It has been recognized that the value of money is different at different time periods and this concept is referred to as time value of money. In this regard, it is recognized that a rupee today is worth more than a rupee one or more years from now because of the interest or profit it can earn. Thus, it can be said that interest is the manifestation of time value of money.
Capital is required in engineering, other business projects and ventures for their operations. The capital thus required may be classified into two broad categories.
Equity Capital: It refers to the capital owned by individuals who have invested their money or property in business project or venture in the hope of receiving a profit.
Debt Capital: It is often called borrowed capital and is obtained from lenders for investment. In return, the lenders receive interest from the borrowers.
Return to capital in the form of interest and profit is an essential factor of engineering economy studies owing to the following reasons:
Interest, in general, is computed by taking the difference between an ending amount of money and the beginning amount. In case of zero or negative difference, interest does not accrue. Interest is either paid or earned. In situations where a person or organization borrows money, interest is paid on the borrowed capital. On the other hand, interest is earned when a person or organization saved, invested, or lent money and obtains the return of a large amount. Interest paid on borrowed capital is determined by the following relation:
Interest rate is defined as the interest paid over a specific time unit as a percentage of original/principal amount.
Thus,
The time unit of the rate is called the interest period. The most commonly used interest period to state the interest rate is 1 year. However, shorter time period such as 2% per month can also be used. Interest period of the interest rate should always be stated. If only the rate is stated e.g. 10%, a 1 year interest period is assumed.
Example 4.1 You borrow 11,000 today and must repay a total of 11,550 exactly one year later. What is the interest amount and the interest rate paid?
Solution Interest amount is obtained by using Eq. (4.1) as:
Interest = 11,550 – 11,000 = 550
Interest rate is computed by using Eq. (4.2) as:
Interest rate (%) = × 100 = 5% per year
Example 4.2 You plan to borrow 25,000 from a bank for 1 year at 8% interest for your personal work. Calculate the interest and the total amount due after 1 year.
Solution Total interest accrued is computed by using Eq. (4.2) as:
Interest = 25,000 × 0.08 = 2,000
Total amount due is the sum of principal and interest.
Thus, the total amount due after 1 year = 25,000 + 2,000 = 27,000.
From the point of view of a lender or an investor, interest earned is the difference between final amount and the initial amount.
Thus,
Interest earned over a specified period of time is expressed a percentage of the original amount and is called rate of return (ROR).
Thus,
When the total interest paid or earned is linearly proportional to the principal, the interest rate, and the number of interest periods for which the principal is committed, the interest and the interest rate are said to be simple. Simple interest is not used frequently in commercial practice.
When simple interest is used, the total interest I paid or earned is computed from the following relation:
where,
P is the amount borrowed or lent
n is the number of interest periods e.g. years
i is the interest rate per interest period
Total amount paid or earned at the end of n interest periods is P + I.
Example 4.3 You borrow 1,500 from your friend for three years at a simple interest rate of 8% per year. How much interest you will pay after three years and what is the of total amount that will be paid by you?
Solution The interest I paid is computed by using Eq. (4.5). Here, P = 1,500; n = 3 years; i = 8% per year.
Thus, I = (1,500)(3)(0.08) = 360.
Total amount paid by you at the end of three years would be 1,500 +360 = 1,860.
Whenever the interest charge for any interest period e.g. a year, is based on the remaining principal amount plus any accumulated interest charges up to the beginning of that period, the interest is said to be compound interest.
Example 4.4 Show the effect of compounding interest for Eq. (4.3), if the interest is compounded at the rate of 8% per year.
Solution The effect of compounding is shown below:
It can be seen from the above calculations that a total of 1,889.57 would be due for repayment at the end of third year. This amount can be compared with 1,860 for the same problem given in Eq. (4.3) with simple interest. There is a difference of 29.57 and this difference is due to the effect of compounding which is essentially the calculation of interest on previously earned interest.
The general formula for calculating total amount due after a particular period is given below:
Compound interest is much more common in practice than simple interest and is used in engineering economy studies.
The time value of money and the interest rate considered together helps in developing the concept of economic equivalence, which means that different sums of money at different times would be equal in economic value. For example, if the interest rate is 5% per year, 1,000 today is equivalent to 1,050 one year from today. Thus, if someone offers you 1,000 today or 1,050 one year from today, it would make no difference which offer you accept from an economic point of view. It should be noted that 1,000 today or 1,050 one year from today are equivalent to each other only when the interest rate is 5% per year. At a higher or lower interest rate, 1,000 today is not equivalent to 1,050 one year from today. Similar to future equivalence, this concept can also be applied with the same logic to determine equivalence for previous years. A total of 1,000 now is equivalent1,000/1.05 = 952.38 one year ago at an interest rate of 5% per year. From these illustrations, we can state the following: 952.38 last year, 1,000 now and 1,050 one year from now are equivalent at an interest rate of 5% per year.
Cash flow diagrams are important tools in engineering economy because they form the basis for evaluating alternatives. They are used in economic analysis of alternatives that involve complex cash flow series. A cash flow diagram is a graphical representation of cash flows drawn on a time scale. The diagram includes what is known, what is estimated and what is needed, i.e. once the cash flow diagram is complete, one should be able to work the problem by looking at the diagram. The cash flow diagram employs the following conventions:
Fig. 4.1 A typical cash flow time scale for 5 periods
Fig. 4.2 Example of positive and negative cash flows
Fig. 4.3 Cash flow diagram from your point of view
FIG. (4.3) shows that there is a positive cash flow of 1,000 at present time as it is a cash inflow for you.FIG. (4.3) also shows that there are three equal negative cash flows at the end of year 1, 2, and 3. These cash flows are negative for you as you will repay the borrowed money and the money will go out of your pocket.
