040 Dunning-Kruger Effect

A tendency for unskilled people to overestimate their competence and performance.

• Incompetent people lack the knowledge and experience to recognize their own incompetence, as well as the competence of others.

• This creates a vicious cycle: An incompetent person can’t perceive their own incompetence because they are incompetent; and overcoming incompetence requires the ability to distinguish skill levels, which is an ability they lack.

• Conversely, highly competent people tend to underestimate their abilities and performance, and overestimate the skills of others.

• Combat the Dunning-Kruger effect by teaching the inexperienced how to discern competence from incompetence. Provide regular feedback and critiques to promote the development of self-assessment skills.

See Also Crowd Intelligence • Design by Committee Hanlon’s Razor • Not Invented Here

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The least competent tend to be the most confident, and then the roller coaster ride of reality begins.

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