Contents

Financial Analysis for HR Managers: Tools for Linking HR Strategy to Business Strategy

Chapter 1 Business Strategy, Financial Strategy, and HR Strategy

Is HR Weakest in the Most Critical Areas?

You Don’t Need to Be a Quant to Make Good Business Decisions

Which HR Decisions Are Important?

What This Book Attempts to Do

Chapter 2 The Income Statement: Do We Care About More Than the Bottom Line?

Income Statements

Profit Can Be Measured at Various Levels

Seeing the Big Picture

The Bottom Line

Chapter 3 The Balance Sheet: If Your People Are Your Most Important Asset, Where Do They Show Up on the Balance Sheet?

Assets on the Balance Sheet

Liabilities on the Balance Sheet

Which Numbers on a Balance Sheet Can You Believe?

Use Caution When Using Published Financial Ratios

Chapter 4 Cash Flows: Timing Is Everything

Cash Flow Information from the Income Statement

Cash Flow Information from the Balance Sheet

Chapter 5 Financial Statements as a Window into Business Strategy

Common Size Financial Statements

Connecting the Dots

Return on Equity

Differential Impact of Financial Leverage

The Big Picture

The Link Between HR Strategy and Business Strategy

Chapter 6 Stocks, Bonds, and the Weighted Average Cost of Capital

Why Is the Cost of Capital Important to HR Managers?

Where Does the Money Come From?

Is Your Company of Above Average or Below Average Risk?

Capital Costs in 2012

Chapter 7 Capital Budgeting and Discounted Cash Flow Analysis

Calculating Present Values

Do the Future Benefits Justify the Upfront Costs?

Using DCF on the Job

HR Applications

Money Has Time Value Because of Interest Rates, Not Because of Inflation

Chapter 8 Financial Analysis of Human Resource Initiatives

Decisions Involving Cash Flow That Occur at Different Points in Time

Allocating Budgets When There Are a Larger Number of Alternatives

Calculating NPV of Specific HR Initiatives

Determining Program Impacts Using Pre-Post Changes

Determining Program Impacts Using Comparison Groups

What Is Your Firm’s HR Budget?

Is Your HR Budget Allocation Optimal?

Maximizing the ROI on Your Analysis Efforts

Chapter 9 Financial Analysis of a Corporation’s Strategic Initiatives

Estimating the NPV of a Strategic Initiative Such as a New Product Introduction

Using the Spreadsheet to Structure the Deal

Using Monte Carlo Simulations to Model Risk and Uncertainty

Chapter 10 Equity-Based Compensation: Stock and Stock Options

How Do Stock Options Work?

What Is the Intrinsic Value of an Option? What’s the Time Value of an Option?

Are Options High-Risk Investments?

Do Employees Prefer Options or Stock?

Understanding the Inputs to the Black-Scholes Model

Firms Must Disclose the Methods and the Assumptions They Use to Cost Stock Options

Using Monte Carlo Simulation to Determine the Value of Employee Stock Options

Dilution, Overhang, and Run Rates

Equity Compensation Is One Tool for Aligning Executive and Shareholder Interests

Chapter 11 Financial Aspects of Pension and Retirement Programs

Defined Benefit (DB) Plans

Defined Contribution (DC) Plans

Hybrid Plans

The Shift from DB Plans to DC Plans

Pension Accounting

Why Base Costs on the Expected Rather Than the Actual Return on Plan Assets?

How Do Firms Select the Appropriate Discount Rate?

DB Plans Encourage Retirement

The Future?

Chapter 12 Creating Value and Rewarding Value Creation

Aligning Pay with Performance

Managing EPS Expectations

Putting It All Together

Appendix A: A Sample of Financial Measures Currently in Use

Bibliography

Endnotes

Index

Investing in People, Second Edition: Financial Impact of Human Resource Initiatives

Acknowledgments

About the Authors

Preface

Chapter 1. Making HR Measurement Strategic

How a Decision Science Influences HR Measurement

Decision Frameworks

Data, Measurement, and Analysis

Hitting the “Wall” in HR Measurement5

The LAMP Framework

Logic: What Are the Vital Connections?