Fig. 4.4 Cash flow diagram from your friend's point of view
FIG. (4.4) is obtained by reversing the direction of arrows of FIG. (4.3) owing to the fact that a positive cash flow for you is obviously a negative cash flow for your friend and vice-versa.
When cash inflows and cash outflows occur at the end of a given interest period, the net cash flow can be determined from the following relationship:
For example, consider the cash flow diagram shown in FIG. (4.5)
Fig. 4.5 Cash flow diagram with cash inflows and cash outflows
The net cash flow at the end of interest period 1 = 1,000 − 500 = 500.
The net cash flow at the end of interest period 2 = 800 −1,200 = −400.
The net cash flow at the end of interest period 3 = 900 − 0 = 900.
The net cash flow at the end of interest period 4 = 0 −600 = − 600.
The net cash flow at the end of interest period 5 = 400 − 1,500 = − 1,100.
The cash flow diagram in terms of net cash flows is shown in FIG. (4.6).
Fig. 4.6 Net cash flows
The equations and procedures that are used in engineering economy employs the following terms and symbols.
P = Equivalent value of one or more cash flows at a reference point in time called the present or time 0. P is also referred to as present worth (P.W.), present value (P.V.), net present value (N.P.V.), discounted cash flow (D.C.F.) and capitalized cost (C.C.). Its unit is rupees.
F = Equivalent value of one or more cash flows at a reference point in time called the future. F is also referred to as future worth (F.W.), future value (F.V.). Its unit is also rupees.
A = Series of consecutive, equal end-of-period amounts of money. A is also referred to as annual worth (A.W.), annuity, and equivalent uniform annual worth (E.U.A.W). Its unit is rupees per year, rupees per month.
n = Number of interest periods. Its unit is years or month or days.
i = interest rate or return per time period. Its unit is percent per year or percent per month or percent per day.
It should be noted that P and F represent one time occurrences whereas A occurs with the same value once each interest period for a specified number of periods. The present value P in fact, represents a single sum of money at some time prior to a future value F or prior to the first occurrence of an equivalent series amount A.
It should further be noted that symbol A always represents a uniform amount that extends through consecutive interest periods. Both conditions must exist before the series can be represented by A.
The interest rate i is assumed to be a compound rate, unless specifically stated as simple interest. i is expressed in percent per interest period, for example 10% per year. Unless otherwise stated, assume that the rate applies throughout the entire n years or interest periods. The following examples illustrate the meaning of the above discussed terms and symbols:
Example 4.5 You plan to borrow 15,000 to help in buying a two wheeler. You have arranged to repay the entire principal plus interest at 8.5% per year after 5 years. Identify the symbols involved and their values for the total amount owed after 5 years. Also draw the cash flow diagram.
Solution In this case P and F are involved since all amounts are single payment. n and i are also involved. So, the symbols and their values are:
P = 15,000 i = 8.5% per year n = 5 years F = ?
The cash flow diagram for this case is shown in FIG. 4.7(a) and FIG.4.7(b).
Fig. 4.7 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.5 (a) from borrower's point of view (b) from lender's point of view
Example 4.6 Assume you borrow 50,000 now at 8% per year for 10 years and must repay the borrowed money in equal yearly payments. Determine the symbols involved and their values. Draw the cash flow diagram.
Solution P = 50,000 n =10 years i = 8% per year A = ?
The cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.8) (lender's perspective).
Fig. 4.8 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.6
Example 4.7 You deposit 50,000 into your saving account that pays 8% per year. You plan to withdraw an equal end-of-year amount of 10,000 for 5 years, starting next year. At the end of sixth year, you plan to close your account by withdrawing the remaining money. Define the symbols involved and draw the cash flow diagram.
Solution P = 50,000, A = 10,000, F = ? at the end of year 6, n = 5 years for A series and 6 for the F value, i = 8% per year
The cash flow diagram from depositor's point of view is shown in FIG. (4.9).
Fig. 4.9 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.7
Example 4.8 You want to deposit a particular amount now in your saving accounts so that you can withdraw an equal annual amount of 15,000 per year for the first 5 years starting 1 year after the deposit, and a different equal annual withdrawal of 25,000 per year for the following 5 years. How much you should deposit? The rate of interest is 8% per year. Define the symbols involved and draw the cash flow diagram.
Solution P =? n = 10 years A1 = 15,000 per year for first 5 years
A2 = 25,000 per year for the next five years i.e. from year 6 to year 10
i = 8% per year
The cash flow diagram from your perspective is shown in FIG. (4.10).
Fig. 4.10 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.8
The word discrete cash flow emphasizes that the cash flow follows the end-of-period convention and occurs at the end of a period. Similarly, discrete compounding refers to the compounding of interest once each interest period. The interest formulae for these cases are given below.
A cash flow diagram that involves a present single sum P, and future single sum F, separated by n periods with interest at i% per period is shown in FIG. (4.11). Two formulae (i) a given P and its unknown equivalent F and (ii) a given F and its unknown equivalent P are given below:
Fig. 4.11 Cash flow diagram relating present equivalent and future equivalent of single cash flow
4.9.1.1 Finding F when Given P If an amount P is invested at time t = 0 as shown in FIG. (4.11) and i% is the interest rate per period, the amount will grow to a future amount of P + Pi = P(1 + i) by the end of one period. Thus, if F1 is the amount accumulated by the end of one period, then,
At the end of the second period, the amount accumulated F2 is the amount after 1 period plus the interest from the end of period 1 to the end of period 2 on the entire F1.
Thus,
Similarly, the amount of money accumulated at the end of period 3 i.e.
From the preceding values, it is evident that the amount accumulated at the end of period n i.e. F would be P(1 + i)n.
