Chapter 42. Introduction to Credit Derivatives

VINOD KOTHARI

Independent financial consultant and Visiting Faculty, Indian Institute of Management, Kolkata, India

Abstract: Credit derivatives are devices that provide for trading in generic credit risk of an entity, asset, or bunch of entities or bunch of assets. Credit risk is the risk inherent in credit, and credit is the very basis of our present society. Credit derivatives were first introduced in the early 1990s and are part of the market for financial derivatives. Since credit derivatives are presently not traded on any of the organized exchanges, they are a part of the over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives market. Credit derivatives include credit default swaps, total return swap, credit-linked notes, and credit spread options, as well as the fast-growing world of portfolio synthetic trades structured either as bespoke collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) or as index trades referenced to baskets of entities or asset-backed securities. Though still a relatively small part of the huge market for OTC derivatives, credit derivatives are growing faster than any other OTC derivative.

Keywords: credit derivatives, credit asset, reference entity, reference obligation, reference asset, reference portfolio, protection buyer, protection seller, risk seller, risk buyer, credit events, premium, deliverable obligations, protection payments, credit event payments, physical settlement, cash settlement, synthetic asset, unfunded asset, single name credit default swap, single name derivative, portfolio derivative, portfolio default swap, static portfolio, dynamic portfolio, structured credit trades, structured portfolio trades, index-based derivative, index trades, credit default swap indices, nth to default in a basket, fixed-rate payer, floating-rate payer, valuation method, first loss risk, credit default swap, total return swap, credit-linked notes, credit spread options, securitization, synthetic securitizations

Credit derivatives are derivative contracts that seek to transfer defined credit risks in a credit product or bunch of credit products to the counterparty to the derivative contract. The counterparty to the derivative contract either could be a market participant or could be the capital market through the process of securitization. The credit product might either be exposure inherent in a credit asset such as a loan, or might be generic credit risk such as bankruptcy risk of an entity. As the risks and rewards commensurate with the risks are transferred to the counterparty, the counterparty assumes the position of a virtual or synthetic holder of the credit asset.

The counterparty to a credit derivative product that acquires exposure to the risk synthetically acquires exposure to the entity whose risk is being traded by the credit derivative product. Thus, the credit derivative trade allows people to trade in the generic credit risk of the entity, without having to trade in a credit asset such as a loan or a bond. Given the fact that the synthetic market does not have several of the limitations or constraints of the market for cash bonds or loans, credit derivatives have become an alternative parallel trading instrument that is linked to the value of a firm—similar to equities and bonds.

Coupled with the device of securitization, credit derivatives have been rendered into investment products. Thus, investors may invest in credit-linked notes and gain credit exposure to an entity or a bunch of entities. Securitization linked with credit derivatives has led to the commoditiza-tion of credit risk. Apart from commoditization of credit risk by securitization, there are two other developments that seem to have contributed to the exponential growth of credit derivatives—index products and structured credit trading.

In the market for equities and bonds, investors may acquire exposure to either a single entity's stocks or bonds or to abroad-based index. The logical outcome of the increasing popularity of credit derivatives was credit derivative indices. Thus, instead of gaining or selling exposure to the credit risk of a single entity, one may buy or sell exposure to a broad-based index, or subindices, implying risk in a generalized, diversified index of names.

The idea of tranching or structured credit trading is essentially similar to that of seniority in the bond market—one may have senior bonds, pari passu bonds, or junior bonds. In the credit derivatives market, this idea has been carried to a much more intensive level with tranches representing risk of different levels. These principles have been borrowed from the structured finance market. Thus, on a bunch of 100 names, one may take either the first 3% risk, or the 3% to 7% slice of the risk, or the 7% to 10% slice, and so on.

The combination of tranching with the indices leads to trades in tranches of indices, opening doors for a wide range of strategies or views to take on credit risk. Traders may trade on the generic risk of default in the pool of names or may trade on correlation in the pool, or the way the different tranches are expected to behave with a generic upside or downside movement in the credit spreads, or the movement of the credit curve over time, and so on.

Quite often, the development of the hedge fund industry has been associated with the development of credit derivatives. Hedge funds are prominent in credit derivatives trades, particularly in case of the lower tranches of the structured credit spectrum. The hedge fund industry represents the segment of investor capital that is least regulated, risk neutral, out to seize opportunities arising out of mispricing, and so on. As the credit derivatives trades are almost completely unregulated and offer opportunities of short trades in credit that is difficult to accomplish in the bond market, the credit derivatives industry provides an excellent playing ground to hedge funds.

DERIVATIVES: THE BUILDING BLOCK OF CREDIT DERIVATIVES

The development of credit derivatives is a logical extension of the ever-growing array of derivatives trading in the market. The concept of a derivative is to create a contract that transfers some risk or some volatility. This risk or volatility may relate to the price or performance of a reference asset, event, a market price or any other economic or natural phenomenon. Such trade in risk does not mean a trade in the reference asset. The reference may remain with someone who is a complete stranger to the derivative contract. However, the derivative trade closely mimics the risks and returns of holding the underlying asset, or at least a segment thereof. Thus, derivatives bring about a completely independent trade in the risks/returns of an asset. For example, a trade in options or futures in equities may run completely independent of trades in equity shares.

Credit derivatives apply the same notion to a credit asset. A credit asset is the asset that a provider of credit creates, such as a loan given by a bank, or a bond held by a capital market participant. A credit derivative enables the stripping of the loan or the bond from the risk of default (or more risks, depending on the nature of the derivative), such that the loan or the bond can continue to be held by the originator or holder thereof, but the risk gets transferred to the counterparty. The counterparty buys the risk obviously for a premium, and the premium represents the reward to the counterparty.

Thus, credit derivatives essentially use the derivatives format to acquire or shift risks and rewards in credit assets, namely, loans or bonds, to other financial market participants. Like capital market derivatives, credit derivatives make it possible to hold a credit asset and either remove the risks in holding it and replace the same by a pure counterparty risk or risk is a safer asset. Reciprocally, credit derivatives make it possible to not hold a credit asset and yet synthetically create the position of risk and reward in a credit asset or portfolio of assets. (Note that the terms "synthetic transfer," "synthetic exposure," and "synthetic lending" use "synthetic" as opposed to real or natural. For example, a "synthetic transfer" would mean a transfer that is not really a transfer, but achieves the same purpose artificially or synthetically.)

