations, 382–386
    • quiz, 387–388
    • testing
      • for average difference, 375–378
      • one population mean, 362–363
      • one population proportion, 368–370
    • t-test, 363–368

I

  • icons, explained, 3
  • identifying binomials, 203–206
  • in-bounds, staying, 454–456
  • including mutually exclusive events, 184–185
  • independence. See also two-way tables
    • about, 467
    • checking
      • about, 483–486
      • for events, 182–183
    • compared with exclusivity, 186
    • example, 187–188
    • example questions, 470, 475, 481–482, 487
    • in multiple events, 182–184
    • multiplication rule for independent events, 183–184
    • practice questions answers and explanations, 492–497
    • quiz, 498–502
    • of trials, 205
  • Independent Ethics Committee (IEC), 424
  • independent variables, 446
  • inequalities, 171
  • inflection point, 38
  • informed decisions, making, 429–430
  • Institutional Review Board (IRB), 424
  • interpreting
    • boxplots, 146–151
    • correlation, 441–443
    • counts, 55–56
    • experiment results, 428–430
    • histograms, 130–136
    • percentiles, 85–88
    • percents, 55–56
    • regression lines, 449–451
    • results
      • about, 308–309, 489–491
      • from surveys, 405–407
    • scatterplots, 437–439
    • slope of lines, 449–450
    • standard deviation, 76
    • test statistic, 345
    • time charts, 152
    • two-way tables, 472–483
    • y-intercept, 450–451
  • interquartile range (IQR)
    • about, 78, 89
    • measuring variability using, 133–134, 147–148
  • intersection (joint) probabilities, 175
  • intersections
    • about, 173
    • multiplication rule for, 179–180
  • interval, 307

J

  • joint distributions
    • about, 476
    • calculating, 476–477
    • graphing, 477–478
  • joint (intersection) probabilities, 175
  • Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA), 20

L

    • The Lancet, 20
    • leading questions, 398
    • least-squares method, simple linear regression analysis using, 446
    • less-than, finding probabilities for X, 211–212
    • level, in observational studies, 414
    • line graph. See time charts
    • linear regression
      • about, 445
      • calculating regression line, 446–449
      • checking conditions, 446
      • determining which variable is X and which is Y, 445–446
      • example regression line, 451–452
      • interpreting regression line, 449–451
      • using least-squares method, 446
    • linear relationships
      • about, 437
      • quantifying using correlation, 440–445
    • lines
    • lottery statistics, 18–20
    • lotto example
      • for bar graphs, 110
      • for pie charts, 101–102