Thus,
The factor (1 + i)n in Eq. (4.7) is commonly called the single payment compound amount factor (SPCAF). A standard notation has been adopted for this factor as well as for other factors that will appear in the subsequent sections. The notation includes two cash flow symbols, the interest rate, and the number of periods. The general form of the notation is (X/Y, i%, n.) The letter X represents what is to be determined, the letter Y represents what is given. Thus, the notation for the single payment compound amount factor which is (1 + i)n is (F/P, i%, n). F/P means find F when P is given. Using this factor F can be written as:
Thus, (F/P, 5%, 10) represents the factor that is used to calculate future amount F accumulated in 10 periods (may be year), if the interest rate is 5% per period.
To simplify the engineering economy calculations, tables of factor values have been prepared for interest rates from 0.25% to 50% and time periods from 1 to large n values, depending on the i value. These tables are given at the back side of this book in Appendix A. In these tables several factors are arranged in different columns and the interest period is arranged in the first column of the tables. For a given factor, interest rate and interest period, the correct value of a factor is found at the intersection of the factor name and n. For example, the value of the factor (F/P, 5%, 10) is found in the F/P column of Table 10 at period 10 as 1.6289.
4.9.1.2 Finding P when given F From Eq. (4.7), F = P(1 + i)n. Solving this for P gives the following relationship:
The factor (1 + i)−n is called the single payment present worth factor (SPPWF). The notation for this factor is (P/F, i%, n) and thus, P can be calculated using this factor as
The numerical values of the factor (P/F, i%, n) are also given in tables for a wide range of values of i and n.
Example 4.9 A company manufactures transducers. It is investigating whether it should update certain equipment now or wait to do it later. If the cost now is 10,00,000, what will be the equivalent amount 5 years from now at an interest rate of 8% per year?
Solution The cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.12).
Example 4.10 A transport company is considering installing temperature loggers in all of its refrigerated trucks for monitoring temperature during transit. If the system will reduce insurance claims by 5,00,000 two years from now, how much should the company be willing to spend now if it uses an interest rate of 10% per year?
Fig. 4.12 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.9
Solution The cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.13).
Fig. 4.13 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.10
Example 4.11 A company is examining its cash flow requirements for the next 5 years. It expects to replace a few machines and office computers at various times over the 5-year planning period. The company expects to spend 45,000 two years from now, 40,000 three years from now and 25,000 five years from now. What is the present worth of the planned expenditure at an interest rate of 6% per year?
Solution The cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.14).
Fig. 4.14 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.11
The cash flow diagram involving a series of uniform disbursement, each of amount A, occurring at the end of each period for n periods with interest at i% per period is shown in FIG. (4.14). Such a uniform series is often called an annuity. The following points pertaining to the occurrence of uniform series, A should be noted:
The occurrence of P, F and A can be observed in FIG. (4.15). The following four formulas relating A to P and F are developed.
Fig. 4.15 General cash flow diagram for uniform series (annuity)
4.9.2.1 Finding P when given A FIG. (4.15) shows that a uniform series (annuity) each of equal amount A exists at the end of each period for n periods with interest i% per period. The formula for the present worth P can be determined by considering each A values as a future worth F, calculating its present worth with the P/F factor and summing the results. The equation thus obtained is
The terms in brackets are the P/F factors for periods 1 through n, respectively; A being common, factor it out. Thus,
In order to simplify Eq. (4.11) so as to get the P/A factor, multiply each term of Eq. (4.11) by
This results in Eq. (4.12) given below. Then subtract Eq. (4.11) from Eq. (4.12) and simplify to obtain expression for P.
Eq. (4.11) is subtracted from Eq. (4.12) to get Eq. (4.13)
The term in brackets in Eq. (4.13) is called the uniform series present worth factor (USPWF) and its notation is P/A.
Thus,
4.9.2.2 Finding A when given P The formula to obtain A when P is given is obtained by reversing the Eq. (4.13). Thus,
The term in brackets of Eq. (4.15) is called the capital recovery factor (CRF) and its notation is A/P.
Thus,
The formulas given by Eq. (4.13) and Eq. (4.15) are derived with the present worth P and the first uniform annual amount A, one year (period) apart. That is, the present worth P must always be located one period prior to the first A.
Example 4.12 How much money you should deposit in your saving accounts now to guarantee withdrawal of 3,000 per year for 10 years starting next year. The bank pays an interest rate of 9% per year.
Solution The cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.16).
Fig. 4.16 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.12
Here,
Example 4.13 How much money a company could borrow to finance an ongoing project if it expects revenues of 14,00,000 per year over a 5 year period. Expenses associated with the project are expected to be 4,50,000 per year and interest rate is 10% per year.
Solution The cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.17).
Fig. 4.17 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.12
This problem can also be solved by first finding the net cash flow at the end of each year. The net cash flow is determined as:
Thus, the net cash flow at the end of each year = 14,00,000 − 4,50,000 = 9,50,000. The cash flow diagram in terms of net cash flow is shown in FIG. (4.18).
Fig. 4.18 Net cash flow diagram, Example 4.13
Example 4.14 A company wants to have enough money to purchase a new machine in 4 years. If the machine will cost 12,50,000 how much should the company set aside each year if the account earns 8% per year.
Solution The cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.19).
Fig. 4.19 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.14
4.9.2.3 Finding F when given A From Eq. (4.9), P = F(1 + i)−n, substituting for P in Eq. (4.13) we can determine the expression for F when A is given as:
The term in the bracket is called uniform series compound amount factor (USCAF) and its notation is F/A.
Thus,
It is important to note here that F occurs at the same time as last A and n periods after P as shown in FIG. (4.15).
4.9.2.4 Finding A when given F Taking Eq. (4.17) and solving for A, it is found that
The term in the brackets is called sinking fund factor and its notation is A/F.