SECURITIZATION: THE OTHER BUILDING BLOCK

Much of the significance that credit derivatives enjoy today is because of the marketability imparted by securitization. Credit derivatives would have mostly been a closely held esoteric market, but for the introduction of the securitization device to commoditize a credit derivative and bring it to the capital market.

Securitized credit derivatives, or synthetic securitization, is a device of embedding a credit derivative feature into a capital market security so as to transfer the credit risk into the capital markets. In the case of synthetic se-curitizations, the protection against the risk is ultimately provided by the capital markets.

The synthesis of credit derivatives with securitization techniques has complemented each other. Credit derivatives have acquired a new meaning when they were turned into marketable securities using securitization techniques; securitization, however, got a new impetus by opening up possibilities of keeping a whole portfolio of credit assets on the books and yet transfer the credit risks of the portfolio. Many erstwhile securitizers, particularly in Europe and Asia, prefer synthetic securitizations to cash transfers.

MEANING OF CREDIT DERIVATIVES

A credit asset is the extension of credit in some form: normally a loan, accounts receivable, installment credit, or a financial lease contract.

Every credit asset is a bundle of risks and returns: Every credit asset is acquired to make certain returns on the asset, and the probability of not making the expected return is the risk inherent in a credit asset. The credit asset may, of course, end up in a full or partial loss, which is also a case of volatility of return in that the return is negative.

There are several reasons why a credit asset may not generate the expected return to the holder: delinquency, default, losses, foreclosure, prepayment, interest rate movements, exchange rate movements, and so on.

A credit derivative contract intends to create a trade in either some risk or all the risk of volatility of return in a credit asset, without transferring the underlying asset. For example, if Bank A enters into a credit derivative with Bank B relating to a loan sitting on the balance sheet of Bank A, Bank B bears the risk, of course for a fee, inherent in the asset held by Bank A. A couple of significant points need to be noted here.

First, we made a reference to transfer of risk in a loan or portfolio of loans held by Bank A. Credit derivatives are essentially derivative deals, and for any derivative deal, it is not necessary that the reference asset must actually be held by any of the counterparties. For example, to buy a put on an equity share, it is not necessary for the put buyer to hold the equity share. Similarly, in order for Bank A to transfer the risk of a loan taken by a particular obligor, it is not necessary for Bank A to have actually given a loan to the obligor. In other words, without Bank A actually holding any credit exposure in the obligor, Bank A may sell the risk (that is, buy protection) and Bank B may buy the risk (that is, sell protection). The purpose of the protection buyer in a derivatives deal is not necessarily hedging—the protection buyer may be buying protection for trading purposes, that is, to be able to benefit from widening of spreads over time.

Second, in most cases, the transaction of credit derivatives is not referenced to particular loans—it is referenced to the generic risk of default of an entity. In other words, a credit derivative views credit risk as an independent commodity by itself and creates a trade in the credit risk of an entity.

The premium that Bank B earns for selling protection is representative of the credit risk premium being priced on the asset. Thus, the protection seller by selling protection is earning the credit spread, and is exposed to the risk of default of the reference entity. The position of the protection seller is equivalent to that of an actual lender.

Credit derivatives may thus be defined as arrangements that allow one party (the protection buyer or originator) to transfer, for a premium, the defined credit risk, or all the credit risk, computed with reference to a notional value, of a reference asset or assets, which it may or may not own, to one or more other parties (the protection sellers).

Quick Guide to Basic Jargon

The subject matter of a credit derivative transaction is a credit asset, that is to say, an asset or contract that gives rise to a relationship of a creditor and debtor. However, credit derivatives are usually not related to a specific credit asset but trade in the generic risk of default of a particular entity. The entity whose risk of default is being traded in is commonly referred to as the reference entity. There are cases where the credit derivative is linked not to the general default of the reference entity but the default of specific asset or portfolio of assets. This is called the reference obligation, reference asset, or the reference portfolio.

The party that wants to transfer the credit risks is called the protection buyer and the party that provides protection against the risks is called the protection seller. The two are mutually referred to as the counterparties. Protection buyer and protection seller may alternatively be referred to as the risk seller and the risk buyer, respectively.

We have mentioned above that it is not necessary for the protection buyer to actually own the reference asset: he might either be using the credit derivative deal as a proxy to transfer the risk of something else that he holds, or may be doing so for trading or arbitraging reasons. Irrespective of the motive, a derivative deal does not necessitate the holding of the reference asset by either of the counterparties, by which it is also obvious that the protection buyer need not hold the reference asset of the same value or for the same tenure for which the derivative deal is written.

Therefore, like most other derivatives, credit derivatives are written for a notional value, usually in denominations of $1 million. The premium to be paid by the protection buyer, and the protection payment to be made by the protection seller, are both computed with reference to this notional value. For the same reason, the tenure of the credit derivative does not have to coincide with the tenure of the credit asset.

Since the derivative deal focuses on the credit risk, it is necessary to define the credit risk. This is done by defining credit events. Credit events are the specific events on the happening of which protection payments will be made by the protection seller to the protection buyer. Parties may define their credit events; in OTC transactions taking place under the standard documentation of the International Swap and Derivatives Association (ISDA) standard documentation, credit events are chosen from out of the list of credit events specified by the ISDA. In the case of a total-rate-of-return swap, a type of a credit derivative discussed later, the entire credit risk of volatility of returns from a credit asset, without reference to the reasons therefore, is transferred to the protection seller, and therefore, the definition of credit events is relevant only for termination of the swap on its occurrence.

The premium is what the protection buyer pays to the protection seller over the tenure of the credit derivative. If there is no credit event during the tenure of the deal, the protection buyer pays the premium, and on efflux of time, the deal is closed. If there is a credit event, there will be protection payment due by the protection seller to the protection buyer, and the deal is closed without waiting for the tenure to be over. The protection payments or credit event payments are what the protection seller has to pay to the protection buyer should the credit event happen. The protection payment is either the outstanding par value plus accrued interest (computed with reference to the notional value) of the reference asset, or the difference between such par value plus accrued interest and the post-credit-event market value of the reference asset. In the former case, the protection buyer delivers the reference asset to the protection seller (called physical settlement) and the latter case, there is no transfer of the credit asset (called cash settlement) as the protection seller merely compensates the protection buyer for the losses suffered due to the credit event.

