APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 3
Returns, Yields, Spreads, and P&L Attribution

A3.1 YIELD TO MATURITY FOR SETTLEMENT DATES OTHER THAN COUPON PAYMENT DATES

Equations (3.6), (3.7), and (3.8) express the relationship between price and yield to maturity when settlement is on a coupon payment date. This appendix generalizes this relationship to other settlement dates. First, because accrued interest is zero when settlement falls on a coupon payment date, the full price in the equations in the text do not include any accrued interest. In this section, however, because settlement can fall on other dates, upper P is taken to include accrued interest.

Second, the market convention for discounting cash flows that do not occur in regular six‐month intervals, using a semiannually compounded rate, is as follows. Let y denote the semiannually compounded yield, and let tau denote the fraction of a semiannual period until the next coupon payment. For example, if the next coupon payment is in one month, taken to mean one‐sixth of a semiannual period, then tau equals 1 slash 6. By convention, then, the present value of a unit of currency at that time is,

(A3.1)StartFraction 1 Over left-parenthesis 1 plus StartFraction y Over 2 EndFraction right-parenthesis Superscript tau Baseline EndFraction

Note that, while reasonably intuitive, this convention cannot really be justified by the logic of compounding conventions. As discussed in the text, left-parenthesis 1 plus y slash 2 right-parenthesis Superscript upper N represents the final proceeds of an investment of one unit of currency semiannually compounded upper N times. There is no such interpretation for an exponent that is not a whole number of semiannual periods. In any case, continuing along these lines, the present value of a unit of currency to be paid after tau plus i semiannual periods is,

(A3.2)StartFraction 1 Over left-parenthesis 1 plus StartFraction y Over 2 EndFraction right-parenthesis Superscript tau plus i Baseline EndFraction

Finally, then, consider a bond with 2 upper T remaining coupon payments of c slash 2, the first of which is paid after tau semiannual periods, the second after tau plus 1 semiannual periods, the third after tau plus 2 semiannual periods, etc., and the last, along with a principal payment of 100, after tau plus 2 upper T minus 1 semiannual periods. Its price is given by,

(A3.3)StartLayout 1st Row 1st Column upper P 2nd Column equals StartFraction one half c Over left-parenthesis 1 plus StartFraction y Over 2 EndFraction right-parenthesis Superscript tau Baseline EndFraction plus StartFraction one half c Over left-parenthesis 1 plus StartFraction y Over 2 EndFraction right-parenthesis Superscript tau plus 1 Baseline EndFraction plus midline-horizontal-ellipsis plus StartFraction 100 plus one half c Over left-parenthesis 1 plus StartFraction y Over 2 EndFraction right-parenthesis Superscript tau plus 2 upper T minus 1 Baseline EndFraction EndLayout
(A3.4)StartLayout 1st Row 1st Column upper P 2nd Column equals StartFraction c Over 2 EndFraction sigma-summation Underscript t equals 0 Overscript 2 upper T minus 1 Endscripts StartFraction 1 Over left-parenthesis 1 plus StartFraction y Over 2 EndFraction right-parenthesis Superscript tau plus t Baseline EndFraction plus StartFraction 100 Over left-parenthesis 1 plus StartFraction y Over 2 EndFraction right-parenthesis Superscript tau plus 2 upper T minus 1 Baseline EndFraction EndLayout

where (A3.5) can be derived from Equation (A2.16) in Appendix A2.2.

A3.2 YIELD TO MATURITY AND EX‐POST RETURNS

For simplicity, this section assumes annual coupons and annual compounding.

Proposition: A upper T‐year coupon bond priced at a yield of y earns y per year over n years if its coupons are all reinvested at y and if the bond's yield at the end of n years is y.

Proof: Let upper P 0 and upper P Subscript n be the prices of the bond at time 0 (upper T years to maturity) and after n years (upper T minus n years to maturity) when its yield is y.

