Index

absolute convergence criterion

accelerated bias-corrected bootstrap, see bootstrap, BCa

accelerated EM methods

ACE, see alternating conditional expectations

activation function

adaptation factor

for adaptive MCMC

adaptive importance sampling

adaptive kernel

adaptive MCMC

acceptance rate

adaptation factor

adaptive Metropolis algorithm

batching

bounded convergence

diminishing adaptation

Metropolis-within-Gibbs

random walk Metropolis-within-Gibbs

adaptive quadrature

adaptive rejection sampling

additive model

additive predictor

additivity and variance stabilization

AIC, see Akaike information criterion

AIDS

air blast pressure

Aitken acceleration

for EM algorithm

Akaike information criterion

allele

almost everywhere

almost sure convergence

alternating conditional expectations

Alzheimer's disease

AMISE, see asymptotic mean integrated squared error

amoeba method, see Nelder–Mead algorithm

annealing

antithetic bootstrap

antithetic sampling

aperiodic Markov chain

ascent algorithm

backtracking

random ascent

steepest ascent

step length

Asian option

aspiration criteria

asymptotic mean integrated squared error

asymptotically unbiased estimator

auxiliary variable methods

for Markov random fields

AVAS, see additivity and variance stabilization

average squared jumping distance

backfitting

backtracking

bagging

balanced bootstrap

balloon estimator

bandwidth

for smoothing, see smoothing, bandwidth

optimal

baseball salaries

batch method

batch times

for adaptive MCMC

Baum–Welch algorithm

Bayes factor

Bayes information criterion

Bayes' theorem

Bayesian bootstrap

Bayesian estimation

BCa

BCV, see biased cross-validation

benthic invertebrates

Bernoulli distribution

definition

simulation

beta distribution

definition

simulation

Beverton–Holt model

BFGS update

bias

bias–variance trade-off

biased cross-validation

BIC, see Bayes information criterion

“big oh” notation

binomial coefficient

binomial distribution

definition

simulation

bisection method

biweight kernel

Black–Scholes model

block bootstrap

block size

centering

circular

dependent wild

moving

nonmoving

sieve

stationary

studentizing

tapered

block size

for block bootstrap

blocks-of-blocks bootstrap

BOA software

body fat

bond variable

bootstrap

aggregating, see bagging

antithetic

asymptotics

bagging

balanced

Bayesian

BCa

bias correction

block

blocks of blocks

bumping

centering

circular block

confidence interval

consistency

dependent wild

for AR() models

for dependent data

for EM algorithm

for independent data

for regression

for smoothers

hypothesis testing

inferential methods

likelihood

moving block

nested

nonmoving block

paired

parametric

percentile method

permutation

pivot

pivoting

pseudo-data

regression

cases

residuals

sieve

stationary block

studentized, see bootstrap, t

t

tapered block

transformation-respecting

umbrella of model parameters, see bumping

variance reduction

variance-stabilizing transformation

weighted likelihood

bootstrap filter

bounded convergence

for adaptive MCMC

bowhead whales

Box–Cox transformation

bracketing methods

breast cancer

bridge sampling

BUGS software

bumping

burn-in

call option

cancer

capture–recapture

carrying capacity

CART, see tree-based methods

Cauchy distribution

definition

simulation

censored data

central limit theorem

CFTP, see coupling from the past

chi-square distribution

definition

simulation

circular block bootstrap

clinical trial

coal-mining disasters

CODA software

Colorado topography

combinatorial optimization

candidate solution

genetic algorithm

globally competitive solution

local search

particle swarm

problem complexity

simulated annealing

steepest ascent

tabu algorithm

traveling salesman problem

complexity

composite rule

confidence bands

confidence interval

bootstrap

conjugate prior distribution

consistent estimator

constant-span running-mean smoother

containment, see bounded convergence for adaptive MCMC

contraction

for Nelder–Mead method

contractive mapping

control variates

improvement to importance sampling

convergence almost surely

convergence criterion

absolute

relative

convergence in probability

convergence order

convex function

cooling schedule

copper–nickel alloy

cost–complexity pruning

coupling from the past

for Markov random fields

credible interval