In either case, the protection payments are not connected with the actual losses suffered by the protection buyer.

In case the terms between the parties have fixed physical settlement as the mode, the protection buyer shall be required to deliver a defaulted obligation of the reference entity on default. Generally, the definition of such defaulted obligations is broad enough to allow the protection buyer to buy from out of several available obligations of the reference entity. Such obligations are called deliverable obligations. Both reference obligations and deliverable obligations are defined usually by characteristics. Hence, any obligation of the reference entity that satisfies the characteristics listed will be deliverable obligation. Quite obviously, the protection buyer will have the motivation to deliver the cheapest-to-deliver obligations.

For example, let us suppose a bank has an outstanding secured loan facility of $65 million, payable after seven years, given to a certain corporation, say X Corporation. The bank wants to shed a part of the risk of the said facility, say $50 million, and enters into a credit derivative deal with a counterparty, the protection seller. The bank is the protection buyer in this deal. The derivative deal is done for a notional value of $50 million for X Corporation as the reference entity and, say, with a tenure of five years. The reference obligation is "senior unsecured loans or bonds of the reference entity." The parties agree to physical settlement. In this deal, the bank will pay a premium of 80 basis points to the protection seller for the full term of the contract, that is, five years if a credit event does not occur. If a credit event occurs, the bank stops making payments up to the date of the credit event and seeks protection payment.

The type of credit derivative described in this illustration is called a credit default swap or simply default swap and is the most common form of a credit derivative.

In our example, the bank is buying protection basically for hedging purposes. However, it may be noted that there are mismatches between the actual loan held by the bank and the derivative. The amount of the loan is $65 million, where the notional value of the derivative is only $50 million. The actual loan is a secured loan facility, while the reference asset for the credit derivative is a senior unsecured loan. The term of the loan is seven years, while the term of the derivative is five years. We wish to emphasize that there may be complete disconnect between the actual credit asset, if at all held by the protection buyer, and the credit derivative. For the purpose of our discussion, it would be all the same if the protection buyer did not have any loan given to X Corporation, and was simply trying to buy protection hoping to make a profit when the premium for buying protection against X Corporation went above 80 basis points.

Since the transaction of credit derivative is referenced to "senior unsecured loans or bonds of X Corporation," the credit events (as defined by the parties) will be triggered if there is such event on any of the obligations of X Corporation that satisfy the characteristics listed for the reference obligations. Generally speaking, if there is a default on any of the loans or bonds of X Corporation, or if X Corporation files for bankruptcy, it would trigger a credit event.

The obvious purpose of the party buying protection in this case is to partially hedge against the risk of default of the exposure held by the protection buyer. The protection buyer, the bank in our example, actually holds a secured loan, but buys protection for a senior unsecured loan for two reasons. First, since the market trades in general risk of default of X Corporation, the defaults are typically defined with reference to unsecured loans as they are more likely to default than secured loans. Second, for the protection buyer the protection is stronger when it is referenced to an inferior asset than the one actually held by the bank in our example.

The protection seller is earning a premium of 80 basis points by selling protection. This party, of course, is exposed to the risk of default of X Corporation. In normal course, to create the same exposure, the protection seller would have to lend out money to X Corporation. In this case, the protection seller has acquired the exposure without any initial investment (see later in this chapter about funded derivatives). The objective of the protection seller might be simply to create and hold this exposure as a proxy for a credit asset to X Corporation. Alternatively, the protection seller might also be viewing the transaction as a trade: this party would stand to gain if the cost of buying protection against X Corporation declines to below 80 basis points. The protection seller may encash this gain either by buying protection at the reduced price, or by other means.

If the credit event does not happen over the five-year term of the contract, the derivative expires with the protection buyer having made periodic premium payments to the protection seller. If the credit event does happen, the protection buyer may choose to make a physical settlement. In that case, the protection buyer may well deliver an unsecured bond of X Corporation, as evidently, the possible recovery on the secured loan that X Corporation is holding will be better than the market price of the unsecured bonds of X Corporation. Thus, if the protection buyer purchases such bonds at a price of 30%, he would stand to make 70% of the notional value because the protection seller will obligated to pay to the protection buyer the par value of the defaulted assets that satisfy the characteristics of the deliverable obligations. The protection buyer may continue to hold the secured loan and recover it through enforcement of security interests or otherwise.

Synthetic Lending

Through a credit derivative contract, the protection buyer transfers defined credit risks of a reference asset to the protection seller. Assuming the protection buyer holds the reference asset, as is the case in the example above, what is the impact of the derivative on the protection buyer? The protection buyer still holds the reference asset, but has now transferred the defined credit risks. Instead, the protection buyer now has a risk on the protection seller. Should a defined credit event take place, the protection buyer is not concerned with receiving interest or principal on the reference obligation from the obligor; the protection buyer is rather concerned about getting the protection payment from the protection seller. So, there is a substitution of obligor risk by counterparty risk.

As far as the protection seller is concerned, the protection seller has not bought the reference asset, but is exposed to risks and rewards of the reference asset. Should the reference asset not default, the protection seller continues to get the premium that is obviously based on the credit risk of the obligor, and is therefore a reward related to the reference obligor. Should the credit event take place, the protection seller is exposed to the risk of having to make protection payments.

In other words, the protection seller has assumed risk and reward in the obligor, without actually lending to the obligor. The obligor is now the synthetic asset of the protection seller, as by the derivative contract, the protection buyer has synthetically substituted obligor exposure by counterparty exposure, and the protection seller has synthetically created a new asset, namely, exposure in the obligor.

Credit derivatives deals provide a new opportunity of synthetically creating assets—without actually creating a portfolio or lending. Instead of originating a loan, virtually the same position can be created synthetically by selling protection. (Note that this will be even more true in the case of total-rate-of-return swaps, discussed later, where the parties replicate the actual cash flows from a reference obligation.)