Measures: Getting the Numbers Right

Analytics: Finding Answers in the Data

Process: Making Insights Motivating and Actionable

Conclusion

Software to Accompany Chapters 3–11

References

Chapter 2. Analytical Foundations of HR Measurement

Traditional Versus Contemporary HR Measures

Four Levels of Sophistication in HR Analytics

Fundamental Analytical Concepts from Statistics and Research Design

Generalizing from Sample Data

Drawing Conclusions about Correlation and Causality

Eliminating Alternative Explanations Through Experiments and Quasi-Experiments

Quasi-Experimental Designs

Fundamental Analytical Concepts from Economics and Finance

Fixed, Variable, and Opportunity Costs/Savings

The Time Value of Money: Compounding, Discounting, and Present Value24

Present Value and Discounting

Estimating the Value of Employee Time Using Total Pay

Cost-Benefit and Cost-Effectiveness Analyses

Utility as a Weighted Sum of Utility Attributes

Conjoint Analysis

Sensitivity and Break-Even Analysis

Conclusion

References

Chapter 3. The Hidden Costs of Absenteeism

What Is Employee Absenteeism?

The Logic of Absenteeism: How Absenteeism Creates Costs

Direct Costs and the Incidence of Employee Absenteeism

Causes

Consequences

Categories of Costs

Analytics and Measures for Employee Absenteeism

Estimating the Cost of Employee Absenteeism

Process: Interpreting Absenteeism Costs

Case Study: From High Absenteeism Costs to an Actionable Strategy

Other Ways to Reduce Absence

Controlling Absenteeism Through Positive Incentives

Paid Time Off (PTO)

Summary Comments on Absence-Control Policies

Applying the Tools to Low Productivity Due to Illness: “Presenteeism”

Exercises

References

Chapter 4. The High Cost of Employee Separations

The Logic of Employee Turnover: Separations, Acquisitions, Cost, and Inventory

Voluntary Versus Involuntary Turnover

Functional Versus Dysfunctional Turnover

Pivotal Talent Pools with High Rates of Voluntary Turnover

Voluntary Turnover, Involuntary Turnover, For-Cause Dismissals, and Layoffs

How to Compute Turnover Rates

Logical Costs to Include When Considering Turnover Implications

Analytics

Separation Costs

Example: Separation Costs for Wee Care Children’s Hospital

Replacement Costs

Training Costs

Performance Differences Between Leavers and Their Replacements

The Costs of Lost Productivity and Lost Business

Process

Exercise

References

Chapter 5. Employee Health, Wellness, and Welfare

Health, Wellness, and Worksite Health Promotion

Skyrocketing Health-Care Costs Brought Attention to Employee Health

Two Broad Strategies to Control Health-Care Costs

Logic: How Changes in Employee Health Affect Financial Outcomes

The Typical Logic of Workplace Health Programs

Legal Considerations and Incentives to Modify Lifestyles

Analytics for Decisions about WHP Programs

Measures: Cost Effectiveness, Cost-Benefit, and Return-on-Investment Analysis

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

Cost-Benefit and Return-on-Investment Analysis

Conclusions Regarding Cost-Effectiveness, Cost-Benefit, and ROI Analyses

Solving the Analysis and Measurement Dilemmas to Improve Decisions about WHP Programs

Process: Communicating Effects to Decision Makers

ROI Analyses of WHP Programs

Improving Employee Welfare at Work: Employee Assistance Programs (EAPs)

The Logic of EAPs

Costs and Reported Benefits of EAPs

Enhanced Analytical Considerations in EAPs

A Template for Measuring the Effects of EAPs

Future of Lifestyle Modification, WHP, and EAPs

Exercises

References

Chapter 6. Employee Attitudes and Engagement

Attitudes Include Satisfaction, Commitment, and Engagement

Satisfaction, Commitment, and Engagement as Job Outcomes

The Logic Connecting Employee Attitudes, Behaviors, and Financial Outcomes

Employee Engagement and Competitive Advantage

Employee Engagement and Service Climate

Measures of Employee Attitudes

Analytical Principles: Time Lags, Levels of Analysis, and Causal Ordering

Time Lags

Levels of Analysis

Causal Ordering

Estimating the Financial Impact of Employee Attitudes: The Behavior-Costing Approach

Behavior Costing at SYSCO: The Value-Profit Chain

A Final Word

Exercises

References

Chapter 7. Financial Effects of Work-Life Programs

“Remixing” Rewards

Special Issues Parents Face

Work-Life Programs: What Are They?

