16


Summary of pricing formulae

Notation

Time value of money

Money markets calculations

Capital markets instruments

Financial futures

Forward rate agreements (FRAs)

Interest rate swaps

Foreign exchange

Option characteristics

Option pricing

Bond derivatives

Equity derivatives

Probability and statistics

Yield curves

NOTATION

iannual interest rate
nnumber of payments per year
daysnumber of days in the investment/coupon period
yearnumber of days in a year
Nnumber of years or coupon periods
Pprice
APRannual percentage rate, effective rate or equivalent annual rate
PVpresent value
FVfuture value
DFdiscount factor

TIME VALUE OF MONEY

Effective and nominal rates

Relationship between the interest rate i with n payments per year and the APR:

Images

Continuously compounded rate

Images

where i is the nominal interest rate.

For annual effective rate APR:

r = ln(1 + APR)

Reinvestment rates

For unequal rates applying to different investment periods:

Images

Short-term investments

Images

Long-term investments

Images

Discount factors

Images

NPV and IRR

Internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate that discounts all the cashflows, including any cashflow now, to zero.

IRR discounts all the future cashflows to a given NPV.

MONEY MARKETS CALCULATIONS

Certificate of deposit (CD)

Proceeds at maturity:

Images

Secondary market yield:

Images

Discount instruments

Proceeds at maturity:

Maturity proceeds P = F(face value)

Secondary market price:

Images

CAPITAL MARKETS INSTRUMENTS

Simple bond dirty price formula

Images

where:

Ck is the kth cashflow (including the final redemption amount)

i is the bond yield, based on the payment frequency

n is the number of coupons per year

dk is the number of days until the kth cashflow.

Accrued coupon

Images

where dcs is the time period between the last coupon date and the sale of the bond.

Clean bond price

Images

where:

C is the annual coupon rate

N is the number of outstanding coupons

i is the annual bond yield, based on the payment frequency

n is the number of coupons per year

f is the ratio between the number of days until the next coupon and the full coupon period.

Ex-dividend

Images

where:

dpc is the time period between the bond purchase and the next coupon.

Bond yield

Flat yield:

Flat yield = (Coupon rate/Clean price) × 100

Simple yield to maturity:

Images

Yield accounting for coupon payments and irregular first coupon period (derived from the pricing formula):

Images

where:

C is the annual coupon rate

N is the number of outstanding coupons

i is the annual bond yield, based on the payment frequency

n is the number of coupons per year

f is the ratio between the number of days until the next coupon and the full coupon period.

Portfolio duration

Macaulay duration:

Images

Modified duration:

Images

FINANCIAL FUTURES

Futures price

Price = 100 – Implied forward interest rate × 100

Futures settlement price

Images

Expressed in terms of ‘ticks’:

Profit/Loss = Tick movement × Tick size × Number of contracts

Futures strip rate

Images

FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS (FRAs)

FRA rate

Images

where:

iL is the interest rate for the longer period

iS is the interest rate for the shorter period

dL is the number of days in the longer period

dS is the number of days in the shorter period

year is the number of days in the year.

FRA settlement price

Images

where:

f is the FRA interest rate

df is the number of days in the FRA period

year is the number of days in the year.

INTEREST RATE SWAPS

Short-term swap valuation at inception

Images

where:

rS is the swap rate

daysk is the number of days covered by the kth FRA contract

DFk is the discount factor derived from the kth FRA rate f using:

Images

Later valuation of short-term swap fixed leg

Images

where:

P is the value of the fixed leg at a later date

rS is the swap rate, fixed at inception

daysk is the number of days covered by the kth FRA contract

DFk is the discount factor derived from the kth FRA rate fk using:

Images

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

Spot rates

Given exchange rates X/Y and X/Z, the cross-rates are:

Images

and

Images

Given exchange rates Y/X and Z/X, the cross-rates are:

Images

and

Images

Given exchange rates Y/X and X/Z, the cross-rates are:

Images

and

Images

Forward outrights

Images

where:

FXf is the forward exchange rate

FXs is the spot exchange rate

rv is the interest rate applicable to variable currency

rb is the interest rate applicable to base currency.

Forward swaps

Forward swap = Forward outright – Spot

Images

where:

FS is the forward swap price

FXf is the forward exchange rate

FXs is the spot exchange rate

rv is the interest rate applicable to variable currency

rb is the interest rate applicable to base currency.

Cross-rate forwards

Given forward exchange rates X/Y and X/Z, the forward cross-rates are:

Images

and

Images

Given forward exchange rates Y/X and Z/X, the forward cross-rates are:

Images

and

Images

Given forward exchange rates Y/X and X/Z, the forward cross-rates are:

Images

and

Images

Cross-rate forward swaps

Given spot exchange rates Xs/Ys and Xs/Zs and forward exchange rates Xf/Yf and Xf/Zf, the forward cross-rate swap prices are:

Images

Given exchange rates Y/X and Z/X, the forward cross-rates are:

Images

Given exchange rates Y/X and X/Z, the forward cross-rates are:

Images

OPTION CHARACTERISTICS

Put-call parity

C − P = S − K

where:

C is the call premium, P is the put premium

S is the futures price, K is the exercise price/option strike.

Physically settled options

C − P = S − Ke–rt

where:

r is the continuously compounded interest rate

t is time to expiry expressed as Images.