Starting with the definition of yield to maturity,

(A3.6)StartLayout 1st Row 1st Column upper P 0 2nd Column equals StartFraction c Over left-parenthesis 1 plus y right-parenthesis EndFraction plus StartFraction c Over left-parenthesis 1 plus y right-parenthesis squared EndFraction plus midline-horizontal-ellipsis plus StartFraction c Over left-parenthesis 1 plus y right-parenthesis Superscript n minus 1 Baseline EndFraction plus StartFraction c Over left-parenthesis 1 plus y right-parenthesis Superscript n Baseline EndFraction 2nd Row 1st Column Blank 2nd Column plus StartFraction c Over left-parenthesis 1 plus y right-parenthesis Superscript n plus 1 Baseline EndFraction plus StartFraction c Over left-parenthesis 1 plus y right-parenthesis Superscript n plus 2 Baseline EndFraction plus midline-horizontal-ellipsis plus StartFraction 100 plus c Over left-parenthesis 1 plus y right-parenthesis Superscript upper T Baseline EndFraction EndLayout
(A3.7)StartLayout 1st Row 1st Column upper P 0 left-parenthesis 1 plus y right-parenthesis Superscript n 2nd Column equals c left-parenthesis 1 plus y right-parenthesis Superscript n minus 1 Baseline plus c left-parenthesis 1 plus y right-parenthesis Superscript n minus 2 Baseline plus midline-horizontal-ellipsis plus c left-parenthesis 1 plus y right-parenthesis plus c 2nd Row 1st Column Blank 2nd Column plus StartFraction c Over left-parenthesis 1 plus y right-parenthesis EndFraction plus StartFraction c Over left-parenthesis 1 plus y right-parenthesis squared EndFraction plus midline-horizontal-ellipsis plus StartFraction 100 plus c Over left-parenthesis 1 plus y right-parenthesis Superscript upper T minus n Baseline EndFraction EndLayout

where (A3.7) simply multiplies both sides of (A3.6) by left-parenthesis 1 plus y right-parenthesis Superscript n; (A3.8) recognizes that the second line of (A3.7) is just upper P Subscript n, the price of the bond after n years, with a remaining maturity of upper T minus n years and a yield of y; and (A3.9) simplifies terms.

By inspection, the right‐hand side of Equation (A3.9) is the n‐year return of the bond if all coupons are reinvested at y and if the yield after n years is y. Breaking that down, the numerator gives the reinvested coupon payments at a yield of y; plus upper P Subscript n, the price of the bond after n years if the yield is y; minus upper P 0 the initial price of the bond at the yield y. Hence, the numerator divided by the initial price equals the n‐year return.

But if the right‐hand side of the bond is the n‐year return under the conditions stated, then, by the left‐hand side, that return is equivalent to earning y per year for n years.

Note that the proposition is not an “if and only if,” because it is possible – though very unlikely – to have some combination of returns on coupons and a final yield that also result in a holding‐period return of y per year.

A3.3 REALIZED FORWARD SCENARIO

For simplicity, this section assumes annual coupons and annual compounding.

Proposition: Under the realized forward scenario, the n‐year return of a upper T‐year coupon, with coupon income reinvested at the initial forward rates f left-parenthesis 1 right-parenthesis, f left-parenthesis 2 right-parenthesis,…f left-parenthesis n right-parenthesis, is the same as from rolling over a unit of currency at those forward rates.

Proof: Let upper P 0 and upper P Subscript n be the prices of the bond at time 0 (upper T years to maturity) and after n years (upper T minus n years to maturity) under the realized forward scenario.

Starting with the definition of forward rates,

where (A3.11) simply multiplies both sides of (A3.10) by left-parenthesis 1 plus f left-parenthesis 1 right-parenthesis right-parenthesis midline-horizontal-ellipsis left-parenthesis 1 plus f left-parenthesis n right-parenthesis right-parenthesis; (A3.12) recognizes that the second and third lines of (A3.11) are upper P Subscript n, the price of the bond after n years, with discounting under the assumption of realized forwards; and (A3.13) simplifies terms.

By inspection, the right‐hand side of Equation (A3.13) is the n‐year return of the bond if all coupons are reinvested at the short‐term rate of the realized forward scenario and if, after n years, the bond is priced under that scenario. But if the right‐hand side is the bond's n‐year return under the conditions stated, then, by the left‐hand side, that return is equivalent to rolling over a unit of currency at the initial forward rates for n years.

Corollary: Under the realized forward scenario, the one‐year return of any coupon bond is the short‐term rate, f left-parenthesis 1 right-parenthesis.

Proof: Following the proof of the previous proposition with n equals 1, Equation (A3.13) becomes,

(A3.14)f left-parenthesis 1 right-parenthesis equals StartFraction c plus upper P 1 minus upper P 0 Over upper P 0 EndFraction

which was to be proved.

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