Chapter 33
Capital structure, taxes and organisation theories

There’s no gain without pain

In the previous chapter we saw that the value of a firm is the same whether or not it has taken on debt. True, shareholders will pay less for the shares of a levered company, but they will have to pay back the debt (or buy it, which amounts to the same thing) before obtaining access to the enterprise value. In the end, they will have paid, directly or indirectly, the same amount (value of equity plus repayment of net debt1); that is, the enterprise value.

Now, what about the financial manager who must issue securities to finance the creation of enterprise value? It does not matter whether he issues only shares or a combination of bonds and shares, since again the proceeds will be the same – the enterprise value.

Enterprise value depends on future flows and how the related, non-diversifiable risks are perceived by the market.

But if that is the case, why diversify sources of financing? The preceding theory is certainly elegant, but it cannot fully explain how things actually work in real life.

In this chapter we look at two basic explanations of real-life happenings. First of all, within the same market logic, biases occur which may explain why companies borrow funds, and why they stop at a certain level. The fundamental factors from which these biases spring are taxes and financial distress costs . Their joint analysis will give birth to the “trade-off model.”

There are features of debt that can modify the optimal capital structure. Trade-off models generally limit their attention to the pros and cons of tax shields and financial distress costs. We believe that the elements of the balance are more numerous than just these factors. Other factors may also be added:

  • information asymmetries;
  • disciplining role of debt;
  • financial flexibility;
  • agency costs;
  • signalling aspects.

Maybe the main reasons for the interference between capital structure and investment are the divergent interests of the various financial partners regarding value creation and their differing levels of access to information. This lies at the core of the manager/shareholder relationship we shall examine in this chapter. A full chapter (Chapter 34) is devoted to an analysis of the capital structure resulting from a compromise between creditors and shareholders.

Section 33.1 The benefits of debt or the trade-off model

1. Corporate income taxes

Up to now, our reasoning was based on a tax-free world, which of course does not exist. The investor’s net return can be two to five times (or more) lower than the pre-tax cash flows of an industrial investment.

It would therefore be foolhardy to ignore taxation, which forces financial managers to devote a considerable amount of their time to tax optimisation.

For financial managers, this chapter will cover familiar ground and our insistence on the importance of tax aspects in every financial decision will seem obvious.

But we ought not go to the other extreme and concentrate solely on tax variables. All too many decisions based entirely on tax considerations lead to ridiculous outcomes, such as insufficient earnings capacity or a change in fiscal regulations. Tax deficits alone are no reason to buy a company!

In 1963, Modigliani and Miller pushed their initial demonstration further, but this time they factored in corporate income tax (but no other taxes) in an economy in which companies’ financial expenses are tax-deductible, but not dividends. This is pretty much the case in most countries.

The conclusion was unmistakable: once you factor in corporate income tax, there is more incentive to use debt rather than equity financing.

Interest expenses can be deducted from the company’s tax base, so that creditors receive their coupon payments before they have been taxed. Dividends, on the other hand, are not deductible and are paid to shareholders after taxation.

Thus, a debt-free company with equity financing of 100, on which shareholders require a 10% return, will have to generate profit of at least 15.4 in order to provide the required return of 10 after 35% tax.

If, however, its financing is equally divided between debt at 5% interest and equity, a profit of 13.6 will be enough to satisfy shareholders despite the premium for the greater risk to shares created by the debt (i.e. 14.4%).

Allowing interest expenses to be deducted from companies’ tax base is a kind of subsidy the state grants to companies with debt. But to benefit from this tax shield, the company must generate a profit.

A company that continually resorts to debt will benefit from tax savings that must be factored into its enterprise value.

Take, for example, a company with an enterprise value of 100, of which 50 is financed by equity and 50 by perpetual debt at 5%. Interest expenses will be 2.5 each year. Assuming a 35% tax rate and an operating profit of more than 2.5 regardless of the year under review (an amount sufficient to benefit from the tax savings), the tax savings will be 35% × 2.5, or 0.88 for each year. The present value of this perpetual bond increases shareholders’ wealth by 0.88/14.4% = 6.1 if 14.4% is the cost of equity. Taking the tax savings into account increases the value of equity by 12% to 56.1 (50 + 6.1).