cross-validation

for smoothing, see smoothing, cross-validation

for tree-based methods

crossover

cubic smoothing spline

curse of dimensionality

curve fitting, see smoothing

cusum diagnostic

CVRSS, see residual sum of squares, cross-validated

cycle

cyclic coordinate ascent, see Gauss–Seidel iteration

Darwinian natural selection

decoupling

degeneracy

delta method

density dependence

density estimation

adaptive kernel

asymptotic mean integrated squared error

balloon

bandwidth

bias–variance trade-off

biased cross-validation

choice of kernel

cross-validation

exploratory projection pursuit

integrated squared error

kernel

logspline

maximal smoothing principle

mean integrated squared error

mean squared error

multivariate

nearest neighbor

plug-in methods

product kernel

pseudo-likelihood

Sheather–Jones method

Silverman's rule of thumb

transformation

unbiased cross-validation

univariate

variable-kernel

dependent wild bootstrap

derivative-free method

detailed balance

differentiation

numerical

diminishing adaptation

for adaptive MCMC

Dirichlet distribution

definition

simulation

discrete Newton methods

distributions

Bernoulli

beta

binomial

Cauchy

chi-square

Dirichlet

exponential

gamma

lognormal

multinomial

multivariate normal

negative binomial

normal

Poisson

Student's t

uniform

Weibull

double bootstrap, see nested bootstrap

drug abuse

earthquakes

ECM algorithm

edge-recombination crossover

effective sample size

for importance sampling

for Markov chain Monte Carlo

for sequential importance sampling

EM algorithm

acceleration methods

Aitken acceleration

ascent property

bootstrapping

conditional maximization

convergence

E step

ECM

empirical information

for exponential families

generalized

gradient EM

latent data

Louis's method

M step

MCEM

missing data

missing information principle

Monte Carlo

numerical differentiation of l′(θ)

Q function

quasi-Newton acceleration

SEM

supplemented

variance estimates

empirical information

envelope

for importance sampling

for rejection sampling

for sequential importance sampling

Epanechnikov kernel

equivalent degrees of freedom

equivalent kernels

ergodic Markov chain

ergodic theorem

Euler–Maclaurin formula

European option

evolution, see peppered moths

expanding pointwise confidence bands

expansion

for Nelder–Mead method

expectation–maximization algorithm, see EM algorithm

expected Fisher information

exploratory projection pursuit

exponential distribution

definition

simulation

exponential family

EM algorithm

face recognition

feed-forward neural network

finite differences

Fisher information

expected

observed

Fisher scoring

fitness

fixed-point iteration

convergence

scaled

flour beetle

functional

functional iteration, see fixed-point iteration

fundamental polynomials

fur seal pups

GAM, see generalized additive model

gamma distribution

definition

simulation

gamma function

Gauss–Hermite quadrature

Gauss–Legendre quadrature

Gauss–Newton method

Gauss–Seidel iteration

Gaussian quadrature

approximation error

GDP

gear couplings

Gelman–Rubin statistic

GEM algorithm, see EM algorithm, generalized

generalized additive model

additive predictor

local scoring

generalized cross-validation

smoothing, see smoothing, generalized cross-validation

generalized EM, see EM algorithm, generalized

generalized linear mixed model

generalized linear model

link function

genetic algorithm

allele

binary encoding

chromosome

convergence

crossover

edge recombination

fitness

generation

genetic operators

genotype

locus

mutation

offspring

order crossover

parent

permutation chromosome

phenotype

scaled fitness

schema

selection mechanism

steady-state

tournament selection

uniform crossover

genetic map distance

genetic mapping

Gibbs sampling

blocked

cycle

diagnostics, see Markov chain Monte Carlo, diagnostics

for Markov random fields

griddy

hybrid

random scan

relationship to Metropolis–Hastings

reparameterization

globally competitive solution

gradient

gradient EM, see EM algorithm, gradient EM

greedy algorithm

griddy–Gibbs sampling

hat matrix

Hermite polynomials

Hessian matrix

hidden Markov model

hierarchical centering

highest posterior density region

Himmelblau's function

hit-and-run algorithm

HIV

hormone treatment

HPD region

human face recognition

hybrid Markov chain Monte Carlo

i.i.d.