Thus,
Example 4.15 A company invests5 million each year for 10 years starting 1 year from now. What is the equivalent future worth if rate of interest is 10% per year.
Solution The cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.20).
Fig. 4.20 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.15
Fig. 4.21 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.16
Example 4.16 How much money must you deposit every year starting 1 year from now at 6% per year in order to accumulate 3,00,000 five years from now?
Solution The cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.21).
Table 4.1 summarizes the standard notation and equation for the six factors i.e. F/P, P/F, P/A, A/P, F/A and A/F to provide information at one place to the readers.
Table 4.1 F/P, P/F, P/A, A/P, F/A and A/F factors: Notation and equation
A cash flow series that either increases or decreases by a constant amount forms an arithmetic gradient series. In engineering economy analysis, such situations are observed in problems involving receipts or disbursements that are estimated to increase or decrease by a constant amount each period. For example, maintenance and repair expenses of an equipment may increase by a relatively constant amount each period. FIG. (4.22) shows a cash flow diagram end-of-period payment increasing by 1,000.
Fig. 4.22 Cash flow diagram of an arithmetic gradient series
It can be seen from FIG. (4.22) that the payment at the end of period 1 is 2,000 and then this amount increases by 1,000 in each of the subsequent periods. The cash flow at the end of period 1 i.e. 2,000 is called the base amount and the constant amount i.e. 1,000 by which subsequent amount increases is called arithmetic gradient G. The cash flow at the end-of-period n (CFn) may be calculated as:
For example, for FIG. (4.22), the cash flow at the end of period 4 is
It is important to note that the base amount appears at the end of period 1 and the gradient begins between period 1 and 2. The timing for the flow of gradient is shown in Table 4.2.
A generalized increasing arithmetic gradient cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.23). This is called conventional gradient.
w the following formulas are derived.
Table 4.2 Timing for the flow of gradient
End of period | Gradient |
---|---|
1 |
0 |
2 |
G |
3 |
2G |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
(n–2) |
(n−3)G |
(n−1) |
(n−2)G |
n |
(n−1)G |
Fig. 4.23 Cash flow diagram of an arithmetic gradient series
In FIG. (4.23), the present worth at period 0 of only the gradient is equal to the sum of the present worths of the individual values, where each value is considered a future amount.
Using the P/F formula and factoring out G
Multiplying both sides of Eq. (4.21) by (1 + i)1yields
Subtract Eq. (4.21) from Eq. (4.22) and simplify
After simplification,
The term in the brackets is called gradient to present worth conversion factor (GPWF) and its notation is (P/G, i%, n).
Thus,
In order to obtain a uniform series of amount A that is equivalent to the arithmetic gradient series shown in Fig. 4.23, use Eq. (4.16) and Eq. (4.25).
From Eq. (4.16): A = P(A/P, i%, n) and from Eq. (4.25):P = G(P/G, i%, n).
Therefore, A = G(P/G, i%, n)(A/P, i%, n).
The term in brackets is called the gradient to uniform series conversion factor (GUSF) and its notation is (A/G, i%, n).
Thus,
It is important to note that the use of the above two gradient conversion factors requires that there is no payment at the end of first period.
The total present worth PT at period 0 for an arithmetic gradient series is computed by considering the base amount and the gradient separately as explained below:
The general equations for calculating total present worth PT of conventional arithmetic gradient are:
Similarly, the equivalent total annual series are:
where AA is the annual base amount and AG is the equivalent annual amount of the gradient series.
Example 4.17 For the cash flow diagram shown in FIG. (4.24), compute (i) present worth and (ii) annual series amounts.
Fig. 4.24 Cash flow diagram with increasing arithmetic gradient series, Example 4.17
Solution (i) FIG. (4.24) is divided into two cash flow diagrams as shown in FIG. (4.25a) and FIG. (4.25b).
Fig. 4.25a Cash flow diagram in terms of base amount A
Now, present worth PA of the cash flow diagram shown in FIG. (4.25a) is obtained as:
Fig. 4.25b Cash flow diagram in terms of gradient G
Present worth PG of the cash flow diagram shown in FIG. (4.25b) is obtained as:
Since this problem involves an increasing arithmetic gradient series,
(ii) We also know that for an increasing arithmetic gradient series, AT = AA + AG. In this problem,
AA = 5,000 and AG can be found using A/G factor i.e. AG = G(A/G, i%, n).
AG = 1,000(A/G, 10%, 5) = 1,000(1.8101) = 1,810.1.
Thus, AT = AA + AG = 5,000 + 1,810.1 = 6,810.1.
Example 4.18 For the cash flow diagram shown in FIG. (4.26), compute (i) present worth and (ii) annual series amounts
Fig. 4.26 Cash flow diagram with decreasing arithmetic gradient series, Example 4.18
Solution (i) Cash flow diagram shown in FIG. (4.26)is partitioned in two parts as shown in FIG. (4.27a) and FIG. (4.27b).
Fig. 4.27a Cash flow diagram in terms of base amount A
Fig. 4.27b Cash flow diagram in terms of gradient G
Present worth PA of cash flow diagram shown in FIG. (4.27a) is obtained as:
Present worth PG of the cash flow diagram shown in FIG. (4.27b) is obtained as:
Since this problem involves a decreasing arithmetic gradient series,
PT = PA − PG = 19,963.5 − 3,686.2 = 16,277.3.
(ii) We also know that for a decreasing arithmetic gradient series, AT = AA −AG. In this problem, AA = 5,000 and AG can be found using A/G factor i.e. AG = G(A/G, i%, n).
AG = 500 (A/G, 10%, 5) = 500(1.8465) = 923.25.
Thus, AT = AA − AG = 5,000 − 923.25 = 4,076.75.