TAX SAVINGS AS A PERCENTAGE OF EQUITY

Maturity of debt
VD/V kE 5 years 10 years Perpetuity
  0%  10.0%2  0%  0%   0%
25% 11.5%  2%  3%  4%
33% 12.2%  3%  5%  5%
50% 14.4%  6%  9% 12%
66% 18.8% 10% 15% 18%

The value of a levered company is equal to what it would be without the debt, plus the amount of savings generated by the tax shield.3

The question now is what discount rate should be applied to the tax savings generated by the deductibility of interest expense? Should we use the cost of debt, as Modigliani and Miller did in their article in 1963, the weighted average cost of capital or the cost of equity?

Using the cost of debt is justified if we are certain that the tax savings are permanent. In addition, this allows us to use a particularly simple formula:

numbered Display Equation

Nevertheless, there are good reasons to prefer to discount the savings at the cost of equity, since it would be difficult to assume that the company will continually carry the same debt, generate profits and be taxed at the same rate. Moreover, the tax savings accrue to the shareholders, so it should be reasonable to discount them at the rate of return required by those shareholders.

Bear in mind that these tax savings only apply if the company has sufficient earnings power and does not benefit from any other tax exemptions, such as tax-loss carryforwards.

2. Costs of financial distress

We have seen that the more debt a firm carries, the greater the risk that it will not be able to meet its commitments. If the worst comes to the worst, the company files for bankruptcy, which in the final analysis simply means that assets are reallocated to more profitable ventures.

In fact, the bankruptcy of an unprofitable company strengthens the sector and improves the profitability of the remaining firms and therefore their value. Bankruptcy is a useful mechanism which helps the market stay healthier by eliminating the least efficient companies.

The public authorities would do well to apply this reasoning. Better to let a troubled sector rid itself of its lame ducks than to keep them artificially afloat, which in turn creates difficulties for the healthy, efficient firms to the point where they, too, may become financially distressed.

For investors with a well-diversified portfolio, the cost of the bankruptcy will theoretically be nil, since when a company is discontinued, its assets (market share, customers, factories, etc.) are taken over by others who will manage them better. One person’s loss is another person’s gain! If the investor has a diversified portfolio, the capital losses will be offset by other capital gains.

In practice, however, markets are not perfect and we all know that even if bankruptcies are a means of reallocating resources, they carry a very real cost to those involved. These include:

  • Direct costs: redundancy payments, legal fees, administrative costs, shareholders’ efforts to receive a liquidation dividend.
  • Indirect costs: order cancellations (for fear they will not be honoured), less trade credit (because it may not be repaid), reduced productivity (strikes, underutilisation of production capacity), no more access to financing (even for profitable projects); as well as incalculable human costs.

One could say that bankruptcy occurs when shareholders refuse to inject more funds once they have concluded that their initial investment is lost. In essence, they are handing the company over to its creditors, who then become the new shareholders. The creditors bear all the costs of the malfunctioning company, thus further reducing their chances of getting repaid.

Even without going to the extremes of bankruptcy, a highly levered company in financial distress faces certain costs that reduce its value. It may have to cut back on R&D expenditure, maintenance, training or marketing expenses in order to meet its debt payments and will find it increasingly difficult to raise new funding, even for profitable investment projects.

After factoring all these costs into the equation, we can say that:

or, as illustrated by the following figure:

image

Because of the tax deduction, debt can, in fact, create value. A levered company may be worth more than if it had only equity financing. However, there are two good reasons why this advantage should not be overstated. Firstly, when a company with excessive debt is in financial distress, its tax advantage disappears, since it no longer generates sufficient profits. Secondly, the high debt level may lead to restructuring costs and lost investment opportunities if financing is no longer available. As a result, debt should not exceed a certain level.

Paradoxically, this long detour brings us back to our starting point – the conventional approach, which says “some debt is fine, but not too much.”4

In 2000, Graham found that the value of the tax advantage of interest expenses is around 9.7%, and it goes down to 4.3% if personal taxation of investors is also considered. Almeida and Philippon (2007) have, on the other hand, estimated the bankruptcy costs; they believe the right percentage is around 4.5% – in brief, it seems that one effect “perfectly” compensates the other. In 2010, van Binsbergen et al. found similar results.

In fact, Modigliani and Miller’s theory states the obvious: all economic players want to reduce their tax charge! A word of caution, however. Corporate managers who focus too narrowly on reducing tax charges may end up making the wrong decisions.

