Forward rates

An investor who plans to invest at a later time might be curious to know what the future interest rate might look like, as implied by today's term structure of interest rates. For example, you might ask: What is the one-year spot rate one year from now? To answer this question, one can calculate forward rates for the period between Forward rates and Forward rates using this formula:

Forward rates

Here, Forward rates and Forward rates are the continuously compounded annual interest rates at time period Forward rates and Forward rates respectively.

The following Python code helps us generate a list of forward rates from a list of spot rates:

"""
Get a list of forward rates
starting from the second time period
"""


class ForwardRates(object):
    
    def __init__(self):
        self.forward_rates = []
        self.spot_rates = dict()
        
    def add_spot_rate(self, T, spot_rate):
        self.spot_rates[T] = spot_rate
    
    def __calculate_forward_rate___(self, T1, T2):
        R1 = self.spot_rates[T1]
        R2 = self.spot_rates[T2]
        forward_rate = (R2*T2 - R1*T1)/(T2 - T1)
        return forward_rate

    def get_forward_rates(self):
        periods = sorted(self.spot_rates.keys())
        for T2, T1 in zip(periods, periods[1:]):
            forward_rate = 
                self.__calculate_forward_rate___(T1, T2)
            self.forward_rates.append(forward_rate)

        return self.forward_rates

Using spot rates derived from our preceding yield curve, we get the following result:

>>> fr = ForwardRates()
>>> fr.add_spot_rate(0.25, 10.127)
>>> fr.add_spot_rate(0.50, 10.469)
>>> fr.add_spot_rate(1.00, 10.536)
>>> fr.add_spot_rate(1.50, 10.681)
>>> fr.add_spot_rate(2.00, 10.808)
>>> print fr.get_forward_rates()
[10.810999999999998, 10.603, 10.971, 11.189]

Calling the get_forward_rates method of the ForwardRates class returns a list of forward rates, starting from the next time period.

..................Content has been hidden....................

You can't read the all page of ebook, please click here login for view all page.
Reset
3.145.12.156