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by Christian H. Weiss
An Introduction to Discrete-Valued Time Series
Cover
Title Page
Copyright
Dedication
Preface
About the Companion Website
Chapter 1: Introduction
Part I: Count Time Series
Chapter 2: A First Approach for Modeling Time Series of Counts: The Thinning-based INAR(1) Model
2.0 Preliminaries: Notation and Characteristics of Count Distributions
2.1 The INAR(1) Model for Time-dependent Counts
2.2 Approaches for Parameter Estimation
2.3 Model Identification
2.4 Checking for Model Adequacy
2.5 A Real-data Example
2.6 Forecasting of INAR(1) Processes
Chapter 3: Further Thinning-based Models for Count Time Series
3.1 Higher-order INARMA Models
3.2 Alternative Thinning Concepts
3.3 The Binomial AR Model
3.4 Multivariate INARMA Models
Chapter 4: INGARCH Models for Count Time Series
4.1 Poisson Autoregression
4.2 Further Types of INGARCH Models
4.3 Multivariate INGARCH Models
Chapter 5: Further Models for Count Time Series
5.1 Regression Models
5.2 Hidden-Markov Models
5.3 Discrete ARMA Models
Part II: Categorical Time Series
Chapter 6: Analyzing Categorical Time Series
6.1 Introduction to Categorical Time Series Analysis
6.2 Marginal Properties of Categorical Time Series
6.3 Serial Dependence of Categorical Time Series
Chapter 7: Models for Categorical Time Series
7.1 Parsimoniously Parametrized Markov Models
7.2 Discrete ARMA Models
7.3 Hidden-Markov Models
7.4 Regression Models
Part III: Monitoring Discrete-Valued Processes
Chapter 8: Control Charts for Count Processes
8.1 Introduction to Statistical Process Control
8.2 Shewhart Charts for Count Processes
8.3 Advanced Control Charts for Count Processes
Chapter 9: Control Charts for Categorical Processes
9.1 Sample-based Monitoring of Categorical Processes
9.2 Continuously Monitoring Categorical Processes
Part IV: Appendices
Appendix A: Examples of Count Distributions
A.1 Count Models for an Infinite Range
A.2 Count Models for a Finite Range
A.3 Multivariate Count Models
Appendix B: Basics about Stochastic Processes and Time Series
B.1 Stochastic Processes: Basic Terms and Concepts
B.2 Discrete-Valued Markov Chains
B.3 ARMA Models: Definition and Properties
B.4 Further Selected Models for Continuous-valued Time Series
Appendix C: Computational Aspects
C.1 Some Comments about the Use of R
C.2 List of R Codes
C.3 List of Datasets
References
List of Acronyms
List of Notations
Index
End User License Agreement
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Index
a
Absorbing state,
see
States
ACP model
Alarm
AR model
ARCH model
ARMA model
Assignable cause
Attributes data
Autocorrelation function
partial
sample
Autocorrelation matrix
Autocovariance function
sample
Autoregressive conditional Poisson model
Average number of events
Average number of observations to signal
Average run length
Average time to signal
b
Backshift operator
Bessel function
Beta function
Bilinear models
BIN model
BINAR(1) model
Binarization
Binary ARMA model
Binary autoregression
logit
Binary process
Binomial AR(1) model
beta-
bivariate
Binomial AR(p) model
Binomial coefficient
Binomial subsampling,
see
Binomial thinning
Binomial thinning
beta-
bivariate
matrix-
signed
Branching processes withimmigration
c
Categorical autoregression
logit
Categorical dispersion
Central limit theorem
Central moments
Change point
Characteristic polynomial
CINAR(p) model
CLAR(1) model
Cohen's
κ
partial
Coherent
forecasting
Compositional data
Conditional expected delay
Control chart
ARL-unbiased
c
cumulative sum
CUSUM
Bernoulli
log-LR
EWMA
exponentially weighted moving-average
np
p
runs
Shewhart
Control limits
Copula
Correlogram
Count data
Counting series
Cramer's
v
partial
Cumulant generating function
Cumulants
Cumulative distribution function
d
DAR model
DAR(1) model
Datasets
Discrete ARMA models
Discrete autoregressive models
Distribution
Bernoulli
bivariate
beta-binomial
binomial
bivariate
Markov
compound Poisson
convolution-closed
discrete self-decomposable
geometric
shifted
Good
Hermite
infinitely divisible
logarithmic series
multinomial
Markov
negative binomial
multivariate
one-point
Poisson
compound
Conway—Maxwell
double
generalized
multivariate
of order
ν
power-law weighted
Poisson-stopped sum
Skellam
two-point
uniform
zero-inflated
zero-modified
DMA model
Double-chain Markov model
e
Eigenvalues
EM algoithm
Entropy
Equidispersion
Estimating functions
Estimation
conditional least squares
maximum likelihood
method of moments
Exponential AR model
Extra-binomial variation
f
Factorial
cumulants
Factorial moments
Factorial-cumulant generatingfunction
Falling factorial
False alarm
Fast initial response
Feedback mechanism
Filter
absolutely summable
causal
inverse
Fisher information
expected
observed
Forecast horizon aggregation
Fundamental matrix
g
Gamma function
GARCH model
GLARMA model
Generalized linear models
Generalized thinning
GINAR(p) model
Gini index
h
Heteroskedasticity
Hidden-Markov models
Baum—Welch algorithm
forecasting
global decoding
higher-order
local decoding
Poisson
i
i.i.d.
