Business Exposed132
are therefore underestimated or not understood at all, but the
benets are immediate.
Take, for example, the practice of “downsizing” (or rational-
izing, restructuring, reorganizing, etc.: that is, making people
redundant). It is a trend that has now been going on for at
least a decade and a half; companies – even if they are not in
nancial difculties – engage in systematic programs to reduce
the headcount in their organizations. The short-term benets
are clear: it leads to lower costs (sometimes accompanied by a
positive response from the stock market to the announcement
of the program). Yet, there is also evidence of sizeable long-term
detrimental inuences, such as reduced innovation and lower
employee commitment and loyalty. However, such consequences
are only noticeable in the long run.
Usually, when a rm faces a serious problem, for example due to
a lack of new products in the pipeline, top management does not
realize that the lack of innovation is caused by the downsizing
program they engaged in a decade ago. Just as it did for the
Fore people and their illness, the long lead-time makes it all but
impossible for managers to connect and understand cause and
effect. Thus, not only will top management take inappropriate
action to solve the problem (often another cost-cutting program
. . .), but it also remains unclear to other rms that downsizing is
harmful, leading them to adopt and continue the practice too.
Cause and effect are often a tricky thing in the world of business.
When a certain management practice gives us immediate benets,
we are inclined to assume it must be a good one. However, the
presence of short-term benets does not mean that the overall,
long-term consequences are all that healthy! Yet, when they
nally materialize, we don’t quite grasp that
the practice has caused them. In the world of
business, it is often hard to gain an understanding
of the long-term consequences of our decisions.
Yet, you do want to make sure you really think
through the consequences, because before you
know it, you have eaten Uncle Ed.
‘‘
Cause and
effect are often
a tricky thing
in the world of
business.
’’