Logical Framework

Impact of Work-Life Strains on Job Performance

Work-Life Programs and Professional Employees

Opting Out

The Toll on Those Who Don’t Opt Out

Enhancing Success Through Implementation

Analytics and Measures: Connecting Work-Life Programs to Outcomes

Child Care

Flexible Work Arrangements

Work-Life Policies and Firm Performance

Stock Market Reactions to Work-Life Initiatives

Process

Influencing Senior Leaders

Exercises

References

Chapter 8. Staffing Utility: The Concept and Its Measurement

A Decision-Based Framework for Staffing Measurement

Framing Human Capital Decisions Through the Lens of Utility Analysis

Overview: The Logic of Utility Analysis

Utility Models and Staffing Decisions

The Taylor-Russell Model

The Naylor-Shine Model

The Brogden-Cronbach-Gleser Model

Process: Supply-Chain Analysis and Staffing Utility27

Conclusion

Exercises

References

Chapter 9. The Economic Value of Job Performance

Pivotal Talent at Disney Theme Parks

Logic: Why Does Performance Vary Across Jobs?

Analytics: The Role of SDy in Utility Analysis

Measures: Estimating the Monetary Value of Variations in Job Performance (SDy)

Cost-Accounting Approach

The Estimate of SDy

The 40 Percent Rule

Global Estimation

The Cascio-Ramos Estimate of Performance in Dollars (CREPID)

System Effectiveness Technique

Superior Equivalents Technique

Process: How Accurate Are SDy Estimates, and How Much Does It Matter?

Exercises

References

Chapter 10. The Payoff from Enhanced Selection

The Logic of Investment Value Calculated Using Utility Analysis

Measuring the Utility Components

Analytics: Results of the Utility Calculation

Process: Making Utility Analysis Estimates More Comparable to Financial Estimates

Logic: Three Financial Adjustments

Analytics: Calculating the Economic Adjustments

How Talent Creates “Compound Interest:” Effects of Employee Flows on Utility Estimates

Logic: Employee Flows

Analytics: Calculating How Employee Flows Affect Specific Situations

Logic: The Effects of a Probationary Period

Logic: Effects of Job Offer Rejections

Logic: The Effect of Multiple Selection Devices

Process: It Matters How Staffing Processes Are Used

Cumulative Effects of Adjustments

Dealing with Risk and Uncertainty in Utility Analysis

Break-Even Analysis

Monte Carlo Analysis

Confidence Intervals

Process: Communicating the Impact of Utility Analyses to Decision Makers

Employee Selection and the Talent Supply Chain

Exercises

References

Chapter 11. Costs and Benefits of HR Development Programs

The Relationship Between Training Expenditures and Stock Prices

The Logic of Talent Development

Utility Analysis Approach to Decisions about HRD Programs

Modifying the Brogden-Cronbach-Gleser Model to Apply to Training

Issues in Estimating dt

What If Training Covers Less Than the Full Range of Job Skills?

Break-Even Analysis Applied to Proposed HRD Programs

Duration of the Effects of an HRD Program

Economic Considerations and Employee Flows Applied to HRD Programs

Example: Skills Training for Bankers

Costs: Off-Site Versus Web-Based Meetings

Process: Enhancing Acceptance of Training Cost and Benefit Analyses

Conclusion

Exercises

References

Chapter 12. Talent Investment Analysis: Catalyst for Change

Better Answers to Fundamental Questions

Absence Means More Than Just Getting the Work Done

Turnover Isn’t Always a Bad Thing

Layoffs Cut More Than Costs

When Everyone Is Reducing Employee Health Investments, Is It Smart to Invest More?

Why Positive Employee Attitudes Are Not Simply “Soft” and Nice to Have

Work-Life Fit Is Not Just a “Generational” Thing

The Staffing Supply Chain Can Be As Powerful As the Traditional Supply Chain

Taking HR Development Beyond Training to Learning and Workforce Enhancement

Intangible Does Not Mean “Unmeasurable”

The HC BRidge Framework as a Meta Model

Lighting the LAMP of Organization Change

References

Appendix A. The Taylor-Russell Tables

Appendix B. The Naylor-Shine Table for Determining the Increase in Mean Criterion Score Obtained by Using a Selection Device

Index

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