The credit asset so created is referred to as synthetic asset or unfunded asset.

Motivations of the Parties

The motivations of the protection buyer in our above example are easily understandable—the bank wants to transfer the risk of holding the exposure in X Corporation without transferring the asset. But a primary question arises on the motivation of the protection seller: Why would that party be willing to write protection on something never actually created by him.

Briefly speaking, credit derivatives have provided an easy way for banks to gain exposures in credit risks without having to actually create assets. Consider a bank, say Bank A, that specializes in lending to the office equipment industry. Over the years, this bank has acquired a specialized knowledge of the office equipment industry. Suppose further that there is another bank, Bank B, that, say, specializes in the textiles industry. Both these banks are specialized in their own industries, but both suffer from the risks of portfolio concentration. Bank A is concentrated in the office equipment industry and Bank B is focused on the textiles industry. Understandably, both banks should diversify their credit portfolios to be safer.

One obvious option for both of bank is as follows: Bank A should invest in an unrelated portfolio, say textiles, while Bank B should invest in a portfolio of credits in which it has no credit exposure, say, the office equipment industry. Doing so would involve inefficiency for both the banks, as Bank A does not know enough about the textiles industry as Bank B does not know anything about the office equipment industry.

Here, credit derivatives offer an easy solution: Without transferring their portfolio or reducing their portfolio concentration, both banks could buy into the risks of each other's portfolios by credit derivative deals. By doing so, both banks would have diversified their risks. Moreover, both banks have diversified their returns, as the premiums being earned by the derivative contract represent return from the portfolio held by the other bank.

The above example has depicted credit derivatives being a bilateral transaction—as a sort of a bartering of credit risks. As a matter of fact, credit derivatives can be completely marketable contracts: The credit risk inherent in a portfolio can be securitized and sold in the capital market just like any other capital market security. So anyone who buys such a security is inherently buying a fragment of the risk inherent in the portfolio, and the buyers of such securities are buying a fraction of the risks and returns of a portfolio held by the originating bank.

Credit derivatives allow parties who are completely strangers to the banking market to eat into the rewards and bear the risks of banking assets, which would be otherwise not be possible. For example, a capital market participant buying a synthetic security with an embedded derivative feature gets to create a synthetic loan asset. An insurance company would not have been allowed to enter the banking market at all, but credit derivatives enable it to sell protection, which is synthetically the same as writing a loan itself. This discussion also reveals how credit derivatives could replicate credit assets in different markets and geographies.

Credit derivatives succeed in creating a new derivative product parallel to a cash bond or obligation. This synthetic product can have structured or leveraged risk/reward positions, and therefore, can be a device for the markets to allow structured trading in a credit asset without, of course, investing in the asset at all.

ELEMENTS OF A CREDIT DERIVATIVE

Bilateral Deals and Capital Market Deals

A credit derivative may be a transaction between two counterparties, or may be a capital market transaction. Bilateral transactions between parties or dealers are normally referred to as OTC deals, since they take place between parties on an over-the-counter basis, as opposed to exchange-traded derivatives. The other possible format of a credit derivative deal is embedding the derivative into some capital market instrument, and offering such instrument to investors in the capital market.

The most basic distinction between capital market deals and counterparty or OTC deals is based on who the counterparty is. Obviously, the counterparty for any credit derivative deal is a specific party, and it is impossible to envisage a credit derivative where the "capital market" is the counterparty. However, capital market transactions intend to transfer the exposure to the capital market instruments by interposing special purpose vehicles (SPVs). In a capital market transaction, the risk is first transferred by the protection buyer to the SPV, which in turn transmits the risk into the market by issuing securities that carry an embedded derivative feature.

A credit derivative deal might either be linked with a single reference entity, called a single-name default swap, or a portfolio of entities, called a portfolio default swap. Since the market is essentially OTC, it is intermediated by dealers and brokers. For well-known reference entities, the market is quite liquid and bid-ask spreads are quite fine. Another very liquid part of the market is standardized index trades, discussed later.

Sometimes, credit derivative deals are embedded into capital market securities to make it an investment product. This takes the form of collateralized debt obligations (CDOs). CDOs might relate either to a pool of assets sitting on the balance sheet of a bank (called a balance sheet CDO) or a bunch of reference entities drawn from the market (called an arbitrage CDO).

OTC deals and capital market deals differ in terms of pricing as well—the pricing of OTC deals is based on prices quoted for the specific reference entity or index in the market. The risk is assessed and priced by market mechanism, which may inherently adopt one or more models for pricing credit derivatives. In a bespoke capital market transaction, the obligor portfolio is mostly diversified and the risk is assessed by the quality and extent of diversity of the pool. The pricing of the risk transfer is mostly implied by the negative carry inherent in the assets and liabilities of the SPV—that is, the rate of return that the investments of the SPV fetch, and the weighted average coupon of the liabilities.

Reference Asset or Portfolio

From the viewpoint of obligor specification, there are two types of credit derivatives: a single-obligor derivative (or single-name derivative) and a portfolio derivative. As implied by the name, a single-obligor credit derivative refers to an obligation of a specific named obligor, whereas a portfolio trade refers to specific obligations of a portfolio of obligors.

In either case, the reference is to obligations of the reference entity, such as an unsecured loan, or unsecured bond of the obligor. Parties may define the obligation either by making it specific such as a particular loan or a particular bond issue, or give a broad generic description—such as any loan or any bond and so on. Most of the OTC transactions are referenced to a generic senior unsecured loan of the reference entity, which is primarily chosen as representative of the risk of default, mostly leading to a bankruptcy, of an obligor on a plain unstructured credit.

In the case of portfolio default swaps, the portfolio may be a static portfolio or a dynamic portfolio. As implied by its name, a static portfolio is one in which the constituents of the obligor portfolio will remain fixed and known over time. In the case of a dynamic portfolio, though the total value of reference portfolio remains fixed, its actual composition may change over time as new obligors may be introduced into the pool, usually for those that have been repaid or prepaid, or those that have been removed due to failure to comply with certain conditions. It is obvious that the selection of the names forming part of the dynamic portfolio will be based on definite selection criteria, elaborately laid down in the transaction documents, so as to ensure that the reinstatement of obligors over time does not change the portfolio risk.