AT can also be found for PT using the factor A/P as:
AT = PT (A/P, i%, n) = 16,277.3 (A/P, 8%, 5) = 16,277.3(0.25046) = 4,076.81
Round off accounts for a difference of 0.06.
There are problems in which cash flow series such as operating costs, construction costs, and revenues either increase or decrease from period to period by a constant percentage, say 5% per year. This uniform rate of change defines geometric gradient series cash flows.
FIG. (4.28) depicts cash flow diagrams for geometric gradient series with increasing and decreasing uniform rates. The series starts in period 1 at an initial amount A1, which is not considered a base amount as in the arithmetic gradient. Then it increases or decreases by a constant percentage g in the subsequent periods.
The present worth Pg can be found by considering each individual cash flow as future cash flow F and finding P for given F. Thus, for the cash flow diagram shown in FIG. (4.28a)
Multiply both sides of Eq. (4.31) by subtract Eq. (4.31) from the result, factor out Pg and
obtain
Solve for Pg and simplify,
The term in brackets in Eq. (4.32) is the geometric gradient present worth factor for values of g not equal to the interest rate i. The standard notation used is (P/A, g%, i%, n) when g = i, substitute for g in Eq. (4.31) to obtain
The term appears n times, so
Fig. 4.28 Cash flow diagram of (a) increasing and (b) decreasing geometric gradient series
The formula and factor to calculate Pg in period t = 0, for a geometric gradient series starting in period 1 in the amount A1 and increasing by a constant rate of g each period are summarized below:
It should be noted that for a decreasing geometric gradient series as shown in FIG. (4.28)(b), Pg can be calculated by the same formulas as given above but –g should be used in place of g.
It is possible to derive formulas and factor for the equivalent A and F. However, it is easier to determine the Pg amount and then multiply by the A/P or F/P factors as given below:
Example 4.19 Consider the end-of-year geometric gradient series shown in FIG. (4.29), determine its present worth P, future worth F and annual worth A. The rate of increase is 15% per year after the first year and the interest rate is 20% per year.
Fig. 4.29 Cash flow diagram for geometric gradient series, Example 4.19
Solution In this problem A1 = 50,000, g = 15% per year, i = 20% per year, n = 5 years
Example 4.20 A person planning his retirement will deposit 10% of his salary each year into a stock fund for 15 years. If his salary this year is 3,00,000 (i.e. end of year 1) and he expects his salary to increase by 10% each year, what will be the present worth of the fund if it earns 8% per year?
Solution The cash flow diagram for this problem is shown in FIG. (4.30).
Fig. 4.30 Cash flow diagram for geometric gradient series, Example 4.20
The person deposits 10% of his first year's salary (i.e. 0.1 × 3,00,000 = 30,000 into the fund and then this amount decreases by 10% in each of the subsequent years. Thus, in this problem A1 = 30,000, g = 10% per year, i = 8% per year, n =15 years, Pg = ?
Example 4.21 The future worth in year 10 of a geometric gradient series of cash flows was found to be 4,00,000. If the interest rate was 10% per year and the annual rate of increase was 8% per year, what was the cash flow amount in year 1.
Solution The cash flow diagram for this problem is shown in FIG.(4.31).
Fig. 4.31 Cash flow diagram for geometric gradient series, Example 4.21
In this problem F = 4,00,000, g = 8% per year, i = 10% per year, n =10 years, A1 = ?
In order to find cash flow amount in year 1 i.e. A1, we will compute present worth at t = 0, for the given F of 4,00,000 using the factor P/F.
Thus,
This P is in fact Pg and for this A1 is found as:
It should be noted that uptil now, all the interest formulas and corresponding tabled values for uniform series have assumed end-of-period cash flows. The same tables can be used for cases in which beginning-of-period cash flows exist merely by remembering that:
The following example illustrates the determination of P, F and A of the uniform series with beginning-of-period cash flows:
Example 4.22 FIG. (4.32) shows a cash flow diagram of a uniform series of five beginning-of-period cash flows of 5,000 each. The first cash flow is at the beginning of the first period (time, t = 0) and the fifth is at the beginning of fifth period which coincides with the end of fourth period (time, t = 4). If the interest rate is 10% per year, determine (a) the worth of the uniform series at the beginning of first period and (b) the worth at the end of fifth period.
Fig. 4.32 Cash flow diagram of uniform series with beginning-of-period cash flows, Example 4.22
To find worth of the uniform series at t = 0 i.e. Po, we can take one imaginary time period t = −1, as shown in FIG. (4.33), by doing so the first amount of the uniform series appears one period after P−1:
Fig. 4.33 Cash flow diagram of uniform series with beginning-of-period cash flows, Example 4.22
P−1 can be calculated by using the factor P/A as;
But, we have to find worth at t = 0 i.e. Po. To find Po we consider P−1 as present worth and Po obviously as future worth and use the factor F/P i.e.
To find F5 consider either P−1 or P0 as present worth and use the factor F/P.
If we consider P−1, then
If we consider P0, then
Small difference in the value of F5 is observed due to rounding-off the values given in interest table.
P0 can also be found as:
In order to obtain the value of F5, we first find the value of F4 as:
For F5 this F4 becomes P and therefore F5 can be found out using factor F/P as:
If the occurrence of annuity does not happen until some later date, the annuity is known as deferred annuity. In other words, when a uniform series begins at a time other than the end of period 1, it is called a shifted uniform series. Several methods can be used to determine the equivalent present worth P for the case of deferred annuity. For example, P of the uniform series shown in FIG. (4.34) can be determined by any one of the following methods:
Fig. 4.34 Cash flow diagram of shifted uniform series
The last method is generally used for calculating the present worth of a shifted uniform series.
Example 4.23 A CAD centre just purchased a CAD software for 50,000 now and annual payments of 5,000 per year for 8 years starting 4 years from now for annual upgrades. What is the present worth of the payments if the interest rate is 8% per year?
