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by Paul Schulte
The Next Revolution in our Credit-Driven Economy
Title Page
Copyright
Dedication
Acknowledgments
About the Author
About the Website
Introduction: A Few Numbers Can Crack the Code
Part One: How Bank Credit Drives Economics (Not the Other Way Around) and Why
Chapter 1: A Few Simple Concepts That Anyone Can Understand
The Error of Our Ways
The Mechanics of Economics
Economic Blinders
The Corporate Example
Painful Reality
How Political Chaos Is Created from Runaway Greed
Tangible Leverage Is the Other Vitally Important Factor
When Debt Becomes a Dirty and Dangerous Word
European Bank Woes
Following the Numbers
Chapter 2: Differences between Liquidity and Solvency Are Thin
Current Account versus LDR
Bad Credit Karma
The “Good” Banks
A Wellspring of Debt
Lessons in Asia
Chapter 3: Anatomy of a Credit Crisis and Examples in the Real World
Capital Cycles
The Winners after a Crisis
The Absurdity of Wholesale Lending: This Is a B-A-D Business
Part Two: I Am From the Government, and I Am Here to Help Your Broken Banking System
Chapter 4: Socialization of Debt after Mismanagement by Bankers (or, Why Keynesian Economics Doesn't Work)
Thailand
The United States: In Many Ways, a Carbon Copy of Thailand
Spain and Ireland: The Most Extreme Examples of Irresponsible Lending in Modern History
The United Kingdom
Indonesia
Conclusion
Chapter 5: Why Capitalist Bankers Create Soviet Banking Models When the Going Gets Rough
Basel I: The Japanese Financial M&A Boom and Bust
Basel II: The Rise of the AAA-Rated CDO Boom and Bust
Basel III: The Rise of the Government Debt Boom and Bust?
Chapter 6: Central Banks Are Carrying the Greatest Load and Will Dominate Outcomes
Why Have Central Banks Become So Involved in the Solution of the Global Financial Crisis?
Chapter 7: How Bankers and Policy Rescuers Affect Stocks, Foreign Exchange, and Property
LDRs and Determining Currency Values
The Best Indicator for Value for Financials
What about ROE as a Measure in Itself?
As with All Living Corporations, Return on Capital Is Everything
Part Three: Interlude
Chapter 8: Why Government and Institutions Get Suckered into Debt Binges
Why Are We Comfortable Crawling into Bubbles and Staying There Despite Dangers?
Human Folly: Believing in Something Is Better than Believing in Nothing, and Injustice Is Better than Disorder
11 Rules To Avoid Getting Pulled into a Bubble
Conclusion: Cassandras must replace delusions with a new vision
Part Four: The Revolution in Financial Architecture
Chapter 9: Why Is This Revolution Happening Now and Why So Fast?
Do Banks Have the DNA To Change?
Technology Is Advancing while Banks Deal with the DA
Emergence of New and Big Players like BlackRock, Alibaba, and Blackstone
Telecom Companies Now See Revenue in Banking
Legal Issues: The Sheriff and the DA Are After Banks for at least 20 Economic Crimes
Have Banks Lost the Goodwill of the Regulator?
The Tax Man
Rules on Subsidiaries around the Globe
Leftover Derivatives from the Global Financial Crisis
Chapter 10: The Revolution in Alternative Investments
Private Equity: Much Dynamic Activity To Replace Businesses That Banks Exited
Hedge Funds Are Backing Technology and Have Abandoned Banks
Sovereign Wealth Funds
Chapter 11: The Revolution in Big Data and SME Lending in the Emerging World
What Happens When Sales and Research Can't Be Paid for Access or IPO Research?
After the Regulators, New Technology Is Leading to End Times for High-Touch Banking
Crowdfunding Is Threatening Traditional Lending
The Jewel in the Crown for Financial Technology: SME Lending
Big Data, Crowdfunding, and the SME: The Magic Formula
Examples: Bringing Together the Data To Create New Opportunities and Reliable Credit Ratings
Payment Systems
Chapter 12: Banking and Analytics—The PayPal Gang, Palantir versus Alibaba, and Hundsun
The PayPal Gang Summit: Big Data, Research, Credit Ratings, and Cybersecurity
Alibaba's Cloud Business: The Future of Banking
AliCloud and Hundsun: The Mother Lode of All Financial Data
Hundsun: A Vast Array of Information on Financial Services
Final Analysis: There is No Such Thing as Private Information for Anyone
Appendix
Bibliography
Index
End User License Agreement
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