Structured Portfolio Trade

Where the credit derivative deal relates to a portfolio, it is possible to create tranches of the risk arising out of it. We have earlier briefly discussed the concept of tranches. Hence, it is possible for the protection buyer to come up with several tranches—say, junior, mezzanine, and senior tranche, or say 0% to 4%, 4% to 8% tranche, and so on. The protection buyer may either buy protection on all these tranches, or one or more than one of these. Such trades are called structured credit trades, or structured portfolio trades. The word "structured" puts such trades in line with other segments of structured finance, such as securitization. The word "structured" also implies that the number and sizing of the tranches are structured to suit investors' appetite for risk and urge for returns.

Basket Trades

Another common variety of a structured credit derivatives prevailing in the market is called a basket derivative, where the reference asset is a basket of obligations, and the credit event is nth to default in a basket, let us say, first to default in a basket of 10 obligors. So the deal is referenced to a basket of 10 defined obligors, each with a uniform notional value, and when any one out of the basket becomes the first to default, the protection payments will be triggered, and thereafter, the deal is terminated. Effectively, this might be a very efficient way of buying protection against a portfolio of 10 assets, while paying a much smaller premium. This is because the joint probability of more than one obligor defaulting in a basket of 10 obligors is very small, while the probability of any one of the 10 defaulting is much higher. So the losses of the protection seller are limited to only one of the 10 obligors, while at the same time providing needed protection against a larger portfolio to the protection buyer.

At times, parties might even transact a basket deal where protection is bought for the second-to-default obligor. The intent here is that the first or threshold risk will be borne by the protection buyer, but any subsequent loss after the first default will be transferred to the protection seller. Conceptually, the protection buyer has limited losses to the first default in the portfolio, seeking protection from the protection seller for the second default. The third or subsequent default in the portfolio is unprotected, but that is only a theoretical risk, as the probability of three defaults in an uncorrelated portfolio is nominal. Likewise, one may think of an nth to default basket swap.

Basket default swaps, like all portfolio trades, are structured with the parties taking a view on the inherent correlation in the basket. The higher the correlation in the basket, the risk of the first-to-default protection seller comes down, and that of the second-to-default protection seller goes up.

Index-Based Credit Derivative Trades

The idea of portfolio credit trades, structured or otherwise, was carried further with the introduction of the index trades and gained tremendous popularity. A single-name credit derivative allows the parties to trade in credit risk of a particular entity. A portfolio derivative allows parties to transact trade in the credit of a broad-based portfolio, say, a portfolio of 100 U.S. corporates. The selection of these 100 U.S. corporates may be done by the person who structures the transaction. However, to allow parties to trade on a common portfolio, index trades construct a standard pool of n number of names (or securities), and allows various traders to trade in such common portfolio. The common portfolio is known as the index, in line with indices of equities, bonds, or other similar securities. The advantage of index trades is that they allow the carrying out of structured trades in a generalized portfolio, so capital market participants may take views on the general corporate credit environment in the United States, or Europe, or so on. In view of their advantage over bespoke portfolio trades, that is, portfolios of names selected by the structurer, index trades have quickly grown to become a very large component of the credit derivatives market.

Protection Buyer

The protection buyer is the entity that seeks protection against the risk of default of the reference obligation. The protection buyer is usually a bank or financial intermediary that has exposure to credit assets, funded or unfunded. In such a case, the primary objective of a protection buyer is to hedge against the credit risks inherent in credit assets. The credit assets in case of OTC transactions are mostly corporations, or sovereigns, primarily emerging-market sovereigns. In the case of several CDOs, the assets can diversified obligor pools representing a broad cross-section of exposure in various industries. There have been several cases where risks on a portfolio of a very large number of obligors have been transferred through derivatives, for example, small- and medium-enterprise (SME) loans, auto leases, and so on.

At times, dealers could be buying protection for shorting credit assets, for the purpose of arbitraging by selling protection or otherwise gaining by way of a widening of credit spreads on the reference entity. Buying protection is the same as going short on a bond. The protection buyer gains if the credit quality of the reference entity worsens. One may also visualize that usually, among the bond market, equity market, and the credit derivatives market, there is a degree of correlation. Hence, the protection buyer shorts exposure on the entity by buying protection.

Buying of protection is also seen by the market as a convenient way of synthetically transferring the loan, while avoiding the problems associated with actual loan sales. Sale or securitization of loans involves various problems, depending on the jurisdiction concerned, relating to obligor notification, partial transfers, transfer of security interests, further lending to the same borrower, and so on. (Apart from the procedural issues related to transfer of loan portfolios, a major legal risk in a loan sale is generically referred to as the "true sale" risk, that is, the possibility that the sale of the loans will either be disregarded by a court or undone by a consolidation of the transferee with the transferor. For a detailed discussion on the true sale problems, see Kothari [2006].) Synthetic transfers, in contrast, avoid all of these problems, as the reference asset continues to stay with the originator.

In credit derivatives documentation, the protection buyer is also referred to as the fxed-rate payer. Perhaps this term is the remnant of the interest rate swap documentation.

Protection Seller

Earlier, we discussed briefly the motivations of the protection seller. To reiterate, the protection seller is mainly motivated by yield enhancement, or getting to earn credit spreads from synthetic exposures where direct creation of loan portfolios is either not possible or not feasible. In OTC transactions, the major protection sellers are insurance companies, banks, hedge funds, equity funds, and investment companies. In the case of CDOs, the protection sold is embedded in securities that are mostly rated, and the investors acquire these securities based on their respective investment objectives.

The protection seller may also be taking a trading view and expecting the credit quality of the reference entity to improve. Selling protection is equivalent of longing a bond—as the quality of the underlying entity improves, the protection seller stands to gain.

In credit derivatives documentation, the protection seller is also referred to as the floating-rate payer.

Funded and Unfunded Credit Derivatives

Typically, a credit derivative implies an undertaking by the protection seller to make protection payments on the occurrence of a credit event. Until the credit event happens, there is no financial investment by the protection seller. In this sense, a credit derivative is an unfunded contract.