Solution The cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.35).
Fig. 4.35 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.23
Let us first calculate the present worth of the uniform series at t = 3 i.e. P3 using the factor (P/A, i%, 5).
Thus,
Consider P3 as future worth F, compute its present worth at t = 0 i.e. P'0 using the factor (P/F, i%, 3).
Thus,
At time t = 0, there is already a cash flow Po of 50,000 and therefore the total present worth PT at t = 0 is
Example 4.24 A father decides to set aside money for his new born son's college education. He estimates that his son's need will be 1,00,000 on his 17th, 18th, 19th and 20th birthdays. If he plans to make uniform deposits starting 3 years from now and continue through year 16. What should be the size of each deposit, if the account earns interest at a rate of 8% per year?
Solution The cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.36).
Fig. 4.36 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.24
For the uniform series, each of amount 1,00,000, compute the present worth at t = 17 i.e. P17 using the factor (P/A, i%, 4).
Thus,
For the unknown uniform series, each of amount A, determine the future worth F at t = 17 i.e. F17 using the factor (F/A, i%, 14)
Thus,
Now,
In situations, where a cash flow includes both uniform series and randomly placed single amount, the equivalent present worth, equivalent future worth and equivalent annual worth are calculated by using suitable factor discussed in the previous sections. The following example illustrates this approach.
Example 4.25 Determine the present equivalent value at time t = 0 and the equivalent annual value in the cash flow diagram shown in FIG. (4.37)when i = 10% per year. Try to minimize the number of interest factors.
Solution In order to minimize the number of interest factors, we will take positive cash flow of 5,000 each at the end of year 4 and year 8 to make a uniform series of amount 5,000 right from the end of year 1 to the end of year 10. But we have to also take a single negative cash flow of amount 10,000 at the end of year 4 as well as at the end of year 8. The new cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.38).
Fig. 4.37 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.25
Fig. 4.38 Cash flow diagram
Equivalent present worth at time t = 0, is obtained as:
The equivalent uniform series is obtained using Po and converting it to A using factor A/P
Thus,
Example 4.26 A small company receives annual profit of 20,00,000 per year for 15 years beginning 1 year from now. In addition, it also receives 1,00,000 six years from now and 1,50,000 twelve years from now. What is the equivalent present worth and equivalent annual value of these receipts, if i = 15% per year.
Solution The cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.39).
Fig. 4.39 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.26
Example 4.27 Determine the present equivalent value, future equivalent value and the annual equivalent value in the cash flow diagram shown in FIG. (4.40)
Fig. 4.40 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.27
Solution
It has been shown in Section 4.10 that conventional arithmetic gradient series begins from the end of period 2 and the present worth of this series is located two periods before the gradient starts. A gradient starting at any other time is called shifted gradient. In order to calculate equivalent present worth of the shifted arithmetic gradient series, use the following steps:
To find the equivalent A series of a shifted gradient through all periods, use the equivalent present worth obtained at Step 2 and apply the factor (A/P, i%, n). The following examples illustrate the calculation of equivalent present worth P and equivalent annual worth A for shifted arithmetic gradient series.
Example 4.28 The production manager of a manufacturing firm has tracked the average repair and maintenance cost of a machine for 10 years. Cost averages were steady at 20,000 for the first five years, but have increased consistently by 5,000 for each of the last 5 years. Calculate the equivalent present worth and annual worth of the costs, if the rate of interest is 6% per year.
Solution The cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.41).
It can be seen from FIG. (4.41) that the base amount is 20,000 and the arithmetic gradient G = 5,000 starting from the end of year 6. FIG. (4.42a) & FIG. (4.42b) partitions these two series.
Fig. 4.41 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.28
Fig. 4.42 Cash flow diagram (a) base amount (b) shifted arithmetic gradient
The present worth of the cash flow diagram shown in FIG. (4.42a) i.e. PA is obtained as:
In order to calculate the present worth of the shifted arithmetic gradient series shown in FIG. (4.42b), first present worth of the arithmetic gradient G = 5,000 is calculated as:
The PG will be located two periods before gradient starts i.e. at the end of period 4 (FIG. (4.42(b)). Considering PG calculated above as future worth, the present worth P'G is calculated as;
The equivalent present worth of the cash flow diagram shown in FIG. (4.41) i.e. PT is obtained as:
The equivalent annual worth AT for the above calculated PT is obtained as:
Example 4.29 The repair and maintenance cost of a machine is 50,000 per year for the first five years. The cost increases by 10% per year thereafter for the next five years. Use i = 12% per year to determine the equivalent total present worth and annual worth for all these cash flows.
Solution The cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.43).
FIG.(4.43) shows that there is a uniform series, A = 50,000, from year 1 through year 4 and from year 5 geometric gradient series starts with A1 =50,000. The equivalent total present worth PT and annual worth AT is calculated as:
Fig. 4.43 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.29
Now,
The following examples illustrate the calculation of equivalent present worth and equivalent annual worth for problems that involve shifted decreasing arithmetic gradients.
Example 4.30 Determine the equivalent present worth and annual worth for the problem for which the cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.44).
Fig. 4.44 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.30
Solution The partitioned cash flow diagrams of the cash flow diagram in FIG. (4.44) are shown in FIG. (4.45a) and FIG. (4.45b)
For FIG. (4.45a)
Now,
For FIG. (4.45b)
Now,
Here,
Fig. 4.45 Cash flow diagram (a) shifted uniform series (b) shifted arithmetic gradient
Now,
Example 4.31 Determine the equivalent present worth and annual worth for the problem for which the cash flow diagram is shown in FIG. (4.46).