    M

    • margin of error (MOE)
      • about, 39–40, 287
      • calculating
        • for sample means, 293–294
        • for sample proportions, 291–292
      • confidence level and, 294–296
      • defined, 307
      • determining impact of sample size, 296–299
      • example questions, 290, 295, 298
      • finding, 289–296
      • measuring sample variability, 289–291
      • plus or minus, 287–288
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 300–302
      • quiz, 303–304
      • reporting results, 293
    • marginal column totals, 469
    • marginal distributions
      • calculating, 473
      • comparing with conditional distributions, 485–486
      • finding variables with, 472–476
      • graphing, 473–476
    • marginal probabilities, 175
    • marginal row totals, 469
    • marginal totals, 469
    • match, checking, 16
    • matched-pairs design, 423
    • maximum, 88
    • mean
      • about, 36, 65
      • of binomials, 212–213
      • compared with median, 70–74, 132–133
      • creating confidence intervals for difference of two, 322–325
      • of discrete random variables, 202–203
      • Empirical Rule (68-95-99.7), 79–83
      • example questions, 67–68, 69–70, 72–74, 78–79, 81–82, 84, 88–89
      • finding probabilities for sample, 273–274
      • measuring
        • about, 66–68
        • relative standing with percentiles, 83–89
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 90–96
      • quiz, 97–98
      • of sampling distributions, 265–266
      • variation and, 74–79
    • measuring
      • center, 65–74
      • chance of wrong decisions, 352–355
      • conditional distributions, 478–479
      • confidence intervals for population means, 315–318
      • correlation, 440–441
      • joint distributions, 476–477
      • margin of error
        • for sample means, 293–294
        • for sample proportions, 291–292
      • marginal distributions, 473
      • mean, 66–68
      • median, 68–70
      • percentiles
        • about, 83–84
        • for normal distribution, 232–233
        • for t-distribution, 256–257
      • p-values, 347–349
      • relative standing with percentiles, 83–89
      • sample variability, 289–291
      • standard deviation, 75–76
      • standard error, 266–269
      • test statistic, 345
      • totals for two-way tables, 469–471
      • variability
        • with IQR, 147–148
        • using standard errors, 344–345
    • median (50th percentile)
      • about, 36, 65
      • compared with mean, 70–74, 132–133
      • defined, 88
      • Empirical Rule (68-95-99.7), 79–83
      • example questions, 67–68, 69–70, 72–74, 78–79, 81–82, 84, 88–89
      • finding center using, 148
      • measuring
        • about, 68–70
        • relative standing with percentiles, 83–89
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 90–96
      • quiz, 97–98
      • variation and, 74–79
    • medical breakthroughs, 413–414
    • minimum, 88
    • misconception probability, 189–190
    • misleading confidence intervals, finding, 329
    • misleading histograms, detecting, 139–143
    • misleading questions, 398
    • misleading statistics, 17–22, 23
    • missing data, 22
    • MOE (margin of error)
      • about, 39–40, 287
      • calculating
        • for sample means, 293–294
        • for sample proportions, 291–292
      • confidence level and, 294–296
      • defined, 307
      • determining impact of sample size, 296–299
      • example questions, 290, 295, 298
      • finding, 289–296
      • measuring sample variability, 289–291
      • plus or minus, 287–288
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 300–302
      • quiz, 303–304
      • reporting results, 293
    • multiplication rule
      • about, 179–180
      • for independent events, 183–184
    • mutually exclusive events, including, 184–185

    N

    • New England Journal of Medicine, 20
    • no treatment, 419
    • nonrandom samples, 31
    • normal approximation, to binomials, 236–238
    • normal distribution
      • about, 37, 38, 219
      • basics of, 219–222
      • calculating percentile for, 232–233
      • example questions, 222, 225, 229, 231, 234, 237
      • finding
        • probabilities for, 227–230
        • X when you know the percent, 232–235
      • normal approximation to the binomial, 236–238
      • percentiles, 230–231
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 239–247
      • quiz, 248–250
      • sampling distribution and, 269
      • standard normal (Z-) distribution, 223–226
    • not-equal-to alternative, 365
    • null hypothesis, 42, 342
    • numerical data
      • about, 33–34, 65, 99, 125
      • examining boxplots, 143–151
      • example questions, 128–129, 133–134, 138, 142, 145, 150–151, 155–156
      • graphing, 125–166
      • handling
        • histograms, 126–143
        • time charts, 152–158
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 159–164
      • quiz, 165–166

    O

    • observational studies. See also experiments
      • about, 413–414
      • basics of, 414–417
      • example questions, 416, 426, 430
      • observing, 415
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 431–432
      • quiz, 433–434
      • terminology for, 414–415
    • observing observational studies, 415
    • omission, error of, 16
    • opposites, complement rule for, 178–179
    • organizing
      • results from surveys, 405
      • two-way tables, 468
    • outcomes, 205
    • outliers
      • defined, 36, 67
      • finding in boxplots, 148–149
    • output, from regression analysis, 456–457
    • overstated results, 44, 428