However, quite often, for various reasons, parties may convert a credit derivative into a funded product. This may take various forms, such as:

  • The protection seller prepays some kind of estimate of protection payments to the protection buyer, to be adjusted against the protection payments, if any, or else, returned to the protection seller

  • The protection seller places a deposit or cash collateral with the protection buyer which the latter has a right to appropriate, in the case of protection payments.

  • The protection buyer issues a bond or note which the protection seller buys, with a contingent repayment clause entitling the protection buyer to adjust the protection payments from the principal, interest, or both, payable on the bond or note.

The purpose of converting an unfunded derivative into a funded form may be variegated: It could either be a simple collateralization device for the protection buyer or may be the creation of a funded product that features a derivative and is therefore a restructured form of the original obligation with reference to which the derivative was initially written. When the funded derivative takes the form of a fixed income security, it is referred to as a credit-linked security or credit-linked note, which implies that a credit derivative has been embedded in a fixed-income security.

Credit Event

Credit events are the contingencies or the risk of being transferred in a credit derivative transaction. There are certain credit derivatives, such as total-rate-of-return swaps, where the reference to credit event is merely for closing out the transaction because the cash flows are swapped regularly; but most credit derivative deals refer to an event or events, upon the happening of which protection payments will be triggered.

The ISDA's standard documentation lists and elaborates different credit events for different types of credit derivative deals. For standard credit derivatives, there are six credit events: bankruptcy, failure to pay, obligation default, obligation acceleration, repudiation or moratorium, and restructuring. Parties are free to choose one or more credit events. If the parties use a non-ISDA document, they can define their own credit events as well. In most capital market transactions, credit events are given a structured meaning by the parties.

In OTC trades, the most common credit events are bankruptcy, failure to pay, and restructuring. Restructuring as a credit event has had a checkered history in the credit derivatives business, as a mere restructuring is not a case of default in common banking or credit parlance, and yet triggers protection payments in the case of credit derivatives. If a protection buyer holds a loan that gets restructured, say, with the borrower seeking extension of maturity by something like two years, theoretically, the protection buyer has not lost much money (except maybe on account of impairment of credit of the borrower), and may still seek compensation by delivering a cheapest-to-deliver asset of the reference entity that he may acquire from the market. To put reasonable curbs on what may be delivered pursuant to a restructuring event, ISDA documentation gives certain options to parties, essentially in the form of maturity limitations of the deliverable obligations.

It is quite possible for credit derivatives trades to not include restructuring as a credit event at all—for example, index trades do not include restructuring.

In the case of credit derivatives on asset-backed securities, the generic definitions of "bankruptcy" and "failure to pay" would obviously not be applicable; hence, there are unique credit events in the case of such contracts.

Notional Value

Earlier, we discussed the relevance of notional value in a derivative deal. Like all derivative deals, credit derivatives also refer to a notional value as the reference value for computing both the premium and the protection payments. Notional values are generally standardized into denominations of $1 million. However, capital market transactions can use their own nonstandard notional values.

There are certain derivatives in which the notional value is not fixed—it declines over time. This is where the derivative is linked with an amortizing loan or an asset-backed security where the underlying asset pool consists of amortizing assets.

Premium

The premium is the consideration for purchasing protection that the protection buyer pays to the protection seller over time. The premium is normally expressed in terms of basis points (bps). For example, a premium of 85 bps means on a notional value of $1 million the protection buyer will pay to the protection seller $8,500 as the annual premium. The premium is normally settled on a quarterly basis but typically accrues on a daily basis.

The premium may not be constant over time—there might be a step-up feature, meaning the premium increases after a certain date. This might be either to reflect the term structure of credit risk or simply for a perfunctory regulatory compliance as discussed next.

Tenure

The tenure is the term over which the derivative deal will run. The tenure comes to an end either by the efflux of time or upon happening of the credit event, whichever is earlier. For portfolio derivatives, the credit event on one of the obligors may not lead to termination of the derivative. As we discussed earlier, the tenure of the credit derivative need not coincide with the maturity of the actual exposure of the protection buyer. However, for regulatory purposes, conditions for capital relief curtail the benefit of capital relief where there is a maturity mismatch between the tenure of the underlying credit asset and that of the credit derivative. So, the common practice in transactions where the protection buyer intends to seek a capital relief, but where the protection seller wants to give protection for only three years while the underlying exposure is for five years, is to quote a rate for three years, with a step-up after year 3, with an option to terminate with the protection buyer. The protection buyer will terminate the transaction due to the step-up feature, effectively getting protection only for three years, while theoretically, for regulatory purposes, the exposure is fully covered for five years.

Loss Computation

If a credit event takes place, the protection seller must make compensatory loss payments to the protection buyer, as in case of a standard insurance contract. However, the significant difference between a standard insurance contract and a credit derivative is that for the latter, it is not important that the protection buyer must actually suffer losses; nor is the amount of actual loss relevant. Losses of the protection seller are also known as the protection payment.

The loss computation and the payments required to be made by the protection seller are a part of the "settlement" of the contract. Obviously, the losses of the protection seller will depend on the settlement method—physical or cash. Where the terms of settlement are cash, the contract will provide for the manner of computing losses. Here, the loss is the difference between the par value of the reference asset (that is, the notional value plus accrued interest, as per terms of the credit), less the fair value on the valuation date. Most of the reference assets will not have any deterministic market values as such. Consequently, the method of computing the fair value is described in the contract in details. If the reference asset is something like a senior unsecured loan, the market value may be determined by taking an average of the quotes given by several independent dealers. Typically, the quotes are taken on more than one date, and, therefore, there are various valuation methods applicable, such as highest or average highest.

As significant as specifying the valuation method is the specification of the valuation date. Usually, a cooling-off period is allowed between the actual date of happening of an event of default and the valuation date. This is to allow for the knee-jerk reaction of the market values to be mitigated and more rational pricing of the defaulted credit asset to take place.

Computation of losses is not required for a type of derivative called binary swaps or fixed recovery swaps, where the protection seller is required to pay a particular amount to the protection buyer, irrespective of the actual losses or valuation.