image analysis

importance ratio

importance sampling

adaptive

choice of envelope

compared with sampling importance resampling

control variate improvement

effective sample size

envelope

importance ratio

sequential

standardized importance weights

unstandardized importance weights

importance sampling function

improper prior distribution

independence chain

industrialized countries

infrared emissions

inner product

integrated squared error

integration

Monte Carlo, see Monte Carlo integration

numerical, see numerical integration

internal node

interpolating polynomials

inverse cumulative distribution function method

IRLS, see iteratively reweighted least squares

irreducible Markov chain

ISE, see integrated squared error

iterated bootstrap, see nested bootstrap

iterated conditional modes

iteratively reweighted least squares

Jacobi polynomials

Jacobian matrix

Jeffreys prior

Jensen's inequality

k-change

kernel

adaptive

asymptotic relative efficiency

biweight

canonical

Epanechnikov

normal

product

rescaling

triangle

tricube

triweight

uniform

variable

kernel density estimation, see density estimation, kernel

kernel smoother

knot

logspline

Laguerre polynomials

Langevin Metropolis–Hastings

latent data

least squares cross-validation

leave-one-out, see cross-validation

Legendre polynomials

likelihood function

profile

line search methods

linear regression, see regression

link function

linkage

Lipschitz condition

“little oh” notation

local averaging

local regression smoother

local scoring

local search

random starts

tabu algorithm

variable-depth

locally dependent Markov random field

locally weighted regression smoother, see local regression smoother

locus

loess smoother

logistic growth model

logistic regression

lognormal distribution

definition

simulation

logspline density estimation

Louis's method

macroinvertebrates

majorization

map distance

Maple software

mark–recapture

Markov chain

aperiodic

convergence

coupling

detailed balance

ergodic

irreducible

nonnull state

recurrent state

reversible

state space

states

stationary distribution

time-homogeneous

Markov chain Monte Carlo

acceptance rate

adaptive

adaptive Metropolis algorithm

auxiliary variable methods

batch method

Bayesian estimation

burn-in

convergence

coupling from the past

cusum diagnostic

diagnostics, see burn-in, convergence, mixing, number of chains, run length

effective sample size

for Markov random fields

Gelman–Rubin statistic

Gibbs sampling

hierarchical centering

hit-and-run algorithm

hybrid strategies

image analysis

independence chain

Langevin Metropolis–Hastings

maximum likelihood

Metropolis–Hastings

Metropolis–Hastings ratio

Metropolis-within-Gibbs

mixing

Monte Carlo standard error

multiple-try Metropolis–Hastings

number of chains

perfect sampling

proposal distribution

random walk chain

reparameterization

reversible jump

run length

sample path

simulated tempering

slice sampling

software

structured Markov chain Monte Carlo

Swendsen–Wang algorithm

target distribution

Markov process

Markov random field

auxiliary variable methods

Gibbs sampling

locally dependent

perfect sampling

MARS

Martian atmosphere

Mathematica software

MATLAB language, xvi

maximal smoothing principle

maximum likelihood

MCEM algorithm, see Monte Carlo EM algorithm

MCMC, see Markov chain Monte Carlo

mean integrated squared error

mean squared error

of estimation

of prediction

Metropolis–Hastings algorithm

acceptance rate

diagnostics, see Markov chain Monte Carlo, diagnostics

multiple-try

relationship to Gibbs sampling

reparameterization

Metropolis–Hastings ratio

generalized

minorization

MISE, see mean integrated squared error

missing data

missing information principle

mixing

mixture distribution

MLE

modified Newton method

Monte Carlo EM algorithm

Monte Carlo integration

antithetic sampling

control variates

importance sampling

Markov chain Monte Carlo, see Markov chain Monte Carlo

Rao–Blackwellization

Riemann sum improvement

variance reduction

Monte Carlo maximum likelihood

moving average

moving block bootstrap

MSE, see mean squared error

MSPE, see mean squared error, of prediction

multinomial coefficient

multinomial distribution

definition

simulation

multiple integrals

multiple-try Metropolis–Hastings algorithm

multivariate adaptive regression splines

multivariate normal distribution

definition

simulation

Nadaraya–Watson estimator

natural selection

navigation, see terrain navigation

nearest neighbor density estimation

negative binomial distribution

definition

simulation

neighborhood

for local search

for Nelder–Mead method