In-control
ARL
INAR(1) model
compound Poisson
CP-
forecasting
geometric
MC approximation
NB-
Poisson
properties
simulation
INAR(p) model
INARCH model
dispersed
Poisson
INARMA model
INARS(p) model
INBL model
Index of dispersion
binomial
Indicator function
Information criteria
INGARCH model
binomial
bivariate binomial
bivariate Poisson
CP-
GP-
NB-
Poisson
ZIP-
Initial distribution
INMA(1) model
INMA(q) model
Innovations
Invariant distribution
k
Kronecker delta
l
Lag
Laurent series
Likelihood
function
partial
Likelihood ratio
Linear process
Link function
canonical
identity
log
logit
natural
Logarithmic score
m
MA model
Marginal calibration diagram
Markov chain
aperiodic
binary
categorical
classification
discrete-valued
ergodic
finite
homogeneous
irreducible
mixing
null recurrent
positive recurrent
primitive
transient
Markov chain approach
Markov process
binary
Markov-switching AR model
Mathematica
Matlab
Matrix
non-negative
sparse
stochastic
MINAR(1) model
Mixing
α
-
Π
-
strongly
Mixture transition distribution
M/M/∞
queue
Moment generating function
Moments
sample
Moving-average
MTD model
binary
Multiplication problem
n
NDARMA model
Negative binomial thinning
NGINAR(1) process
Numerical optimization
o
Observation-driven model
Markov
Poisson
Odds
Ordinal autoregression
logit
Out-of-control
ARL
Overdispersion
p
Parameter-driven model
multivariate
Pearson residuals
Pearson's
χ2
-statistic
Periodically varying parameters
Perron—Frobenius theorem
Phase I
Phase II
PIT histogram
Point forecast
Poisson autoregression
linear
log-linear
non-linear
Poisson INAR(1) model,
see
INAR(1) model
Poisson
thinning
Polylogarithm
Prediction interval
Prediction region
Probability generating function
bivariate
Probability integral transform
Probability mass function
Process
categorical
continuous-valued
count
discrete-valued
linear
real-valued
Pseudo-residuals
q
Quadratic score
r
R
R codes
Random coefficient thinning
Random variable
categorical
nominal
ordinal
continuously distributed
count
discretely distributed
real-valued
Random walk
Ranked probability score
Rate evolution graph
RCINAR(1) model
Realization
Regression model
binary
categorical
complementary log-log
conditional
log-log
log-linear
logit
marginal
negative binomial
ordered logit
ordinal
Poisson
probit
proportional odds
random component
systematic component
Response function
Run length
s
Sample path
Sample variance
Scoring rules
Seasonal log-linear model
Self-exciting threshold model
Sequential probability ratio test
Serial dependence
signed
unsigned
Serial independence
Simulation
Spectral envelope
State space
State space model
observation equation
State equation
State-dependent parameters
States
absorbing
communicating
inessential
Stationarity
weak
Statistical process
control
Steady-state ARL
Stirling numbers
Stochastic process,
see
Process
t
Thinning operation
Time reversibility
Time series
categorical
count
Time series model
Transition matrix
eigenvalues
Transition probability
h
-step-ahead
u
Underdispersion
Unit simplex
v
Variable-length Markov model
Variables data
VARMA model
Viterbi algorithm
w
White noise
multivariate
weak
y
Yule—Walker equations
z
ℤ
-valued time series
Zero deflation
Zero index
Zero inflation
Zero-state ARL
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