Solution For the negative cash flow sequence from year 1 to 5, the base amount is 3,000, G = 1,000 and n = 5. For the positive cash flow sequence from year 6 to 10, the base amount is 3,000, G = –500 and n = 5. In addition, there is a 5-year annual series with A = 1,000 from year 11 to 15.
For the negative cash flow sequence from year 1 to 5, let P1 is the present worth at t = 0.
Fig. 4.46 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.31
For the positive cash flow series from year 6 to 10, let P2 is the present worth at t = 0.
For the positive cash flow series from year 11 through 15, let P3 is the present worth at t = 0
Now the total present worth of positive cash flow sequence is
The net present worth
The negative sign shows that the net present worth is a negative cash flow.
The concept of nominal and effective interest rates is used when interest is compounded more than once each year. For example, if an interest rate is expressed as 10% per year compounded quarterly, the terms: nominal and effective interest rates must be considered.
Nominal interest rate r is an interest rate that does not include any consideration of compounding. It is given as:
For example, the nominal rate of r = 2% per month is same as each of the following rates:
r = 2% per month x 24 months
= 48% per 2-year period
= 2% per month × 12 months
= 24% per year
= 2% per month × 6 months
= 12% per semiannual period
= 2% per month × 3 months
= 6% per quarter
= 2% per month × 1 month
= 2% per month
= 2% per month × 0.231 months
= 0.462% per week
Effective interest rate is the actual rate that applies for a stated period of time. The compounding of interest during the time period of the corresponding nominal rate is accounted for by the effective interest rate. It is commonly expressed on an annual basis as the effective rate ia, but any time basis can be used.
When compounding frequency is attached to the nominal rate statement, it becomes the effective interest rate. If the compounding frequency is not stated, it is assumed to be the same as the time period of r, in which case the nominal and effective rates have the same value. The following are nominal rate statement. However, they will not have the same effective interest rate value over all time periods, due to the different compounding frequencies.
12% per year, compounded monthly | (Compounding more often than time period) |
12% per year, compounded quarterly | (Compounding more often than time period) |
4% per quarter, compounded monthly | (Compounding more often than time period) |
6% per quarter, compounded daily | (Compounding more often than time period) |
All the above rates have the format “r% per time period t, compounded mly.” In this format, the m is a month, a quarter, a week, or some other time unit. The following three time-based units are always associated with an interest rate statement:
Consider the rate 10% per year compounded quarterly. It has a time period t of 1 year, a compounding period CP of 1 quarter, and a compounding frequency m of 4 times per year. A rate of 12% per year compounded monthly, has t = 1 year, CP = 1 month, and m = 12. The effective interest rate per compounding period CP is determined by using the following relation:
The following example illustrates the determination of effective rate per CP.
Example 4.32 Determine the effective rate per compounding period CP for each of the following:
Solution Apply Eq. (4.37) to determine effective rate per CP.
Effective interest rate per month
Effective interest rate per quarter
Effective interest rate per week
Sometimes, it becomes really difficult to identify whether a stated rate is a nominal or an effective rate. Basically the following three ways are used to express the interest rates:
The format given at (1) does not include statement of either nominal or effective. However, the compounding frequency is stated. Thus, 12% is the nominal interest rate per year and compounding will take place four times in a year and therefore effective interest rate needs to be calculated.
In the second statement given at (2), the stated rate is identified as effective and therefore, 10% is the effective rate per year.
In the third format given at (3), no compounding frequency is identified. This is effective only over the compounding period. Thus 12% is effective per year and 3% is effective per quarter. The effective rate for any other time period must be calculated.
For a given nominal interest rate, effective annual interest rate is calculated from the following relationship:
where,
r = nominal interest rate per year
m = number of compounding periods per year
ia = effective interest rate per year
If i is the effective interest rate per compounding period then from Eq. (4.38)
Eq. (4.39) can be written as:
If the effective annual rate ia and compounding frequency m are known, Eq. (4.40) can be solved for i to determine the effective interest rate per compounding period.
It is also possible to determine the nominal annual rate r using the above stated definition i.e.
Example 4.33 Determine the effective annual interest rate for each of the following nominal interest rate
Solution (a) Here r = 12% per year; m = 12; ia= ?. Using Eq. (4.39), we get
Here r = 12% per year; m = 4, ia =?. Using Eq. (4.39), we get
Table 4.3 shows the effective annual interest rates for various nominal interest rates and compounding periods.
Table 4.3 Effective annual interest rates for various nominal rates and
Consider a situation in which you deposit a certain amount each month into your saving account that pays a nominal interest rate of 12% per year, compounded quarterly. In this situation, the payment period (PP) is 1 month while the compounding period (CP) is 1 quarter i.e. 3 months. Similarly, if a person deposits money each year into his saving account which compounds interest monthly, the PP is 1 year while CP is 1 month. The following relationship is used to calculate effective interest rate for any time period or payment period:
where,
r = nominal interest rate per payment period (PP)
m = number of compounding periods per payment period (PP)
Example 4.34 A company makes payments on a semiannual basis only. Determine the effective interest rate per payment period for each of the following interest rate.
Solution
If a nominal interest rate is given and the number of compounding periods per year and number of years are known, the future worth or present worth for a problem can easily be calculated using equations (4.8) and equations (4.10) respectively.
Example 4.35 A person invests 25,000 for 15 years at 8% compounded quarterly. How much will it worth at the end of 15th year?
Solution The following methods can be used to solve the problem:
Method I
There are four compounding periods per year or a total of 4 × 15 = 60 periods.
The interest rate per interest period is 8%/4 = 2%.
