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Measuring and Managing Liquidity Risk
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Measuring and Managing Liquidity Risk
by Francesco Fede, Antonio Castagna
Measuring and Managing Liquidity Risk
Cover Page
Title Page
Copyright
Dedication
Contents
Preface
About the authors
Abbreviations and acronyms
Part I: Liquidity and banking activity
1: Banks as lemons?
1.1 INTRODUCTION
1.2 THE FIRST WAVE
1.3 BANKS AS LEMONS?
1.4 THE RESPONSE
1.5 THE SECOND WAVE
1.6 CONCLUSION
2: A journey into liquidity
2.1 INTRODUCTION
2.2 CENTRAL BANK LIQUIDITY
2.3 FUNDING LIQUIDITY
2.4 MARKET LIQUIDITY
2.5 THE VIRTUOUS CIRCLE
2.6 THE VICIOUS CIRCLE
2.7 SECOND-ROUND EFFECTS
2.8 THE ROLE OF THE CENTRAL BANK, SUPERVISION AND REGULATION
2.9 CONCLUSIONS
3: Too big to fail
3.1 INTRODUCTION
3.2 WHEN GIANTS FALL
3.3 A HARD LESSON
3.4 CLOSER SUPERVISION
3.5 G-SIFI REGULATIONS
3.6 THE NEXT STEPS
3.7 CONCLUSION
4: The new framework
4.1 INTRODUCTION
4.2 SOME BASIC LIQUIDITY RISK MEASURES
4.3 THE FIRST MOVER
4.4 BASEL III: THE NEW FRAMEWORK FOR LIQUIDITY RISK MEASUREMENT AND MONITORING
4.5 INSIDE THE LIQUIDITY COVERAGE RATIO
4.6 THE OTHER METRICS
4.7 INTRADAY LIQUIDITY RISK
4.8 BEYOND THE RATIOS
4.9 CONCLUSION
5: Know thyself!
5.1 INTRODUCTION
5.2 SOME CHANGES ON THE LIABILITIES SIDE
5.3 THE ROLE OF LEVERAGE
5.4 THE ORIGINATE-TO-DISTRIBUTE BUSINESS MODEL
5.5 THE LIQUIDITY FRAMEWORK
5.6 STRESS-TESTING AND CONTINGENCY FUNDING PLAN
5.7 THE CEBS IDENTITY CARD
5.8 CONCLUSIONS
5.9 APPENDIX: THE CEBS IDENTITY CARD ANNEX(CEBS [ 98 ])
Part II: Tools to Manage Liquidity risk
6: Monitoring liquidity
6.1 A TAXONOMY OF CASH FLOWS
6.2 LIQUIDITY OPTIONS
6.3 LIQUIDITY RISK
6.4 QUANTITATIVE LIQUIDITY RISK MEASURES
6.5 THE TERM STRUCTURE OF EXPECTED LIQUIDITY
6.6 CASH FLOWS AT RISK AND THE TERM STRUCTURE OF LIQUIDITY AT RISK
7: Liquidity buffer and term structure of funding
7.1 INTRODUCTION
7.2 LIQUIDITY BUFFER AND COUNTERBALANCING CAPACITY
7.3 THE FIRST CAUSE OF THE NEED FOR A LIQUIDITY BUFFER: MATURITY MISMATCH
7.4 FUNDING ASSETS WITH SEVERAL LIABILITIES
7.5 ACTUAL SCENARIOS SEVERER THAN PREDICTED
7.6 THE TERM STRUCTURE OF AVAILABLE FUNDING AND THE LIQUIDITY BUFFER
7.7 NON-MATURING LIABILITIES
7.8 THE SECOND CAUSE OF THE LIQUIDITY BUFFER: COLLATERAL MARGINING
7.9 THE THIRD CAUSE OF THE LIQUIDITY BUFFER: OFF-BALANCE-SHEET COMMITMENTS
7.10 BASEL III REGULATION AND LIQUIDITY BUFFER
8: Models for market risk factors
8.1 INTRODUCTION
8.2 STOCK PRICES AND FX RATES
8.3 INTEREST RATE MODELS
8.4 DEFAULT PROBABILITIES AND CREDIT SPREADS
8.5 EXPECTED AND MINIMUM LIQUIDITY GENERATION CAPACITY OF AVAILABLE BONDS
8.6 FAIR HAIRCUT FOR REPO TRANSACTIONS AND COLLATERALIZED LOANS
8.7 ADJUSTMENTS TO THE VALUE OF ILLIQUID BONDS
APPENDIX 8.A EXPECTATION VALUE OF THE BOND WITH SELLING PROBABILITY AND SPREAD
9: Behavioural models
9.1 INTRODUCTION
9.2 PREPAYMENT MODELLING
9.3 SIGHT DEPOSIT AND NON-MATURING LIABILITY MODELLING
9.4 CREDIT LINE MODELLING
APPENDIX 9.A GENERAL DECOMPOSITION OF HEDGING SWAPS
APPENDIX 9.B ACCURACY OF MORTGAGE RATE APPROXIMATION
APPENDIX 9.C ACCURACY OF THE APPROXIMATED FORMULA FOR CORRELATED MORTGAGE RATE AND PREPAYMENT INTENSITY
APPENDIX 9.D CHARACTERISTIC FUNCTION OF THE INTEGRAL
Part III: Pricing Liquidity risk
10: The links between credit risk and funding cost
10.1 INTRODUCTION
10.2 THE AXIOM
10.3 CASH FLOW FAIR VALUES AND DISCOUNTING
10.4 CRITIQUE OF DEBIT VALUE ADJUSTMENT
10.5 DVA FOR DERIVATIVE CONTRACTS
10.6 EXTENSION TO POSITIVE RECOVERY AND LIQUIDITY RISK
10.7 DYNAMIC REPLICATION OF DVA
10.8 RECAPITULATION OF RESULTS
10.9 ACCOUNTING STANDARD AND DVA
10.10 DISTINCTION BETWEEN PRICE AND VALUE
11: Cost of liquidity and fund transfer pricing
11.1 INTRODUCTION
11.2 PRINCIPLES OF TRANSFER PRICING
11.3 FUNDING AND BANKING ACTIVITY
11.4 BUILDING A FUNDING CURVE
11.5 INCLUDING THE FUNDING COST IN LOAN PRICING
11.6 MONITORING FUNDING COSTS AND RISK CONTROL OF REFUNDING RISK
11.7 FUNDING COSTS AND ASSET/LIABILITY MANAGEMENT
11.8 INTERNAL FUND TRANSFER PRICING SYSTEM
11.9 BEST PRACTICES AND REGULATION
12: Liquidity risk and the cost of funding in derivative contracts
12.1 PRICING OF DERIVATIVE CONTRACTS UNDER COLLATERAL AGREEMENTS
12.2 PRICING OF COLLATERALIZED DERIVATIVE CONTRACTS WHEN MORE THAN ONE CURRENCY IS INVOLVED
12.3 VALUATION OF NON-COLLATERALIZED INTEREST RATE SWAPS INCLUDING FUNDING COSTS
13: A sort of conclusion: towards a new treasury?
13.1 INTRODUCTION
13.2 ORGANIZATION OF THE TREASURY AND THE DEALING ROOM
13.3 BANKING VS TRADING BOOK
References
Index
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