    P

    • paired differences, 376
    • paired t-tests, 41, 375–378
    • parameters
      • about, 35–36
      • linking statistics to, 306–307
    • participants, in observational studies, 414
    • percentiles
      • about, 37, 52–53, 230–231
      • calculating
        • about, 83–84
        • for normal distribution, 232–233
        • relative standing with, 83–89
        • for t-distribution, 256–257
      • finding X when you know the percent, 232–235
      • five-number summary, 88–89
      • interpreting, 55–56, 85–88
      • interquartile range, 89
    • personal expenses example, for pie charts, 100–101
    • pie charts
      • about, 100
      • age trend projection example, 103–108
      • evaluating, 104
      • lotto revenue example, 101–102
      • personal expenses example, 100–101
      • takeout order example, 102–103
    • placebo effect, 30, 418–419
    • planning surveys, 396–399
    • plus or minus, margin of error and, 287–288
    • polls
      • about, 391
      • designing, 28–29
      • example questions, 399, 401, 404, 406
      • impact of, 392–395
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 408–410
      • quiz, 411–412
      • surveys, 395–407
    • pollsters, 392
    • population
      • about, 34–35
      • projecting from samples to, 490–491
      • variability in, 313–314
    • population averages, comparing two (independent), 371–374
    • population means
      • calculating confidence intervals for, 315–318
      • defined, 36
      • difference of two
        • when population standard deviation known, 371–374
        • when population standard deviation unknown, 374
      • testing one, 362–363
    • population proportions
      • comparing two, 378–381
      • determining confidence intervals for one, 319–321
      • testing one, 368–370
    • population standard deviation
      • difference of two population means
        • when known, 371–374
        • when unknown, 374
      • standard error and, 267–269
    • practice questions answers and explanations
      • binomial distribution, 214–215
      • categorical data, 57–59, 117–122
      • claims, 356–358
      • confidence intervals, 330–336
      • correlation, 460–464
      • experiments, 431–432
      • hypothesis tests, 382–386
      • independence, 492–497
      • margin of error, 296–297
      • mean, 90–96
      • median, 90–96
      • normal distribution, 239–247
      • numerical data, 159–164
      • observational studies, 431–432
      • polls, 408–410
      • probability, 192–195
      • random variables, 214–215
      • regression analysis, 460–464
      • sampling distributions, 280–282
      • t-distributions, 259
      • two-way tables, 492–497
    • predictions
      • making, 453–456, 491
      • using probability, 190–191
    • probabilities
      • about, 169
      • avoiding misconceptions, 189–190
      • defined, 42, 170
      • distinguishing independent from mutually exclusive events, 186–188
      • of events involving A and/or B, 173–177
      • example questions, 180–181, 188, 189, 190
      • finding
        • for normal distributions, 227–230
        • for sample mean, 273–274
        • for sample proportion, 278–279
        • for specific values of X, 210–211
        • with t-tables, 253–255
        • using binomial table, 210–212
        • using formulas, 207–210
        • for X greater-than, less-than, or between two values, 211–212
        • for Z with Z-table, 225–226
      • including mutually exclusive events, 184–185
      • independence of multiple events, 182–184
      • notation for, 174–175
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 192–195
      • predictions using, 190–191
      • quiz, 196–197
      • rules of, 178–182
      • set notation, 169–173
    • probability distribution (p(x)), 202
    • probability models, 187
    • probability of success (p), changes in, 205–206
    • properties
      • of correlation, 443–445
      • of standard deviation, 77
    • proportions, estimating difference of two, 326–329
    • p-values
      • about, 42, 346, 490–491
      • calculating, 347–349
      • connecting test statistics and, 346–347
      • defining, 347

    Q

    • qualitative data. See categorical data
    • quantifying linear relationships using correlation, 440–445
    • quantity, of groups, 139–141
    • questioning claims of cause and effect, 44–45
    • questions, formulating for surveys, 398–399
    • quizzes
      • binomial distribution, 216–217
      • categorical data, 60–63, 123–124
      • claims, 359–360
      • confidence intervals, 337–340
      • correlation, 465–466
      • experiments, 433–434
      • hypothesis tests, 387–388
      • independence, 498–502
      • margin of error, 303–304
      • mean, 97–98
      • median, 97–98
      • normal distribution, 248–250
      • numerical data, 165–166
      • observational studies, 433–434
      • polls, 411–412
      • probability, 196–197
      • random variables, 216–217
      • regression analysis, 465–466
      • sampling distributions, 283–284
      • t-distributions, 260–261
      • two-way tables, 498–502