for simulated annealing

for smoothing

for tabu algorithm

k-change

Nelder–Mead algorithm

nested bootstrap

network failure

neural network

Newton's method

convergence

discrete

modified

Newton–Côtes quadrature

Newton-like methods

backtracking

node

for numerical integration

for tree-based methods

nonmoving block bootstrap

nonlinear equations, solving, see optimization

nonlinear least squares

nonnull state

nonparametric bootstrap, see bootstrap

nonparametric density estimation, see density estimation

nonparametric regression, see smoothing

normal distribution

definition

simulation

normal kernel

normalizing constant

Norwegian paper

notation

NP problem

NP-complete problem

NP-hard problem

numerical differentiation

numerical integration

nth-degree rule

adaptive quadrature

composite rule

Gauss–Hermite quadrature

Gauss–Legendre quadrature

Gaussian quadrature

approximation error

method of undetermined coefficients

multiple integrals

Newton–Côtes quadrature

node

over infinite range

product formulas

Riemann rule

Romberg integration

approximation error

simple rule

Simpson's rule

adjoining subintervals

approximation error

singularities

software

transformations

trapezoidal rule

approximation error

img notation

img notation

observed Fisher information

oil spills

optimization

absolute convergence criterion

ascent algorithm

backfitting

backtracking

BFGS

bisection

bracketing methods

combinatorial, see combinatorial optimization

convergence criteria

derivative-free

discrete Newton methods

EM algorithm, see EM algorithm

Fisher scoring

fixed-point iteration

Gauss–Newton

Gauss–Seidel iteration

iterated conditional modes

iteratively reweighted least squares

majorization

minorization

multivariate

Nelder–Mead algorithm

Newton's method

Newton-like methods

order of convergence

quasi-Newton

relative convergence criterion

scaled fixed-point iteration

secant method

starting value

steepest ascent

stopping rule

univariate

optimization transfer

option pricing

order crossover

order of convergence

orthogonal polynomials

orthonormal polynomials

paper manufacture

parallel chords, method of, see fixed-point iteration

parametric bootstrap, see bootstrap, parametric

parent node

particle filter

particle swarm

path sampling

peppered moths

percentile method

perfect sampling

for Markov random fields

sandwiching

permutation bootstrap, see balanced bootstrap

permutation test

pigment moisture content

pivotal quantity

plug-in methods

pointwise confidence band

Poisson distribution

definition

simulation

polynomial algorithm

polynomials

fundamental

Hermite

interpolating

Jacobi

Laguerre

Legendre

orthogonal

orthonormal

population dynamics

carrying capacity

density dependence

population modeling

positive definite matrix

positive semidefinite matrix

positivity

posterior distribution

predictor

predictor–response data

pressure of air blast

principal curves smoother

projection index

software

span selection

principal surfaces smoother

prior distribution

conjugate

improper

Jeffreys

probability integral transform

problem complexity

product formulas

product kernel

profile likelihood

projection index

projection pursuit density estimation, see exploratory projection pursuit

projection pursuit regression

proposal distribution

for Markov chain Monte Carlo

for simulated annealing

pruning

pseudo-data

pseudo-likelihood

quadrature, see numerical integration

quasi-Newton acceleration

for EM algorithm

quasi-Newton methods

BFGS

R language

random ascent

random starts local search

random walk chain

randomization test

Rao–Blackwellization

improvement of rejection sampling

recombination

recurrent state

recursive partitioning regression, see tree-based methods

reflection

for Nelder–Mead method

regression

bootstrapping

cases

paired

residuals

logistic

recursive partitioning, see tree-based methods

variable selection

with missing data

rejection sampling

adaptive

envelope

Rao–Blackwellization improvement

squeezed

rejuvenation

relative convergence criterion

residual sum of squares

cross-validated

response

reversible jump methods

reversible Markov chain

Richardson extrapolation

Riemann rule

RJMCMC, see Markov chain Monte Carlo, reversible jump

Romberg integration

approximation error

root node

roughness

RSS, see residual sum of squares

running-line smoother

running-polynomial smoother

S-Plus language

salmon population

sample path

sample point adaptive estimator

sampling importance resampling

adaptive

choice of envelope

compared with importance sampling

standardized importance weights

scatterplot smoothing, see smoothing