3. Introducing personal taxes, a major improvement 
to the previous reasoning

In 1977, Miller released a new study in which he revisited the observation made with Modigliani in 1958 that there is no one optimal capital structure. This time, however, he factored in both corporate and personal taxes.

Miller claimed that the taxes paid by investors can cancel out those paid by companies. This would mean that the value of the firm would remain the same regardless of the type of financing used. Again, there should be no optimal capital structure.

Miller based his argument on the assumption that equity income is not taxed, and that the tax rate on interest income is marginally equal to the corporate tax rate.

But these assumptions are shaky, since in reality investors are not all taxed at the same marginal rate and both equity returns and the capital gains on disposal of shares are taxed as well. In fact, Miller’s objective was to demonstrate that real life is far more complicated than the simplified assumptions applied in the theories and models. The value of the tax shield is not so big as the 1963 article would have us believe. Suppose that, in addition to the corporate income tax (Tc), there are also two other tax rates:

numbered Display Equation

If we:

  1. consider the cash flows net of all taxes that shareholders and creditors must pay to tax authorities;
  2. sum them; and
  3. rearrange terms,

then the “complete” tax shield (G) is:

numbered Display Equation

The reader will immediately notice that if T E = T D, then the tax shield turns back to the “original” T cV D.

In our last example, if T E is zero, then T D = 30% and T c = 35%, G is still positive but much lower because it equals only 0.0714 (or 7.14%).

If we include TE in the analysis, two alternatives may be possible:

  • if T E > T D, the tax shield is bigger than the basic case (i.e. the case with only corporate taxes);
  • if T E < T D, the tax shield tends to be smaller than the basic case.

When personal taxes are introduced into the analysis, the firm’s objective is no longer to minimise the corporate tax bill; the firm should minimise the present value of all taxes paid on corporate income (those paid by bondholders and shareholders).

Once we factor in the tax credit granted before shareholders are taxed, the tax benefits on debt disappear, although, since not all earnings are distributed, not all give rise to tax credits. Say a company has an enterprise value of 1000. Regardless of its type of financing, investors require a 6% return after corporate and personal income taxes. Bear in mind that this rate is not comparable with that determined by the CAPM (r F + b × (r Mr F)), which is calculated before personal taxation.

Let’s take a country where (realistically) the main tax rates are:

  • corporate tax: 34.43%;
  • tax on dividends: 12%;
  • capital gains tax: 12%;
  • tax on interest income: 30%.

Now let us assume that the company has an operating profit of 103. This corresponds to a cost of equity of 6% if it is entirely equity-financed.

Enterprise value 1000 1000 1000 1000
Equity 1000 750 500 250
Debt   0 250 500 750
Interest rate  — 4.5%  5.5%   8%
Operating profit 103 103 103 103
− Interest expense   0  11  28  60
= Pre-tax profit 103  92  75  43
− Corporate income tax at 34.4%  35  32  26  15
= Net profit  68  60  49  28
Personal income tax:
On dividends/capital gains (12%)   8   7   6   3
On interest (30%)   0   3   8  18
Shareholders’ net income  60  53  43  25
Shareholders’ net return  6% 7.1% 8.6%  10%
Creditors’ net income   0   8  20  42
Creditors’ net return  — 3.2% 4.0% 5.6%
Net income for investors  60  61  63  67
Total taxes  43  42  40  36

The net return of the investor, who is both shareholder and creditor of the firm, can be calculated depending on whether net debt represents 0%, 33.3%, 100% or three times the amount of equity.

The value created by debt must thus be measured in terms of the increase in net income for investors (shareholders and creditors). Our example shows that flows increase significantly only when the debt level is particularly high, well above the market average (around 33% of the enterprise value).

Miller’s reasoning now becomes clearer. The table below shows that in certain countries, such as the UK or the Netherlands, the tax savings on corporate debt are more than offset by the personal taxes levied.