    R

    • random assignments, for experiments, 421–422
    • random digit dialing (RDD), 31
    • random number generators, 32
    • random samples
      • about, 31–32
      • for surveys, 400
    • random variables
      • about, 199–200
      • defined, 264
      • discrete, 202–203
      • discrete vs. continuous, 200–201
      • mean of discrete, 202–203
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 214–215
      • probability distributions, 202
      • quiz, 216–217
      • variance of discrete, 202–203
    • Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT), in observational studies, 414
    • range, 78–79
    • RDD (random digit dialing), 31
    • regression, 43–44, 435
    • regression analysis
      • about, 426
      • example questions, 438, 443, 448, 451, 455
      • making predictions, 453–456
      • output, 456–457
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 460–464
      • quiz, 465–466
      • residuals, 454, 457–458
    • regression line
      • about, 446–447
      • defined, 445
      • interpreting, 449–451
    • relationships
      • cause-and-effect
        • about, 21, 435
        • checking for, 489–490
        • compared with correlation, 458–459
        • in observational studies, 415
        • questioning claims of, 44–45
      • dependent, 486–488
      • scatterplots and, 436–439
    • relative standing
      • about, 37
      • measuring with percentiles, 83–89
    • reliability, of data, 424
    • Remember icon, 3
    • reporting
      • results, 293
      • standard deviation, 75–77
    • residuals, 454, 457–458
    • respecting ethical issues in experiments, 423–424
    • response, in observational studies, 414
    • response bias, 402
    • results
      • comparing for two conditional distributions, 484–485
      • generalizing, 429
      • interpreting
        • about, 308–309, 489–491
        • from experiments, 428–430
        • from surveys, 405–407
      • overstating, 428
      • reporting, 293
    • right-tail probability, 253–254
    • rules of probability, 178–182
    • Rumsey, Deborah (author)