Options on dividend-paying stocks

C − P = S − Ke–rt − D

where:

D is the present value of the expected dividend.

Options on stock index (dividend yield continuous)

C − P = Se–dt − Ke–rt

where:

d is the continuously compounded dividend yield.

Cross-currency options

C − P = Se–ft − Ke–rt

where:

f is the continuously compounded foreign currency interest rate

S is the spot exchange rate.

Options on futures with up-front premiums

C − P = S − K

Options on futures with margined premiums

C − P = Se–rt − Ke–rt

Option value sensitivities – ‘option Greeks’

Options sensitivity toNamed as
UnderlyingDelta
Changes in deltaGamma
VolatilityVega or kappa
Time decayTheta
Interest ratesRho

Images

OPTION PRICING

Risk-neutral pricing using binomial trees

Call option premium boundaries:

Images

Probability-weighted stock price

Images

Pricing options using hedge ratio

Images

where:

Images

Dividend paying stock options

Images

Cross-currency options

Images

Option pricing using Black–Scholes

Black–Scholes model:

Images

where:

Images

and

S is the underlying stock/share price

X is the exercise price

r is the annual continuously compounded risk-free rate

t is the time (in years)

σ is the annual stock price volatility

N(d) is the cumulative probability that deviations less than d will occur in a normal distribution with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1

N(d1) is the probability of the stock price rising to a certain level

N(d2) is the probability of the stock price rising above the strike (but it is irrelevant by how much).

Options on futures (premiums paid up front)

Images

Options on futures (premiums margined)

Images

Currency options

Images

Black model

Black model for interest rate derivatives:

Images

where:

Images

where F is the current market forward swap rate, and Rx is the underlying swap rate (option strike). All other variables have the same meaning as before.

BOND DERIVATIVES

Bond futures

Deliverable bond valuation:

Images

Bond futures price:

Images

Forward bond price:

Images

Bond repos

Images

where r is the repo rate and days refers to number of days until maturity.

Bond options

Black model for bond options:

Images

Put–call parity for bond options:

Images

F is the futures price

K is the exercise price/option strike

r is the continuously compounded interest rate.

EQUITY DERIVATIVES

Equity index futures

Images

The futures settlement price:

Images

Equity index futures price:

Images

where:

i is the annual funding rate

d is the dividend yield on underlying equity.

Stock beta

Portfolio beta:

Images

where:

βi is the individual equity beta

Vi is the individual equity share value

VP is the total value of the portfolio.

Images

Equity index options

Black–Scholes for equity index options:

Images

where dividend yield d is assumed to be paid continuously.

Put-call parity for equity index options:

Images

Single stock options

Black–Scholes for single stock options:

Images

where dividend payments until expiry are captured by reducing the stock price by the present value of dividends.

Put–call parity for dividend-paying single stocks:

C − P = S − D − Ke−rt

where D is the present value of expected dividend.

Equity index swap valuation

PV(swap) = PV(equity index leg) − PV(floating leg) = 0

PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

Main concepts of probability

Probability of an event E when there are several equally likely outcomes:

P(E) = Number of ways E can occur/Total number of possible outcomes

Sample-based probability:

P(E) = Number of observed occurrences of E/Total number of observed occurrences

Joint probability

Independent events:

Images

Dependent events:

Images

Probability distribution

Probability that the continuous variable x has a value between a and b inclusive:

Images

Probability that the discrete variable x has a value X or lies between a and b inclusive:

Images

Probability that the continuous variable x has a value less than or equal to X:

Images

Probability that the discrete variable x has a value less than or equal to X:

Images

Binomial distribution

Binomial probability function:

Images

where the number of possible combinations of x successes in n trials is given by:

Images

and the probability of x successes and n – x failures in a trial is given by:

Images

Normal distribution

Normal distribution function:

Images

Standard normal distribution function:

Images

Meanlocation parameter μ
Medianlocation parameter μ
Modelocation parameter μ
Standard dev.scale parameter σ

Log-normal distribution

Log-normal distribution function:

Images

Standard log-normal distribution function:

Images

YIELD CURVES

Choice of instruments

  1. Cash deposits.
  2. Interest rate futures.
  3. Interest rate swaps.

Deposit discount factors

The forward–forward rate is given by:

Images

and the relationship between the rate and the DF is:

Images

Hence it follows:

Images

where:

year is the number of days in the year

daysS, daysE and daysS,E are the relevant time periods

dS and dE are the discount factors for the period start and end date

dS,E is the discount factor for the period daysS,E

rS and rE are the spot rates for the period start and end dates

rS,E is the interest rate for the period daysS,E.

Futures discount factors

Given the futures rate:

Images

the DF for the end of the forward period is given by:

Images

Swap discount factors

Images

where:

P is the notional principal

dk is the discount factor for the end of period k, implying d0 = 1

daysk is the number of days in the coupon period k

Lk-1,k is the Libor for that period

C is the fixed coupon rate for the duration of the swap.

As the interest rate r implied by the DFs for adjacent periods can be calculated as:

Images

It follows:

Images

In general:

Images

Interpolation methods

Zero rate linear interpolation:

Images

which, when rearranged, gives:

Images

DF for the unknown point can be calculated as:

Images

where the symbol ^ denotes ‘power of ’.

Log-linear interpolation

Images

..................Content has been hidden....................

You can't read the all page of ebook, please click here login for view all page.
Reset
18.116.65.1