TAX RATES IN VARIOUS COUNTRIES (%)

Country On dividends On capital gains On interest On corporate earnings
France 0%–42.5% 0%–60.5% 0%–60.5% 34.4%
Germany 26.4%–28.0% 26.4%–28.0% 26.4%–28.0% 29.65%
India 0% 0% or 10% 0%–30% 34.61%
Italy 26.0% 26.0% 12.5% or 26.0% 31.4%
Morocco 10.0% 20.0% 20.0% 10.0%–31.0%
Netherlands 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 25%
Spain 19.0%–23.0% 21.0% 19.0%–23.0% 25.0%
Switzerland 19.0%–41.0% 0.0% 19.0–41.0% 12.0%–24.0%
Tunisia 5.0% 0.0% 10.0% 30.0%
UK 7.5%–38.1% 18.0% or 28.0% 20.0%, 40.0% 
or 45.0% 20.0%
US 0.0%–20.0% 0.0%–20.0% 39.6% 
(income tax) 40.0%

Bear in mind, too, that companies do not always use the tax advantages of debt since there are other options, such as accelerated depreciation, provisions, etc.

4. Limits to the deductibility of interest and 
notional interest, the third limit

In a certain number of jurisdictions, governments have introduced mechanisms to rebalance taxation of revenues from capital gains and debt.

These measures can take the form of a limitation of the deductibility of interest. For example, in Germany, Spain and Italy, interest is deductible only up to 30% of EBITDA, in France only 75% of interest is deductible.

In other countries, to make equity financing more attractive, firms can deduct notional interest computed on equity from taxable income. This is the case in Belgium and Brazil.

Section 33.2 Debt to control management

1. Debt as a means of controlling corporate managers

Now let us examine the interests of non-shareholder executives. They may be tempted to shun debt in order to avoid the corresponding constraints, such as a higher breakeven threshold, interest payments and principal repayments. Corporate managers are highly risk averse and their natural inclination is to accumulate cash rather than resort to debt to finance investments. Debt financing avoids this trap, since the debt repayment prevents surplus cash from accumulating. Shareholders encourage debt as well, because it stimulates performance. The more debt a company has, the higher its risk. In the event of financial difficulties, corporate executives may lose their jobs and the attendant compensation package and remuneration in kind. This threat is considered to be sufficiently dissuasive to encourage sound management, generating optimal liquidity to service the debt and engage in profitable investments.

Given that the parameters of debt are reflected in a company’s cash situation while equity financing translates into capital gains or losses at shareholder level, management will be particularly intent on the success of its debt-financed investment projects. This is another, indirect, limitation of the perfect markets theory: since the various forms of financing do not offer the same incentives to corporate executives, financing does indeed influence the choice of investment.

This would indicate that a levered company is more flexible and responsive than an unlevered company. This hypothesis was tested and proven by Ofek, who show that the more debt they carry, the faster listed US companies react to a crisis, by filing for bankruptcy, curtailing dividend payouts or reducing the payroll.

Debt is thus an internal means of controlling management preferred by shareholders. In Chapter 44 we shall see that another is the threat of a takeover bid.

However, the use of debt has its limits. When a group’s corporate structure becomes totally unbalanced, debt no longer acts as an incentive for management. On the contrary, the corporate manager will be tempted to continue expanding via debt until his group has become too big to fail, like RBS, Fortis, AIG, Citi, etc., until the concept of too big to fail is tested (Lehman). This risk is called “moral hazard”.

2. LBOs, this logic’s pushed to the limits

Some sectors are being restructured through LBO transactions, which we will look at in further detail in Chapter 46. An LBO is the acquisition, generally by management (MBO), of all of a company’s shares using borrowed funds. It becomes a leveraged buildup if it then uses debt to buy other companies in order to increase its standing in the sector. It is generally thought that the purpose of the funds devoted to LBOs is to use accounting leverage to obtain better returns. In fact, the success of LBOs cannot be attributed to accounting leverage, since we have already seen that this alone does not create value.

The real reason for the success of LBOs is that, when it has a stake in the company, management is far more committed to making the company a success. With management most often holding a share of the equity, resource allocation will be designed to benefit shareholders. Executives have a two-fold incentive: to enhance their existing or future stake in the capital and to safeguard their jobs and reputation by ensuring that the company does not go broke. It thus becomes a classic case of the carrot and the stick!

Mature, highly profitable companies with few investments to make are the most likely candidates for an LBO. Jensen (1986) demonstrated that, in the absence of heavy debt, the executives of such companies will be strongly tempted to use the substantial free cash flow to grow, to the detriment of profits by overinvesting or diversifying into other businesses, two strategies that destroy value.