    S

    • s (standard deviation)
      • about, 36–37
      • of binomials, 212–213
      • calculating, 75–76
      • defined, 2
      • handling unknown, 363–368
      • interpreting, 76
      • lobbying for, 77
      • measuring variability using, 133
      • properties of, 77
      • reporting, 75–77
    • sample means, calculating margin of error for, 293–294
    • sample proportion
      • calculating margin of error for, 291–292
      • finding probabilities for, 278–279
      • sampling distribution of, 275–277
    • sample size
      • about, 21
      • confidence intervals and, 312–313
      • determining
        • impact of, 296–299
        • needs for, 318–319
      • margin of error and, 296–297
      • selecting for experiments, 419–420
      • standard error and, 266–267
      • for surveys, 400–401
    • sample spaces, 170–172
    • sample statistics, gathering, 344
    • sample variability, measuring, 289–291
    • sample variance, 75
    • samples
      • about, 30–32
      • defined, 420
      • handling small, 363–368
      • projecting to populations from, 490–491
      • selecting for surveys, 399–402
    • sampling distributions
      • about, 263
      • defining, 264–265
      • example questions, 272, 274, 277, 279
      • finding probabilities
        • for sample mean, 273–274
        • for sample proportion, 278–279
      • mean of, 265–266
      • measuring standard error, 266–269
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 280–282
      • quiz, 283–284
      • of sample proportion, 275–277
      • shape of, 269–272
    • sampling error, 39–40
    • scales
      • on bar graphs, 110–111
      • in histograms, 141–143
      • of time charts, 153
    • scatterplots
      • about, 436
      • creating, 436–437
      • interpreting, 437–439
    • scientific method, 26
    • scientific surveys, 22
    • selecting
      • confidence levels, 310–311
      • sample size for experiments, 419–420
      • samples for survey, 399–402
      • subjects for experiments, 421
      • survey time/type, 397
      • values for confidence intervals, 257–258
    • self-selected sample, 31
    • set notation
      • about, 169
      • complements, 173
      • empty sets, 172
      • events, 171–172
      • inequalities, 171
      • intersections, 173
      • sample spaces, 170
      • unions, 172–173
    • setting boundaries for rejecting H0, 350
    • setup
      • cells in two-way tables, 469
      • hypotheses, 342–343
    • 75th percentile (third quartile/Q3), 88
    • shape
      • of boxplots, 146–147
      • of data, 130–132
      • of sampling distributions, 269–272
    • simplifying addition rule with mutually inclusive events, 185
    • 68-95-99.7 Rule (Empirical Rule)
      • about, 79–83
      • using, 138–139
    • skepticism, 45
    • skewed left histogram, 131, 132, 137–138
    • skewed right histogram, 131, 132, 137
    • slope, of lines, 446, 447, 449–450
    • solving conditional probabilities
      • with formulas, 176–177
      • without formulas, 176
    • sources
      • about, 392
      • checking, 20–21
    • stacked bar graph, 479–480
    • standard deviation (s)
      • about, 36–37
      • of binomials, 212–213
      • calculating, 75–76
      • defined, 2
      • handling unknown, 363–368
      • interpreting, 76
      • lobbying for, 77
      • measuring variability using, 133
      • properties of, 77
      • reporting, 75–77
    • standard deviation of an entire population (σ), 76, 313–314
    • standard errors
      • defined, 311
      • measuring
        • about, 266–269
        • variability using, 344–345
      • population standard deviation and, 267–269
      • sample size and, 266–267
    • standard normal distribution (Z-distribution), 38, 39
    • standard scores, 37–38, 345
    • standard treatments, 419
    • standardizing, from X to Z, 223–225
    • start/end points, of time charts, 153
    • start/finish lines, in histograms, 141–143
    • statistical jargon, 33–44
    • statistical significance, 42–43, 349
    • statistics
      • about, 7, 35
      • defined, 2, 25
      • descriptive, 49–50
      • in everyday life, 25–26
      • linking to parameters, 306–307
      • media and, 8–13
      • misleading, 17–22
      • as more than numbers, 26–28
      • using at work, 13–14
    • Statistics II For Dummies (Rumsey), 415, 446, 454, 480
    • studies, designing, 28–30
    • subjects, choosing for experiments, 421
    • sum of squares error (SSE), 447
    • surveys
      • about, 393–394, 395
      • anonymity and confidentiality for, 403
      • carrying out, 402–405
      • choosing time/type for, 397
      • clarifying purpose of, 396
      • collecting data for, 402
      • defining target population, 396–397
      • designing, 28–29, 396–399
      • ethics and, 397–398
      • examples of, 394–395
      • following up after, 403–405
      • formulating questions for, 398–399
      • interpreting results from, 405–407
      • planning, 396–399
      • random samples for, 400
      • sample size for, 400–401
      • selecting samples for, 399–402
    • symmetric histograms, 130, 132, 137

