Chapter 1: Introduction to Project Risk and Cost Analysis
Fundamental Concepts of Risk and Risk Management
Cost Analysis and Risk Management Planning
Chapter 2: Risk Identification
Systematic Risk Identification
Output from Risk Identification Process
Chapter 3: Qualitative Risk Analysis
Risk Triage and Other Risk Analysis Processes
Chapter 4: Tools for Qualitative Risk Analysis
Qualitative Risk Analysis Tools
Assessing Probability and Impact
Combining Probability and Impact
Calculating Risk Scores with Non-Numerical Information
Developing a Risk Ranking for a Project
Updating the Risk Register and Developing a Risk Information Sheet
Chapter 5: Statistical Foundations of Quantitative Risk and Cost Analysis
Quantitative Risk and Cost Analysis Fundamentals
Probability, Odds, and Throwing Dice
Measures of Central Tendency: Mean, Median, and Mode
Normal and and Other Distributions
Introduction to Cost Risk Analysis
Insurance as a Model for Risk Cost Analysis
Contingency Allowance and Contingency Reserve
Insurance Risk with Low Variation
Insurance Risk with High Variation
Additional Factors in Risk Decisions
Chapter 7: Quantitative Cost Analysis Tools
Cost Estimating Under Uncertainty
Chapter 8: Quantitative Schedule Analysis Tools
Sensitivity Analysis for Scheduling Issues
Network Diagramming and Critical Path Analysis
Three-Point Estimating Techniques
Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT)
Chapter 9: Risk Response Planning
Organizing for Risk Response Planning
Implementing Risk Response Strategies
Chapter 10: Risk Monitoring and Control
Risk Management Processes in Project Execution, Monitoring and Control, and Closeout
Risk Management Plans and Policies
Risk Management Policy Development
Risk Management Methodology and Process
Project Risk Monitoring and Control Systems
Managing the Project Risk Environment
Establishing Risk Metrics and Early Warning Indicators
Earned Value Project Management
Implementing and Monitoring Risk Responses
Corrective Actions and Unplanned Responses
Watching “Watch and Wait” Risks
Revisiting Risk Identification and Risk Analysis
Risk Management and Project “Lessons Learned”
Answers to Exercises and Case Studies
Exercise 1-1. Managing Important Risks
Exercise 1-2. Your Current Risk Management Process
Exercise 1-3. What You Spend on Risk Management
Exercise 2-1. Risk Identification Practice
Exercise 3-1. Cause-and-Effect Diagram
Exercise 4-1. Establishing Risk Thresholds
Exercise 4-3. Prepare a Risk Information Sheet
Exercise 5-1. Probability Practice
Exercise 5-2. Calculate a Standard Deviation
Exercise 6-1. Greater Accident Variation
Exercise 6-2. Premium Income and Claims Outlays
Exercise 7-1. Deterministic or Probabilistic?
Exercise 7-2. Calculating Expected Monetary Value (EMV)
Think About It … (Decision Tree)
Exercise 7-4. Sensitivity Analysis
Exercise 8-2. Scheduling with PERT Estimates
Exercise 8-3. Calculating Standard Deviation for a Path or Network
Exercise 9-1. Risk Response Planning
Exercise 9-2. Residual and Secondary Risk
Exercise 9-3. Types of Risk Response
Exercise 10-1. Earned Value Method (EVM) Performance Index Ratios
18.119.106.135