score equation

score function

secant condition

secant method

convergence

self-avoiding walk

self-consistency

SEM algorithm

sensitivity analysis

sequential importance sampling

degeneracy

effective sample size

envelope

for Markov processes

rejuvenation

with resampling

sequential Monte Carlo

sexual histories

Sheather–Jones method

shrink transformation

for Nelder–Mead method

sieve block bootstrap

Silverman's rule of thumb

simple rule for integration

simplex

for Nelder–Mead method

Simpson's rule

adjoining subintervals

approximation error

Romberg improvement of

simulated annealing

as a Markov chain

constrained solution space

convergence

cooling schedule

neighborhoods

proposal distribution

temperature

simulated tempering

simulation

adaptive importance sampling

adaptive rejection sampling

approximate

bridge sampling

exact

importance sampling

inverse cumulative distribution function

path sampling

rejection sampling

sampling importance resampling

sequential Monte Carlo

squeezed rejection sampling

standard distributions

standard parametric distributions

target distribution

uniform distribution

SIR, see sampling importance resampling

slash distribution

slice sampling

smooth function model

smoothing

additive model

additivity and variance stabilization

alternating conditional expectations

bandwidth

confidence bands

constant-span running mean

cross-validation

equivalent degrees of freedom

equivalent kernels

expanding confidence bands

generalized additive model

local scoring

generalized cross-validation

kernel

linear

local averaging

local regression

locally weighted regression, see smoothing, local regression

loess

matrix

mean squared estimation error

mean squared prediction error

Nadaraya–Watson estimator

neighborhood

nonlinear

principal curves

projection index

span selection

principal surfaces

projection pursuit regression

running lines

running polynomial

span

splines

supersmoother

variable-span

software

density estimation

for Markov chain Monte Carlo

numerical integration

principal curves

tree-based methods

variable selection

span, see smoothing, span

sphering

spline smoother

split coordinate

split point

square-integrable

squeezed rejection sampling

squeezing function

standardized importance weights

state space

states

stationary block bootstrap

stationary distribution

steady-state genetic algorithm

steepest ascent

steepest ascent/mildest descent

step length

definition

for backtracking

stochastic monotonicity

stomach cancer

stream ecology

stream monitoring

strong law of large numbers

structure index

structured Markov chain Monte Carlo

Student's t distribution

definition

simulation

studentized bootstrap, see bootstrap, t

subinterval

subtree

sufficient descent

supersmoother

supplemented EM algorithm, see SEM algorithm

survival analysis

Swendsen–Wang algorithm

decoupling

symmetric nearest neighborhood

t distribution, see Student's t distribution

tabu algorithm

aspiration by influence

aspiration criteria

diversification

frequency

intensification

move attributes

recency

tabu list

tabu tenure

tapered block bootstrap

target distribution

Taylor series

delta method

for Gauss–Newton method

for Newton's method

for Simpson's rule

for trapezoidal rule

Taylor's theorem

terrain navigation

time–speed parameterization of curves

time-homogeneous Markov chain

tournament selection

tracking, see terrain navigation

transformation of random variables

trapezoidal rule

approximation error

Romberg improvement of

traveling salesman problem

tree rings

tree-based methods

classification

model uncertainty

node

internal

parent

root

pruning

software

split

split coordinate

split point

subtree

tree

triangle kernel

tricube kernel

triweight kernel

UCV, see unbiased cross-validation

unbiased cross-validation

unbiased estimator

undetermined coefficients, method of

uniform distribution

definition

simulation

uniform kernel

unit-speed parameterization

Utah serviceberry

vanishing adaptation, see diminishing adaptation

variable kernel

variable selection

variable-depth local search

variable-kernel density estimator

variable-metric method

variable-span smoother

variance reduction

antithetic sampling

control variates

for bootstrap

importance sampling

Rao–Blackwellization

Riemann sum improvement

variance-stabilizing transformation

weak law of large numbers

website for this book, xvi

Weibull distribution

definition

weighted likelihood bootstrap

whale migration

whale population dynamics

whitening

WinBUGS software

wine chemistry

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