    T

    • t9, 252
    • tables
      • binomial, 210–212, 507–512
      • t-table, 505–506
      • two-way
        • about, 43–44, 54–55, 467
        • calculating totals, 469–471
        • example questions, 470, 475, 481–482, 487
        • finding variables with marginal distributions, 472–476
        • interpreting, 472–483
        • organizing, 468
        • practice questions answers and explanations, 492–497
        • quiz, 498–502
        • setting up cells, 469
      • Z-table, 503–504
    • takeout order example, for pie charts, 102–103
    • target population
      • defining for surveys, 396–397
      • survey samples and, 399–400
    • t-distributions
      • about, 251
      • calculating percentiles for, 256–257
      • compared with Z-distributions, 251–252
      • effect of variability on, 252–253
      • example questions, 255, 256–257
      • finding probabilities with, 253–255
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 259
      • quiz, 260–261
      • selecting values for confidence intervals, 257–258
      • t-table, 253–258
    • Technical Support, 4
    • terminology, 33–44, 307–308, 414–415
    • test statistics
      • about, 345
      • calculating, 345
      • connecting p-values and, 346–347
      • interpreting, 345
    • testing
      • for average difference, 375–378
      • hypothesis
        • about, 38, 41, 361, 426
        • comparing two (independent) population averages, 371–374
        • coparing two population proportions, 378–381
        • defined, 342
        • example questions, 367, 370, 373, 374, 377–378, 381
        • handling small samples, 363–368
        • handling standard deviations, 363–368
        • paired t-test, 375–378
        • practice questions answers and explanations, 382–386
        • quiz, 387–388
        • testing for average difference, 375–378
        • testing one population mean, 362–363
        • testing one population proportion, 368–370
        • t-test, 363–368
      • one population mean, 362–363
      • one population proportion, 368–370
    • third quartile. See 75th percentile (third quartile/Q3)
    • time, choosing for surveys, 397
    • time charts
      • about, 152
      • evaluating, 156
      • examples of, 153–158
      • finding misleading, 153–158
      • histograms compared with, 153
      • interpreting, 152
      • variability and, 153
    • time series data, 152
    • Tip icon, 3
    • tornado statistics, 18
    • totals, calculating for two-way tables, 469–471
    • transportation expenses example, for bar graphs, 108–110
    • treatment group
      • about, 29–30, 418
      • in observational studies, 415
    • trials
      • independence of, 205
      • number of, 204
    • t-tables
      • calculating percentiles for, 256–257
      • finding probabilities with, 253–255
      • illustrated, 505–506
      • selecting values for confidence intervals, 257–258
      • studying behavior using, 258
      • using, 253
    • t-test
      • about, 363–364
      • drawing conclusions using critical value, 366–368
      • examining not-equal-to alternative, 365
      • handling negative t-values, 365
      • relating t to Z, 365
      • using, 364
    • t-values, handling negative, 365
    • 25th percentile (first quartile/Q1), 88
    • two-way tables. See also independence
      • about, 43–44, 54–55, 467
      • calculating totals, 469–471
      • example questions, 470, 475, 481–482, 487
      • finding variables with marginal distributions, 472–476
      • interpreting, 472–483
      • organizing, 468
      • practice questions answers and explanations, 492–497
      • quiz, 498–502
      • setting up cells, 469
    • type, choosing for surveys, 397
    • Type I errors, 353
    • Type II errors, 353–354

    U

    • unbiased data, 425
    • uncountably infinite sample spaces, 170
    • union probabilities, 175
    • unions
      • about, 172–173
      • addition rule for, 180–182

    V

    • validity, of data, 424–425
    • values, selecting for confidence intervals, 257–258
    • variability
      • effect of on t-distributions, 252–253
      • measuring
        • with IQR, 147–148
        • using standard errors, 344–345
      • in population, 313–314
      • time charts and, 153
      • viewing, 133–136
    • variables
      • about, 34
      • determining which is X and which is Y, 445–446
      • finding with marginal distributions, 472–476
    • variance, of discrete random variables, 202–203
    • variation
      • about, 74
      • range, 78–79
      • standard deviation, 75–77
    • verifying
      • binomial conditions, 204
      • for cause and effect, 489–490
      • conditions, 446, 453
      • independence, 483–486
      • independence for events, 182–183
      • match, 16
      • shape of boxplots, 146–147
      • sources, 20–21
    • viewing variability, 133–136
    • volunteers
      • finding for experiments, 421
      • sample for, 31

    W

    • Warning icon, 3
    • websites
      • Cheat Sheet, 3
      • clinical trials, 423
      • Technical Support, 4
    • weighing evidence, 346–349
    • width, of confidence intervals, 310

    X

    • X
      • finding
        • probabilities for specific values of, 210–211
        • probabilities greater-than, less-than, or between two values for, 211–212
        • when you know the percent, 232–235
      • standardizing to Z from, 223–225

    Y

    • y-intercept, of lines, 446, 447–449, 450–451
    • Your Turn icon, 3

    Z

    • Z
      • relating t to, 365
      • standardizing from X to, 223–225
    • Z-distribution (standard normal distribution)
      • about, 38, 223–225
      • compared with t-distribution, 251–252
    • Z-table
      • finding probabilities for Z with, 225–226
      • illustrated, 503–504
    • z-values, 39
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