Now, the future worth is calculated as
Method II
The effective annual interest rate is calculated as:
Now F = P(F/P, 8.24%, 15)
F = 25,000(F/P, 8.24%, 15)
The value of the factor F/P for an interest rate of 8.24% for 15 years is not available in the interest tables. However, it can be found by using linear interpolation as described below:
The first step in linear interpolation is to setup the known (values 1 and 2) and unknown factors, as shown in Table 4.4. A ratio equation is then setup and solved for c, as follows:
where a, b, c and d represent the differences between the numbers shown in the interest tables.
Table 4.4 Linear interpolation setup
Using the procedure, we can find the value of (F/P, 8.24%, 15) as follows:
The value of (F/P, 8%, 15) is 3.1722 and the value of (F/P, 9%, 15) is 3.6425.
The unknown X is the desired factor value. From Eq. (4.44)
Thus, the value of (F/P, 8.24%, 15) = 3.2851
The difference in the value of F from Method I and Method II is due to interpolated value of the factor (F/P, 8.24%, 15).
When there is more than one compounded interest period per year, the formulae and tables for uniform series and gradient series can be used as long as there is a cash flow at the end of each interest period, as shown in figures 4.15 and 4.23 for uniform series and gradient series, respectively.
Example 4.36 You have borrowed 15,000 now and it is to be repaid by equal end-of-quarter installments for 5 years with interest at 8% compounded quarterly. What is the amount of each payment?
Solution The number of installment payments is 5 × 4 = 20 and the interest rate per quarter is 8%/4 = 2%. When these values are used in Eq. (4.27), we find that
Example 4.37 The repair and maintenance cost of a machine is zero at the end of first quarter, 5,000 at the end of second quarter and then it increases by 5,000 at the end of each quarter thereafter for a total of 3 years. Determine the equivalent uniform payment at the end of each quarter if interest rate is 12% compounded quarterly.
Solution The cash flow diagram is shown in Fig. 4.47. Here each period represents one quarter. The number of quarter in 3 years is 3 × 4 = 12 and the interest rate per quarter is 12%/4 = 3%. When these values are used in equations (4.27), we find that
Fig. 4.47 Cash flow diagram, Example 4.37
It refers to problems in which uniform cash flow occurs less number of times than the compounding period. For example, the uniform cash flow occurs only once in a year at the end of each year but the compounding of interest takes place quarterly i.e. 4 times in a year. The equivalent future worth can be calculated by using equations (4.20).
Example 4.38 There exists a series of 5 end-of-year receipts of 5,000 each. Determine its equivalent future worth if interest is 8% compounded quarterly.
Solution The cash flow diagram is shown in Fig. 4.48.
Fig. 4.48 Uniform series with cash flow occurring less often than compounding periods, Example 4.38
This problem can be solved by the following methods:
Method I
Interest is 8%/4 = 2% per quarter, but the uniform series cash flows are not at the end of each quarter. To get the uniform cash flow at the end of each quarter, the cash flow at the end of year 1i.e. 5,000 is considered as future worth F. The uniform cash flow at the end of each quarter of year 1, A is obtained as:
Thus, the uniform cash flow at the end of each quarter of year 1 is 1,213.0. This is true not only for the first year but also for each of the 5 years under consideration. Hence the original series of 5 end-of-year receipts of 5,000 each can be converted to a problem involving 20 end-of-quarter receipts of 1,213.0 each as shown in Fig. 4.49.
Fig. 4.49 Uniform series with cash flow at the end of each quarter
The future worth at the end of fifth year (20th quarter) can then be calculated as:
Method II
The effective annual interest rate is calculated as:
Now,
The value of (F/A, 8%, 5) is 5.8666 and the value of (F/A, 9%, 5) is 5.9847.
The unknown X is the desired factor value. From equations (4.44)
Thus, the value of (F/A, 8.24%, 5) = 5.8949
Therefore, F =5,000(5.8949) = 29,474.5.
The difference in the value of F from Method I and Method II is due to interpolated value of the factor (F/A 8.24%, 5).
It refers to problems in which uniform cash flow occurs more number of times than the compounding period. For example, the uniform cash flow occurs monthly in a year at the end of each month but the compounding of interest takes place quarterly i.e. four times in a year. The equivalent future worth can be calculated by using Eq. (4.18).
Example 4.39 You deposit 1,000 every month in your saving account for 3 years. What is the equivalent worth and the end of 3 years if interest is 8% compounded quarterly?
Solution This problem can be solved by the following methods:
Method I
It is assumed that there is no interest compounded on any amount except that which is in the account by the end of each quarter. Thus, the amount deposited each quarter totals 1,000 × 3 = 3,000. The interest per quarter is 8%/2 = 2% and the number of quarter in 3 years is 3 × 4 = 12. The compounded amount at the end of 3 years is
Method II
First, the appropriate nominal interest rate per month that compounds to 2% each quarter is calculated as:
Therefore, the future amount at the end of 3 years with monthly compounding at r12 per month is
Out of the above two methods, the first one is the more realistic and is recommended for solving this type of problem.
Year | Income, | Expenses, |
---|---|---|
0 |
5,000 | 3,000 |
1–6 |
20,000 | 8,000 |
7–12 |
25,000 | 10,000 |
Year | Income, | Expenses, |
---|---|---|
0 |
5,000 | 3,000 |
1−6 |
20,000 | 8,000 |
7−12 |
25,000 | 10,000 |
Cash flow diagram for Problem 31
Cash flow diagram for Problem 32
Cash flow for Problem 34
End of Quarter | Amount of Deposit, per Quarter | Amount of Withdrawal, Per Quarter |
---|---|---|
1 | 5,000 | — |
2−4 | 4,000 | — |
7−10 | 6,000 | 2,500 |
11−12 | 7,000 | 1,500 |
15 | — | 3,000 |
Quarter | Cash Flow per Quarter |
---|---|
1 |
5,000 |
2−3 |
6,000 |
5−8 |
7,000 |
18.189.189.239