Threshold Risk or Loss Materiality Provisions

Credit derivative contracts may sometimes provide for a threshold risk, up to which the losses will be borne by the protection buyer, and it is only when the losses exceed the threshold limit that a claim will lie against the protection seller. This is also called a materiality loss provision, under the understanding that only material losses will be transferred to the protection seller, even though the threshold limit may be quite high and not necessarily prevent immaterial losses from being claimed from the protection seller. In such cases, the more appropriate term is first loss risk, where the first loss risk up to the specified amount is borne by the protection buyer and it is only losses above the first loss amount that are transferred to the protection seller.

Cash and Physical Settlement

Settlement arises when the credit events take place. The terms of settlement could be either cash settlement or physical settlement. In the case of cash settlement, the losses computed as discussed above are paid by the protection seller to the protection buyer, and there is no transfer of the reference asset by the protection buyer. With physical settlement, the protection buyer physically delivers, that is, transfers an asset of the reference entity that satisfies the criteria for a deliverable obligation, and gets paid the par value of the delivered asset, limited, of course, to the notional value of the transaction. The concept of deliverable obligation in a credit derivative is critical, as the derivative is not necessarily connected with a particular loan or bond. Being a transaction linked with generic default risk, the protection buyer may deliver any of the defaulted obligations of the reference entity. However, to prevent against something like equity or other contingent securities from being delivered, transaction documents typically specify the characteristics of the deliverable obligations.

The general belief in the credit derivatives market is that losses of the protection seller are less in the case of a physical settlement than in the case of cash. This belief is quite logical, since the quotes in the case of a cash settlement are made by potential buyers of defaulted assets, who also hope to make a profit in buying the defaulted asset.

Physical settlement is more common where the counterparty is a bank or financial intermediary who can hold and take the defaulted asset through the bankruptcy process or resolve the defaulted asset. Physical settlement is, however, quite problematic where there are plenty of outstanding transactions referenced to an entity. This situation is almost certain to arise in the case of entities included in popular indices. When several protection buyers scout the market for buying defaulted assets, there might be a short squeeze in the market and an artificial inflation in the price of the defaulted security. In appreciation of these difficulties, the market has of late started moving in the direction of cash settlements or fixed recovery trades.

QUICK INTRODUCTION TO THE TYPES OF CREDIT DERIVATIVES

The following is a quick introduction to the various types of credit derivatives.

Credit Default Swap

A credit default swap can literally be defined as an option to swap a credit asset for cash, should it default. A credit default swap is essentially an option bought by the protection buyer and written by the protection seller. The strike price of the option is the par value of the reference asset. Unlike a capital market option, the option under a credit default swap can be exercised only when a credit event takes place.

In a credit default swap, if a credit event takes place, the protection buyer at his option may swap the reference asset or any other deliverable obligation of the reference obligor, either for cash equal to the par value of the reference asset, or get compensated to the extent of the difference between the par value and market value of the reference asset.

Credit default swaps are the most important type of credit derivative in use in the market.

Total Return Swap

A credit default swap protects the protection buyer against losses when a credit event happens. However, a credit event is a rare event. The holder of a credit asset is not merely concerned with losses in the event of default, but mark-to-market losses, since the latter is more frequent. A credit asset might continue to give mark-to-market losses for quite some time before it actually ripens into a default.

As the name implies, a total-rate-of-return swap or total return swap is a swap of the total return out of a credit asset swapped against a contracted prefixed return. The idea in a total-rate-of-return swap is to protect the protection buyer against mark-to-market losses as well; hence, the parties swap the total return from the reference credit asset or pool of assets. The total return out of a credit asset is reflected by the actual earnings realized from the reference asset plus the actual appreciation/depreciation in its price over time. The total returns from a credit asset may be affected by various factors, some of which may be quite extraneous to the asset in question, such as interest rate movements. Nevertheless, the protection seller in a total return swap guarantees a prefixed spread to the protection buyer, who in turn agrees to pass on the actual collections and actual variations in prices on the credit asset to the protection seller.

So periodically, the protection buyer swaps (the actual return on a notional value of the reference asset), in lieu of (a certain spread on a reference rate, say, LIBOR + 60 bps).

Credit-Linked Notes

A credit-linked note (CLN) is a securitized form of credit derivative that converts a credit derivative into a funded form. Here, the protection buyer issues notes or bonds that implicitly carry a credit derivative. The buyer of the CLN sells protection and prefunds the protection sold by way of subscribing to the CLN. Should there be a credit event payment due from the protection seller, the amounts due on the notes/bonds on account of credit events will be appropriated against the same, and the net, if any, will be paid to the CLN holder. A CLN carries a coupon which represents the interest on the funding and the credit risk premium on the protection sold, that is to say, the protection inherently sold via the CLN is compensated in the form of the coupon on the CLN. Obviously, the maximum amount of protection that the CLN holder provides is the amount of principal invested in the CLN.

Credit Spread Options

A credit spread option is basically a call or put option on an asset exercisable based on a certain spread. The call or put is an option with the holder, who is the protection buyer. Let us say a protection buyer agrees with the protection buyer that should the spread of a particular bond exceed a particular spread over LIBOR (referred to as the strike spread), then the protection buyer will have the option, as usual, of either a physical settlement of the reference obligation at the strike spread, or net settlement.

The option to put the asset can be said to be the option to call a predetermined spread. In other words, the protection buyer intends to protect a particular spread over a base rate and indicates a negative view on the reference obligation. On the contrary, if the protection buyer holds a positive view on the reference obligation, he may enter into an option to call the asset or put the spread.

Credit spread options are not related to events of default as, understandably, the movement in spreads can be related to various factors besides credit events.

In regulatory standards of most countries, credit spread options are not considered for regulatory capital relief. See, for example, paragraph 8.2.1 of FSA, the United Kingdom's regulatory requirements on credit derivatives state that "protection bought using a credit spread option is ignored for capital purposes." That they are not eligible for regulatory capital relief is a major reason why spread options have not become as popular as the other types of credit derivatives.