Section 33.3 Signalling and debt policy

Signalling theory is based on the strong assumption that corporate managers are better informed about their companies than the suppliers of funding. This means that they are in a better position to foresee the company’s future flows and know what state their company is in. Consequently, any signal they send indicating that flows will be better than expected, or that risks will be lower, may enable the investor to create value. Investors are therefore constantly on the watch for such signals. But for the signals to be credible, there must be a penalty for the wrong signals in order to dissuade companies from deliberately misleading the market.

In the context of information asymmetry, markets would not understand why a corporate manager would borrow to undertake a very risky and unprofitable venture. After all, if the venture fails, he risks losing his job or worse, if the venture causes the company to fail. So debt is a strong signal for profitability, but even more for risk. It is unlikely that a CEO would resort to debt financing if he knew that in a worst-case scenario he would not be able to repay the debt.

Ross (1977) has demonstrated that any change in financing policy changes investors’ perception of the company and is therefore a market signal.

It is thus obvious that an increase in debt increases the risk on equity. The managers of a company that has raised its gearing rate are, in effect, signalling to the markets that they are aware of the state of nature, that it is favourable and that they are confident that the company’s performance will allow them to pay the additional financial expenses and pay back the new debt.

This signal carries its own penalty if it is wrong. If the signal is false, i.e. if the company’s actual prospects are not good at all, the extra debt will create financial difficulties that will ultimately lead, in one form or another, to the dismissal of its executives.5 In this scheme, managers have a strong incentive to send the correct signal by ensuring that the firm’s debt corresponds to their understanding of its repayment capacity.

Ross has shown that, assuming managers have privileged information about their own company, they will send the correct signal on the condition that the marginal gain derived from an incorrect signal is lower than the sanction suffered if the company is liquidated.

They put their money where their mouths are.” This explains why debt policies vary from one company to another: they simply reflect the variable prospects of the individual companies.

When a company announces a capital increase, research has shown that its share price generally drops by an average of 3%. The market reasons that corporate managers would not increase capital if, based on the inside information available to them, they thought it was undervalued, since this would dilute the existing shareholdings in unfavourable conditions. If there is no pressing reason for the capital increase, investors will infer that, based on their inside information, the managers consider the share price to be too high and that this is why the existing shareholders have accepted the capital increase. On the other hand, research has shown too that the announcement of a bond issue has no material impact on share prices.

It follows that the sale of a manager’s stake in the company is a very negative signal. It reveals that he has internal information indicating that the value of future flows, taking risk into account, is lower than the proceeds he expects from the sale of his investment. Conversely, any increase in the stake, especially if financed by debt, constitutes a very positive signal for the market.

This explains why financial investors prefer to subscribe to capital increases rather than buy from existing shareholders. It is also the reason why every year in the US, the UK, France and many other countries, top managers and all directors must disclose the number of shares they hold or control in the companies they work for or of which they are board members.

Section 33.4 Information asymmetries and the pecking order theory

Having established that information asymmetry carries a cost, our next task is to determine what type of financing carries the lowest cost in this respect.

The uncontested champion is, of course, internal financing, which requires no special procedures. Its advantage is simplicity.

Debt comes next, but only low-risk debt with plenty of guarantees (pledges) and covenants restricting the risk to creditors and thus making it more palatable to them. This is followed by riskier forms of debt and hybrid securities.

Capital increases come last, because they are automatically interpreted as a negative signal. To counter this, the information asymmetry must be reduced by means of roadshows, one-to-one meetings, prospectuses and advertising campaigns. Investors have to be persuaded that the issue offers good value for money!

In an article published in 1984, Myers elaborates on a theory initially put forward by Donaldson in 1961, stating that, according to this pecking order theory, companies prioritise their sources of financing.

As can be seen, although the corporate manager does not choose the type of financing arbitrarily, he does so without great enthusiasm, since they all carry the same cost relative to their risk.

The pecking order is determined by the law of least effort. Managers do not have to “raise” internal financing, and they will always endeavour to limit intermediation costs, which are the highest on share issues.

In Chapter 35, we shall focus on these issues to illustrate how to reach an appropriate design of the capital structure of a company. After having explored the bulk of the theory, the time will come to examine details. But be patient and take a look now at what options tell us before making wise capital structure choices.

Summary

Questions

Exercises

Answers

Notes

Bibliography

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