RG

IN CONTEXT

IDEOLOGY

War studies

FOCUS

Empirical political science

BEFORE

1881 Russian tsar Alexander II is killed by a suicide bomber.

1983 In Lebanon, two suicide bomb attacks on US and French barracks in Beirut are claimed by the Islamic Jihad.

2001 The 9/11 attacks by al-Qaeda are followed by US-led occupations of Iraq and Afghanistan.

AFTER

2005 A series of suicide bomb attacks on buses and trains across London kills 52 people.

2009 Sri Lanka’s civil war ends after 26 years, during which time the Tamil Tigers carried out 273 suicide attacks.

2011 The US withdraws its military presence from Iraq.

Suicide terrorism has widely been believed to be an expression of religious fundamentalism, fueled by a ready supply of willing martyrs. American political scientist Robert Pape has compiled evidence to suggest that suicide terrorism is in fact a secular tactic rather than a religious one, and forms part of a broader campaign to remove an occupying force from the area perceived by the perpetrators to be their homeland.

"There is little connection between suicide terrorism and Islamic fundamentalism, or any one of the world’s religions."

Robert Pape

A strategic response

Pape’s 2005 publication Dying to Win analyzes all known instances of suicide terrorism between 1980 and 2003: a total of 315 attacks. He found that the attacks were not explained by individual motives and beliefs, and discovered little correlation between religion and suicide terrorism. He proposed instead a “causal logic of suicide terrorism,” which suggests that such actions are a strategic response to foreign occupation by a democratic power. Pape’s research found that every terrorist campaign, and more than 95 percent of all suicide bombings, had the objective of national liberation at their heart.

  The corollary of this argument is that the use of military force by foreign powers to subjugate or reform societies will serve only to promote a larger number of suicide terrorists than would otherwise be the case. As Pape argues, suicide terrorism is not the result of an existing supply of fanatics, but is a “demand-driven phenomenon.”

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