CREDIT DERIVATIVES AND TRADITIONAL FINANCIAL GUARANTEE PRODUCTS

Credit derivatives, particularly credit default swaps, have very close affinity with some traditional financial guarantee contracts such as:

  • Bond insurance

  • Letters of credit

  • Revolving credit

  • Financial guarantees

Credit Derivatives and Guarantees

The traditional guarantee contract provides for payment by the guarantor to the creditor in case of a default by the debtor. Credit derivatives, particularly credit default swaps, might have an apparent similarity with traditional guarantees. However, the similarity goes no further.

In a traditional guarantee, the intent of the guarantor is to protect the creditor from losses and put the creditor at par with what would have been received had the original debtor not defaulted. Thus, the payments by a guarantor are typically due only:

  • When the principal debtor has defaulted.

  • To the extent of the loss or damage suffered by the creditor.

Credit default swaps, however, are not limited to "default" as such but generally extend to cover events such as bankruptcy, compromise, and restructuring. Besides, for credit default swaps, the payments to be made by the protection seller might be either a prefixed amount or based on a valuation, which may or may not equal to the damage suffered by the protection buyer.

Another significant difference lies in the fact that a guarantee is always a trilateral contract: the guarantor, debtor, and creditor are all parties to the contract of guarantee. Credit default swaps, however, are purely a contract between the protection buyer and seller, and the obligor may not come to know about the contract at all.

The differences between traditional guarantees and credit derivatives are summarized in Table 42.1.

Table 42.1. Differences between Traditional Guarantees and Credit Derivatives

 

Credit Default Swap

Financial Guarantee

Nature of the contract

A contract whereby the protection seller makes predefined payments to the protection buyer on happening of certain events. In contract law parlance, it is an independent contract, neither a contract of guarantee, nor indemnity.

A contract whereby the guarantor will pay the sums due and payable by the principal debtor on the failure of the latter to pay. In contract law parlance, it is a contract of guarantee.

Parties to the contract

The protection seller and the protection buyer. There is no contractual relationship with the obligor and the protection seller.

The guarantor (protection provider), surety (protection seeker), and the principal debtor (obligor). There is a contractual relationship between the guarantor and the obligor.

Consideration

Payment of certain fees or premium by the protection buyer to the protection seller.

Consideration needs to exist between the guarantor and the principal debtor -normally, a guarantee commission.

Assumption of rights against the obligor

Upon default, unless the protection buyer delivers the asset to the protection seller, the latter has no rights against the obligor.

As per law, if the guarantor makes payment of any sum due by the principal debtor, he becomes the creditor of the principal debtor for the sum so paid.

Nature of protection

Protection is provided against predefined credit events, not limited to defaults.

Protection is normally provided against default by the obligor.

Nature of payments upon default

Where the predefined credit events take place, the protection seller is to make the predefined credit event payments to the protection buyer.

Where the default by obligor takes place, the surety is first expected to proceed against the obligor. Having exhausted remedies, the surety can claim defaulted payments from the guarantor.

Relationship between the protection provided and the obligation

Credit default swaps are not necessarily connected with the existence and extent of the payment obligation of the obligor: While the obligation may be different, the default swap might be referenced to a different asset. The notional amount for the swap might also differ from the actual obligation.

Guarantees are necessarily connected with a specific obligation of the obligor.

Tradability

Credit default embedded in credit-linked notes are tradable.

Guarantees are bilateral contracts and are not tradable.

Pricing

Credit default swaps are priced by the market.

Guarantees are priced bilaterally.

Marking to market

CDS are marked to market.

Guarantees are not marked to market.

Documentation

Standard documentation as developed by ISDA.

No standard documentation.

CREDIT DERIVATIVES AND SECURITIZATION

Securitization is the device whereby financial assets such as receivables are converted into marketable securities and are offered to investors, usually with credit enhancements. As a generic process, securitization refers to the very process of converting something that is not a marketable security into one; the term "asset securitization" is sometimes used specifically to refer to the application of the device to converting assets into securities.

Asset securitization and credit derivatives are contradictory but have been used as mutually complementary. An asset securitization results in the transfer of assets, mostly while the risks are retained by the originator in the form of the credit enhancements. In the case of credit derivatives, there is no transfer of assets, but a mere transfer of risks. Securitization results in the creation of liquidity, while credit derivatives are unfunded as far as the protection buyer is concerned.

However, securitization and credit derivatives have joined hands to result in synthetic securitizations, which can be viewed as a securitization of a credit derivative, that is, conversion of a credit derivative into marketable securities. Synthetic securitization has provided wider use and far-reaching effect to credit derivatives, while at the same time providing greater flexibility for those seeking to use asset securitization.

SUMMARY

Credit derivatives have brought about a market where credit risk of entities can be traded independent of loans or bonds of the particular entities. Credit risk has thus become a commodity, and credit derivatives have effectively commoditized credit risk. The increased liquidity in the credit derivatives market for popularly traded names has created a market that parallels that for equities and bonds, and investors and traders may trade in credit default swaps with the same trading or investing intent as in case of equities and bonds. Index trades have further enabled traders to take a view on generalized portfolios of credits. Credit derivatives were essentially envisaged as hedging products but have actually become important tools of trading. The most common type of liquid credit derivative is a credit default swap, but total-rate-of-return swaps and option trades are also common. Portfolio default swaps, referenced to pools of names, are importantly linked to the correlation inherent in the names in the pool, besides the credit quality of those names.

REFERENCES

Anson, M. J. P., Fabozzi, F. J., Choudhry, M., and Chen, R-R. (2004). Credit Derivatives: Instruments, Pricing, and Applications, Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.

Fabozzi, F. J., Davis, PL, and Choudhry, M. (2007). Introduction to Structured Finance. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.

Kothari, V. (2002). Credit Derivatives and Synthetic Securi-tisation: Guide to Commodisation of Credit Risk. Kolkata, India: Academy of Financial Services.

Kothari, V. (2006). Securitization: The Financial Instrument of the Future, 3rd edition. Singapore: John Wiley & Sons.

Lucas, D. J., Goodman, L. S., and Fabozzi, F. J. (2006) A framework for evaluating trades in the credit derivatives market. Journal of Trading, Fall: 58-69.

Schönbucher, P. J. (2003). Credit Derivatives Pricing Models: Models, Pricing and Implementation., Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.

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